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WEEKLY DISASTER UPDATE 22 28 October 2018 © 2017 AHA Centre. All rights reserved. You are receiving this email because you are registered in our distribution list. Our mailing address is: AHA Centre, GRAHA BNPB 13 th Floor, Jl. Raya Pramuka Kav. 38, Jakarta 13120 Indonesia DATA SOURCE Detailed information of each disaster and emergency situation are available at: http://adinet.ahacentre.org/reports AHA Centre - Disaster Monitoring & Response System (DMRS); Pacific Disaster Center (PDC Global); ASEAN Specialized Meteorological Center (ASMC); Indonesia: BNPB, BPBDs of affected municipalities, BMKG, BPS, PVMBG-ESDM; Malaysia: NADMA, MetMalaysia; Philippines: NDRRMC, DSWD, PAGASA, PHIVOLCS; Viet NamL NCHMF, VDMA Various news agencies DISCLAIMER The AHA Centre was established in November 2011 by the Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN) Member States to facilitate cooperation and coordination among Member States, relevant agencies of the United Nations and international organisations in disaster management and humanitarian assistance. This update consists of significant natural disaster events that occur in ASEAN Member States, including Brunei Darussalam, Cambodia, Indonesia, Lao PDR, Malaysia, Myanmar, Philippines, Singapore, Thailand and Viet Nam. The disasters recorded include Drought, Flood, Earthquake, Tsunami, Volcano, Wind, Landslide and Storm. The use of boundaries, geographic names, related information and potential considerations for response are for reference, not warranted to be error free or implying official endorsement from ASEAN Member States. REGIONAL TALLY # Affected population: 2,405,708* *AHA Centre’s estimation based on total number of deaths, injuries and IDPs reported/confirmed by National Disaster Management Offices (NDMOs) of each ASEAN Member State and other verified sources. # Affected families: 69,945* 10 K - 100 K people affected More than 100K people affected 1K - 10K people affected 100 - 1K people affected S/N Date Country, Disaster Log and Key Updates 1 28 Sept - ongoing Indonesia, Central Sulawesi Earthquake updates http://adinet.ahacentre.org/reports/view/1327 2 9-11 Oct 2018 Indonesia, Floods and Landslides in North Sumatra Prov. http://adinet.ahacentre.org/reports/view/1326 3 17 Oct 2018 Indonesia, Flash flood in Riau Province http://adinet.ahacentre.org/reports/view/1330 Regional Summary of Week 43, and Outlook for Week 44 1. In Week 43, the reported disasters were just a continuation of the situation from the previous weeks. Currently during the transition of the 2. AHA Centre had ended the emergency response but is currently supporting BNPB on the recovery plans and miscellaneous operations. For details on the previous updates please visit: https://ahacentre.org/indonesia-central-sulawesi-m-7-4-earthquake-and-tsunami- updates/ . 3. Typhoon Yutu (Rosita) is expected to make landfall later in the early morning of 30 October 2018. The areas which are likely to be affected were roughly similar to the Super-typhoon Mangkhut. PAGASA-DOST reported that the storm maintains it threat as it moves closer. 4. Hourly tracking update of the storm is available here . 5. Moderate to heavy rains directly associated with the Typhoon is expected over Northern and Central Luzon starting tonight (29 Oct) Residents in these areas, especially those living near river channels, in low-lying areas and mountainous areas, are advised to take appropriate actions against possible flooding and landslides, coordinate with the local disaster risk reduction and management offices. 6. Storm surge of up to 3 meters is possible over the coastal areas of Isabela, Cagayan, Aurora, Ilocos Sur, Ilocos Norte and La Union. 7. Impact estimates by Pacific Disaster Center (PDC) stand at 6.68 million potentially impacted by the winds, with 2.4 million potentially exposed to the wind impacts. 8. In Week 42, VONA was for Mt Dukono was revised on 19 Oct due to increase activities ( BG- PVMBG ). BG-PVMBG recorded 9 occurrences of landslides over the past week with most happening in Java. Nine (9) earthquakes of varying intensity (between M2.6 and M5.4) were recorded on 28 October in Sarangani (Davao Occidental) but no damages were recorded thus far. There is no change in status of volcanoes in Philippines ( PHIVOLCS ). 9. ASEAN Specialised Meteorological Centre (ASMC ) reported on the onset of inter-monsoon conditions in mid-October with the southern ASEAN region, including Sumatra and Kalimantan experiencing increase in shower activities. More rainy weather can be expected over the region with a gradual transition to the Northeast Monsoon season in the coming weeks. Hotspot activities in the southern ASEAN region are expected to remain generally subdued. While isolated hotspots may still emerge during brief periods of dry weather, these hotspots are likely to be localised and short-lived. 10.AHA Centre will be monitoring the progress of Typhoon Yutu (Rosita) and will provide further updates when available. # Displaced population: 206,791* Week 43 3 2 1 Yutu (Rosita)

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WEEKLY DISASTER UPDATE22 – 28 October 2018

© 2017 AHA Centre.

