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November 2011
November 2011
Iraq Enters a Critical Period Graphs for the Report on the October 2011 Survey
November 2011
The Research
National Survey
– September 22 – October 5, 2011
– 2,000 national face-to-face interviews (1,436 unweighted)
– 500 interviews in each of the following regions: Baghdad, South,
West, and North – weighted representatively
– Margin of error +/- 2.6 percent on full sample, +/- 4.4 percent on
North sample
Focus Groups
– July 22-25, 2011
– 2 each in Anbar, Baghdad, Basra, Erbil, and Sulaymaniyah.
Page 1
November 2011
5
8
9
9
10
27
30
35
59
0 20 40 60
Sectarianism
Political instability
Education
Infrastructure development
High prices
Security
Corruption
Basic services like electricity and water
Jobs and unemployment
Jobs continue to dominate as a top concern
Please tell me which TWO of these are the most important for the government to address.
Page 2
∆ Jul ’11
-1
-6
+3
-5
--
--
+3
+5
-2
November 2011
Job situation, corruption, electricity esp. seen as worsening
Please tell me if you think this issue is getting better or worse in Iraq.
Page 3
85
82
69
62
56
46
10
13
26
24
39
38
-100 -80 -60 -40 -20 0 20 40 60 80 100
Job opportunities
Corruption
Electricity supply
Political instability
Security
Sectarianism
Worse Better∆ Better
Jul ’11
-1
-3
+6
+3
+2
-6
November 2011
Economic strength by region
33 35
53
4
34
49
32
39
77
50
0
20
40
60
80
Total Baghdad South West North
Strong Weak
Now I want to ask you about the economy. Would you say Iraq’s economy right now is strong or weak?
Page 4
November 2011
Right direction hits lowest point in a year
45
42 41 37
44
49 50 50
0
20
40
60
Nov-10 Jan-11 Mar-11 May-11 Jul-11 Sep-11 Nov-11
Right direction Wrong direction
Page 5
Generally speaking, do you think that things in Iraq are going in the right direction, or do you feel things are going in the wrong direction?
November 2011
Country direction | region
37
49 42
16
47 50
30
52
68
40
0
20
40
60
80
Total Baghdad South West North
Right direction Wrong direction
Page 6
∆ Right Jul ’11 -4 +3 -7 -6 -5
Generally speaking, do you think that things in Iraq are going in the right direction, or do you feel things are going in the wrong direction?
November 2011
8
46
7
66
27
12
70
61
40
44
16
59
22
31
22
51
0 20 40 60 80
Security
Corruption
Basic services
Jobs and unemployment
Baghdad West South North
Job concerns dominant across regions, with some variation Please tell me which TWO of these are the most important for the government to address.
Page 7
November 2011
Electricity perceptions better in Baghdad, worse elsewhere
Please tell me if you think ELECTRICITY SUPPLY is getting better or worse in Iraq.
Page 8
33
79
93
46
69
62
14
6
46
26
-100 -80 -60 -40 -20 0 20 40 60 80 100
North
West
South
Baghdad
Total
Worse Better∆ Better
Jul ’11
+3
+42
-5
-10
-23
November 2011
Favorability of national leaders continues to fall
36 31 29 23 21 17 16 14 13 11
42 49 51 51 49 51
60 59 63 62
-100
-80
-60
-40
-20
0
20
40
60
80
100
Sadr Maliki Allawi Jaafari Hakim Nujaifi Mutlaq Hashemi Barzani Talabani
% Favorable % Unfavorable
Now, I’d like to rate your feelings toward some people, things, and organizations, with ―100‖
meaning a VERY FAVORABLE feeling; ―0‖ meaning a VERY UNFAVORABLE feeling; and ―50‖
meaning not particularly favorable or unfavorable.
