ngtl system capacity optimization open season results system... · 2020. 8. 10. · post coos...
TRANSCRIPT
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NGTL System Capacity Optimization Open Season ResultsJuly 15, 2020
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Objectives• Assist customers in the optimization of their transportation service requirements • Support NGTL with the optimization of its expansion program
• Help align System capacity growth with customer growth• Construction of the right facilities in the right timeframe
Requests• Deferral or advancement of pending contracts• Turnback of certain billable contracts• Early notification of non-renewal of billable contracts
Conditions• Acceptance of requests required a net benefit
• To the System and customers• From a Rates perspective
Capacity Optimization Open Season - Objectives & Conditions
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Contract Impacts
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Overview of Accepted Requests
FT-D
• 352 TJ/d of advancement requests
• FT-D1: 31 TJ/d
• FT-D2: 321 TJ/d
• 575 TJ/d of deferral requests
• FT-D1: 160 TJ/d
• FT-D2: 415 TJ/d
FT-R
• 124 mmcf/d of deferral requests
Additionally, received 25 mmcf/d of early FT-R non-renewal notification
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Open Season Impact on Aggregate System
• High FT levels remain, continuing to commercially underpin planned facilities
• The Open Season requests support a delay in Design Flow growth
• Reduced Design Flows result in deferrals of planned facilities
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Facility Update
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Summary of Facility In-Service Date Changes
Proposed Compressor
LEGEND:
Proposed Pipe
Proposed Facility
Approved Applied-for To Be Applied-for
MAP I.D. FACILITY DESCRIPTION
PRE COOS
TARGET IN-
SERVICE DATE
POST COOS
TARGET IN-
SERVICE DATE
1 Groundbirch Mainline Loop (Sunrise) 24km NPS 42 Nov-21 Apr-22
North Corridor Expansion Project
2 NWML Loop No. 2 (Bear Canyon Extension) 25km NPS 36 Apr-22 Apr-23
3 Hidden Lake North CS Unit Addition 30MW Apr-22 Apr-23
4 NCC Loop (North Star 2) 24km NPS 48 Apr-22 Apr-23
5 NCC Loop (Red Earth 3) 32km NPS 48 Apr-22 Apr-23
6 Saddle Hills Unit Addition 30MW Nov-22 Apr-23
7 Groundbirch Mainline Loop (Saturn) 24km NPS 42 Nov-22 Apr-23
8 Emerson Creek C/S 2 x 30MW Apr-23 Apr-24
9 GPML Loop 4 (Valhalla North) 33km NPS 48 Apr-23 Apr-24
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NE (North of Bens) Design Chart
0
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
3,000
3,500
4,000
4,500
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
110
120
130
1-No
v-14
1-No
v-15
1-No
v-16
1-No
v-17
1-No
v-18
1-No
v-19
1-No
v-20
1-No
v-21
1-No
v-22
1-No
v-23
MMcf/d106m3/d
Deliveries Receipts Design Flow (2019) Receipt Design Flow Contract Profile (May 2020)
Buffalo & Goodfish C/S
North Corridor Exp.
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NE (North of Bens) Design Chart Post Open Season
North Corridor Exp.
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PRPA Design Chart Pre-Open Season
Saturn Loop/Saddle CS
Valhalla Loop/Emerson CS
EME Project
Sunrise LoopClearwater CS
2021 NGTL Exp
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PRPA Design Chart Post-Open Season
One Season
One Year
Saturn Loop/Saddle CS
Valhalla Loop/Emerson CS
Sunrise Loop
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Central Design Chart Pre-Open Season
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Central Design Chart Post-Open Season
Deferrals enabled Central Area advancements
resulting in increases to Design Flows
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EGAT Design Chart Pre-Open Season
EME Project
Clearwater CS
2021 NGTL Exp
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EGAT Design Chart Post Open Season
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ABC Design Chart
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ABC Design Chart
No impacts to ABC facilities
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• Until 2024/25 system demand is lower compared to 2019 forecast
• Oil Sands gas demand is lower in the near term
• Electric Generation gas demand is higher in near term
• Industrial gas demand growth is reduced in near term
• Export growth remains strong
• Supply will continue to meet demand
Forecast Summary
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• Results in benefits to the NGTL system and its customers through optimized facility timing, reduced tolls, and by assisting customers in optimizing their transportation requirements
• Incorporating the requests of the Open Season in NGTL’s forecast and design process, NGTL has concluded that all proposed expansion projects continue to be required to meet aggregate system requirements
• However, the required in-service dates for some facilities have been deferred by one season, or one year, to align with the revised system requirements and the accepted requests to delay contract commencement dates.
• The following projects will have revised in-service dates:• Groundbirch Mainline Loop (Sunrise Section)• North Corridor Expansion Project• Saddle Hills Unit Addition• Groundbirch Mainline Loop (Saturn Section)• Emerson Creek Compressor Station• Grande Prairie Mainline Loop 4 (Valhalla North Section)
• For further detail on these projects, please refer to NGTL’s Facility Status Update (Appendix 2) at:
http://www.tccustomerexpress.com/docs/ab_regulatory_facilities/July%202020%20Facility%20Status%20Update_Final.pdf
Summary