new jersey transit fatigue risk report assignments for 27 th october 2002

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New Jersey Transit Fatigue Risk Report Assignments for 27 th October 2002 19 December 2002 44

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New Jersey Transit Fatigue Risk Report Assignments for 27 th October 2002. 19 December 2002. 44. Introduction. CTI conducted an analysis of Conductor and Engineer assignments from the October 27 th bid. The results of the analysis are summarized in this Fatigue Risk Report. - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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Page 1: New Jersey Transit Fatigue Risk   Report Assignments for 27 th  October 2002

New Jersey TransitFatigue Risk

Report

Assignments for 27th October 2002

19 December 2002

44

Page 2: New Jersey Transit Fatigue Risk   Report Assignments for 27 th  October 2002

Introduction

• CTI conducted an analysis of Conductor and Engineer assignments from the October 27th bid. The results of the analysis are summarized in this Fatigue Risk Report.

• This report provides the overall fatigue index for New Jersey Transit conductors and engineers, and the fatigue indices by terminal.

• The purpose of this report is to serve as a benchmark of fatigue indices for assessment of assignments, both between terminals and for comparison to future modeled assignments.

45

Page 3: New Jersey Transit Fatigue Risk   Report Assignments for 27 th  October 2002

Rail System

46

Page 4: New Jersey Transit Fatigue Risk   Report Assignments for 27 th  October 2002

Methodology – Regular Assignments

• To evaluate fatigue levels we used data from 27th October assignments. The information for each assignment was converted into the on-duty time for a week period

• Each assignment was repeated for 4 weeks to demonstrate any cumulative effects

• On-duty, not on-train, time was coded as light blue, on-train duty was coded as dark blue

• Based on the each assignment, we calculated the average fatigue indices.

• The fatigue indices are plotted as a distribution graph which shows the percentage of employees who recorded each fatigue index from 1-100 during the month.

• Low fatigue indices range from 0-30, average fatigue indices range from 31-60 and high fatigue indices from 61 to 100.

• The individual data were combined to analyze the average fatigue levels and the distribution of fatigue indices by job type, terminal and overall.

47

Page 5: New Jersey Transit Fatigue Risk   Report Assignments for 27 th  October 2002

MethodologyParameters Evaluated

• Fatigue Index• Shift Start Time• Shift End Time• Shift Duration• Time Off Between Shifts• Time Off Between Shift Starts• Consecutive Scheduled Days On (Day on is a

day with a shift start)• Consecutive Scheduled Days Off (Day off is

a day without a shift start)• Consecutive Nights Off Between Shift

Blocks (Night Off is defined as an 8-hour period without work between 10 pm and 8 am)

48

Page 6: New Jersey Transit Fatigue Risk   Report Assignments for 27 th  October 2002

Sample Assignment Data - One Person

Activity Data for: ONYE10EN

Time of Day00:0023:0022:0021:0020:0019:0018:0017:0016:0015:0014:0013:0012:0011:0010:0009:0008:0007:0006:0005:0004:0003:0002:0001:0000:00