Page 9
Δ Favorable
Jul ’11 +1 -3 -8 -9 -6 -9 -2 -7 +1 -6
November 2011
Allawi favorability drops especially among base
29 31 20
51
4 22
68
5
75
51 52 59 35
60 57
24
62
15
-100
-80
-60
-40
-20
0
20
40
60
80
100
Total Baghdad South West North Shia Non-KurdSunni
Kurd INAidentifiers
% Favorable % Unfavorable
Page 10
Δ favorable
Jul ’11 -8 -10 -6 - 8 -8 -5 -16 -10 -11
November 2011
Allawi job approval also drops
47
42 46
38
43
46 47 50
0
10
20
30
40
50
Nov-10 Jan-11 Mar-11 May-11 Jul-11 Sep-11
Approve Disapprove
Page 11
Generally speaking, do you approve or disapprove of the job Ayad Allawi is doing as a prominent politician in Iraq?
―He does not do anything to serve the people.
He only struggles with Maliki and has verbal
fights with him.‖—Shia Woman, Basra
November 2011
Nujaifi job approval remains weak after strong start
48
33 33 38
50 51
0
20
40
60
Mar-11 Apr-11 May-11 Jun-11 Jul-11 Aug-11 Sep-11 Oct-11
Approve Disapprove
Page 12
Generally speaking, do you approve or disapprove of the job Osama al-Nujaifi is doing as Speaker of the Council of Representatives?
November 2011
Nujaifi favorability continues to fall
39
26
17
39
47 51
0
20
40
60
Mar-11 May-11 Jul-11 Sep-11
% Favorable % Unfavorable
Page 13
Now, I’d like to rate your feelings toward some people, things, and organizations, with ―100‖
meaning a VERY FAVORABLE feeling; ―0‖ meaning a VERY UNFAVORABLE feeling; and ―50‖
meaning not particularly favorable or unfavorable.
November 2011
Maliki favorability slightly declines
41
35 34 31
47 45 51 49
0
20
40
60
Nov-10 Jan-11 Mar-11 May-11 Jul-11 Sep-11
% Favorable % Unfavorable
Page 14
Now, I’d like to rate your feelings toward some people, things, and organizations, with ―100‖
meaning a VERY FAVORABLE feeling; ―0‖ meaning a VERY UNFAVORABLE feeling; and ―50‖
meaning not particularly favorable or unfavorable.
November 2011
Maliki job approval dips
40 39 39 34
54 54 53 58
0
20
40
60
Nov-10 Jan-11 Mar-11 May-11 Jul-11 Sep-11
Approve Disapprove
Page 15
Generally speaking, do you approve or disapprove of the job Nouri al-Maliki is doing as prime minister?
November 2011
Maliki favorable rating down in the South
31 41 45
17 4
46
2 8
49 40
31
70 68
32
86
67
-100
-80
-60
-40
-20
0
20
40
60
80
100
Total Baghdad South West North Shia Non-KurdSunni
Kurd
% Favorable % Unfavorable
Page 16
Δ favorable
Jul ’11 -3 -2 -10 +3 -3 -5 -3 --
November 2011
Maliki favorability among Da’wa partisans
95 87
93 86
3 8
2 4
0
20
40
60
80
100
Nov-10 Dec-10 Jan-11 Mar-11 Apr-11 May-11 Jun-11 Aug-11 Sep-11
% Favorable % Unfavorable
Page 17
Now, I’d like to rate your feelings toward some people, things, and organizations, with ―100‖
meaning a VERY FAVORABLE feeling; ―0‖ meaning a VERY UNFAVORABLE feeling; and ―50‖
meaning not particularly favorable or unfavorable.
Among those who ID with Da’wa
November 2011
Government not seen as responsive to people’s needs
19 17 23
11
30
67
57
71 74
59
0
20
40
60
80
Total Baghdad South West North
Better Worse
Page 18
Now I will read you a list of issues. Please tell me if you think the issue is getting better or worse
in Iraq: The central government’s responsiveness to the people’s needs.
November 2011
Most CoR members unaware and unresponsiveness to needs
31 21
55 64
0
20
40
60
80
Page 19
Statement 1: Members of the CoR
from my governorate know a lot
about local conditions in my
neighborhood.
