NBC News|SurveyMonkey Weekly Election Tracking Poll Embargoed for release Tuesday, June 14, 2016 at 6:00AM The NBC News|SurveyMonkey Weekly Election Tracking Poll tracks voter preferences and attitudes on a weekly basis throughout the 2016 election cycle. Results are released every Tuesday at 6:00AM and are among registered voters.

Results for the week of June 6, 2016 through June 12, 2016 are among a national sample of 10,604 adults aged 18 and over, including 9,355 registered voters (+/- 1.4%), 2,635 registered Republican voters (+/-2.6%) and 3,092 registered Democratic voters (+/-2.4%). Complete error estimates can be found in the methodology section below. TOPLINE RESULTS Which one of the following issues matters MOST to you right now?

Foreign

Policy

The

environment Terrorism Immigration

Health

care

Jobs and the

Economy Education Other

No

answer

6/6—6/12 4 9 12 7 17 37 10 5 1 5/30—6/5 4 8 12 7 17 35 11 5 -

5/23—5/29 4 8 13 7 15 36 10 5 1

5/16 – 5/22 4 8 13 6 16 36 12 5 1

5/9 – 5/15 4 9 12 7 16 35 11 5 1 5/2 – 5/8 4 9 12 7 15 36 12 5 1

4/25-5/1 4 9 14 7 16 33 11 6 1

4/18-4/24 4 9 14 8 15 32 11 6 1

4/11-4/17 4 8 16 7 15 32 11 5 1 4/4—4/10 4 8 17 8 14 31 11 6 1

3/28 – 4/3 5 8 19 7 15 32 10 5 1

3/21 – 3/27 4 8 18 7 13 32 10 5 1 3/14 – 3/20 4 9 12 7 15 36 11 5 1

3/7 – 3/13 4 8 13 8 16 35 10 6 1

2/29 – 3/6 4 9 13 7 16 35 11 5 1

2/22 – 2/28 5 8 14 7 16 34 10 5 1 2/15 – 2/21 5 8 16 7 15 33 10 5 1

2/8 – 2/14 4 8 16 8 14 34 10 5 1

2/1 – 2/7 5 9 15 7 16 32 10 5 -

1/25 – 1/31 5 9 17 8 13 32 10 5 - 1/18 – 1/24 4 8 19 7 15 33 10 5 1

1/11 – 1/17 5 8 21 8 13 29 10 4 1

1/4 – 1/10 5 8 23 8 13 28 8 5 1

12/28-1/3 6 8 23 8 14 27 9 5 1

Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling his job as president? Strongly approve Somewhat approve Somewhat disapprove Strongly disapprove No answer 6/6—6/12 29 22 12 36 1

5/30—6/5 27 24 12 37 1

5/23—5/29 27 23 12 37 - 5/16 – 5/22 27 23 13 36 1

5/9 – 5/15 28 23 13 35 1

5/2—5/8 28 23 12 36 1

4/25—5/1 27 24 13 36 1 4/18-4/24 26 24 13 37 1

4/11-4/17 28 24 12 37 1

4/4—4/10 27 23 13 37 1

3/28 – 4/3 28 24 13 35 1 3/21 – 3/27 27 24 13 35 1

3/14 – 3/20 27 24 13 35 1

3/7 – 3/13 27 23 13 36 1

2/29 – 3/6 27 23 12 37 1 2/22 – 2/28 27 23 12 37 1

2/15 – 2/21 26 22 12 39 -

2/8 – 2/14 26 24 12 38 1 2/1 – 2/7 27 23 12 38 1

1/25 – 1/31 25 22 12 40 1

1/18 – 1/24 26 24 14 36 -

1/11 – 1/17 26 22 12 40 1 1/4 – 1/10 23 22 12 42 1

12/28 – 1/3 23 25 12 40 1

In politics today, do you consider yourself a Republican, Democrat, or Independent?