Dat

e

1/2/2003

1/4/2003

1/6/2003

1/8/2003

1/10/2003

1/12/2003

1/14/2003

1/16/2003

1/18/2003

1/20/2003

1/22/2003

1/24/2003

1/26/2003

1/28/2003

1/8/2003

1/15/2003

1/22/2003

1/29/2003

1/3/2003

1/5/2003

1/7/2003

1/10/2003

1/12/2003

1/14/2003

1/17/2003

1/19/2003

1/21/2003

1/24/2003

1/26/2003

1/28/2003

1/3/2003

1/5/2003

1/10/2003

1/12/2003

1/17/2003

1/19/2003

1/24/2003

1/26/2003

1/7/2003

1/14/2003

1/21/2003

1/28/2003

1/3/2003

1/5/2003

1/10/2003

1/12/2003

1/17/2003

1/19/2003

1/24/2003

1/26/2003

1/3/2003

1/5/2003

1/10/2003

1/12/2003

1/17/2003

1/19/2003

1/24/2003

1/26/2003

1/7/2003

1/14/2003

1/21/2003

1/28/2003

1/2/2003

1/8/2003

1/15/2003

1/22/2003

1/29/2003

1/7/2003

1/14/2003

1/21/2003

1/28/2003

1/3/2003

1/5/2003

1/10/2003

1/12/2003

1/17/2003

1/19/2003

1/24/2003

1/26/2003

1/3/2003

1/5/2003

1/10/2003

1/12/2003

1/17/2003

1/19/2003

1/24/2003

1/26/2003

1/7/2003

1/14/2003

1/21/2003

1/28/2003

1/7/2003

1/14/2003

1/21/2003

1/28/2003

1/3/2003

1/10/2003

1/17/2003

1/24/2003

1/5/2003

1/12/2003

1/19/2003

1/26/2003

1/6/2003

1/13/2003

1/20/2003

1/27/2003

1/4/2003

1/11/2003

1/18/2003

1/25/2003

1/7/2003

1/14/2003

1/21/2003

1/28/2003

1/3/2003

1/10/2003

1/17/2003

1/24/2003

1/4/2003

1/6/2003

1/11/2003

1/13/2003

1/18/2003

1/20/2003

1/25/2003

1/27/2003

1/7/2003

1/14/2003

1/21/2003

1/28/2003

1/2/2003

1/4/2003

1/6/2003

1/9/2003

1/11/2003

1/13/2003

1/16/2003

1/18/2003

1/20/2003

1/23/2003

1/25/2003

1/27/2003

1/2/2003

1/4/2003

1/6/2003

1/9/2003

1/11/2003

1/13/2003

1/16/2003

1/18/2003

1/20/2003

1/23/2003

1/25/2003

1/27/2003

1/2/2003

1/4/2003

1/6/2003

1/9/2003

1/11/2003

1/13/2003

1/16/2003

1/18/2003

1/20/2003

1/23/2003

1/25/2003

1/27/2003

1/8/2003

1/15/2003

1/22/2003

1/29/2003

1/2/2003

1/4/2003

1/6/2003

1/9/2003

1/11/2003

1/13/2003

1/16/2003

1/18/2003

1/20/2003

1/23/2003

1/25/2003

1/27/2003

1/2/2003

1/4/2003

1/6/2003

1/8/2003

1/10/2003

1/12/2003

1/14/2003

1/16/2003

1/18/2003

1/20/2003

1/22/2003

1/24/2003

1/26/2003

1/28/2003

1/7/2003

1/14/2003

1/21/2003

1/28/2003

1/2/2003

1/4/2003

1/6/2003

1/9/2003

1/11/2003

1/13/2003

1/16/2003

1/18/2003

1/20/2003

1/23/2003

1/25/2003

1/27/2003

1/2/2003

1/4/2003

1/9/2003

1/11/2003

1/16/2003

1/18/2003

1/23/2003

1/25/2003

1/6/2003

1/13/2003

1/20/2003

1/27/2003

1/2/2003

1/4/2003

1/9/2003

1/11/2003

1/16/2003

1/18/2003

1/23/2003

1/25/2003

1/2/2003

1/4/2003

1/9/2003

1/11/2003

1/16/2003

1/18/2003

1/23/2003

1/25/2003

1/6/2003

1/13/2003

1/20/2003

1/27/2003

1/7/2003

1/14/2003

1/21/2003

1/28/2003

1/6/2003

1/13/2003

1/20/2003

1/27/2003

1/2/2003

1/4/2003

1/9/2003

1/11/2003

1/16/2003

1/18/2003

1/23/2003

1/25/2003

1/2/2003

1/4/2003

1/9/2003

1/11/2003

1/16/2003

1/18/2003

1/23/2003

1/25/2003

1/6/2003

1/13/2003

1/20/2003

1/27/2003

1/6/2003

1/13/2003

1/20/2003

1/27/2003

1/2/2003

1/9/2003

1/16/2003

1/23/2003

1/4/2003

1/11/2003

1/18/2003

1/25/2003

1/5/2003

1/12/2003

1/19/2003

1/26/2003

1/3/2003

1/10/2003

1/17/2003

1/24/2003

1/6/2003

1/13/2003

1/20/2003

1/27/2003

1/2/2003

1/9/2003

1/16/2003

1/23/2003

1/3/2003

1/5/2003

1/10/2003

1/12/2003

1/17/2003

1/19/2003

1/24/2003

1/26/2003

1/6/2003

1/13/2003

1/20/2003

1/27/2003

1/2/2003

1/4/2003

1/8/2003

1/10/2003

1/12/2003

1/15/2003

1/17/2003

1/19/2003

1/22/2003

1/24/2003

1/26/2003

1/2/2003

1/4/2003

1/8/2003

1/10/2003

1/12/2003

1/15/2003

1/17/2003

1/19/2003

1/22/2003

1/24/2003

1/26/2003

1/2/2003

1/4/2003

1/8/2003