Statement 2: Members of the CoR
from my governorate are mostly
unaware of the local conditions in
my neighborhood.
Now I'm going to read you some pairs of statements. For each one, I want you to tell me which choice comes closer to your point of view.
Statement 1: In general, members of
the CoR from my governorate are
mostly responsive to the needs of
my neighborhood.
Statement 2: In generally, members
of the CoR from my governorate are
mostly unresponsive to the needs
of my neighborhood.
November 2011
INA favorability drops especially among base
23 25 12
46
0 15
62
3
50 56 57
32
55 56
24
62
-100
-80
-60
-40
-20
0
20
40
60
80
100
Total Baghdad South West North Shia Non-KurdSunni
Kurd
% Favorable % Unfavorable
Page 20
Δ favorable
Jul ’11 -10 -16 -10 -9 -3 -10 -19 -3
November 2011
16
14
10
6 6 5 5
2
5
16
13
0
5
10
15
20
IslamicDa'wa Party
Iraqi Nat'lAccord
Sadr Trend ISCI PUK Iraqi Frontfor Nat'lDialogue
KDP Nat'lReformTrend
Others (No vote) (Und/ref)
National parliamentary vote
Page 21
Now let me ask you about the next parliamentary elections. Imagine those elections are today. I am going to give you a ballot with a list of political parties, and I will read the choices to you. Place a mark next to the political party you would vote for, if the elections were held today. Once you make your mark, place your ballot in the box/bag, because this is a secret ballot.
Δ July ’11 -2 -7 -- -1 -- +1 -1 -- -3 +9 +5
November 2011
Parliamentary vote | Baghdad, South, West
23 23
9
20
9
23
13
18
3
8 8
2 3 0
17
0
10
20
30
Baghdad South West
Islamic Da'wa Party Iraqi National Accord Sadr Trend ISCI IFND
Page 22
Place a mark next to the political party you would vote for, if the elections were held today.
Δ July ’11 -2 -8 -1 -2 -- -4 -4 +3 -3 -- -- -11 -1 -1 +5
November 2011
Most want a change from Maliki’s direction
28
82
42 39
23 2
53
12
45 45 49
81
0
20
40
60
80
100
Total Da'wa voters Sadr Trendvoters
ISCI voters Undecidedvoters
INA voters
Page 23
Statement 1: I want to continue in
the direction Nouri al-Maliki is
taking Iraq.
Statement 2: I want to go in a very
different direction than Nouri al-
Maliki is taking Iraq.
Now I'm going to read you some pairs of statements. For each one, I want you to tell me which choice comes closer to your point of view.
November 2011
1
4
4
5
5
6
7
8
43
49
50
0 10 20 30 40 50
Foreign businesses
Iraqi businesses
Too many foreign workers
Neighboring countries
Iraqi workers lack skills and ed
The United States
International economic conditions
Reliance on imported goods
The Council of Representatives
Nouri al-Maliki
Government ministers
Ministers, Maliki blamed for unemployment situation
Page 24
When you think of the current unemployment situation, which TWO of the following do you think are mostly to blame?
November 2011
Sadr favorability improves
38
45
35 36
50
42
49
42
0
20
40
60
Nov-10 Jan-11 Mar-11 May-11 Jul-11 Sep-11
% Favorable % Unfavorable
Page 25
Now, I’d like to rate your feelings toward some people, things, and organizations, with ―100‖
meaning a VERY FAVORABLE feeling; ―0‖ meaning a VERY UNFAVORABLE feeling; and ―50‖
meaning not particularly favorable or unfavorable.
