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Next Generation Web-Based Planning tools Dave Hawkins [email protected]

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Page 1: Next Generation Web-Based Planning tools Dave Hawkins ...media2.planning.org/APA2012/Presentations/S577_Next...f o r e c a s t i n g t h e i n d i r e c t l a n d u s e e f f e c t

Next Generation Web-Based Planning tools

Dave Hawkins

[email protected]

Page 2: Next Generation Web-Based Planning tools Dave Hawkins ...media2.planning.org/APA2012/Presentations/S577_Next...f o r e c a s t i n g t h e i n d i r e c t l a n d u s e e f f e c t

Quality Speed

Cost

How does a Web-based Planning Framework

Help?

Page 3: Next Generation Web-Based Planning tools Dave Hawkins ...media2.planning.org/APA2012/Presentations/S577_Next...f o r e c a s t i n g t h e i n d i r e c t l a n d u s e e f f e c t

Subject-matter Experts

Strategic Planners

Executives

Stakeholders

Implementation Planners

Managers

Issues Situation

Vision

Strategy Actions

Metrics

Page 4: Next Generation Web-Based Planning tools Dave Hawkins ...media2.planning.org/APA2012/Presentations/S577_Next...f o r e c a s t i n g t h e i n d i r e c t l a n d u s e e f f e c t

Collaboration Tools

Model and Data Mashup

Web-based Planning Framework

Integrated Web-supported Process

GIS & Map data Models & Results Expert Judgment Documents

Page 5: Next Generation Web-Based Planning tools Dave Hawkins ...media2.planning.org/APA2012/Presentations/S577_Next...f o r e c a s t i n g t h e i n d i r e c t l a n d u s e e f f e c t

Collaboration Tools

Model and Data Mashup

Web-based Planning Framework

Engaged Team &

Stakeholders

Relevant Metrics

Comprehend Situation

Clear Vision

Coherent Strategy

Effective Plan Integrated Web-supported Process

GIS & Map data Models & Results Expert Judgment Documents

Page 6: Next Generation Web-Based Planning tools Dave Hawkins ...media2.planning.org/APA2012/Presentations/S577_Next...f o r e c a s t i n g t h e i n d i r e c t l a n d u s e e f f e c t

Subject-matter Experts

Strategic Planners

Executives

Stakeholders

Implementation Planners

Managers

Issues Situation

Vision

Strategy Actions

Metrics

Page 7: Next Generation Web-Based Planning tools Dave Hawkins ...media2.planning.org/APA2012/Presentations/S577_Next...f o r e c a s t i n g t h e i n d i r e c t l a n d u s e e f f e c t

Western Electricity Coordinating Council

• WECC coordinates bulk electric system reliability

• Land area: = ½ Europe

• 14 Western states, BC, AB & part of Mexico

• ~350 member companies & regulators

• Long-range (20 yr) plan

• Generation, transmission, & environmental costs

• Optimal configuration of Western Electricity Grid

Page 8: Next Generation Web-Based Planning tools Dave Hawkins ...media2.planning.org/APA2012/Presentations/S577_Next...f o r e c a s t i n g t h e i n d i r e c t l a n d u s e e f f e c t

Analysis – Generation & Transmission

Page 9: Next Generation Web-Based Planning tools Dave Hawkins ...media2.planning.org/APA2012/Presentations/S577_Next...f o r e c a s t i n g t h e i n d i r e c t l a n d u s e e f f e c t

Transmission Analysis – Candidate Comparisons

Page 10: Next Generation Web-Based Planning tools Dave Hawkins ...media2.planning.org/APA2012/Presentations/S577_Next...f o r e c a s t i n g t h e i n d i r e c t l a n d u s e e f f e c t

Corridor Analysis

Page 11: Next Generation Web-Based Planning tools Dave Hawkins ...media2.planning.org/APA2012/Presentations/S577_Next...f o r e c a s t i n g t h e i n d i r e c t l a n d u s e e f f e c t

Transmission Analysis – Analytical Comparison

Page 12: Next Generation Web-Based Planning tools Dave Hawkins ...media2.planning.org/APA2012/Presentations/S577_Next...f o r e c a s t i n g t h e i n d i r e c t l a n d u s e e f f e c t