1/10/2003

1/12/2003

1/15/2003

1/17/2003

1/19/2003

1/22/2003

1/24/2003

1/26/2003

1/7/2003

1/14/2003

1/21/2003

1/28/2003

1/2/2003

1/4/2003

1/8/2003

1/10/2003

1/12/2003

1/15/2003

1/17/2003

1/19/2003

1/22/2003

1/24/2003

1/26/2003

• On-duty, not on-train, time was coded as light blue, on-train duty was coded as dark blue

• White is off-duty awake• Black is where the software program has

predicted sleep• Program allows for 90 minutes either side

of work where sleep is not allowed49

Page 7: New Jersey Transit Fatigue Risk   Report Assignments for 27 th  October 2002

Sample Schedule Management Data – One Person

Shift Start Times - Variation: 0.00

Time of Day [hour]0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 12 14 16 18 20 22

Freq

uenc

y

201816141210

86420

Shift End Times

Time of Day [hour]0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 12 14 16 18 20 22

Freq

uenc

y

16141210

86420

Shift Duration

Duration in Hours0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13

Freq

uenc

y

16141210

86420

50

Page 8: New Jersey Transit Fatigue Risk   Report Assignments for 27 th  October 2002

Sample Schedule Management Data – One Person

Time Off between Shifts

Time Off in Hours50403020100

Freq

uenc

y

16141210

86420

Time between Shift Starts

Time in Hours706050403020100

Freq

uenc

y 12

6

0

51

Page 9: New Jersey Transit Fatigue Risk   Report Assignments for 27 th  October 2002

Sample Schedule Management Data – One Person

Consecutive Days On

# of Days0 1 2 3 4 5

Freq

uenc

y

2

1

0

Consecutive Days Off

# of Days0 1 2

Freq

uenc

y

3

2

1

0

Consecutive Nights Off between Shift Blocks

# of Nights0 1 2

Freq

uenc

y

6

5

4

3

2

1

0

52

Page 10: New Jersey Transit Fatigue Risk   Report Assignments for 27 th  October 2002

Alertness Curve and Fatigue Index

• Schedule and sleep pattern combine to produce alertness curve for any given time over month

• Alertness plus other factors combine to produce a fatigue index

• This person has a fatigue index of 81.6 (very high)

53

Page 11: New Jersey Transit Fatigue Risk   Report Assignments for 27 th  October 2002

Methodology – Extra Board Assignments

• To evaluate fatigue levels we used data from Timera system. The information for each person was converted into the on-duty time for the month of November.

• On-duty time was coded dark blue. Information about on-train time was not collected.

• Based on the each assignment, we calculated the average fatigue indices.

• The fatigue indices are plotted as described before

54

Page 12: New Jersey Transit Fatigue Risk   Report Assignments for 27 th  October 2002

Summary of Results Overall

• 290 Conductor Assignments• 260 Engineer Assignments• 112 Extra Board People

55

Page 13: New Jersey Transit Fatigue Risk   Report Assignments for 27 th  October 2002

Regular Assignments

56

Page 14: New Jersey Transit Fatigue Risk   Report Assignments for 27 th  October 2002

Summary of Results Overall – Regular Assignments

• The average fatigue index for conductors was (all terminals) 29.4

• The average fatigue index for engineers was (all terminals) 29.5

• The percentage of conductors and engineers with low fatigue indices (30 or lower) was 65.8%

• The percentage of conductors and engineers with high fatigue indices (60 or higher) was 11.1%

57

Page 15: New Jersey Transit Fatigue Risk   Report Assignments for 27 th  October 2002

Summary of Results: Schedule Management Data –

Regular Assignments• Shift starts: The peak times for shift starts are

between 4am and 7am, and 1pm and 5pm.

