nusa tenggara timur, indonesia provincial opinion poll may 3 survey of indonesian... · nusa...

Nusa Tenggara Timur, Indonesia Provincial Opinion Poll

January 12, 2012 - February 14, 2012

International Republican Institute

Lembaga Survei Indonesia

with funding from the

United States Agency for International Development

1

IRI, Lembaga Survei Indonesia Nusa Tenggara Timur Provincial Public Opinion Survey,

January 2012 2

Methodology • This survey was designed, analyzed and fielded by Lembaga Survei Indonesia under the supervision of

Fallon Research and Communications on behalf of the International Republican Institute.

• The provincial representative survey was carried out from January 12-February 14, 2012. A sample of

720 Nusa Tenggara Timur participants were interviewed face-to-face in their homes.

• Multi-stage sampling was used to select villages from Nusa Tengarra Timur’s 21 districts to be

included in the sample.

• The Kish grid method was used to randomize the selection within households among eligible

respondents. The households were selected using the random route method.

• The sample was distributed at the district level, in rural and urban areas, in 21 districts of Nusa

Tenggara Timur.

• The response rate was 89 percent.

• The margin of error for the survey does not exceed +/- 3.7 percent with a confidence level of 95

percent.

• Sixty-eight interviewers worked on the study, on average completing 11 interviews per PSU. The

interviews were administered using local dialects and conducted by interviewers who are native speakers.

• Due to rounding, charts may not add up to 100 percent.


January 2012 3

Survey Demographics

Male 50% Female 50%

Urban 15% Rural 85%

Marital Status

Married 80%

Single 19%

Widow/Widower 2%

Education

Less than or equal to primary 64%

Junior high or equivalent 16%

Senior high or equivalent 17%

College/University 4%

Age

Younger than 24 14%

24 to 34 24%

35 to 44 26%

45 to 54 18%

55+ 18%

Monthly Household Income

Up to 400,000 rupiah 69%

400,000 to 999,999 rupiah 18%

1,000,000+ rupiah 13%

Religion

Islam 8%

Protestant 35%

Catholic 56%

Other 2%


January 2012 4

District of Respondents

Sumba Barat2%

Sumba Timur5%

Kupang6% Timor Tengah

Selatan9%

Sikka7%

Belu8%

Sumba Tengah1%Lembata

3%Flores Timur

5%

Timor Tengah Utara5%Sumba Barat Daya

6%

Manggarai Barat4%

Manggarai 7%

Rote Ndao3%

Ngada3%

Alor4%

Ende6%

Nagekeo3%

Manggarai Timur6%

Sabu Raijua2%

Kota Kupang 7%

SOCIAL INDICATORS INDEX

5


January 2012 6

Generally speaking, would you say that things in this

province are headed in the right direction or the wrong

direction?

75

13

3 9

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

Right direction Wrong direction No response Don't know


January 2012 7

Why do you think that things in your province are heading

in the right direction? (Closed-ended) Respondents who think things are headed in the right direction, N=550

3

4

7

14

16

56

0 10 20 30 40 50 60

No response/Don't know

Other

Economic conditions are good

There is peace and secuirty

The general environment is good or improving

Government governs well/Assisting people


January 2012 8

Why do you think that things in your province are heading

in the wrong direction? (Closed-ended) Respondents who think things are headed in the wrong direction, N=87

1

2

1

5

16

16

20

38

0 10 20 30 40


Other

Government resources don't reach citizens

Corruption

Limited job opportunities

Low standard of living

Economic conditions are not good

The government is not governing well


January 2012 9

Compared to a year ago, has your personal financial

situation improved, stayed the same or worsened?

20

53

25

3

Improved Stayed the same Worsened No response/Don'tknow

0

10

20

30

40

50

60


January 2012 10

Thinking about next year, do you expect the economic

situation in your household is going to get better, stay the

same or get worse?

32

48

12 9

Better Stay the same Worse No response/Don'tknow

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

ELECTION INDEX

11


January 2012 12

Did you vote in the April 2009 provincial parliamentary

elections?

Yes 89%

No 11%


January 2012 13

If yes, please tell me which political party you voted for in

the April 2009 provincial parliamentary elections?

Respondents that said they voted in the April 2009 provincial parliament elections, N=642

24 24

18

3 2 2 2

14

9

3

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

Indonesian

Democratic

Party

Struggle

Golkar Democrat

Party

Gerindra Prosperous

Peace Party

National

Mandate

Party

Hanura Other No response Don't know


January 2012 14

Which one of the following statements most determines for

whom you vote?