November 2011
Favorability among young men | non-North
47 39
28 33 29 17 13 12
35 47 44
51 52 53
68 72
-100
-80
-60
-40
-20
0
20
40
60
80
100
Sadr Maliki Hakim Allawi Jaafari Nujaifi Mutlaq Hashemi
% Favorable % Unfavorable
Page 26
Δ Favorable
Jul ’11 +6 +2 +5 -8 -7 -13 -6 -11
November 2011
Favorability of national leaders | non-North, class
52
35 24
37 35 39 42 38 24
26 36
51 44
50 47 42 45 58
-100
-80
-60
-40
-20
0
20
40
60
80
100
Sadr Maliki Allawi Sadr Maliki Allawi Sadr Maliki Allawi
% Favorable % Unfavorable
Page 27
Poorer class (27 percent)
Middle class (64 Percent)
Richer class (6 percent)
November 2011
Sadr stronger in urban areas | non-North
45 33 37
31 33 33
33
48 43 51 48 51
-100
-80
-60
-40
-20
0
20
40
60
80
100
Urban Rural Urban Rural Urban Rural
% Favorable % Unfavorable
Page 28 Sadr Maliki Allawi
November 2011
Sadr strongest among poorer class | non-North
16
19
22
10
19 18 18
10
7 6 7 8
4
8
0
17
12 11
0
10
20
30
Poorer class Middle class Richer class
Islamic Da'wa Party Iraqi National Accord Sadr Trend
ISCI IFND Und/DK/Ref
Page 29
Place a mark next to the political party you would vote for, if the elections were held today.
November 2011
Parliamentary vote | Baghdad, South, West
23 23
9
20
9
23
13
18
3
8 8
2 3 0
17
0
10
20
30
Baghdad South West
Islamic Da'wa Party Iraqi National Accord Sadr Trend ISCI IFND
Page 30
Place a mark next to the political party you would vote for, if the elections were held today.
Δ July ’11 -2 -8 -1 -2 -- -4 -4 +3 -3 -- -- -11 -1 -1 +5
November 2011
Lowest levels of right direction among Sunnis
59
43 45 44
32
21 24
11
49
67
49 48
0
20
40
60
80
Nov-10 Jan-11 Mar-11 May-11 Jul-11 Sep-11
Shia right directionNon-Kurd Sunni right directionKurd right direction
Page 31
Generally speaking, do you think that things in Iraq are going in the right direction, or do you feel things are going in the wrong direction?
November 2011
Sunnis most negative about personal economic situation
37
42
16
49
27 25
40
19
0
10
20
30
40
50
Total Shia Non-Kurd Sunni Kurd
Better Worse
Page 32
How do you think the financial position of your own household will change over the next 12 months – do you think it will get worse, or do you think it will get better?
November 2011
Sunnis least optimism about the future of Iraq
52
58
34
53
35 32
42
34
0
20
40
60
Total Shia Sunni Kurd
Page 33
Statement 1: I am optimistic about
the future of Iraq.
Statement 2: I am pessimistic
about the future of Iraq.
Now I'm going to read you some pairs of statements. For each one, I want you to tell me which choice comes closer to your point of view.
November 2011
Sunni security concerns hit one-year high
45
16
32
45
0
10
20
30
40
50
Nov-10 Jan-11 Mar-11 May-11 Jul-11 Sep-11 Nov-11
Security concern among Sunnis
Page 34
Please tell me which TWO of these are the most important for the government to address. (SECURITY among Sunnis only)
November 2011
60
36
52
34
60
33
0
20
40
60
80
Shia Non-KurdSunni
Kurd
Fairly Unfairly
Sunnis feel they are treated unfairly by society, government
Page 35
In general, do you think people in your sect are treated fairly or unfairly within Iraq’s SOCIETY?
62
23
48
32
75
39
0
20
40
60
80
Shia Non-KurdSunni
Kurd
Fairly Unfairly
In general, do you think people in your sect are treated fairly or unfairly within Iraq’s GOVERNMENT?
November 2011
Sunnis least likely to think Iraq is a real democracy
43 46
16
73
46 43
69
21
0
20
40
60
80
Total Shia Non-Kurd Sunni Kurd
Page 36
Statement 1: Iraq today is a real
democracy.
Statement 2: Iraq today is not a
real democracy.
Now I'm going to read you some pairs of statements. For each one, I want you to tell me which choice comes closer to your point of view.
Δ real dem.