• Shift Duration: Most shifts last between 9 and 11 hours, with some lasting 13 hours (presumably in utilizing a split shift arrangement - time during split shifts was counted as on-duty for the purposes of the fatigue assessment.

• Scheduled days on/off: All assignments (excluding Z assignments) are a consecutive block of 5 days with 2 off.

• Scheduled Nights off: A night off is defined as a period of time off between 10pm and 8am the next morning. All assignments had at least 2 consecutive nights off.

58

Page 16: New Jersey Transit Fatigue Risk   Report Assignments for 27 th  October 2002

Distribution of Fatigue Indices for All Engineers

Histogram of Fatigue Indexmean: 29.50 std_dev: 20.65 std_err: 1.28

Fatigue Index1009080706050403020100

Freq

uenc

y in

Per

cent

5

4

3

2

1

0

• Combination of all engineer fatigue indices• Low fatigue is less than 30, medium 30 to 60, and

high over 60• Y axis is percent of engineers who have that fatigue

index

59

Page 17: New Jersey Transit Fatigue Risk   Report Assignments for 27 th  October 2002

Schedule Management Data : All Engineers

Shift Start Times

Time of Day [hour]0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 12 14 16 18 20 22

Freq

uenc

y

900800700600500400300200100

0

Shift End Times

Time of Day [hour]0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 12 14 16 18 20 22

Freq

uenc

y

500

400

300

200

100

0

Shift Duration

Duration in Hours0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14

Freq

uenc

y

1,000

800

600

400

200

0

60

Page 18: New Jersey Transit Fatigue Risk   Report Assignments for 27 th  October 2002

Schedule Management Data : All Engineers

Time Off between Shifts

Time Off in Hours6050403020100

Freq

uenc

y

700600500400300200100

0

Time between Shift Starts

Time in Hours706050403020100

Freq

uenc

y

3,5003,0002,5002,0001,5001,000

5000

61

Page 19: New Jersey Transit Fatigue Risk   Report Assignments for 27 th  October 2002

Schedule Management Data : All Engineers

Consecutive Scheduled Days On

# of Days0 1 2 3 4 5

Freq

uenc

y

600

500

400

300

200

100

0

Consecutive Scheduled Days Off

# of Days0 1 2

Freq

uenc

y

800700600500400300200100

0

Consecutive Nights Off between Shift Blocks

# of Nights0 1 2 3

Freq

uenc

y

450400350300250200150100

500

62

Page 20: New Jersey Transit Fatigue Risk   Report Assignments for 27 th  October 2002

Schedule Management Data : All Engineers

63

Page 21: New Jersey Transit Fatigue Risk   Report Assignments for 27 th  October 2002

Distribution of Fatigue Indices for All Conductors

Histogram of Fatigue Indexmean: 29.41 std_dev: 19.99 std_err: 1.17

Fatigue Index1009080706050403020100

Freq

uenc

y in

Per

cent 5

4

3

2

1

0

64

Page 22: New Jersey Transit Fatigue Risk   Report Assignments for 27 th  October 2002

Schedule Management Data : All Conductors

Shift Start Times

Time of Day [hour]0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 12 14 16 18 20 22

Freq

uenc

y

1,000

800

600

400

200

0

Shift End Times

Time of Day [hour]0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 12 14 16 18 20 22

Freq

uenc

y

600500

400

300

200100

0

Shift Duration

Duration in Hours0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14

Freq

uenc

y

1,200

1,000

800

600

400

200

0

65

Page 23: New Jersey Transit Fatigue Risk   Report Assignments for 27 th  October 2002