14

2

5

1

15

35

38

0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40

Don't know

No response

Other

My vote depends on the candidate

I usually vote for the same political party

I usually vote for the same candidate or his localpolitical group

I usually don't vote for the same political party orpolitical group and my vote depends upon various

other factors

I usually don’t vote for the same political party

or political group and my vote depends upon

various other factors

I usually vote for the same candidate or his local

political group


January 2012 15

People give different reasons for why they vote for one party

rather than another. Which of the following describes your

reason for voting for a particular party instead of another party?

2

3

2

9

11

22

25

26

0 5 10 15 20 25 30

Don't know

No response

Other

The party's candidate has been working in myconstituency

The party provides financial support in my area

The party has the best leader

The party has the best policies

The party had the best candidate in my constituency

The party’s candidate has been working in my

constituency


January 2012 16

Which of the following criteria or characteristics are the

most important to you when selecting a legislative

candidate to vote for ? (First priority) Responses of two percent and greater

1

2

2

2

3

3

4

4

5

9

18

41

0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45


Charisma

Intelligence

Reformist

Ethnic or region/Province of origin

Experience as a leader

Religious

Proposed policies

The support he/she has from the public

Opposed to corruption

Close to people

Honesty


January 2012 17

I am going to ask for your level of agreement or disagreement

with the following statement. I would be more likely to vote for

a political party which includes more young people in their

political party.

17 56 18 3 5

0 20 40 60 80 100

Strongly agree Agree Disagree Strongly disagree No response/Don't know

73% Agree 21% Disagree


January 2012 18

I am going to ask for your level of agreement or disagreement

with the following statement. I would be more likely to vote for

a political party that nominates more women legislative

candidates.

12 54 23 5 6

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100

Strongly agree Agree Disagree Strongly disagree No response/Don't know

66% Agree 28% Disagree


January 2012 19

If there are two candidates campaigning for the same elected office

with exactly the same qualifications, but one is a man and the other

is a woman, which one would you be more likely to vote for?

15

23

58

4

Prefer to vote for awoman

Prefer to vote for aman

Gender makes nodifference to me

No response/Don'tknow

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70


January 2012 20

If provincial parliamentary elections were held next week

how likely is it that you will vote?

68

23

2 2 4

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

Very likely Somewhat likely Not very likely Not vote at all No response/Don'tknow

ISSUES AND ATTITUDES INDEX

21


January 2012 22

Which one of the following issues is of greatest concern

to you? (Closed-ended) Only displaying responses of two percent and greater

3

2

3

4

4

5

6

6

10

10

20

24

0 5 10 15 20 25 30


Low quality and high prices of health care

Quality and accessibility of education

Corruption

Solution to housing problems

Unemployment and threat of losing a job

Not a sufficient level of support to small andmedium sized businesses

Low standard of living and low income

Insufficent support to farmers

Problems of water supply

Inflation and price increases

Lack of infrastructure (electricity, roads, etc.)


January 2012 23

On the issue most important to you, do you feel that the

provincial government is capable of solving the problem

within the next two years ?

58

24

19

Yes No No response/Don't know

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70


January 2012 24

If you could improve one service or policy in your area,

what would it be? (Open-ended) Responses of two percent and greater

3

2

2

2

2

3

3

3

4

11

13

43

0 10 20 30 40 50


Poverty

Price increase of staple foods

Employment

Education

Health

Economy

Security

Cleanliness

Housing

Availabilty of clean water

Infrastructure (electricity, roads, etc.)


January 2012 25

In your opinion, how prevalent is corruption within the

government in your province?

25 30 13 8 4 21

0 20 40 60 80 100

Very prevalent Somewhat prevalent Not very prevalent

Not prevalent at all No response Don't know


January 2012 26

Are you satisfied or unsatisfied with the provincial

government’s efforts to fight corruption?

8 26 25 22 3 16

0 20 40 60 80 100

Very satisfied Somewhat satisfied Somewhat unsatisfied

Very unsatisfied No response Don't know

34% Satisfied 47% Unsatisfied


January 2012 27

In your opinion, what is the most corrupt institution in

the province? (Open-ended) Responses of two percent and greater

58

2

3

3

11

12

0 20 40 60 80


Law enforcement

Ministry of education

Government offices

Parliament/Local parliament

Government


January 2012 28

Turning to a different topic, in the past year has any

legislator or political party member contacted you about

any issue of importance to you?

6

91

4


0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100


January 2012 29

In the future, should a legislator or political party member

need to contact you, what is the most convenient way for

you to be contacted? Responses of two percent and greater

8

4

4

5

7

12

15

24

60

60

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70


Telephone

Media (e.g. newspaper)

Letter

Radio program

Through a political party event

Through a non-governmental organization

In person/Travel to my office

In person/Travel to my house

Through a community/Public event


January 2012 30

Have you ever given money to a political party?

