new market transformation: a look ahead conference... · 2008. 10. 22. · glass in Æ 2.5 hours Æ...

21
Dimbach, Germany (1.4 MW); With permission from Blitzstrom / Beck Energy New Jersey's Solar Market Transformation: A Look Ahead New Jersey Clean Energy Conference, October 2008

Upload: others

Post on 03-Sep-2020

0 views

Category:

Documents


0 download

TRANSCRIPT

Page 1: New Market Transformation: A Look Ahead Conference... · 2008. 10. 22. · Glass In Æ 2.5 Hours Æ Module Out Semiconductor Deposition Cell Definition Final Assembly & Test • Breakthrough

Dimbach, Germany (1.4 MW); With permission from Blitzstrom / Beck Energy

New Jersey's Solar Market Transformation: A Look AheadNew Jersey Clean Energy Conference, October 2008

Page 2: New Market Transformation: A Look Ahead Conference... · 2008. 10. 22. · Glass In Æ 2.5 Hours Æ Module Out Semiconductor Deposition Cell Definition Final Assembly & Test • Breakthrough

Contents

• First Solar Overview

• First Solar's New Jersey Focus

N J ' S l F• New Jersey's Solar Future

2© First Solar, Inc.Confidential and Propriety

Page 3: New Market Transformation: A Look Ahead Conference... · 2008. 10. 22. · Glass In Æ 2.5 Hours Æ Module Out Semiconductor Deposition Cell Definition Final Assembly & Test • Breakthrough

Forward Looking Statements

This presentation contains forward‐looking statements which are made pursuant to the safe

harbor provisions of Section 21E of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934. The forward‐looking

statements in this presentation do not constitute guarantees of future performance Thosestatements in this presentation do not constitute guarantees of future performance. Those

statements involve a number of factors that could cause actual results to differ materially,

including risks associated with the company's business involving the company's products, their

development and distribution economic and competitive factors and the company's key strategicdevelopment and distribution, economic and competitive factors and the company s key strategic

relationships, and other risks detailed in the company's filings with the Securities and Exchange

Commission. First Solar assumes no obligation to update any forward‐looking information

contained in this presentation or with respect to the announcements described herein.

3© First Solar, Inc.Confidential and Propriety

Page 4: New Market Transformation: A Look Ahead Conference... · 2008. 10. 22. · Glass In Æ 2.5 Hours Æ Module Out Semiconductor Deposition Cell Definition Final Assembly & Test • Breakthrough

First Solar Overview

4© First Solar, Inc. 4© First Solar, Inc.

Page 5: New Market Transformation: A Look Ahead Conference... · 2008. 10. 22. · Glass In Æ 2.5 Hours Æ Module Out Semiconductor Deposition Cell Definition Final Assembly & Test • Breakthrough

First Solar Introduction

Founded in 1999, a market leader in utility‐scale, 

i l d i d i l PV

World’s largest thin film solar module manufacturer,5th largest for all solarcommercial and industrial PV 5 largest for all solar technologies

Reaching >1 Giga Watt (GW) of NASDAQ (FSLR)

g g ( )annual manufacturing capacity by end of 2009 

NASDAQ (FSLR)

World’s lowest cost solar module manufacturer

$1.18/W (Second Quarter 2008)

$

5© First Solar, Inc.Confidential and Propriety

Page 6: New Market Transformation: A Look Ahead Conference... · 2008. 10. 22. · Glass In Æ 2.5 Hours Æ Module Out Semiconductor Deposition Cell Definition Final Assembly & Test • Breakthrough

Module ManufacturingThe First Solar Solution

Glass In  2.5 Hours    Module Out

Semiconductor Deposition

Semiconductor Deposition

CellDefinition

CellDefinition

Final Assembly& Test

Final Assembly& Test

• Breakthrough continuous, integrated  thin‐film process

• 99% reduction in high‐cost semiconductor99% reduction in high cost semiconductor 

• No semiconductor material shortage

• Cost reduction driven by productivity and technology improvements

• Large (2'x4') substrate vs 6" wafers

6© First Solar, Inc.Confidential and Propriety

• Large (2 x4 ) substrate vs. 6 wafers 

Page 7: New Market Transformation: A Look Ahead Conference... · 2008. 10. 22. · Glass In Æ 2.5 Hours Æ Module Out Semiconductor Deposition Cell Definition Final Assembly & Test • Breakthrough

The First Solar SolutionSystem Solutions

• First Solar specializes in largecommerical/industrial and utility‐scalePV systems

• Capabilities includes engineering,procurement and construction

• Monitoring & Maintenance (M&M)Program– Lifetime M&M service

– PV Fixed (M&M) pricing enablesdi bl lpredictable annual expenses

7© First Solar, Inc.Confidential and Propriety

Page 8: New Market Transformation: A Look Ahead Conference... · 2008. 10. 22. · Glass In Æ 2.5 Hours Æ Module Out Semiconductor Deposition Cell Definition Final Assembly & Test • Breakthrough