All rights reserved.

You are receiving this email

because you are registered

in our distribution list.

Our mailing address is:

AHA Centre,

GRAHA BNPB 13th Floor,

Jl. Raya Pramuka Kav. 38,

Jakarta 13120 Indonesia

DATA SOURCE

Detailed information of each disaster and emergency situation are available at: http://adinet.ahacentre.org/reports

AHA Centre - Disaster Monitoring & Response System (DMRS); Pacific Disaster Center (PDC Global);

ASEAN Specialized Meteorological Center (ASMC); Indonesia: BNPB, BPBDs of affected municipalities, BMKG,

BPS, PVMBG-ESDM; Malaysia: NADMA, MetMalaysia;

Philippines: NDRRMC, DSWD, PAGASA, PHIVOLCS; Viet NamL NCHMF, VDMA

Various news agencies

DISCLAIMER

The AHA Centre was established in November 2011 by the Association of Southeast

Asian Nations (ASEAN) Member States to facilitate cooperation and coordination

among Member States, relevant agencies of the United Nations and international

organisations in disaster management and humanitarian assistance.

This update consists of significant natural disaster events that occur in ASEAN Member

States, including Brunei Darussalam, Cambodia, Indonesia, Lao PDR, Malaysia,

Myanmar, Philippines, Singapore, Thailand and Viet Nam. The disasters recorded

include Drought, Flood, Earthquake, Tsunami, Volcano, Wind, Landslide and Storm.

The use of boundaries, geographic names, related information and potential

considerations for response are for reference, not warranted to be error free or implying

official endorsement from ASEAN Member States.

REGIONAL TALLY# Affected population:

2,405,708**AHA Centre’s estimation based on total number of deaths, injuries and IDPs

reported/confirmed by National Disaster Management Offices (NDMOs) of each ASEAN Member State and other verified sources.

# Affected families:

69,945*

AHACENTREASEAN Coordinating Centre

for Humanitarian Assistance

on disaster management

Jakarta

Naypyitaw

Hanoi

Vientiane

Bangkok

Bandar Seri Begawan

Kuala Lumpur

Phnom Penh

Manila

MALAYSIA

PHILIPPINES

CAMBODIA

SINGAPORE

THAILAND

VIET NAM

LAO PDRMYANMAR

INDONESIA

BRUNEI DARUSSALAM

REGIONAL SUMMARY

AffectedPeople

DisplacedPeople

0 - 1K people affected 1K - 10K people affected 10 K - 100 K people affected More than 100K people affected

AHACENTREASEAN Coordinating Centre

for Humanitarian Assistance

on disaster management

Jakarta

Naypyitaw

Hanoi

Vientiane

Bangkok

Bandar Seri Begawan

Kuala Lumpur

Phnom Penh

Manila

MALAYSIA

PHILIPPINES

CAMBODIA

SINGAPORE

THAILAND

VIET NAM

LAO PDRMYANMAR

INDONESIA

BRUNEI DARUSSALAM

REGIONAL SUMMARY

AffectedPeople

DisplacedPeople

0 - 1K people affected 1K - 10K people affected 10 K - 100 K people affected More than 100K people affected

AHACENTREASEAN Coordinating Centre

for Humanitarian Assistance

on disaster management

Jakarta

Naypyitaw

Hanoi

Vientiane

Bangkok

Bandar Seri Begawan

Kuala Lumpur

Phnom Penh

Manila

MALAYSIA

PHILIPPINES

CAMBODIA

SINGAPORE

THAILAND

VIET NAM

LAO PDRMYANMAR

INDONESIA

BRUNEI DARUSSALAM

REGIONAL SUMMARY

AffectedPeople

DisplacedPeople

0 - 1K people affected 1K - 10K people affected 10 K - 100 K people affected More than 100K people affected

100 - 1K people affected

AHACENTREASEAN Coordinating Centre

for Humanitarian Assistance

on disaster management

Jakarta

Naypyitaw

Hanoi

Vientiane

Bangkok

Bandar Seri Begawan

Kuala Lumpur

Phnom Penh

Manila

MALAYSIA

PHILIPPINES

CAMBODIA

SINGAPORE

THAILAND

VIET NAM

LAO PDRMYANMAR

INDONESIA

BRUNEI DARUSSALAM

REGIONAL SUMMARY

AffectedPeople

DisplacedPeople

0 - 1K people affected 1K - 10K people affected 10 K - 100 K people affected More than 100K people affectedS/N Date Country, Disaster Log and Key Updates

1 28 Sept - ongoing Indonesia, Central Sulawesi Earthquake updateshttp://adinet.ahacentre.org/reports/view/1327

2 9-11 Oct 2018 Indonesia, Floods and Landslides in North Sumatra Prov.http://adinet.ahacentre.org/reports/view/1326

3 17 Oct 2018 Indonesia, Flash flood in Riau Province http://adinet.ahacentre.org/reports/view/1330

Regional Summary of Week 43, and Outlook for Week 44

1. In Week 43, the reported disasters were just a continuation of the situation from the previous

weeks. Currently during the transition of the

2. AHA Centre had ended the emergency response but is currently supporting BNPB on the

recovery plans and miscellaneous operations. For details on the previous updates please

visit: https://ahacentre.org/indonesia-central-sulawesi-m-7-4-earthquake-and-tsunami-

updates/.

