ndc implementation – bridging the gap from climate change policy to sector approaches - cop 23

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COP23 Side Event, GIZ Headquarter Bonn Frauke Roeser 13 November 2017 NDC Implementation bridging the gap from climate change policy to sector plans

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Page 1: NDC Implementation – bridging the gap from climate change policy to sector approaches - COP 23

COP23 Side Event, GIZ Headquarter Bonn

Frauke Roeser

13 November 2017

NDC Implementation – bridging the gap from climate change policy to sector plans

Page 2: NDC Implementation – bridging the gap from climate change policy to sector approaches - COP 23

Framing questions

Where do we stand globally on 2°C?

What has been NDC progress to date?

How fit are the sectors to implement the

ambition cycle?

What needs to be happen in the sectors?

13 November 2017 www.newclimate.org 2

Page 3: NDC Implementation – bridging the gap from climate change policy to sector approaches - COP 23

Global assessment

13 November 2017 www.newclimate.org 3

Global emissions and temperature update Wed, 15 Nov, 12:30 press conference at COP23

Source: Climate Action Tracker

Page 4: NDC Implementation – bridging the gap from climate change policy to sector approaches - COP 23

Individual country ratings

13 November 2017 www.newclimate.org 4

Page 5: NDC Implementation – bridging the gap from climate change policy to sector approaches - COP 23

NDC Update Report

Biannual reports ahead of COP and Bonn sessions

Under IKI funded “Ambition toAction” project in cooperation withECN

Focus on mitigation ambition and progress “on the ground”

“Are we making progressdomestically?”

How can this best be supported?

Platform for learning, sharinginsights and discussion

13 November 2017 www.newclimate.org 5

Page 6: NDC Implementation – bridging the gap from climate change policy to sector approaches - COP 23

NDC Survey

Respondents from 52 developingcountries /emerging economies

National level and sector level experts and practitioners

Perceived progress and confidence onseveral NDC related issues

Overall: continued confidence and optimism regarding NDC implementation progress

National level: confident and optimistic

Sector level: more critical and reserved

13 November 2017 www.newclimate.org 6

Page 7: NDC Implementation – bridging the gap from climate change policy to sector approaches - COP 23

Sector alignment of NDCs

National level: 55% believe country ismaking very good/ good progress onaligning sector development plans with NDCs

Sector level experts less confident –majority identify sector alignment as keychallenge

Support

Access to finance thought to be a big challenge in particular at sectoral level (63% compared to 48% at national level )

When international funds are secured for domestic NDC implementation, they do not seem to be effectively tailored to countries’ needs (only 17% say they are)

67% believe that technical support received is not adequate

13 November 2017 www.newclimate.org 7

Page 8: NDC Implementation – bridging the gap from climate change policy to sector approaches - COP 23

NDC and transformation fitness

Existing assessments of NDCs

tend to focus on analysis of

countries’ targets and self-

reported emissions and policy data

No information about the

likelihood that a country or sector

will be able to achieve its targets

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Room for a new complementary

diagnosis to assess ’fitness’ to

achieve NDC targets and/ or sector

decarbonisation

Page 9: NDC Implementation – bridging the gap from climate change policy to sector approaches - COP 23

Conclusions

NDC cycle needs to be sector driven

Confidence on NDC implementation but whatabout the ambition cycle?

There seems to be a misalignment of climatepolicy ambitions and sector planning/ action

Need to achieve sector ownership and policycoherence

Better understanding and evidence regardingimpacts of different pathways needed

13 November 2017 www.newclimate.org 9

Page 10: NDC Implementation – bridging the gap from climate change policy to sector approaches - COP 23

Short-term steps to peak and start the emissions decline

13 November 2017 www.newclimate.org 10

Page 11: NDC Implementation – bridging the gap from climate change policy to sector approaches - COP 23

Thank you for your attention!

Contact details:

Frauke Roeser

M +49 (0)151 68409310

E [email protected]

Page 12: NDC Implementation – bridging the gap from climate change policy to sector approaches - COP 23

NDC compatibility with Paris

13 November 2017 www.newclimate.org 12

Page 13: NDC Implementation – bridging the gap from climate change policy to sector approaches - COP 23

Long-term strategies

Confusion about long-term strategies

35% believe they have already adopted long-term low emission development strategies and/ or included them in policy or national legislation

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Page 14: NDC Implementation – bridging the gap from climate change policy to sector approaches - COP 23

CAT also does analysis on how the gap can be filled

www.climateactiontracker.org

Zero emission vehicles need to take over car

market

Constructing the future: creating a Paris

Agreement-proof building sector

China light duty vehicle emissions

(MtCO2e/year)

Per capita building sector

emissions (tCO2/capita)