northsumatra“southblocka”(sba) ! oil&gas ......2013/06/24 · 24!june!2013!...
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24 June 2013
NORTH SUMATRA “SOUTH BLOCK A” (SBA)
OIL & GAS LEADS DEFINED SEISMIC OPERATIONS COMMENCED
• New mapping and prospect iv ity review identif ies h igh potentia l leads with aggregate unrisked mean Prospect ive Resource of 738.5 BCF gas and 63.8 MMBBLS oi l and condensate
• Seismic operat ions commenced to mature s ix o i l and gas leads to dr i l lable status pr ior to dr i l l ing of f i rst explorat ion wel l ear ly next year
• Block located in prol i f ic North Sumatra Basin and contains proven hydrocarbons with gas and oi l f lows from old wel ls
• Previous explorat ion focussed on shal low oi l with l i t t le interest in gas
• Excit ing new explorat ion phase underway target ing large scale wet gas reserves to meet expanding gas market and overlooked high qual ity o i l
• Signif icant new gas d iscovery (Matang-‐1) across b lock boundary f lowed 25 MMCFD
North Sumatra South Block A (SBA) Explorat ion Project Peak Oil & Gas Limited (“Peak” or “Company”) (ASX: PKO] is pleased to announce that the SBA joint venture has completed mapping and a prospectivity review, identifying high potential leads for further seismic and analysis in preparation for drilling of one exploration well around Q2 next year. These leads are located in the prolific North Sumatra Basin in close proximity to established pipelines and facilities. SBA contains proven hydrocarbons with gas and oil flows from old wells. Previous exploration in SBA focused on shallow oil targets. The new phase of exploration is targeting large scale wet gas driven by significant energy shortages and high gas prices in the rapidly expanding economy of the region, while overlooked high quality shallow oil remains an attractive target.
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South Block A (SBA) Leads – 2 ,105 sq km onshore North Sumatra Existing infrastructure in the area will be beneficial to any drilling success in SBA and a significant new gas discovery (Matang 1), recently drilled just across the SBA block boundary, has flowed gas at 25 MMCFD. This discovery has been reported by the Operator (Medco) to contain between 100 – 400 BCF. The new discovery adds to three other discoveries, including the 400 BCF Alur Siwah gas field shown on the above map. These fields in this adjacent block A are currently undergoing engineering design and the downstream infrastructure developed has the potential to improve the commerciality of any discoveries in SBA. Seismic field operations in SBA have commenced to mature and prioritise six oil and gas leads (shown on the above map) to prospect status, one of which will be selected for drilling early next year. Seismic acquisition is expected to be completed in Q3 2013. Together these six oil and gas leads provide an Unrisked Mean Prospective Resource of 738.5 BCF of gas and 63.8 MMBBLS of oil and condensate. The largest of the gas leads has been mapped to have the potential to contain an Unrisked Mean Prospective Resource of 324 BCF Recoverable Gas and 18 MMBBLS Condensate. The seismic operation currently underway will acquire over 170 survey line km located to mature the oil and gas leads prioritized by the new mapping and prospectivity review.