Proven TechnologyFirst Solar's Validated Performance

• Over 3.4 GW / $6 billion currently contracted through 2012 

• Extensive module testing and validation before• Extensive module testing and validation before commercial production

• Durable and recyclable frameless glass‐glass laminatelaminate

• High energy yield in real operating conditions— Low temperature coefficient (‐0.25%/°C)— Excellent low light response

• Proportional shading tolerance in landscape orientation (perpendicular to cells)

• 25 year module power output warranty

8© First Solar, Inc.Confidential and Propriety

y p p y

• Pre‐financed collection & recycling program 

Page 9: New Market Transformation: A Look Ahead Conference... · 2008. 10. 22. · Glass In Æ 2.5 Hours Æ Module Out Semiconductor Deposition Cell Definition Final Assembly & Test • Breakthrough

Environmental Responsibility

• Life cycle assessment

• Lowest carbon footprint

• Pre‐funded module take backPre funded module take back and recycling program

• Environmentally safeEnvironmentally safe

9© First Solar, Inc.Confidential and Propriety

Page 10: New Market Transformation: A Look Ahead Conference... · 2008. 10. 22. · Glass In Æ 2.5 Hours Æ Module Out Semiconductor Deposition Cell Definition Final Assembly & Test • Breakthrough

The New Jersey Solar Market

10© First Solar, Inc. 10© First Solar, Inc.

Page 11: New Market Transformation: A Look Ahead Conference... · 2008. 10. 22. · Glass In Æ 2.5 Hours Æ Module Out Semiconductor Deposition Cell Definition Final Assembly & Test • Breakthrough

New Jersey's Solar Market Drivers

• RPS commitment: 20% by 2020 with 2.12% (≈ 1700 MW) solar carveout

• Strong political support and progressive regulatory structure

• Competitive SREC market and declining SACP encourages lowest cost p g gimpact to ratepayers

• Market segmentation provides opportunities for all participants ‐residential, commercial and industrial, and utility‐scaleresidential, commercial and industrial, and utility scale

• RPS obligations apply to all load serving entities not just utilities

Many innovative programs on the hori onMany innovative programs on the horizon

• Community net‐metering could promote lower‐cost grid‐supply generation both at the residential and commercial and industrial level 

11© First Solar, Inc.Confidential and Propriety

• Proposed SREC securitization program may foster SREC market stability

Page 12: New Market Transformation: A Look Ahead Conference... · 2008. 10. 22. · Glass In Æ 2.5 Hours Æ Module Out Semiconductor Deposition Cell Definition Final Assembly & Test • Breakthrough

New Jersey Total Solar PV Demand

2000

2500

1500

Wdc

FS Estimate

500

1000

MW

Total Goldman Sachs EstimateIndustry Estimate

0

500

9 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 0

Current Installed Base

12© First Solar, Inc.Confidential and Propriety

2009

2010

2011

2012

2013

2014

2015

2016

2017

2018

2019

2020

Page 13: New Market Transformation: A Look Ahead Conference... · 2008. 10. 22. · Glass In Æ 2.5 Hours Æ Module Out Semiconductor Deposition Cell Definition Final Assembly & Test • Breakthrough

First Solar's New Jersey Focus

13© First Solar, Inc. 13© First Solar, Inc.

Page 14: New Market Transformation: A Look Ahead Conference... · 2008. 10. 22. · Glass In Æ 2.5 Hours Æ Module Out Semiconductor Deposition Cell Definition Final Assembly & Test • Breakthrough

First Solar's New Jersey Focus

• In November 2007, First Solar acquired Turner Renewable Energy

• First Solar's Bridgewater, New Jersey office now has over 70 employees and is expanding rapidly

• Currently vetting New Jersey business models targeting large commercial and industrial and utility‐scale systems

• Facilitated approximately 4 MWdc of 2008 New Jersey projects using First Solar modules

• First Solar can help New Jersey drive down solar costs and expand through:– Lower cost modules

– Larger scale projects

– Technology that performs well in New Jersey's hot summers and low light conditions

14© First Solar, Inc.Confidential and Propriety

Page 15: New Market Transformation: A Look Ahead Conference... · 2008. 10. 22. · Glass In Æ 2.5 Hours Æ Module Out Semiconductor Deposition Cell Definition Final Assembly & Test • Breakthrough

• Assessing Different Product Offerings

First Solar's New Jersey Market Approach

g g

– Turnkey Power Plant: First Solar engineers, procures and constructs PV power plant – utility‐scale – large industrial

– System Sales:  First Solar provides engineering, modules and balance of system y p g g ycomponents

– Monitoring & Maintenance: First Solar monitors and and provides all preventative and unscheduled  maintenance