Republican Democrat Independent No answer 6/6—6/12 28 35 36 1

5/30—6/5 29 35 36 1

5/23—5/29 28 33 37 1

5/16—5/22 29 34 35 1 5/9 – 5/15 28 35 35 1

5/2 - 5/8 32 35 31 2

4/25-5/1 28 36 35 1

4/18-4/24 28 35 36 1 4/11-4/17 29 34 35 1

4/4—4/10 30 34 35 1

3/28 – 4/3 29 35 35 2 3/21 – 3/27 30 33 36 2

3/14 – 3/20 30 36 32 2

3/7 – 3/13 31 35 33 2

2/29 – 3/6 32 36 31 2 2/22 – 2/28 31 35 33 2

2/15 – 2/21 31 35 33 1

2/8 – 2/14 30 35 33 2

2/1 – 2/7 30 35 33 2 1/25 – 1/31 31 34 33 2

1/18 – 1/24 28 34 36 1

1/11 – 1/17 31 34 33 2

1/4 – 1/10 33 32 34 2 12/28 – 1/3 30 34 34 2

As of today, do you lean more to the Republican Party or more to the Democratic Party? [AMONG IND OR DON’T KNOW FOR PARTY]

Republican

Party Democratic

Party Neither No answer

6/6—6/12 33 28 36 3

5/30—6/5 33 26 37 3 5/23—5/29 32 28 37 3

5/16 – 5/22 31 29 37 3

5/9 – 5/15 33 28 36 3

5/2 – 5/8 32 32 35 1 4/25-5/1 32 27 38 3

4/18-4/24 35 27 35 3

4/11-4/17 33 30 34 3

4/4 – 4/10 33 28 35 4 3/28 – 4/3 31 29 38 2

3/21 – 3/27 31 28 37 4

3/14 – 3/20 31 28 39 2

3/7 – 3/13 31 27 41 2 2/29 – 3/6 32 29 36 2

2/22 – 2/28 34 28 36 2

2/15 – 2/21 38 28 33 2 2/8 – 2/14 34 28 35 3

2/1 – 2/7 35 30 33 2

1/25 – 1/31 34 26 37 3

1/18 – 1/24 33 27 39 2 1/11 – 1/17 36 26 37 2

1/4 – 1/10 36 26 36 1

12/28 – 1/3 37 24 37 1

Here are the candidates running in the Democratic presidential primary this year. Which candidate do you now support for the Democratic nomination for president? [AMONG DEM & DEM LEANERS]

Hillary Clinton Martin O’Malley Bernie Sanders Don’t know No answer

6/6—6/12 58 - 36 5 1

5/30—6/5 53 - 40 6 1

5/23—5/29 53 - 42 5 1 5/16 – 5/22 51 - 42 7 -

5/9 - 5/15 54 - 40 5 -

5/2 – 5/8 53 - 41 5 - 4/25-5/1 54 - 40 6 1

4/18-4/24 52 - 42 6 -

4/11-4/17 50 - 43 7 -

4/4—4/10 49 - 43 7 1 3/28 – 4/3 51 - 42 6 1

3/21 – 3/27 49 - 43 8 -

3/14 – 3/20 53 - 41 6 1

3/7 – 3/13 54 - 41 5 - 2/29 – 3/6 55 - 38 7 1

2/22 – 2/28 51 - 41 8 1

2/15 – 2/21 51 - 40 9 1

2/8 – 2/14 50 - 40 9 1 2/1 – 2/7 51 1 39 8 1

1/25 – 1/31 50 2 39 8 1

1/18 – 1/24 51 2 37 9 1 1/11 – 1/17 52 1 36 9 2

1/4 – 1/10 52 2 37 8 1

12/28 – 1/3 53 2 36 8 1 From 12/28-2/14, the question wording was slightly different because of the stage of the race. Previous question wording: If the 2016 Republican/Democratic primary or caucus in your state were being held today, for whom would you vote?

If the 2016 presidential election were being held today among the following candidates, for whom would you vote?

Hillary Clinton,

the Democrat

Donald Trump,

the Republican

No

answer

6/6—6/12 49 42 9 5/30—6/5 48 44 9

5/23—5/29 47 45 8

5/16– 5/22 47 43 9 5/9 – 5/15 48 45 7

5/2 – 5/8 49 44 7

If the 2016 presidential election were being held today among the following candidates, for whom would you vote?

Bernie Sanders, the Democrat

Donald Trump, the Republican No answer

6/6—6/12 52 39 9

5/30—6/5 52 40 7

5/23—5/29 52 40 7

5/16 – 5/22 53 41 6

5/9-5/15 53 41 6

5/5 – 5/8 53 40 7

Who do you think will win the 2016 presidential election?

Hillary Clinton Donald Trump No answer

6/6—6/12 54 40 6

5/30—6/5 49 44 7

5/23—5/29 47 46 7 5/16-5/22 51 42 7

5/9 – 5/15 51 43 6

If the 2016 presidential election were being held today among the following candidates for whom would you vote?

If the 2016 presidential election were being held today among the following candidates for whom would you vote?