Expert Judgment

Page 13: Next Generation Web-Based Planning tools Dave Hawkins ...media2.planning.org/APA2012/Presentations/S577_Next...f o r e c a s t i n g t h e i n d i r e c t l a n d u s e e f f e c t

Subject-matter Experts

Strategic Planners

Executives

Stakeholders

Implementation Planners

Managers

Issues Situation

Vision

Strategy Actions

Metrics

Page 14: Next Generation Web-Based Planning tools Dave Hawkins ...media2.planning.org/APA2012/Presentations/S577_Next...f o r e c a s t i n g t h e i n d i r e c t l a n d u s e e f f e c t

Stakeholders

User 74%

Not 26%

74% of Americans use Internet 1

103% have mobile phones 2

Is this desirable?!

Stakeholders – Who are they?

1 ITU http://www.itu.int/ITU-D/ict/statistics/material/excel/2010/IndividualsUsingInternet_00-10.xls 2 http://www.ctia.org/consumer_info

MobileDevices103%

Participants.05%

Not 99.95%

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Heat Map Network Heat Map Network

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Page 17: Next Generation Web-Based Planning tools Dave Hawkins ...media2.planning.org/APA2012/Presentations/S577_Next...f o r e c a s t i n g t h e i n d i r e c t l a n d u s e e f f e c t

apa.4abyte.com

Page 18: Next Generation Web-Based Planning tools Dave Hawkins ...media2.planning.org/APA2012/Presentations/S577_Next...f o r e c a s t i n g t h e i n d i r e c t l a n d u s e e f f e c t

Quality Speed

Cost

Page 19: Next Generation Web-Based Planning tools Dave Hawkins ...media2.planning.org/APA2012/Presentations/S577_Next...f o r e c a s t i n g t h e i n d i r e c t l a n d u s e e f f e c t

Web Planning Framework

Quality Speed Cost

Full integration: Vision to implementation

Collaborate from anywhere

Use entire framework or choose individual apps

Built-in Stakeholder Engagement & Management tools

Built-in model & data auditing

Page 20: Next Generation Web-Based Planning tools Dave Hawkins ...media2.planning.org/APA2012/Presentations/S577_Next...f o r e c a s t i n g t h e i n d i r e c t l a n d u s e e f f e c t

Next Generation Web-Based Planning tools

Dave Hawkins

[email protected]

Thank You

Page 21: Next Generation Web-Based Planning tools Dave Hawkins ...media2.planning.org/APA2012/Presentations/S577_Next...f o r e c a s t i n g t h e i n d i r e c t l a n d u s e e f f e c t

Next Generation Web-Based Planning tools

[email protected]

Page 22: Next Generation Web-Based Planning tools Dave Hawkins ...media2.planning.org/APA2012/Presentations/S577_Next...f o r e c a s t i n g t h e i n d i r e c t l a n d u s e e f f e c t

Web-Based Planning Tools Doug Walker, Placeways

MATERIALS COURTESY OF

PLACEWAYS LLC

APRIL 2012

APA 2012 National Planning Conference Session S577

Next Generation Web-based Planning Tools

1

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2

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3

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4

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5

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6

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Audience

Audience Size

Public Internal

Complexity

Entertainment

Difficulty

Inputs per user

7

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®

Promoting informed, collaborative decision-making since 2001.

2011 Esri Business Partner Award

CommunityViz is a registered trademark of Placeways LLC 8

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Dynamic Charts Interactive Controls

Multiple Scenarios

Intuitive Interface

Analysis Wizards

ArcGIS Extension

®

Optional Fly-through 3D

Sketch Tools

Desktop

9

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®

WebShots

10

Page 32: Next Generation Web-Based Planning tools Dave Hawkins ...media2.planning.org/APA2012/Presentations/S577_Next...f o r e c a s t i n g t h e i n d i r e c t l a n d u s e e f f e c t

Technology Platforms

Desktop Web/Cloud

• Everything you were already doing

• High power user interface • Single-user applications

• Reaching wider audiences

• Mobile platforms • High power back end

Transferring

• Not yet as easy as we wish • Not necessarily standard

11

Page 33: Next Generation Web-Based Planning tools Dave Hawkins ...media2.planning.org/APA2012/Presentations/S577_Next...f o r e c a s t i n g t h e i n d i r e c t l a n d u s e e f f e c t