Schedule Management Data : All Conductors

Time Off between Shifts

Time Off in Hours6050403020100

Freq

uenc

y

900800700600500400300200100

0

Time between Shift Starts

Time in Hours706050403020100

Freq

uenc

y

4,0003,5003,0002,5002,0001,5001,000

5000

66

Page 24: New Jersey Transit Fatigue Risk   Report Assignments for 27 th  October 2002

Schedule Management Data : All Conductors

Consecutive Scheduled Days On

# of Days0 1 2 3 4 5

Freq

uenc

y

600500400

300200

1000

Consecutive Scheduled Days Off

# of Days0 1 2

Freq

uenc

y

900800700600500400300200100

0

Consecutive Nights Off between Shift Blocks

# of Nights0 1 2 3

Freq

uenc

y

500

400

300

200

100

0

67

Page 25: New Jersey Transit Fatigue Risk   Report Assignments for 27 th  October 2002

Schedule Management Data : All Conductors

68

Page 26: New Jersey Transit Fatigue Risk   Report Assignments for 27 th  October 2002

High Fatigue Index: ONYE10EN

Activity Data for: ONYE10EN

Time of Day00:0023:0022:0021:0020:0019:0018:0017:0016:0015:0014:0013:0012:0011:0010:0009:0008:0007:0006:0005:0004:0003:0002:0001:0000:00