Gas Discovery
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South Block A (SBA) Seismic Program over Leads
The main leads identified for additional seismic are listed below with their calculated Prospective Resources:
PROSPECTIVE RESOURCES Prospect Low
Estimate (P90)
Best Estimate (P50)
High Estimate (P10)
Unrisked Mean
Units
Gas Leads
Simpang Deep 138 (7.0) 285 (16.0) 568 (33.0) 324 (18.0) BCF (+MMBBLS Condensate) Djerneh 61 (1.0) 144 (3.0) 332 (9.0) 173 (4.0) BCF (+MMBBLS Condensate) Pinueng 103 (2.4) 208 (5.2) 401 (9.2) 232 (5.6) BCF (+MMBBLS Condensate) Total Mean Gas -‐ -‐ -‐ 729 (27.6) BCF (+MMBBLS Condensate)
Oil Leads
Amanah Crest 1.3 (0.6) 3.4 (1.5) 8.4 (3.8) 4.2 (1.8) MMBBLS (+BCF Gas) Amanah Flank 3.2(1.5) 8.0 (3.6) 19.5 (8.7) 9.9 (4.3) MMBBLS (+BCF Gas) Paya Bili 1.7 (1.0) 4.1 (2.4) 9.2 (4.9) 4.8 (2.8) MMBBLS (+BCF Gas) Sungai Iyu 2.3 (0) 6.5 (0) 17.6 (0) 8.4 (0) MMBBLS (+BCF Gas) Sungai Iyu -‐ Updip 1.6 (0) 5.9 (0) 21.1 (0) 8.9 (0) MMBBLS (+BCF Gas) Total Mean Oil -‐ -‐ -‐ 36.2 (9.5) MMBBLS (+BCF Gas)
South Block A
Seismic Program 170 km
Djerneh Simpang Deep
Amanah
Pineueng
Sungai Iyu Up-‐dip
Paya Bili
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These leads, one of which will be drilled in the first half of next year, as selected and to be located on the basis of the results of the current seismic acquisition, are described in more detail below. Peak Managing Director, Jeff Steketee, said "The commencement of our seismic program on SBA progresses the work program for this important project. The PSC is located within a petroleum system containing an abundance of oil and gas near existing downstream infrastructure. Indonesia’s growing demand for oil and gas in the face of an undersupplied market will create significant possibilities for the SBA joint venture in the event of the discovery of commercial hydrocarbon accumulations within SBA.” Peak’s partners in SBA are:
REE (Operator) 51% Peaks controls REE, the Operator and 51% interest holder in SBA (net to Peak 38.25%, earning via farm-‐in)
KRX Energy 35% Earning through farm-‐in to PT Prosys Oil & Gas who are carried through the first 3 years work program (up to expenditure cap). KRX Energy has been funded by Lion Energy, an ASX listed company.
PT Prosys Oil & Gas 14% Carried through the first 3 years work program
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Belumai sandstone potential shown. Additional potential with Baong. Sandstone targets not included.
SIMPANG DEEP
• 28km2 + closure, one of largest untested features in the prolific North Sumatra Basin • Early Miocene Belumai sandstone objective (key reservoir in basin) at 1800-‐2000mss • Anticipated pay -‐ Liquid rich gas or oil • Unrisked Mean Prospective Resource: 324 BCF Gas or 96 MMBBL Oil
Target Low
Estimate (P90)
Best Estimate (P50)
Unrisked Mean
High Estimate (P10)
Gas (BCF) 138 285 324 568 Condensate (MMBBLS) 7 16 18 33
or Oil (MMBBLS) 29 77 96 196
Solution Gas (BCF) 15 43 55 113
NW SE
Top Baong
Untested Belumai section (~1800mss) has an attractive seismic character
analogous to existing fieldsLINE 1104
Simpang -1 Offset
1981 Simpang-‐1 reached TD of 1191m in high gas interval
Intra Baong events
1km
TWT
Simpang Deep Lead
28 km2
Prospective Resources
LEAD
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Belumai sandstone potential shown. Additional potential with Baong. Sandstone targets not included.
DJERNEH
• 7km2 4-‐way dip with up to 33km2 sub thrust closure (~1400 mss depth) • Mid Miocene Baong sandstone and Early Miocene Peutu/Belumai
carbonate/sandstone objective • Anticipated pay -‐ Liquid rich gas or oil • Unrisked Mean Prospective Resource (Peutu/Belumai objective only): 173 BCF Gas
or 69 MMBBL oil
Target Low
Estimate (P90)
Best Estimate (P50)
Unrisked Mean
High Estimate (P10)
Gas (BCF) 61 144 173 332 Condensate (MMBBLS) 1 3 4 9
or Oil (MMBBLS) 22 56 69 139
Solution Gas (BCF) 13 31 40 84
Line 305C 1km
Peutu/Belumaimajor fields on
trend
Well developed Middle Baong sandstones occur in area
Djerneh Lead
TWT
33 km2
7 km2
Prospective Resources
LEAD
SE NW
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PINEUENG ANTICLINE