WHAT’S HAPPENING NOW

12

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Live, Interactive Maps

13

Page 35: Next Generation Web-Based Planning tools Dave Hawkins ...media2.planning.org/APA2012/Presentations/S577_Next...f o r e c a s t i n g t h e i n d i r e c t l a n d u s e e f f e c t

Updatable Thematic Data

14

Page 36: Next Generation Web-Based Planning tools Dave Hawkins ...media2.planning.org/APA2012/Presentations/S577_Next...f o r e c a s t i n g t h e i n d i r e c t l a n d u s e e f f e c t

Contextual Content

15

Page 37: Next Generation Web-Based Planning tools Dave Hawkins ...media2.planning.org/APA2012/Presentations/S577_Next...f o r e c a s t i n g t h e i n d i r e c t l a n d u s e e f f e c t

Interactive Scenario Creation

16

Page 38: Next Generation Web-Based Planning tools Dave Hawkins ...media2.planning.org/APA2012/Presentations/S577_Next...f o r e c a s t i n g t h e i n d i r e c t l a n d u s e e f f e c t

And Much, Much More

17

Page 39: Next Generation Web-Based Planning tools Dave Hawkins ...media2.planning.org/APA2012/Presentations/S577_Next...f o r e c a s t i n g t h e i n d i r e c t l a n d u s e e f f e c t

Coming Soon

• Ubiquitous applications that work anywhere and transfer effortlessly

• Distributed applications that pull data, models and tools together as needed

• Open data and modeling standards that allow the above

18

Page 40: Next Generation Web-Based Planning tools Dave Hawkins ...media2.planning.org/APA2012/Presentations/S577_Next...f o r e c a s t i n g t h e i n d i r e c t l a n d u s e e f f e c t

How Difficult?

19

RELATIVELY EASY RELATIVELY DIFFICULT

Off-the-shelf features Custom features

Single-platform solutions Multiplatform solutions

Static display Interactive tool

One-time launch Updatable tool

Easy and simple Easy and sophisticated

Page 41: Next Generation Web-Based Planning tools Dave Hawkins ...media2.planning.org/APA2012/Presentations/S577_Next...f o r e c a s t i n g t h e i n d i r e c t l a n d u s e e f f e c t

Is It For You, Yet?

• Great web applications are not as easy as they look

• Web tools don’t do everything

• Customization trades off against ease-of-use

20

• Reach much wider audiences

• Tap into an ecosystem of computing technology (“the cloud”), data, and models

• Keep up with your audience and stakeholders

YES NOT YET

Page 42: Next Generation Web-Based Planning tools Dave Hawkins ...media2.planning.org/APA2012/Presentations/S577_Next...f o r e c a s t i n g t h e i n d i r e c t l a n d u s e e f f e c t

21

Doug Walker, Placeways

doug @ placeways.com

Page 43: Next Generation Web-Based Planning tools Dave Hawkins ...media2.planning.org/APA2012/Presentations/S577_Next...f o r e c a s t i n g t h e i n d i r e c t l a n d u s e e f f e c t

The Next Generation of Web-

Based Planning Tools

Uri Avin FAICP, Parsons Brinckerhoff

Doug Walker, Placeways LLC

Dave Hawkins, Facet Decision Systems

April 15, 2012

F O R E C A S T I N G T H E I N D I R E C T L A N D U S E E F F E C T S O F T R A N S P O R T A T I O N P R O J E C T S

Page 44: Next Generation Web-Based Planning tools Dave Hawkins ...media2.planning.org/APA2012/Presentations/S577_Next...f o r e c a s t i n g t h e i n d i r e c t l a n d u s e e f f e c t

Cautions and Caveats

Emerging concerns with many “ Insta-tools”:

Instant gratification, longer term unease

“Experts” massage output, fingerprints disappear

“Solutions” often infeasible

Tool can overwhelm the process, rather than serve it

Meaningful scenario-building requires more time and

deliberation

Tools often have a built-in bias

Limited palette

Directed outcomes

Inadequate rules of thumb

Page 45: Next Generation Web-Based Planning tools Dave Hawkins ...media2.planning.org/APA2012/Presentations/S577_Next...f o r e c a s t i n g t h e i n d i r e c t l a n d u s e e f f e c t

Narrative and Nuance?