Donald

Trump, the

Republican

Hillary

Clinton, the

Democrat

Gary Johnson,

the

Libertarian

Jill Stein, the

Green

Party

No

answer

6/6—6/12 38 42 9 5 6 6/2—6/5 40 39 9 4 8

Donald

Trump, the

Republican

Hillary

Clinton, the

Democrat

Another candidate

(please

specify)

No

answer 6/6—6/12 39 38 20 2

6/2—6/5 39 36 22 2

If you had to choose between these two candidates, who would you lean toward supporting? [AMONG THOSE WHO DON’T SUPPORT CLINTON OR TRUMP]

And what are the chances that you will vote for the candidate you just selected for President? [AMONG THOSE WHO CHOSE A CANDIDATE]

Which of the following would you like to see Bernie Sanders do about his campaign for President? [AMONG DEM AND DEM

LEANERS]

Do you have a favorable or unfavorable impression of Donald Trump?

Strongly

favorable

Somewhat

favorable

Somewhat

unfavorable

Strongly

unfavorable

No

answer 6/6—6/12 15 22 12 49 2

5/9 – 5/15 14 23 13 49 1

Do you have a favorable or unfavorable impression of Paul Ryan?

Strongly

favorable

Somewhat

favorable

Somewhat

unfavorable

Strongly

unfavorable

No

answer 6/6—6/12 10 34 30 22 4

5/9 – 5/15 9 33 33 21 3

Thinking about Donald Trump’s agenda, which comes closer to your opinion?

Trump wants to accomplish the

same things as most Republicans

in Congress

Trump wants to accomplish very

different things than most

Republicans in Congress No answer

6/6—6/12 28 67 5

Donald

Trump, the

Republican

Hillary

Clinton, the

Democrat

No

answer 6/6—6/12 40 44 16

6/2—6/5 43 40 17

Absolutely

certain I will vote for the

candidate

Large

chance I’ll vote for the

candidate

50-50

chance I’ll

vote for the

candidate

Small

chance I’ll

vote for the

candidate

No

answer

6/6—6/12 54 25 13 7 1

6/2—6/5 53 27 12 6 2

Stay in the race

through the

Democratic

convention in July

Drop out

of the race now

No answer

6/6—6/12 52 46 2

METHODOLOGY The NBC News|SurveyMonkey Weekly Election Tracking data for the week of June 6, 2016 through June 12, 2016 was conducted online among a

national sample of 10,604 adults aged 18 and over, including 9,355 who say they are registered to vote. Respondents for this survey were selected

from the nearly three million people who take surveys on the SurveyMonkey platform each day. Data for this week has been weighted for age,

race, sex, education, region, and voter registration status using the Census Bureau and Bureau of Labor Statistic’s Current Population Survey to

reflect the demographic composition of the United States.

Because the sample is based on those who initially self-selected for participation rather than a probability sample, no estimates of sampling error

can be calculated. All surveys may be subject to multiple sources of error, including, but not limited to sampling error, coverage error, and measurement error.

To assess the variability in the estimates and account for design effects, we create a bootstrap confidence interval to produce an error estimate.

The bootstrap confidence interval for this survey is plus or minus 1.3 percentage point for the full sample and plus or minus 1.4 percentage point for registered voters.

To calculate the bootstrap confidence interval we use the weighted data to generate 5000 independent samples and calculate the 95% confidence

intervals for the weighted average. When analyzing the survey results and their accuracy, this error estimate should be taken into consideration in much the same way that analysis of probability polls takes into account the margin of sampling error.

Group Unweighted N Plus or minus

Total sample 10,604 1.3 Total RVs 9,355 1.4

Republican RVs 2,635 2.6

Democrat RVs 3,092 2.4

Very conservative 1,001 4.4

Conservative 2,560 2.7 Moderate 4,116 2.1

Liberal 1,779 3.2

Very liberal 808 4.8

Male 5,143 1.8 Female 5,461 1.8

18-24 706 4.8

25-34 1,212 3.8

35-44 1,535 3.3 45-54 2,271 2.8

55-64 2,616 2.6 65+ 2,264 2.7

White 8,047 1.5 Black 804 4.6

Hispanic 859 4.5 Other 894 4.5

Income: <$50k 2,564 2.5 Income: $50k-$99k 3,478 2.2

Income: $100k or more 3,886 2.1

Education: HS or less 1,251 3.0

Education: Some college 2,943 1.9 Education: College or more 6,410 1.3

Clinton voters 2,855 2.4

Sanders voters 1,596 3.4