• Combined stratigraphic/structural trap on well-‐defined anticlinal trend • Lower Keutapang /Upper Baong sands • Anticipated pay – gas with condensate • Sth Pineueng A1 well tested gas to surface • Additional potential in Baong and Bampo Fm • Unrisked Mean Prospective Resource: 232 BCF Gas and 5.6 MMBBL Condensate
Target Low
Estimate (P90)
Best Estimate (P50)
Unrisked Mean
High Estimate (P10)
Gas (BCF) 103 208 232 401 Condensate (MMBBLS) 2.4 5.2 5.6 9.2
Line 308
South Pineueng 2
South Pineueng 1
1km
SW
Pineueng Lead
Baong Fm
Pineueng Lead
4km
Prospective Resources
Top Peutu/Belumai objective
NE
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AMANAH CREST & FLANK • Fault closure related to wrench related flower trap • Lower Keutapang /Upper Baong sands • Anticipated pay -‐ oil • Unrisked Mean Prospective Resource: 14.1 MMBBL Oil & Condensate & 6.1 BCF Gas
Target Low
Estimate (P90)
Best Estimate (P50)
Unrisked Mean
High Estimate (P10)
Amanah Crest Oil (MMBBLS) 1.3 3.4 4.2 8.4
Gas (BCF) 0.6 1.5 1.8 3.8
Amanah Flank Oil (MMBBLS) 3.2 8 9.9 19.5
Gas (BCF) 1.5 3.6 4.3 8.7
Line 1131
SW NEAmanah Lead
TWT
1km
Updip KreungTuan
Base KeutapangTime Structure
(CI 40msec)
2km
Prospective Resources
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PAYA BILI
• Wrench related flower trap • Lower Keutapang /Upper Baong sands • Anticipated pay – oil & gas • Paya Bili A1 tested oil & gas with main part of pay zone not tested • Unrisked Mean Prospective Resource: 4.8 MMBBL Oil and 4.9 BCF Gas
Target Low
Estimate (P90)
Best Estimate (P50)
Unrisked Mean
High Estimate (P10)
Oil (MMBBLS) 1.7 4.1 4.8 9.2 Gas (BCF) 1.0 2.4 4.9 2.8
Line 446B
EWPaya Bili
LeadTWT
Paya Bili A1 (on trend to south) tested gas and oil from ~700mMD
1km
2kmBase KeutapangTime Structure
(CI 40msec)
Prospective Resources
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SUNGAI IYU Combined stratigraphic/structural on well defined anticlinal trend Reservoir -‐ Lower Keutapang /Upper Baong sands Anticipated pay – oil & gas Sungai Iyu 1 recovered oil Unrisked Mean Prospective Resource: 8.4 MMBBL Oil and 8.9 BCF Gas
Target Low
Estimate (P90)
Best Estimate (P50)
Unrisked Mean
High Estimate (P10)
Sungai Iyu Oil (MMBBLS) 2.3 6.5 8.4 17.6
Sungai Iyu Up-‐dip
Oil (MMBBLS) 1.6 5.9 8.9 21.1
Proven oil sand 2338-‐2345 mMD
1km
Top Baong Fm
Top Keutapang
Sungai Iyu 1NW SESungai Iyu lead
TWT
GR
Sungai Iyu 1
Line 863
Prospective Resources
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Competent Persons Statement Information in this announcement that relates to Hydrocarbon Resources is based on information reviewed by Mr Jim Durrant, Director of Peak. Mr Durrant is a full-‐time employee of Peak who has consented to the inclusion of that information in the form and context in which it appears. Mr Durrant has over 30 years experience in the oil and gas industry and is a member of the American Association of Petroleum Geologists (AAPG); Australian Petroleum Production and Exploration Association (APPEA Honorary Life Member), the Society Petroleum Engineers (SPE) and Petroleum Exploration Society of Australia (PESA). Petroleum Resources Classifications The definitions for oil and gas resources used in this announcement are in accordance with the guidelines of the Society of Petroleum Engineers (“SPE”) for application of the Petroleum Management Resource System (PRMS). The SPE PRMS can be found on the SPE website at www.spe.org. The term “resources” as used in the SPE PRMS is stated therein by SPE to encompass all quantities of petroleum naturally occurring on or within the Earth’s crust, discovered and undiscovered (recoverable and unrecoverable), plus those quantities already produced. Further, it includes all types of petroleum whether currently considered “conventional” or “unconventional.”
The PRMS system defines the major recoverable resources classes: Production, Reserves, Contingent Resources, and Prospective Resources, as well as Unrecoverable petroleum. The “Range of Uncertainty” reflects a range of estimated quantities potentially recoverable from an accumulation by a project, while the vertical axis represents the “Chance of Commerciality, that is, the chance that the project will be developed and reach commercial producing status.
