ms reports retail trade month-over-month change (%)€¦ · when using a 12 month rolling sum,...

MBS Reports R e t a i l T r a d e , A p r i l 2 0 2 0

June 19, 2020 Manitoba Bureau of Statistics Finance Research Division

Highlights

Manitoba’s retail sales across all industries totalled $1,311.9 million for April 2020. The retail sales figure for April was 19.6% lower than the previous month. Manitoba’s decrease from March to April ranked fourth among all provinces. [Based on seasonally adjusted data, thus removing its seasonal patterns]

When compared to April of 2019, Manitoba sales were down 27.2%.

In comparison of 12 month periods ending in April, Manitoba sales fell 1.9%.

Retail sales growth in Manitoba is led by health & personal care stores and offset by declines in motor vehicles and parts dealers.

Retail Trade

A p r i l 2 0 2 0

Monthly Retail Trade Survey

The Monthly Retail Trade Survey collects sales, e-commerce sales, and the number of retail loca-tions by province, territory, and selected Census Metropolitan Areas (CMA) from a sample of retailers.

Retail sales estimates are a key monthly indicator of consumer purchasing patterns in Canada. Furthermore, retail sales are an important component of the Gross Domestic Product, which measures Canada's production, and are part of many economic models used by public and pri-vate agencies. The Bank of Can-ada relies partly on monthly retail sales estimates when mak-ing decisions that influence in-terest rates. Businesses use re-tail sales estimates to track their own performance against indus-try averages and to prepare investment strategies.

http://www23.statcan.gc.ca/imdb/p2SV.pl?Function=getSurvey&lang= en&db=imdb&adm=8&dis=2&SDDS=2406

Percent change, Mar 20 – Apr 20 (Seasonally Adjusted)

Source: Statistics Canada, Table: 20-10-0008-01

Manitoba saw a 19.6% de-

crease in retail sales from

March to April, ranking

fourth among all provinces

(Saskatchewan led the coun-

try with a 14.8% decline).

Canada’s total percent

change was down 26.4%,

while Ontario sales saw the

biggest contraction among

provinces, down 32.8% over

the one-month period.

Retail Trade Statistics: The monthly retail trade statistics are collected and disseminated by Statistics Canada. For the

purpose of this bulletin, the retail trade statistics are unadjusted for inflation.

From April 2019 to April

2020, Manitoba’s 27.2%

decrease in retail sales

ranked sixth among all prov-

inces, while the total de-

crease for Canada was

32.8% over the same peri-

od. British Columbia placed

first with a 22.5% drop,

while Quebec sales declined

the most at 37.9%.


Percent change, Apr 19 – Apr 20 (Unadjusted)

*See appendix tables for a compre-

hensive list of retail trade statistics

-27.2

-32.8-40.0

-35.0

-30.0

-25.0

-20.0

-15.0

-10.0

-5.0

0.0

BC NL SK PE NB MB AB NS CA ON QC

year-over-year change (%)

-19.6

-26.4

-35.0

-30.0

-25.0

-20.0

-15.0

-10.0

-5.0

0.0

SK AB PE MB NB BC NS NL CA QC ON

month-over-month change (%)

http://www23.statcan.gc.ca/imdb/p2SV.pl?Function=getSurvey&lang=en&db=imdb&adm=8&dis=2&SDDS=2406







Positive contributors:

Health and personal care stores in Manito-

ba led the country, up 11.3% between peri-

ods. The increase for the industry across the

nation was 0.6%. Health and personal care

stores contributed 0.6% towards Manito-

ba’s overall increase.

Food and beverage stores in Manitoba

were up 2.1%. Sales from food and bever-

age stores across Canada were up 4.4%.

Food and beverage stores contributed 0.5%

towards Manitoba’s overall increase.

Negative contributors:

Motor vehicle and parts dealers was one of

five industries to experience a decline in

sales, down 9.4% between periods. The

total decrease for the industry across Canada was 6.8%. Motor vehicles had a negative impact of 2.5% toward Manito-

ba’s overall increase.

Electronics and appliance stores sales fell 27.0% between periods. At the national level, industry sales fell 10.3%. Elec-

tronics and appliance stores had a negative impact of 0.6% on Manitoba’s overall increase.

Industry impact on Manitoba’s 12 month rolling sum increase

A 12 month rolling sum is calculated by summing up the sales figures for a 12 month period, up to and including the cur-

rent month. The 12 month sales figure is then compared with the same 12 month period from the previous year to de-

termine percent change. When using a 12 month rolling sum, sales data is seasonally unadjusted. For example, the sales

from December 2015 – December 2016 were $100,000. The sales from December 2016 – December 2017 were $125,000,

resulting in a 25% increase in 12 month rolling sum sales.

Manitoba placed seventh among all provinces with a 1.9%

decrease in sales based on a 12 month rolling sum. Mani-

toba ranked higher than Canada’s nationwide decrease of

2.1%.

Manitoba’s ranking can be attributed to high sales from

health and personal care stores (+11.3%) offset by low

sales from Motor vehicles and parts dealers (-9.4%). Note:

Excluding gasoline sales, Manitoba retail sales would be

down 2.2% and ranked seventh among provinces.

Prince Edward Island led the country with a 0.8% increase

in sales, while Alberta trailed all provinces with a 4.6%

decrease in sales.