• Assessing Potential Market Channels 

– Unregulated utility affiliates

– Independent power producers

– Large project developers / integrators

– Regulated utilites 

• Demonstration Projects

15© First Solar, Inc.Confidential and Propriety

– Demonstation projects underway or in devleopment to test and validate each channels to market

Page 16: New Market Transformation: A Look Ahead Conference... · 2008. 10. 22. · Glass In Æ 2.5 Hours Æ Module Out Semiconductor Deposition Cell Definition Final Assembly & Test • Breakthrough

Project Profile – New Jersey

Site: Halls Warehouse, South Plainfield NJ

S t Si 1 6 MWSystem Size: 1.6 MW

Integrator: Vanguard Energy Partners

Developer: enXco

16© First Solar, Inc.Confidential and Propriety

Page 17: New Market Transformation: A Look Ahead Conference... · 2008. 10. 22. · Glass In Æ 2.5 Hours Æ Module Out Semiconductor Deposition Cell Definition Final Assembly & Test • Breakthrough

Representative ProjectsSystem Solutions

Site: Boulder City, NV

System Size: 10 MW (AC)

Completed: 2008 (anticipated)

Site: Blythe, CA

System Size: 7.5 MW (AC) (Option to 21 MW)

Site: Fontana, CA

System Size: 2 MW (AC)

Completed: 2008Completed: 2008 (anticipated)

System Purchaser:

Sempra GenerationCompleted: 2009 (anticipated)

Power Purchaser:

Southern California Edison

Completed: 2008

System Purchaser:

Southern California Edison

17© First Solar, Inc.Confidential and Propriety

Page 18: New Market Transformation: A Look Ahead Conference... · 2008. 10. 22. · Glass In Æ 2.5 Hours Æ Module Out Semiconductor Deposition Cell Definition Final Assembly & Test • Breakthrough

New Jersey's Solar Future

18© First Solar, Inc. 18© First Solar, Inc.

Page 19: New Market Transformation: A Look Ahead Conference... · 2008. 10. 22. · Glass In Æ 2.5 Hours Æ Module Out Semiconductor Deposition Cell Definition Final Assembly & Test • Breakthrough

Challenges for the New Jersey Market

• Utility‐scale generation can help lower the cost of solar in New Jersey, however:– Costs are yet to be proven in New Jersey

– Potential constraints associated with interconnection

– Land use issues 

– Labor costs

• Credit Crisis• Credit Crisis– Projects will be more difficult to finance 

– Capital will be more expensive

The ability of utilities to take ITC may have an influence– The ability of utilities to take ITC may have an influence

• SREC Uncertainty– SREC purchasers and project financiers still unsure of long term SREC value

19© First Solar, Inc.Confidential and Propriety

• Expansion and success of market is dependent on lowering the cost over the long term

Page 20: New Market Transformation: A Look Ahead Conference... · 2008. 10. 22. · Glass In Æ 2.5 Hours Æ Module Out Semiconductor Deposition Cell Definition Final Assembly & Test • Breakthrough

The Outlook for Solar Generation in New Jersey

• New Jersey has a strong framework for solar generation but there is still a gap between what has been targeted and what has been installed

• New Jersey should encourage utility‐scale solar which can help lower costs across all segmentssegments

• Continued development of the solar regulatory framework will drive greater scale and lower cost solar procurement (e.g. increased solar carve‐out under the RPS)

• Solar can emerge as the low cost solution for renewable energy procurement. With a focus g gy pon the distributed, commercial and industrial, and utility‐scale sectors, solar generation provides both a flexible behind‐the‐meter and grid supply solution

• First Solar is committed to working with government, stakeholders, generators and t b i th l t d li bl l l ti t th t t f N J dconsumers to bring  the low cost and reliable solar solution to the state of New Jersey and 

is currently exploring a number of pilot projects to assess how it can best serve the New Jersey market

• New Jersey is well positioned to become the country's leading renewable market and solar

20© First Solar, Inc.Confidential and Propriety

New Jersey is well positioned to become the country s leading renewable market and solar is at the forefront of driving the success of this initiative 

Page 21: New Market Transformation: A Look Ahead Conference... · 2008. 10. 22. · Glass In Æ 2.5 Hours Æ Module Out Semiconductor Deposition Cell Definition Final Assembly & Test • Breakthrough

First Solar Locations

World Headquarters  Tempe, Arizona, USA

E A t d N th l d

Manufacturing Perrysburg, Ohio, USA Frankfurt (Oder), Germany Kulim, Malaysia

N th A i A ti TEurope Amsterdam, Netherlands Business Development

Berlin, Germany EU Government & Public Affairs

North America Austin, Texas System Solutions

Bridgewater, New JerseySystem Solutions

Brussels, Belgium EU Government & Public Affairs

Mainz, GermanySales & Customer Support

New York, New YorkCorporate Development

Madrid, Spain Sales & Customer Support

21© First Solar, Inc.Confidential and Propriety