Jul ’11 +8 +12 +2 +5
November 2011
Sunnis least likely to participate in the next elections
76
51
35
0
20
40
60
80
Kurd likely voters Shia likely voters Non-Kurd Sunni likelyvoters
Page 37
November 2011
Mood in Kurdistan improves
85
70 74
78
9
22 22 15
0
20
40
60
80
100
Nov-10 Jan-11 Mar-11 May-11 Jul-11 Sep-11
Right direction Wrong direction
Page 38
Generally speaking, do you think that things in Kurdistan are going in the right direction, or do you feel things are going in the wrong direction?
November 2011
Perceptions of jobs and corruption worsen in North Please tell me if you think this issue is getting better or worse in Iraq. (NORTH ONLY)
Page 39
84
75
59
44
43
33
12
19
34
43
52
62
-100 -80 -60 -40 -20 0 20 40 60 80 100
Job opportunities
Corruption
Sectarianism
Political instability
Security
Electricity supply
Worse Better
November 2011
8
46
7
66
27
12
70
61
40
44
16
59
22
31
22
51
0 20 40 60 80
Security
Corruption
Basic services
Jobs and unemployment
Baghdad West South North
Job and corruption concerns in the North Please tell me which TWO of these are the most important for the government to address.
Page 40
November 2011
Barzani favorability increases | North only
61 49
41 26
23 26 31
47
-100
-80
-60
-40
-20
0
20
40
60
80
100
Barzani Talabani Salih Mustafa
% Favorable % Unfavorable
Page 41
Δ Favorable
Jul ’11 +8 -14 -4 +2
November 2011
74
49
34
65
7 20
35
17 0
20
40
60
80
100
Nov-10 Jan-11 Mar-11 May-11 Jul-11 Sep-11
Barzani favorability increase comes from PUK supporters
83 94 94 91
5 6 3 1
0
20
40
60
80
100
Nov-10 Jan-11 Mar-11 May-11 Jul-11 Sep-11
Favorable UnfavorableKDP party identification
PUK party identification
North only
November 2011
KDP continues to have strongest support in North
32 30
35 36
35
21
31
28
9 16
14
5 7
5 3
5
9
17
10
18
0
10
20
30
40
Nov-10 Jan-11 Mar-11 May-11 Jul-11 Sep-11
KDP PUK Goran Movement KIU Undecided
Page 43
Place a mark next to the political party you would vote for, if the elections were held today. (NORTH ONLY)
November 2011
Goran and Mustafa favorability | North only
21 26
52 47
-100
-80
-60
-40
-20
0
20
40
60
80
100
Goran Mustafa
% Favorable % Unfavorable
Page 44
Δ Favorable
Jul ’11 -2 +2
November 2011
Parliamentary vote | North only, gender/age
33
40
27
45
22 23
37
32
9 5 5 0 5
10 1
3
0
10
20
30
40
50
Young women Young men Older women Older men
KDP PUK KIU Goran
Page 45
Place a mark next to the political party you would vote for, if the elections were held today.
Δ July ’11 -7 +1 +5 -12 +10 -6 +3 -12 -4 -3 +2 -6 +7 -2 -3 -7
November 2011
PUK favorability slightly increases | North only
49 47
22 21 13
30 27
49 52 50
-100
-80
-60
-40
-20
0
20
40
60
80
100
KDP PUK Kurdistan IslamicUnion
Goran Movement KOMAL
% Favorable % Unfavorable
Page 46
Δ Favorable
Jul ’11 -7 +3 +5 -2 --
November 2011
Talabani favorability down | North only
61 49
41 26
23 26 31
47
-100
-80
-60
-40
-20
0
20
40
60
80
100
Barzani Talabani Salih Mustafa
% Favorable % Unfavorable
Page 47
Δ Favorable
Jul ’11 +8 -14 -4 +2
November 2011
KDP more favorable among opponent supporters
83
60
36
76
9 16
47
9
-100
-80
-60
-40
-20
0
20
40
60
80
100
KDP PUK KDP PUK
% Favorable % Unfavorable
Page 48
Favorable ratings among
KDP Voters
Favorable ratings among
PUK Voters
November 2011
Few hear about their members of the CoR
29 25
32 27
36
65 72
60
70
58
0
20
40
60
80
Total Baghdad South West North
Very often/occasionally Little/never
Page 49
How often do you hear about members of the Council of Representatives from your governorate, either directly from the members or indirectly through the news? Would you say you hear about members of the Council of Representatives from your governorate very often, occasionally, only a little, or never?