4

96

1


0

20

40

60

80

100

120


January 2012 31

If no, why have you not given money to a political party? Respondents indicating that they have not given money to a political party, N=693

Responses of two percent and greater

3

2

3

3

4

10

12

14

48

0 10 20 30 40 50 60


Political parties have too much money

Not a political party member

Not interested in politcs

Never been asked, but if asked I will contribute

It is inappropriate to give money to politicsalparties

Have other necessities

The politcal party's funding is its business

No funds available to give

It is inappropriate to give money to political

parties


January 2012 32

In your opinion, are people in your province afraid to

openly express their political views or not?

17 26 22 19 17

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100

Majority are afraid Many are afraid Some are afraid Nobody is afraid No response/Don't know


January 2012 33

What is your opinion about the trend of religious

extremism in your province compared to two years ago?

Has it increased, stayed more or less the same or

decreased?

12 35 29 30

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100

Increased More or less the same Decreased No response/Don't know


January 2012 34

How concerned, if at all, are you about the rise of

religious extremism in your province these days? Respondents having the opinion that the trend of religious extremism in the province has

increased, N=85

43 18 22 17

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100

Very concerned Somewhat concerned Not too concerned Not at all concerned No response/Don't know

INSTITUTIONAL RATINGS

35


January 2012 36

Now I am going to read various problems, and please rate

the provincial government’s performance on each of the

issues listed below.

22

24

25

28

29

33

37

37

38

43

44

44

54

56

57

31

47

32

27

27

20

24

24

30

17

30

24

26

23

21

44

40

40

38

40

36

36

36

24

38

19

27

15

10

19

6

17

2

6

4

11

3

3

8

3

7

4

5

10

3

0 20 40 60 80 100

Employment

Fighting corruption

Inflation control

Housing

Poverty reduction

Development of roads and highways

Water quality

Water availability

Fighting crime

Electricity availability

Preserving the environment

Construction of public facilities schools, bridges, etc.

Improving educational system

Gender/Religious/Race/Ethnicity-based discrimination

Health care

Good Fair Poor No response/Don't know


January 2012 37

I would like to ask you about your impressions on the performance

of the following institutions. How would you rate the performance

of each of the following institutions: very good, good, fair, poor or

very poor?

30

40

42

43

44

48

49

53

56

57

67

82

29

47

29

29

26

20

26

22

21

28

20

12

27

15

22

17

12

7

6

19

7

6

8

3

13

15

7

11

17

25

19

6

16

9

5

3

0 20 40 60 80 100

Political parties

Courts

Local parliament

Provincial parliament

Local election commission

International non-governmental organizations

Media

Police

Domestic non-governmental organizations

Civil service employees

Governor

Religious leaders

Good Fair Poor No response/Don't know


January 2012 38

Are you satisfied or unsatisfied with the quality of work

provided by the provincial legislature?

7 47 37 5 1 4

0 20 40 60 80 100




January 2012 39


provided by the district head in your city/village?

10 53 28 6 2

0 20 40 60 80 100




January 2012 40


provided by the governor of your province?

15 55 22 4 1

0 20 40 60 80 100



2

MEDIA INDEX

41


January 2012 42

What are the main sources of political information for

you? Responses one percent and greater

10

1

1

2

6

6

7

11

17

39

0 10 20 30 40 50


Religious leader

Politicians

Magazines

Village head

Newspapers

Village news board

Relatives, friends

Radio

TV


January 2012 43

How do you rate the credibility of each of these

information sources on a scale of one to five, where one

means very unreliable and five means very credible? Responses of three or higher only

88 87

86

79 77

64 64

46

36

32

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100


January 2012 44

On average, how often do you use the Internet?

10

81

3

2

2

1

1

0 20 40 60 80 100


Never

Less often

Once a month

Once a week

A few times per week

Everyday


January 2012 45

What do you use the Internet for mostly? Respondents indicating that they use the Internet at least once a month, N=63

6

1

2

2

3

4

5

14

18

19

26

34

39

0 10 20 30 40 50


Facebook

Read the news

Homework

Watch videos

Shopping

Blog

Listen to music

Research

Chat

Games

Work

Email


January 2012 46

Where do you most regularly access the Internet? Respondents indicating that they use the Internet at least once a month, N=63

5

2

7

10

21

26

28

0 5 10 15 20 25 30


Relatives' or friends' home

School

Work

Home

Cell phone or mobile connection

Internet café

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