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INDONESIA : NATIONAL ICT TRENDS IN THE NEXT 5-10 YEARS By Dr. Setyanto P. Santosa. Chairman, MASTEL Telephone Office, Semarang, Central Java, 1925

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Page 1: NATIONAL ICT TRENDS IN THE NEXT 5-10 YEARS - cisco.com · FTTB/FTTH access migration requires huge investments. Hybrid architecture as intermediate step towards the final target

INDONESIA : NATIONAL ICT TRENDS IN THE NEXT 5-10 YEARS

By Dr. Setyanto P. Santosa. Chairman, MASTEL

Telephone Office, Semarang, Central Java, 1925

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CASE : INDONESIA

The phenomenon of Indonesia’s economy:

Increasing of Income per Capita : USD 5000 by end of 2014(Spending Power)

Number of Cell-phone more than the Population and 40 % having access to Social Media (Social Network Capacity)

New Indication of free-mium in the business (Competition Power)

The coming of C-Generation (Connected-Communicating-Content centric-Computerized-Community oriented-Clicking), It is very dynamic to Change

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PROFILE OF INDONESIA’S ICT

Indonesia Population: ±250 Million

Television coverage : ± 190 Million

Internet user: ± 75 million (30.6 %)

Handphone : ± 255 million (104 % )

Effective SIM Card : 60% (153 million -62 %)

PayTV : ± 4 million

Facebook : ± 75 million

Twitter : ± 35 million

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INDONESIA : Networked Readiness Index - 2014

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INDONESIA POSITION IN ASEAN REGION

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FOUNDATION

MAIN PILAR

OBJECTIVE INDONESIA BROADBAND

VISION INDONESIA BROADBAND

VISION INDONESIA 2025

IBP FRAMEWORK DESIGN

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INFRA-STRUCTURE &

SECURITY

ADOPTION & CREATIVE

UTILIZATION

REGULATION & LEGISLATION

FUNDING

FOUNDATION & PRE-REQUISITE OF NATIONAL BROADBAND DEVELOPMENT

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2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 BUILD NATIONAL BROADBAND ECOSYSTEM

BUILD NATIONAL BROADBAND INFRASTUCTURE

INCREASE NATIONAL BRADBAND ACCESS AVAILABILITY

REDUCE DEPENDENCY INTERNATIONAL LINK

ACCELERATE CONTENT DEVELOPMENT

INFRASTRUCTURE : POLICY & STRATEGY

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ICT DEVELOPMENT TARGET

2014

Infrastructure Fixed Broadband :

15% Household (1Mbps) dan 5% population;

Mobile Broadband : 12% population (512 kbps)

Infrastructure Urban : Fixed Broadband Access:

71% Household (20Mbps) dan 30% population; Mobile Broadband :

100% populasi (1 Mbps)

2019

Utilization: Pricing : less than 5% monthly average income

Priority : e-Gov; e-Education; e- Health; e-Logistic, e-Procurement

Infrastructure Rural : Fixed Broadband Access :

49% Household (10Mbps) & 6% population; Mobile Broadband Access: 52% populastion (1 Mbps)

Users : Indonesia Society

Captive market: 4,5 million Civil Servant ; 50 Million Students; 3 million instructors; 60 million households

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MILESTONE

• Broadband Penetration

> 50% House Hold

atau 35-M Broadband

Homepass • Quality True

Broadband up to 100 Mbps

• Convergence Services & Solution for Indonesian

Lifestyle (Indonesia Digital Society)

• Broadband

Penetration 30% Household 20 -M Broadband homepass

MP3EI 2012 - 2015 National Broadband Network (NBN) in 2015 would cover 30% of household or 20 M homepass

• Income per Capita USD 14,250 – USD 15,500 (raise >3 X compare to 2014) • GDP approx USD 4,0-5,0 Triliun • NBN covers 60% of house hold or 42 M Homepass

2015

2025

Source : Telkom Indonesia

• Broadband Penetration 40% House Hold or

25-M Broadband

Homepass • Quality True

Broadband up to 100 Mbps

2018

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Transformation in the Access: Wire-line

BackBone

Metro

Access

Business

Residential

COPOP

FTTE

Fibre Loop

Copper Loop

BackBone

Metro

Access

COPOP

FTTH

Metro

Access

BackBone CO

POP

Cabinet

FTTH

FTTE

FTTCab

FTTB

Acces Transformation

TELKOM ultimate goal is full fiber access

FTTB/FTTH access migration requires

huge investments.

Hybrid architecture as intermediate step

towards the final target.

Trade-in/trade-off of primary copper

access will drastically expedite the

access transformation

Target 2015 • FTTE (end-to-end Copper) 10%

• FTTC (MSAN, GPON+VDSL) 75%

• FTTB/H (GPON) 15%

201x

Capability 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 sd 1 Mbps 19% 15% 11% 7% 3% 2% 1 - 4 Mbps 60% 53% 42% 29% 19% 8% 20 Mbps 21% 31% 43% 56% 68% 75%

100 Mbps 0% 1% 4% 7% 11% 15%

TRUE BROADBAND

21% 32% 47% 64% 80% 90%

True Broadband : 20 – 100 Mbps 10

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National Connectivity

Source: MP3EI

Master Plan for Indonesian

Economic Development

Acceleration is aimed to

improve welfare, healthcare and

education

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MEANINGFULL BROADBAND

The more usable and affordable is the system the more it becomes possible to activate the potential of the technology to empower users”.

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THE ICT MODEL

Users Services

Application

retailer ads

Media

Univ

Smart Grid

Cloud E-Indo

Appl Dev

ECOSYSTEM

Connectivity

Data Centre

Analytics OSS/BSS Apps

Ecosystem: Networks, Devices, Services & Apps, Human Capital & Innovations

Network - Data Centre: Data Centre, Data Warehouses, Disaster Recovery

Network - Connectivity: Access, Backhaul & Aggregation, Backbone, Edge

Network - Intelligence: Analytics, Apps (KMS), OSS & BSS

Organisation

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ASEAN ICT Vision and Strategic Thrusts

“Towards an Empowering and Transformational ICT: Creating an Inclusive, Vibrant and Integrated ASEAN”

Economic Transformation People Empowerment & Engagement Innovation

Infrastructure Development

Human Capital Development

To promote trade, investment and entrepreneurship in the ICT sector To build an ICT engine for sector transformation

To enhance quality of life through affordable and equitable ICT

To nurture a creative, innovative, and green ICT sector

To build the infrastructure backbone, and enabling policies and legislation

To develop a skillful ICT workforce and knowledgeable community

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Bridging the Digital Divide

To elevate countries and people through ICT capabilities 6

Selected Sectors Impacted: Transportation Agricultural Manufacturing

Selected Sectors Impacted: Healthcare Education Media & Entertainment

Financial Services

SME

Selected Sectors Impacted: ICT New Media Content

Research & Development

Financial Services

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CHARACTERISTIC INDONESIAN CONSUMERS

Very Creative (is not in making something sophisticated BUT make more Useful

Very Consumptive, generous spending

Very Communal (like to communicate , heartwarming, smile, doing something together)

Status Oriented

CONCERNS Availability Affordability Quality Useful

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TERIMA KASIH

[email protected]