new market transformation: a look ahead conference... · 2008. 10. 22. · glass in Æ 2.5 hours Æ...
TRANSCRIPT
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Dimbach, Germany (1.4 MW); With permission from Blitzstrom / Beck Energy
New Jersey's Solar Market Transformation: A Look AheadNew Jersey Clean Energy Conference, October 2008
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Contents
• First Solar Overview
• First Solar's New Jersey Focus
N J ' S l F• New Jersey's Solar Future
2© First Solar, Inc.Confidential and Propriety
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Forward Looking Statements
This presentation contains forward‐looking statements which are made pursuant to the safe
harbor provisions of Section 21E of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934. The forward‐looking
statements in this presentation do not constitute guarantees of future performance Thosestatements in this presentation do not constitute guarantees of future performance. Those
statements involve a number of factors that could cause actual results to differ materially,
including risks associated with the company's business involving the company's products, their
development and distribution economic and competitive factors and the company's key strategicdevelopment and distribution, economic and competitive factors and the company s key strategic
relationships, and other risks detailed in the company's filings with the Securities and Exchange
Commission. First Solar assumes no obligation to update any forward‐looking information
contained in this presentation or with respect to the announcements described herein.
3© First Solar, Inc.Confidential and Propriety
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First Solar Overview
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First Solar Introduction
Founded in 1999, a market leader in utility‐scale,
i l d i d i l PV
World’s largest thin film solar module manufacturer,5th largest for all solarcommercial and industrial PV 5 largest for all solar technologies
Reaching >1 Giga Watt (GW) of NASDAQ (FSLR)
g g ( )annual manufacturing capacity by end of 2009
NASDAQ (FSLR)
World’s lowest cost solar module manufacturer
$1.18/W (Second Quarter 2008)
$
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Module ManufacturingThe First Solar Solution
Glass In 2.5 Hours Module Out
Semiconductor Deposition
Semiconductor Deposition
CellDefinition
CellDefinition
Final Assembly& Test
Final Assembly& Test
• Breakthrough continuous, integrated thin‐film process
• 99% reduction in high‐cost semiconductor99% reduction in high cost semiconductor
• No semiconductor material shortage
• Cost reduction driven by productivity and technology improvements
• Large (2'x4') substrate vs 6" wafers
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• Large (2 x4 ) substrate vs. 6 wafers
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The First Solar SolutionSystem Solutions
• First Solar specializes in largecommerical/industrial and utility‐scalePV systems
• Capabilities includes engineering,procurement and construction
• Monitoring & Maintenance (M&M)Program– Lifetime M&M service
– PV Fixed (M&M) pricing enablesdi bl lpredictable annual expenses
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Proven TechnologyFirst Solar's Validated Performance
• Over 3.4 GW / $6 billion currently contracted through 2012
• Extensive module testing and validation before• Extensive module testing and validation before commercial production
• Durable and recyclable frameless glass‐glass laminatelaminate
• High energy yield in real operating conditions— Low temperature coefficient (‐0.25%/°C)— Excellent low light response
• Proportional shading tolerance in landscape orientation (perpendicular to cells)
• 25 year module power output warranty
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y p p y
• Pre‐financed collection & recycling program
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Environmental Responsibility
• Life cycle assessment
• Lowest carbon footprint
• Pre‐funded module take backPre funded module take back and recycling program
• Environmentally safeEnvironmentally safe
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The New Jersey Solar Market
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New Jersey's Solar Market Drivers
• RPS commitment: 20% by 2020 with 2.12% (≈ 1700 MW) solar carveout
• Strong political support and progressive regulatory structure
• Competitive SREC market and declining SACP encourages lowest cost p g gimpact to ratepayers
• Market segmentation provides opportunities for all participants ‐residential, commercial and industrial, and utility‐scaleresidential, commercial and industrial, and utility scale
• RPS obligations apply to all load serving entities not just utilities
Many innovative programs on the hori onMany innovative programs on the horizon
• Community net‐metering could promote lower‐cost grid‐supply generation both at the residential and commercial and industrial level
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• Proposed SREC securitization program may foster SREC market stability
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New Jersey Total Solar PV Demand
2000
2500
1500
Wdc
FS Estimate
500
1000
MW
Total Goldman Sachs EstimateIndustry Estimate