Dat

e

1/2/2003

1/4/2003

1/6/2003

1/8/2003

1/10/2003

1/12/2003

1/14/2003

1/16/2003

1/18/2003

1/20/2003

1/22/2003

1/24/2003

1/26/2003

1/28/2003

1/8/2003

1/15/2003

1/22/2003

1/29/2003

1/3/2003

1/5/2003

1/7/2003

1/10/2003

1/12/2003

1/14/2003

1/17/2003

1/19/2003

1/21/2003

1/24/2003

1/26/2003

1/28/2003

1/3/2003

1/5/2003

1/10/2003

1/12/2003

1/17/2003

1/19/2003

1/24/2003

1/26/2003

1/7/2003

1/14/2003

1/21/2003

1/28/2003

1/3/2003

1/5/2003

1/10/2003

1/12/2003

1/17/2003

1/19/2003

1/24/2003

1/26/2003

1/3/2003

1/5/2003

1/10/2003

1/12/2003

1/17/2003

1/19/2003

1/24/2003

1/26/2003

1/7/2003

1/14/2003

1/21/2003

1/28/2003

1/2/2003

1/8/2003

1/15/2003

1/22/2003

1/29/2003

1/7/2003

1/14/2003

1/21/2003

1/28/2003

1/3/2003

1/5/2003

1/10/2003

1/12/2003

1/17/2003

1/19/2003

1/24/2003

1/26/2003

1/3/2003

1/5/2003

1/10/2003

1/12/2003

1/17/2003

1/19/2003

1/24/2003

1/26/2003

1/7/2003

1/14/2003

1/21/2003

1/28/2003

1/7/2003

1/14/2003

1/21/2003

1/28/2003

1/3/2003

1/10/2003

1/17/2003

1/24/2003

1/5/2003

1/12/2003

1/19/2003

1/26/2003

1/6/2003

1/13/2003

1/20/2003

1/27/2003

1/4/2003

1/11/2003

1/18/2003

1/25/2003

1/7/2003

1/14/2003

1/21/2003

1/28/2003

1/3/2003

1/10/2003

1/17/2003

1/24/2003

1/4/2003

1/6/2003

1/11/2003

1/13/2003

1/18/2003

1/20/2003

1/25/2003

1/27/2003

1/7/2003

1/14/2003

1/21/2003

1/28/2003

1/2/2003

1/4/2003

1/6/2003

1/9/2003

1/11/2003

1/13/2003

1/16/2003

1/18/2003

1/20/2003

1/23/2003

1/25/2003

1/27/2003

1/2/2003

1/4/2003

1/6/2003

1/9/2003

1/11/2003

1/13/2003

1/16/2003

1/18/2003

1/20/2003

1/23/2003

1/25/2003

1/27/2003

1/2/2003

1/4/2003

1/6/2003

1/9/2003

1/11/2003

1/13/2003

1/16/2003

1/18/2003

1/20/2003

1/23/2003

1/25/2003

1/27/2003

1/8/2003

1/15/2003

1/22/2003

1/29/2003

1/2/2003

1/4/2003

1/6/2003

1/9/2003

1/11/2003

1/13/2003

1/16/2003

1/18/2003

1/20/2003

1/23/2003

1/25/2003

1/27/2003

1/2/2003

1/4/2003

1/6/2003

1/8/2003

1/10/2003

1/12/2003

1/14/2003

1/16/2003

1/18/2003

1/20/2003

1/22/2003

1/24/2003

1/26/2003

1/28/2003

1/7/2003

1/14/2003

1/21/2003

1/28/2003

1/2/2003

1/4/2003

1/6/2003

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1/11/2003

1/13/2003

1/16/2003

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1/2/2003

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1/11/2003

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1/27/2003

1/2/2003

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1/9/2003

1/11/2003

1/16/2003

1/18/2003

1/23/2003

1/25/2003

1/2/2003

1/4/2003

1/9/2003

1/11/2003

1/16/2003

1/18/2003

1/23/2003

1/25/2003

1/6/2003

1/13/2003

1/20/2003

1/27/2003

1/7/2003

1/14/2003

1/21/2003

1/28/2003

1/6/2003

1/13/2003

1/20/2003

1/27/2003

1/2/2003

1/4/2003

1/9/2003

1/11/2003

1/16/2003

1/18/2003

1/23/2003

1/25/2003

1/2/2003

1/4/2003

1/9/2003

1/11/2003

1/16/2003

1/18/2003

1/23/2003

1/25/2003

1/6/2003

1/13/2003

1/20/2003

1/27/2003

1/6/2003

1/13/2003

1/20/2003

1/27/2003

1/2/2003

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1/16/2003

1/23/2003

1/4/2003

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1/18/2003

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1/5/2003

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1/19/2003

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1/3/2003

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1/6/2003

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1/27/2003

1/2/2003

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1/3/2003

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1/17/2003

1/19/2003

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1/6/2003

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1/27/2003

1/2/2003

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1/12/2003

1/15/2003

1/17/2003

1/19/2003

1/22/2003

1/24/2003

1/26/2003

1/2/2003

1/4/2003

1/8/2003

1/10/2003

1/12/2003

1/15/2003

1/17/2003

1/19/2003

1/22/2003

1/24/2003

1/26/2003

1/2/2003

1/4/2003

1/8/2003

1/10/2003

1/12/2003

1/15/2003

1/17/2003

1/19/2003

1/22/2003

1/24/2003

1/26/2003

1/7/2003

1/14/2003

1/21/2003

1/28/2003

1/2/2003

1/4/2003

1/8/2003

1/10/2003

1/12/2003

1/15/2003

1/17/2003

1/19/2003

1/22/2003

1/24/2003

1/26/2003

69

Page 27: New Jersey Transit Fatigue Risk   Report Assignments for 27 th  October 2002

Average Fatigue Index by Terminal

Average Fatigue Score by Terminal

0.00

10.00

20.00

30.00

40.00

50.00

60.00

70.00

80.00

90.00

YL YT YN YM PJ YD DO GL AC YH BH LB SV UM TR HB PO SF NY HF GN RA CO

Terminal

Fatig

ue S

core

Combination of Engineers and Conductors

70

Page 28: New Jersey Transit Fatigue Risk   Report Assignments for 27 th  October 2002

High Fatigue Assignments (>60)

Shift Start Times

Time of Day [hour]0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 12 14 16 18 20 22

Freq

uenc

y

250

200

150

100

50

0

Histogram of Fatigue Indexmean: 72.45 std_dev: 7.30 std_err: 0.93

Fatigue Index1009080706050403020100

Freq

uenc

y in

Per

cent

109876543210

71

Page 29: New Jersey Transit Fatigue Risk   Report Assignments for 27 th  October 2002

Medium High Fatigue Indices (45-60)

Histogram of Fatigue Indexmean: 52.58 std_dev: 4.12 std_err: 0.57

Fatigue Index1009080706050403020100

Freq

uenc

y in

Per

cent

201816141210

86420

Shift Start Times

Time of Day [hour]0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 12 14 16 18 20 22