November 2011
3 1 4 2
6 15
28
11 9 15
78
67
79
88
75
0
20
40
60
80
100
Total Baghdad South West North
Yes, face-to-face Yes, other contact No
Even fewer have had contact with CoR member
Page 50
Have you ever had contact with a Member of the Council of Representatives, either through a face-to-face meeting, phone call, written letter, or some other form of contact?
November 2011
Open local offices where citizens can meet with their members of the Council of
Representatives and his or her assistants face-to-face.
Hold a neighborhood listening tour, meaning a series of meetings to visit and
talk with his or her constituents. Hold monthly Q and A sessions where the public can ask questions to their
members of the CoR and discuss their issues or pending legislation.
Promise not to appoint any members of their own family to his or her staff.
Provide a telephone number that people can call to have their concerns heard.
Distribute questionnaires in order to inquire about local problems.
Provide regular information to people about results of his or her work in the
Council of Representatives in a form of a newsletter.
Create a website where people can submit their concerns for the MP to review.
28
29
30
36
38
39
43
46
62
61
64
69
69
72
76
76
0 20 40 60 80
Much more favorable Somewhat more favorable
Offices, listening tours, and Q & A most effective
Page 51
I’m going to read a list of things a member of the Council of Representatives could do. For each one, tell me how that would make you feel about that Council of Representatives member?
November 2011
35 33 33 31
48
86 86 85 89 82
3 4 3 2 2 9 9 8 9 7
0
20
40
60
80
100
Support, strongly Support, somewhatOppose, strongly Oppose, somewhat
Strong support for constituency offices
Page 52
Now, imagine that a member of the Council of Representatives from your governorate opened an office in your area. The office would serve as an accessible location where people can voice their concerns, present various initiatives, or receive help with particular issues from the Council of Representative member and his or her assistants. Would you support or oppose the idea of having such an office in your area?
Total Baghdad North South West
November 2011
57 52
56 53
73
36 41
36 42
16
0
20
40
60
80
Total Baghdad South West North
Very/Somewhat likely Little/Not likely
A majority say they are likely to visit a constituency office
Page 53
If a member of the Council of Representatives from your governorate opened an office in your area, how likely would you be to visit that office if you needed help with a certain issue – very likely, somewhat likely, just a little likely, or not likely at all?
November 2011
3
4
6
7
7
14
15
20
50
64
0 20 40 60 80
Conditions of roads and public transport
Possible laws for parliament
Neighborhood disputes
Education issues
Ration card issues
Financial assistance issues like pensions
Security issues
Housing issues
Services, like electricity or water
Jobs
Iraqis would discuss jobs and services with their member Now I would like to read you a list of issues that people might go to discuss with a member of the Council of Representatives or his/her assistants at their office. Which TWO of the items in this list would you go to discuss at the member’s office?
Page 54
November 2011
38 34 34 32
63 57
61 60 66
25
0
20
40
60
80
Total Baghdad South West North
A lot / Some confidence A little / No confidence
Limited confidence that members can help through visit
Page 55
And how much confidence do you have that the member of the Council of Representatives from your governorate could help you with these issues if you brought it to them at their office? Do you have a lot of confidence your member could help, some confidence, just a little confidence, or no confidence at all that your member could help with that issue?
November 2011
9
10
23
26
26
31
33
0 10 20 30 40
Members don't know how to solve my problem
Members wouldn't understand my problem
Offices would not be open often enough
Members would not listen
Members don't have power to solve myproblems
You would only talk to assistant, not member
Offices would be too hard to get to
Unable to get to offices, unresponsiveness deter visits I’d like to read you a few concerns some people might have about visiting a local member of the Council of Representative’s office. Which TWO of the following would be your biggest concerns?