0
500
9 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 0
Current Installed Base
12© First Solar, Inc.Confidential and Propriety
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
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First Solar's New Jersey Focus
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First Solar's New Jersey Focus
• In November 2007, First Solar acquired Turner Renewable Energy
• First Solar's Bridgewater, New Jersey office now has over 70 employees and is expanding rapidly
• Currently vetting New Jersey business models targeting large commercial and industrial and utility‐scale systems
• Facilitated approximately 4 MWdc of 2008 New Jersey projects using First Solar modules
• First Solar can help New Jersey drive down solar costs and expand through:– Lower cost modules
– Larger scale projects
– Technology that performs well in New Jersey's hot summers and low light conditions
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• Assessing Different Product Offerings
First Solar's New Jersey Market Approach
g g
– Turnkey Power Plant: First Solar engineers, procures and constructs PV power plant – utility‐scale – large industrial
– System Sales: First Solar provides engineering, modules and balance of system y p g g ycomponents
– Monitoring & Maintenance: First Solar monitors and and provides all preventative and unscheduled maintenance
• Assessing Potential Market Channels
– Unregulated utility affiliates
– Independent power producers
– Large project developers / integrators
– Regulated utilites
• Demonstration Projects
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– Demonstation projects underway or in devleopment to test and validate each channels to market
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Project Profile – New Jersey
Site: Halls Warehouse, South Plainfield NJ
S t Si 1 6 MWSystem Size: 1.6 MW
Integrator: Vanguard Energy Partners
Developer: enXco
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Representative ProjectsSystem Solutions
Site: Boulder City, NV
System Size: 10 MW (AC)
Completed: 2008 (anticipated)
Site: Blythe, CA
System Size: 7.5 MW (AC) (Option to 21 MW)
Site: Fontana, CA
System Size: 2 MW (AC)
Completed: 2008Completed: 2008 (anticipated)
System Purchaser:
Sempra GenerationCompleted: 2009 (anticipated)
Power Purchaser:
Southern California Edison
Completed: 2008
System Purchaser:
Southern California Edison
17© First Solar, Inc.Confidential and Propriety
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New Jersey's Solar Future
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Challenges for the New Jersey Market
• Utility‐scale generation can help lower the cost of solar in New Jersey, however:– Costs are yet to be proven in New Jersey
– Potential constraints associated with interconnection
– Land use issues
– Labor costs
• Credit Crisis• Credit Crisis– Projects will be more difficult to finance
– Capital will be more expensive
The ability of utilities to take ITC may have an influence– The ability of utilities to take ITC may have an influence
• SREC Uncertainty– SREC purchasers and project financiers still unsure of long term SREC value
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• Expansion and success of market is dependent on lowering the cost over the long term
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The Outlook for Solar Generation in New Jersey
• New Jersey has a strong framework for solar generation but there is still a gap between what has been targeted and what has been installed
• New Jersey should encourage utility‐scale solar which can help lower costs across all segmentssegments
• Continued development of the solar regulatory framework will drive greater scale and lower cost solar procurement (e.g. increased solar carve‐out under the RPS)
• Solar can emerge as the low cost solution for renewable energy procurement. With a focus g gy pon the distributed, commercial and industrial, and utility‐scale sectors, solar generation provides both a flexible behind‐the‐meter and grid supply solution
• First Solar is committed to working with government, stakeholders, generators and t b i th l t d li bl l l ti t th t t f N J dconsumers to bring the low cost and reliable solar solution to the state of New Jersey and
is currently exploring a number of pilot projects to assess how it can best serve the New Jersey market
• New Jersey is well positioned to become the country's leading renewable market and solar
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New Jersey is well positioned to become the country s leading renewable market and solar is at the forefront of driving the success of this initiative
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First Solar Locations
World Headquarters Tempe, Arizona, USA
E A t d N th l d
Manufacturing Perrysburg, Ohio, USA Frankfurt (Oder), Germany Kulim, Malaysia
N th A i A ti TEurope Amsterdam, Netherlands Business Development
Berlin, Germany EU Government & Public Affairs
North America Austin, Texas System Solutions
Bridgewater, New JerseySystem Solutions
Brussels, Belgium EU Government & Public Affairs
Mainz, GermanySales & Customer Support
New York, New YorkCorporate Development
Madrid, Spain Sales & Customer Support
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