Freq

uenc

y

250

200

150

100

50

0

72

Page 30: New Jersey Transit Fatigue Risk   Report Assignments for 27 th  October 2002

Medium Low Fatigue Indices (30-45)

Histogram of Fatigue Indexmean: 37.77 std_dev: 4.31 std_err: 0.50

Fatigue Index1009080706050403020100

Freq

uenc

y in

Per

cent

201816141210

86420

Shift Start Times

Time of Day [hour]0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 12 14 16 18 20 22

Freq

uenc

y

350300250200150100

500

73

Page 31: New Jersey Transit Fatigue Risk   Report Assignments for 27 th  October 2002

Low Fatigue Indices (<30)

Shift Start Times

Time of Day [hour]0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 12 14 16 18 20 22

Freq

uenc

y

2,0001,8001,6001,4001,2001,000

800600400200

0

Histogram of Fatigue Indexmean: 17.16 std_dev: 7.46 std_err: 0.39

Fatigue Index1009080706050403020100

Freq

uenc

y in

Per

cent

7

6

5

4

3

2

1

0

74

Page 32: New Jersey Transit Fatigue Risk   Report Assignments for 27 th  October 2002

Extra Board

75

Page 33: New Jersey Transit Fatigue Risk   Report Assignments for 27 th  October 2002

Summary of Results Overall – Extra Board

• The average fatigue index for extra board conductors was (all terminals) was 42.7

• The average fatigue index for extra board engineers was (all terminals) was 39.3

• The percentage of conductors and engineers with low fatigue indices (30 or lower) was 33%

• The percentage of conductors and engineers with high fatigue indices (60 or higher) was 19.6%

76

Page 34: New Jersey Transit Fatigue Risk   Report Assignments for 27 th  October 2002

Distribution of Fatigue Indices for All Extra Board Engineers

Histogram of Fatigue Indexmean: 39.34 std_dev: 20.09 std_err: 2.55

Fatigue Index1009080706050403020100

Freq

uenc

y in

Per

cent

109876543210

• Combination of all extra board engineer fatigue indices

• Low fatigue is less than 30, medium 30 to 60, and high over 60

• Y axis is percent of engineers who have that fatigue index

77

Page 35: New Jersey Transit Fatigue Risk   Report Assignments for 27 th  October 2002

Schedule Management Data: All Extra Board Engineers

Shift Start Times

Time of Day [hour]0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 12 14 16 18 20 22

Freq

uenc

y

100

80

60

40

20

0

Shift End Times

Time of Day [hour]0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 12 14 16 18 20 22

Freq

uenc

y

8070605040302010

0

Shift Duration

Duration in Hours0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 12 14 16 18 20

Freq

uenc

y

200

150

100

50

0

78

Page 36: New Jersey Transit Fatigue Risk   Report Assignments for 27 th  October 2002

Schedule Management Data: All Extra Board Engineers

Time Off between Shifts

Time Off in Hours1009080706050403020100

Freq

uenc

y

100

80

60

40

20

0

Time between Shift Starts

Time in Hours1009080706050403020100

Freq

uenc

y

250

200

150

100

50

0

79

Page 37: New Jersey Transit Fatigue Risk   Report Assignments for 27 th  October 2002

Schedule Management Data: All Extra Board Engineers

Consecutive Days On

# of Days0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15

Freq

uenc

y

908070605040302010

0

Consecutive Days Off

# of Days0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9

Freq

uenc

y

100

80

60

40

20

0

Consecutive Nights Off between Shift Blocks

# of Nights0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10

Freq

uenc

y

100908070605040302010

0

80

Page 38: New Jersey Transit Fatigue Risk   Report Assignments for 27 th  October 2002

Distribution of Fatigue Indices for All Extra Board Conductors

Histogram of Fatigue Indexmean: 42.70 std_dev: 22.39 std_err: 3.17

Fatigue Index1009080706050403020100

Freq

uenc

y in

Per

cent

5

4

3

2

1

0

81

Page 39: New Jersey Transit Fatigue Risk   Report Assignments for 27 th  October 2002