Page 56
November 2011
Best messages about being closer, listening to the people
32
36
36
39
39
42
66
68
68
68
75
74
0 20 40 60 80
Very convincing Somewhat convincing
Page 57
I’d like to read a few statements a member of the Council of Representatives might say to convince you to visit his or her office in your area. For each one, please tell me how convincing that is – very convincing, somewhat convincing, just a little convincing, or not convincing at all?
[CLOSER] How can politicians all the way in Baghdad help average Iraqis? I believe that
members must be representatives of the people. Instead of staying in Baghdad, I will spend ½ my
time in local office so I can be closer to the people and understand their concerns.
[LISTEN] The only way to understand people’s concerns is to listen to their concerns. That’s why
I am opening offices in my region – so I can listen firsthand to the problems that my constituents
have and then will do my best to solve them.
[ACTION] I’m opening an office not as a publicity stunt, but to show I’m serious about addressing
concerns of people. This office isn’t about listening and talking, it’s about finding solutions to people’s
problems. This is about action not talk.
[FOREIGNERS] Foreigners have too much influence on what happens in Iraq. It’s time for Iraqi people
to have the bigger voice in running our country. That’s why I am going to open offices to set up meetings
with the people so we can move Iraq in the direction we want to go, not where foreigners want to take us.
[RESPONSIVE] Our government knows and understands people’s concerns, but we’re not responding to
those concerns. I’m opening an office in your area to listen and work with average Iraqis to understand
their concerns and find solutions to them.
[PEOPLE FIRST] The problem with Iraqi elected officials is they’re too self-interested & busy enriching
themselves & their families to help average Iraqis. My priority is people first, hearing concerns,
addressing needs. I’m opening a local office so I can be the voice of the people in the CoR.
November 2011
Most have heard about CSOs
78 76 77
89
59
19 22 18
9
37
0
20
40
60
80
100
Total Baghdad South West North
Yes No
Page 58
Have you heard anything about Civil Society Organizations, or CSOs, in Iraq?
November 2011
CSOs have relatively weak favorability
22 17 25 31 7
37 35 27
43 53
-100
-80
-60
-40
-20
0
20
40
60
80
100
Total Baghdad South West North
% Favorable % Unfavorable
Page 59
% ID 77 72 74 89 67
% neutral 17 19 22 15 6
Now, I’d like to rate your feelings toward some people, things, and organizations, with ―100‖
meaning a VERY FAVORABLE feeling; ―0‖ meaning a VERY UNFAVORABLE feeling; and ―50‖
meaning not particularly favorable or unfavorable.
November 2011
51
39
54 58
51
30
39
26 30
27
0
20
40
60
Total Baghdad South West North
Very / Somewhat important A little / Not important
Majority think CSOs are important in Iraq
Page 60
Some civil society organizations, or CSOs, advocate on your behalf on issues such as human rights, women’s rights, youth, family affairs, or provide humanitarian assistance. How important do you think these CSO efforts are in Iraq – very important, somewhat important, just a little important, or not important at all?
November 2011
88
69
25
9
27
14 0
20
40
60
80
100
Heard a lot about CSOs Heard some about CSOs Heard little or nothingabout CSOs
Very / Somewhat important A little / Not important
Importance of CSOs based on how much heard
Page 61
Some civil society organizations, or CSOs, advocate on your behalf on issues such as human rights, women’s rights, youth, family affairs, or provide humanitarian assistance. How important do you think these CSO efforts are in Iraq – very important, somewhat important, just a little important, or not important at all?
November 2011
8
10
11
12
14
17
24
29
49
0 10 20 30 40 50
Educating Iraqis
Training and skills-building of gov officials
Gather info/studies to inform decisions
Pushing for change of policies and/or laws
Monitoring elections
Help gov understand public's needs
Training and skills-building of Iraqis
Monitoring the gov and its policies
Providing humanitarian services
Main focus of CSOs should be humanitarian services Now I want to read you a list of different activities CSOs can undertake. I want you to pick the top TWO activities that you think are the most important for CSOs in Iraq to engage in.