F O R E C A S T I N G T H E I N D I R E C T L A N D U S E E F F E C T S O F T R A N S P O R T A T I O N P R O J E C T S

Web –based tools have high potential to replace face-to-face meetings but come at a cost as tools generally fail to “listen” in an open-ended manner. Their listening is usually scripted and narrow; they exclude personal stories of participants that don’t fit the framework or are not spatial, numeric or visual. How to compensate for this?

Page 46: Next Generation Web-Based Planning tools Dave Hawkins ...media2.planning.org/APA2012/Presentations/S577_Next...f o r e c a s t i n g t h e i n d i r e c t l a n d u s e e f f e c t

Allow for nuanced interaction …

Create prominent blog space for verbal

comments/stories

Analyze these and report back on them

If such feedback is very extensive, use content

analysis programs to “harvest” qualitative

comments

Include “Question marks”; e.g. Does this material

make sense to you?”

Provide simple online tutorials in tool’s use or a

Help line or webinar call-in times to get started

F O R E C A S T I N G T H E I N D I R E C T L A N D U S E E F F E C T S O F T R A N S P O R T A T I O N P R O J E C T S

Page 47: Next Generation Web-Based Planning tools Dave Hawkins ...media2.planning.org/APA2012/Presentations/S577_Next...f o r e c a s t i n g t h e i n d i r e c t l a n d u s e e f f e c t

Fight for the Offline Work!

Tools should never be the entire

process or even the center of the

process; they are just one part of a

Decision SUPPORT System….

F O R E C A S T I N G T H E I N D I R E C T L A N D U S E E F F E C T S O F T R A N S P O R T A T I O N P R O J E C T S

Page 48: Next Generation Web-Based Planning tools Dave Hawkins ...media2.planning.org/APA2012/Presentations/S577_Next...f o r e c a s t i n g t h e i n d i r e c t l a n d u s e e f f e c t

Three Stages of “Coming to Public

Judgment” (Yankelovich)

Consciousness-raising

• Media-driven, information dependent

• Concern and readiness for action

• Confront the need for change

Working through

• Requires active engagement and involvement

• Takes irreducible amount of time…

• …depending on emotional significance to

individual

Resolution

• Cognitive

• Emotional

• Moral

F O R E C A S T I N G T H E I N D I R E C T L A N D U S E E F F E C T S O F T R A N S P O R T A T I O N P R O J E C T S

Page 49: Next Generation Web-Based Planning tools Dave Hawkins ...media2.planning.org/APA2012/Presentations/S577_Next...f o r e c a s t i n g t h e i n d i r e c t l a n d u s e e f f e c t

A Framework for Thinking about

this Brave New World

Set Variable Values

Modify Model Structure & Formuli

Allocate Growth

Specify Outcome Measures

Evaluate Impacts & Options

Select Preferred Direction

Adjust Policies

Typical Components of New Tools/Models

Level of

Involvement

LOW

HIGH

Answer Questions

Provide Information

Request Information

Express Opinion

React to Proposals

Discuss & Debate

Negotiate & Redirect

Recommend

Approve/Veto

Ideally, all levels of

involvement should apply to

all components

Page 50: Next Generation Web-Based Planning tools Dave Hawkins ...media2.planning.org/APA2012/Presentations/S577_Next...f o r e c a s t i n g t h e i n d i r e c t l a n d u s e e f f e c t

Applying the Framework

Set Variable Values

Modify Model Structure & Formuli

Allocate Growth

Specify Outcome Measures

Evaluate Impacts & Options

Select Preferred Direction

Adjust Policies

Typical Components of New Tools/Models

Level of

Involvement

LOW

HIGH

Answer Questions

Provide Information

Request Information

Express Opinion

React to Proposals

Discuss & Debate

Negotiate & Redirect

Recommend

Approve/Veto

Page 51: Next Generation Web-Based Planning tools Dave Hawkins ...media2.planning.org/APA2012/Presentations/S577_Next...f o r e c a s t i n g t h e i n d i r e c t l a n d u s e e f f e c t

The Next Generation of Web-

Based Planning Tools

Uri Avin FAICP, Parsons Brinckerhoff

Doug Walker, Placeways LLC

Dave Hawkins, Facet Decision Systems

April 15, 2012

F O R E C A S T I N G T H E I N D I R E C T L A N D U S E E F F E C T S O F T R A N S P O R T A T I O N P R O J E C T S