Schedule Management Data: All Extra Board Conductors

Shift Start Times

Time of Day [hour]0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 12 14 16 18 20 22

Freq

uenc

y

180160140120100

80604020

0

Shift End Times

Time of Day [hour]0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 12 14 16 18 20 22

Freq

uenc

y

908070605040302010

0

Shift Duration

Duration in Hours0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19

Freq

uenc

y

140120100

80604020

0

82

Page 40: New Jersey Transit Fatigue Risk   Report Assignments for 27 th  October 2002

Schedule Management Data: All Extra Board Conductors

Time Off between Shifts

Time Off in Hours1009080706050403020100

Freq

uenc

y

8070605040302010

0

Time between Shift Starts

Time in Hours1009080706050403020100

Freq

uenc

y 200

150

100

50

0

83

Page 41: New Jersey Transit Fatigue Risk   Report Assignments for 27 th  October 2002

Schedule Management Data: All Extra Board Conductors

Consecutive Days On

# of Days0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16

Freq

uenc

y

353025201510

50

Consecutive Days Off

# of Days0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19

Freq

uenc

y

100

80

60

40

20

0

Consecutive Nights Off between Shift Blocks

# of Nights0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 12 13 15 17 18 20

Freq

uenc

y

8070605040302010

0

84

Page 42: New Jersey Transit Fatigue Risk   Report Assignments for 27 th  October 2002

High Fatigue Indices (>60) Extra Board

Histogram of Fatigue Indexmean: 71.39 std_dev: 6.32 std_err: 1.45

Fatigue Index1009080706050403020100

Freq

uenc

y in

Per

cent

12

10

8

6

4

2

0

Shift Start Times

Time of Day [hour]0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 12 14 16 18 20 22

Freq

uenc

y

50

40

30

20

10

0

85

Page 43: New Jersey Transit Fatigue Risk   Report Assignments for 27 th  October 2002

Fatigue Indices vs. Hours Worked

0102030405060708090

0 20 40 60 80 100

Fatigue Score

Ave

rage

Hou

rs P

er W

eek

Consecutive Nights Off between Shift Blocks

# of Nights0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7

Freq

uenc

y

20

15

10

5

0

86

Page 44: New Jersey Transit Fatigue Risk   Report Assignments for 27 th  October 2002

Prochnow Assignment Data

87

Page 45: New Jersey Transit Fatigue Risk   Report Assignments for 27 th  October 2002

O’Rourke Assignment Data

88

Page 46: New Jersey Transit Fatigue Risk   Report Assignments for 27 th  October 2002

Preliminary Findings

• Fatigue in regular assignment group arises mostly from overnight/early morning schedules.

• Fatigue in extra board likely arises from long work hours, variations in start time, lack of scheduled nights off (sometimes no nights off), and multiple days on.

• More research will determine this

89

Page 47: New Jersey Transit Fatigue Risk   Report Assignments for 27 th  October 2002

Shift Start Time Variation

• Indicates variation of the start times for each shift over the month

• 12 is the worst and represents a constant switching of schedules from night to day, or morning to evening

• 0 is the best – no switching – a constant start time

90

Page 48: New Jersey Transit Fatigue Risk   Report Assignments for 27 th  October 2002

Shift Start Time Variation

Shif t Start Variation

Value0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12

Fre

quen

cy

220

210

200

190

180

170

160

150

140

130

120

110

100

90

80

70

60

50

40

30

20

10

0

Shif t Start Variation

Value0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12

Freq

uenc

y

14

13

12

11

10

9

8

7

6

5

4

3

2

1

0

Regular Assignment Conductors

Extra Board Conductors

91

Page 49: New Jersey Transit Fatigue Risk   Report Assignments for 27 th  October 2002

Shift Start Time Variation

Shif t Start Variation

Value0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12

Freq

uenc

y

14

13

12

11

10

9

8

7

6

5

4

3

2

1

0

Shif t Start Variation

Value0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12

Fre

quen

cy

190

180

170

160

150

140

130

120

110

100

90

80

70

60

50

40

30

20

10

0

Regular Assignment Engineers

Extra Board Engineers

92