3. Typhoon Yutu (Rosita) is expected to make landfall later in the early morning of 30 October

2018. The areas which are likely to be affected were roughly similar to the Super-typhoon

Mangkhut. PAGASA-DOST reported that the storm maintains it threat as it moves closer.

4. Hourly tracking update of the storm is available here.

5. Moderate to heavy rains directly associated with the Typhoon is expected over Northern and

Central Luzon starting tonight (29 Oct) Residents in these areas, especially those living near

river channels, in low-lying areas and mountainous areas, are advised to take appropriate

actions against possible flooding and landslides, coordinate with the local disaster risk

reduction and management offices.

6. Storm surge of up to 3 meters is possible over the coastal areas of Isabela, Cagayan, Aurora,

Ilocos Sur, Ilocos Norte and La Union.

7. Impact estimates by Pacific Disaster Center (PDC) stand at 6.68 million potentially

impacted by the winds, with 2.4 million potentially exposed to the wind impacts.

8. In Week 42, VONA was for Mt Dukono was revised on 19 Oct due to increase activities (BG-

PVMBG). BG-PVMBG recorded 9 occurrences of landslides over the past week with most

happening in Java. Nine (9) earthquakes of varying intensity (between M2.6 and M5.4) were

recorded on 28 October in Sarangani (Davao Occidental) but no damages were recorded thus

far. There is no change in status of volcanoes in Philippines (PHIVOLCS).

9. ASEAN Specialised Meteorological Centre (ASMC) reported on the onset of inter-monsoon

conditions in mid-October with the southern ASEAN region, including Sumatra and

Kalimantan experiencing increase in shower activities. More rainy weather can be expected

over the region with a gradual transition to the Northeast Monsoon season in the coming

weeks. Hotspot activities in the southern ASEAN region are expected to remain generally

subdued. While isolated hotspots may still emerge during brief periods of dry weather, these

hotspots are likely to be localised and short-lived.

10.AHA Centre will be monitoring the progress of Typhoon Yutu (Rosita) and will provide further

updates when available.

# Displaced population:

206,791*

Week

43

3

2

1

Yutu (Rosita)

Typhoon Yutu – Wind Exposure and Anticipated Impacts to Lifelines

Philippines (Advisory 30 – 28 October 2018 2100UTC)

Anticipated Impacts to Lifelines*

Communications Power Transportation

*Anticipated impacts are experimental and should be used For Planning Purposes Only. Severity of damage will vary throughout the impacted area. Anticipated Impacts are based on Advisory 30.© 2015-2018 Pacific Disaster Center (PDC) – All rights reserved. Commercial use is permitted only with explicit approval of PDC │ https://emops.pdc.org │ [email protected] │ Data: PDC, JTWC, Kinetic Analysis Corporation (TAOS Model).

Estimated Wind Impacts

Philippines

Estimated Total Population Impacted by Wind (Trees Down or greater levelsof wind impacts)

6,608,636

0600UTCMON29 OCT

2100UTCSUN28 OCT

Estimated RainfallEstimated Rainfall

1-3”

3-6”

6-9”

9-12”

12-24”

Estimated TotalHouseholds Impacted by Wind(Trees Down or greater levels of wind impacts)

1,617,256

1800UTCMON29 OCT

0600UTCTUES30 OCT

Severe

1800UTCTUES30 OCT

Severe Severe

Age 15-6464%

Age 0-1431%

Age 65+5%

2.4 millionTotal Population Exposed

Total Households Exposed

450,000

0% 500% 1000%1500%

Hospital

School

Industrial

Service Sector

Residential

$790 millionTotal Capital Exposure

Typhoon Yutu - Exposure Based on Estimated Wind Impacts (Philippines)

Advisory 30, 28OCT18 2100UTC

© 2015-2018 Pacific Disaster Center (PDC) – All rights reserved. Commercial use is permitted only with explicit approval of PDC. │ https://emops.pdc.org │ [email protected] │ Data: DisasterAWARE™, JTWC, Kinetic (TAOS)

Capital exposure Widespread Damage and above estimated using PDC’s All-Hazard Impact Model (AIM) (Experimental)

Philippines