Prospective Resources “Prospective Resources” are “those quantities of petroleum which are estimated, on a given date, to be potentially recoverable from undiscovered accumulations.” Estimates of resources or reserves of any category rely on the integrity, skill, and judgment of the evaluator and are affected by the geological complexity, stage of exploration or development and amount of available data from which they are derived. Any estimate of a resource is ultimately a matter of opinion and is subject to an inherent level of uncertainty and in the case of Prospective Resources, it should be recognised that,
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whilst PRMS provide for assessment on the basis of “Low Estimate”, “Best Estimate” and “High Estimate” there must always be the prospect that, as the definition refers to “undiscovered accumulations”, the “accumulation” might not exist, with the result that no actual resources are discovered. Prospective Resources represent a higher risk than Contingent Resources since the risk of discovery is also added. For Prospective Resources to become classified as contingent resources, hydrocarbons must be discovered, the accumulations must be further evaluated and an estimate of quantities that would be recoverable under appropriate development projects prepared. The PRMS state that the term “Best Estimate” is considered the most realistic assessment of recoverable quantities. If probabilistic methods are used, this term would generally be a measure of central tendency of the uncertainty distribution (most likely, median, P50 or mean). The “Mean” is derived from the distribution of recoverable quantities for the “success case.” It is not risked for probability of success. The mean enables aggregate values to be determined without a distorting “portfolio effect” which may occur when probability distribution derived low estimate, best estimate or high estimate are aggregated. Project Maturity Subclasses
Under PRMS, Reserves, Contingent Resources and Prospective Resources can be further subdivided and three subdivision classification systems are provided. For Prospective Resources Play, Lead and Prospect are adopted, with an increasing chance of commerciality as shown in the figure on the left.
For further information please contact: www.peakoil-‐gas.com info@peakoil-‐gas.com Jeff Steketee, Managing Director +61 8 6143 1800
Guidelines for Application of the Petroleum Resources Management System 18
2.7 Project Maturity Subclasses Under PRMS, identified projects must always be assigned to one of the three classes: Reserves, Contingent Resources, or Prospective Resources. Further subdivision is optional, and three subclassification systems are provided in PRMS that can be used together or separately to identify particular characteristics of the project and its associated recoverable quantities. The subclassification options are project maturity subclasses, reserves status, and economic status.
As illustrated in Fig. 2.2, development projects (and their associated recoverable quantities) may be subclassified according to project maturity levels and the associated actions (business decisions) required to move a project toward commercial production. This approach supports managing portfolios of opportunities at various stages of exploration and development and may be supplemented by associated quantitative estimates of chance of commerciality, as discussed in Sec. 2.6. The boundaries between different levels of project maturity may align with internal (corporate) project “decision gates,” thus providing a direct link between the decision-making process within a company and characterization of its portfolio through resource classification. This link can also act to facilitate the consistent assignment of appropriate quantified risk factors for the chance of commerciality.
Not to scale
RESERVES
PRODUCTION
PROSPECTIVERESOURCES
UNRECOVERABLE
UNRECOVERABLE
Range of Uncertainty
TOTA
L P
ETR
OLE
UM
INIT
IALL
Y-IN
-PLA
CE
(PIIP
)
DIS
CO
VER
ED
PIIP
UN
DIS
CO
VE
RE
D P
IIP
CONTINGENTRESOURCES
Incr
easi
ng C
hanc
e of
Com
mer
cial
ity
Project MaturitySub-classes
On Production
Approved for Development
Justified forDevelopment
Development Pending
Development Unclarified or On Hold
Developmentnot Viable
Prospect
Lead
Play
CO
MM
ER
CIA
LSU
B-C
OM
ME
RC
IAL
Fig. 2.2—Subclasses based on project maturity.
Evaluators may adopt alternative subclasses and project maturity modifiers to align with their own decision-making process, but the concept of increasing chance of commerciality should be a key enabler in applying the overall classification system and supporting portfolio management. Note that, in quantitative terms, the “chance of commerciality” axis shown in Figs. 2.1 and 2.2 is not intended to represent a linear scale, nor is it necessarily wholly sequential in the sense that a Contingent Resource project that is classified as “Development not Viable” could have a lower