Page 62
November 2011
49
36
56
46
55
31 35
31 35
20
0
20
40
60
Total Baghdad South West North
Not a strong desire for CSOs to play a policy role
Page 63
Statement 1: Civil society organizations
are only useful for humanitarian
issues, like relief for IDPs and helping
widows and orphans.
Statement 2: Aside from humanitarian
role, CSOs should play a larger role
in creating good public policies and
holding government accountable.
Now I'm going to read you some pairs of statements. For each one, I want you to tell me which choice comes closer to your point of view.
November 2011
19
9
18
24 29
50
56
46 49 47
0
20
40
60
Total Baghdad South West North
CSOs not viewed as impacting Iraqis lives
Page 64
Statement 1: Civil society organizations
have had an impact on my life.
Statement 2: Civil society
organizations have had no impact on
my life.
November 2011
1
8
8
11
12
14
22
39
50
0 10 20 30 40 50
Meeting with police
Meeting with tribal leaders
Meeting with a political party
Using civil society organizations
Meeting with government ministers
Communicating with provincial councils
Communicating with Council of Reps
Voting in elections
Protesting in the streets
Majority views protests as best way to communicate to govt What do you think are the TWO best ways for average Iraqis to communicate their needs to the central government?
Page 65
November 2011
35
23
33
42 43 43
52
45
38
31
0
20
40
60
Total Baghdad South West North
Very / Somewhat responsive A little / Not responsive
Mixed reviews on CSOs responsiveness
Page 66
In general, how responsive do you think civil society organizations are to the needs and concerns of your neighborhood – very responsive, somewhat responsive, just a little responsive, or not responsive at all?
November 2011
49 49 45
20 19
32
0
20
40
60
Total Non-North North
Independent Affiliated
CSOs viewed and preferred to be independent
Page 67
In your opinion, are most CSOs in Iraq independent OR affiliated with a certain political party?
56 59
42
13 10
31
0
20
40
60
Total Non-North North
Independent Affiliated
In your opinion, should most CSOs in Iraq be independent OR affiliated with a certain political party?
November 2011
21 20
29
42 42 45
0
10
20
30
40
50
Total Non-North North
More capable Less capable
CSOs affiliated with parties seen as less capable, influential
Page 68
Do you think that a CSO affiliated with a political party is more or less capable to serve you and your needs?
20 19
30
41 40 43
0
10
20
30
40
50
Total Non-North North
More capable Less capable
Do you think that a CSO affiliated with a political party is more or less capable to influence the government?
November 2011
6
7
10
13
13
17
24
42
0 10 20 30 40 50
Political parties
Foreign governments
Individual Iraqis
International businesses
Iraqi businesses
The provincial councils
The federal government
International organizations
Preference for international funding of CSOs Now I am going to read a list of potential sources of funding for CSOs. From this list, who do you think should help fund CSOs in Iraq? You can select as many as you think should apply.
Page 69
November 2011
3
5
11
14
15
27
61
0 20 40 60 80
Received training by a CSO
Received educational material from CSO
Received assistance from a CSO
Have friend/family involved with a CSO
Have met with CSO workers
Viewed advertisement about CSO
Heard about CSOs through the media
Most have heard about CSOs through the media
[IF HAVE HEARD ABOUT CSOs] And how have you heard about CSOs?
Page 70
November 2011
3
3
4
5
10
12
13
43
53
0 20 40 60
Meeting at universities
Through political parties
Through professional unions
SMS texts
Online social networking sites
Through the Mukhtar (local leader)
Meetings at mosques and churches
Public meetings in the community
Through the media
Media, meetings best for members, CSOs to communicate I’m going to show you a card that has written some ways that people gain and receive information from CSOs and their members of the Council of Representatives. From this list, which TWO sources do you trust most for information?
Page 71