north carolina aging demographics
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North Carolina Aging Demographics. Prepared by the UNC Institute on Aging. Last updated October 2007. Population Is Getting Older. Older adults are the fastest growing segment of North Carolina’s population. - PowerPoint PPT PresentationTRANSCRIPT
North Carolina Aging Demographics
Prepared by the UNC Institute on Aging
Last updated October 2007
Prepared by the UNC Institute on Aging
Population Is Getting Older Older adults are the fastest growing segment of North
Carolina’s population. Number of elderly people (65+) in the state will more
than double between 2000 and 2030, increasing from 969,000 in 2000 to 2.145 million by 2030.
Number of oldest old (85+) will much more than double during this time period, increasing from 105,000 in 2000 to 258,000 in 2030.
Reasons include: natural increase (births minus deaths), increased life expectancies, and net migration into the state.
Source of data: North Carolina State Demographics Unit, “Past and Expected Trends.”
Prepared by the UNC Institute on Aging
65+ Population in 1990 Counties with over 15% of total population 65+
Source of data: North Carolina State Demographics Unit, Census 1990.
Statewide: 12%
Prepared by the UNC Institute on Aging
65+ Population in 2000Counties with over 15% of total population 65+
Source of data: North Carolina State Demographics Unit, Census 2000.
Statewide: 12%
Prepared by the UNC Institute on Aging
65+ Population in 2020Counties with over 15% of total population 65+
Source of data: North Carolina State Demographics Unit, “Projected County Totals – Standard Age Groups,” July 1, 2020.
Statewide: 15%
Prepared by the UNC Institute on Aging
Population Shift in North CarolinaPercent of Population by Age Group (1970-2030)
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
1970 1980 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030
Perc
ent
of
Popula
tion
60+
35-59
20-34
0-19
Source of data: U.S. Census Bureau and North Carolina State Demographics Unit.
Prepared by the UNC Institute on Aging
Life Expectancies At Birth
50
55
60
65
70
75
80
85
90
1950 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030
Years
WhiteFemale
NonwhiteFemale
White Male
NonwhiteMale
Source of data: North Carolina State Demographics Unit, “North Carolina Life Expectancies.”
Prepared by the UNC Institute on Aging
Life Expectancies at Age 65
10
12
14
16
18
20
22
24
1950 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030
Years
WhiteFemale
NonwhiteFemale
White Male
NonwhiteMale
Source of data: North Carolina State Demographics Unit, “North Carolina Life Expectancies.”
Prepared by the UNC Institute on Aging
66.6
59.3
62.4
53.3
13
16.5
10.6
14.7
10 30 50 70 90
White women
Nonwhite women
White men
Nonwhite men
Years
years of healthy life years of poor health
How Many Years of Good Health?
Source of data: CDC, Chronic Disease Notes & Reports, vol. 16, no. 2/3 (2004).
Minority men and women in North Carolina don't live as long as whites, yet they have more years of poor health.
Prepared by the UNC Institute on Aging
Leading Causes of DeathNorth Carolina Residents Age 65+ (2005)
Source of data: North Carolina State Center for Health Statistics, North Carolina Vital Statistics, Volume 2: Leading Causes of Death – 2005. Table A: Leading Causes of Death by Age Group.
Chronic diseases are responsible for 65% of all deaths in North Carolina. Many of the leading causes of death for North Carolinians – including heart disease and diabetes – can be prevented.
0
2000
4000
6000
8000
10000
12000
14000
16000
Causes of Death
Num
ber
of
People
Heart Disease
Cancer
Cerebrovascular Disease Chronic
Respiratory Diseases
Alzheimer’sDiabetes
Prepared by the UNC Institute on Aging
More Older WomenNorth Carolina Population by Gender and Age (2005)
All Ages
Age 65+
Female50.7%
Male49.3% Female
59%
Male41%
Age 85+
Female71.8%
Male28.2%
Source of data: North Carolina State Demographics Unit, “County/State Population Estimates,” Certified 2005.
Prepared by the UNC Institute on Aging
Racial & Ethnic DifferencesComposition of 65+ Population (2005 estimates)
*Note: Persons of Hispanic origin may be of any race; estimates for “Some other Race” in NC is .2% and “Two or More Races” in NC is .4%.Source of data: U.S. Census Bureau, 2005 American Community Survey.
Overall U.S.
White: 85.3%
Black: 8.3%
American Indian: .5%
Asian: 3.2%
Some Other Race: 2%
Two or More Races: .7%
Hispanic*: 6.4%
American Indian.9%
Black 15.5%
Hispanic*.8%
White 82.3%
Asian .7%
In North Carolina:
Prepared by the UNC Institute on Aging
Proportion of Older Minorities
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
2000 2010 2020 2030
Pe
rce
nt
of
65
+ P
op
ula
tio
n
NonwhiteWhite
Source of data: North Carolina State Demographics Unit, “County/State Population Projections.”
Prepared by the UNC Institute on Aging
Educational Attainment Education Levels of Older Adults (2000)
0 50000 100000 150000 200000 250000 300000
less than 9th grade
some HS, no degree
HS degree
some college, no degree
associates degree
bachelors degree
graduate degree
Number of adults in NC aged 65+
Males Females
Source of data: U.S. Census Bureau, Census 2000 Supplementary Survey, Table PCT033.
Prepared by the UNC Institute on Aging
Older Adults Migrate to North CarolinaNumber of adults age 60+ who lived in a different state 5 years earlier
Source of data: 1970-1990 data from Dr. Charles Longino; 2000 data from Internal Migration of the Older Population: 1995 to 2000 (CENSR-10).
0
10000
20000
30000
40000
50000
60000
70000
1970 1980 1990 2000
Prepared by the UNC Institute on Aging
Net Migration
Prepared by the UNC Institute on Aging
North Carolina vs. NationwidePercent of 65+ population (2005 estimates)
32.8%
15.4%
43%
11.7% 14.7%
40.5%
9.9%
27.5%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
WithoutHigh School
degree
Belowpoverty level
With adisability
In the laborforce
NC
US
Source of data: U.S. Census Bureau, 2005 American Community Survey.
Prepared by the UNC Institute on Aging
Older Workers in North CarolinaPercent of NC population in the labor force (2000)
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
45-54 55-59 60-64 65-69 70-74 75+
MaleFemale
Source of data: U.S. Census Bureau, Census 2000 Supplementary Survey Table PCT047.
Prepared by the UNC Institute on Aging
Health Professionals In Short Supply
Source: North Carolina Rural Health Research Program, Cecil G. Sheps Center for Health Services Research, University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill
Prepared by the UNC Institute on Aging
Medicaid Eligibility of Older Adults in NC
0
20,000
40,000
60,000
80,000
100,000
120,000
140,000
160,000
180,000
Num
ber
of
65+
Source: NC Division of Medical Assistance, Medicaid in North Carolina: Annual Report State Fiscal Year 2006.
Prepared by the UNC Institute on Aging
North Carolina Population Pyramids (1960 & 1990)
Source of chart: UNC Chapel Hill, School of Social Work, CARES & NC Division of Aging.
Prepared by the UNC Institute on Aging
North Carolina Population Pyramid (2020 projection)
Source of chart: UNC Chapel Hill, School of Social Work, CARES & NC Division of Aging