Contact: Manitoba Bureau of Statistics [email protected]

MBS intranet website: http://intranet.mbgov.ca/finance/mbs/Pages/default.aspx

MBS public website: http://www.gov.mb.ca/mbs/

*See appendix tables for a comprehensive list of retail trade statistics

Retail sales growth, 12 month rolling sum [May 2018—Apr 2019] - [May 2019—Apr 2020]


-1.9 -2.1

-5.0

-4.0

-3.0

-2.0

-1.0

0.0

1.0

2.0

PE NB ON NS BC NL MB CA QC SK AB

change, 12 month roll ing sum (%)

Contributions by industry, Manitoba Retail sales (down 1.9%) [May 2018—Apr 2019] - [May 2019—Apr 2020]


-2.5-0.6-0.5

-0.2-0.1

0.00.10.2

0.40.5

0.6

-3.0 -2.5 -2.0 -1.5 -1.0 -0.5 0.0 0.5 1.0

Motor vehiclesElectronics & appliances

Clothing storesSports, hobby & music stores

FurnitureGasoline stations

Misc. retail storesGeneral merchandise stores

Building MaterialsFood & beverage stores

Health & personal care stores

(%)

http://intranet.mbgov.ca/finance/mbs/Pages/default.aspx

https://www.gov.mb.ca/mbs/



Table 1A: Retail sales, Canada and provinces - Unadjusted April 2020

Apr Mar Apr Mar to Apr 2019 to

2019 2020r 2020p Apr 2020 Apr 2020

Canada 50,994 43,590 34,276 -21.4 -32.8

Newfoundland and Labrador 698 654 528 -19.3 -24.4

Prince Edward Is land 202 171 150 -12.1 -25.6

Nova Scotia 1,333 1,112 911 -18.1 -31.7

New Brunswick 1,087 932 807 -13.4 -25.7

Quebec 11,060 8,747 6,869 -21.5 -37.9

Ontario 18,994 16,598 12,027 -27.5 -36.7

Manitoba 1,772 1,544 1,290 -16.4 -27.2

Saskatchewan 1,662 1,408 1,253 -11.0 -24.6

Alberta 6,908 5,576 4,760 -14.6 -31.1

Bri ti sh Columbia 7,107 6,667 5,509 -17.4 -22.5

Manitoba Rank (out of 10 provinces) 5 6

Table 1B: Retail sales, Canada and provinces - Seasonally adjusted April 2020


2019 2020r 2020p Apr 2020 Apr 2020

'W:\mbsmbs\websites\intranet_site\source\retail_sales\[retail_source.xlsx]_Parameters'

Canada 51,471 47,152 34,724 -26.4 -32.5

Newfoundland and Labrador 730 750 559 -25.4 -23.4

Prince Edward Is land 211 196 158 -19.3 -25.0

Nova Scotia 1,365 1,239 935 -24.5 -31.5

New Brunswick 1,112 1,030 827 -19.8 -25.6

Quebec 10,939 9,444 6,817 -27.8 -37.7

Ontario 19,318 18,194 12,225 -32.8 -36.7

Manitoba 1,798 1,631 1,312 -19.6 -27.0

Saskatchewan 1,655 1,482 1,262 -14.8 -23.7

Alberta 6,952 5,921 4,833 -18.4 -30.5

Bri ti sh Columbia 7,212 7,082 5,616 -20.7 -22.1

Manitoba Rank (out of 10 provinces) 4 6

r revised

Release date: June 19, 2020

p prelimilary

Note: Figures may not add up to totals as a result of rounding, as well as excludes the three territories

Source: Prepared by the Manitoba Bureau of Statistics, adapted from Statistics Canada, table 20-10-0008-01 (formerly CANSIM 080-0020)

millions of dollars % change




Table 2: Retail sales by industry, Manitoba - Unadjusted April 2020


2019 2020r 2020p Apr 2020 Apr 2020

Retail trade 1,772 1,544 1,290 -16.4 -27.2

Motor vehicle and parts dealers 516 339 225 -33.7 -56.5

Automobi le dealers 432 281 169 -39.9 -60.9

New car dealers 404 264 161 -39.1 -60.2

Used car dealers 28 17 8 -52.6 -71.7

Other motor vehicle dealers 36 23 20 -13.0 -43.7

Automotive parts , accessories and ti re s tores 48 35 35 2.5 -26.8

Furniture and home furnishings s tores 48 42 34 -19.1 -29.9

Furniture s tores 34 29 24 -16.9 -29.3

Home furnishings s tores 14 13 10 -24.2 -31.3

Electronics and appl iance s tores 23 21 15 -30.0 -37.1

Bui lding materia l & garden equipment & suppl ies 118 103 111 7.3 -6.4

Food and beverage s tores 366 416 398 -4.1 8.8

Grocery s tores 288 338 322 -4.6 11.9

Supermarkets and other grocery (excl . convenience) s tores 266 319 300 -5.8 12.8

Convenience s tores 22 19 22 14.4 -0.2

Specia l ty food s tores 14 11 9 -13.8 -31.8

Beer, wine and l iquor s tores 64 67 67 -0.1 3.8

Health and personal care s tores 107 121 101 -16.0 -5.4

Gasol ine s tations 228 190 150 -20.9 -34.3

Clothing and clothing accessories s tores 66 32 5 -84.8 -92.7

Clothing s tores 49 25 4 -85.3 -92.5

Shoe s tores 10 4 x . . . .

Jewel lery, luggage and leather goods s tores 7 3 0 . . -100.0

Sporting goods , hobby, book and mus ic s tores 30 22 10 -55.7 -67.6

Genera l merchandise s tores 274 213 207 -2.9 -24.6

Miscel laneous s tore reta i lers 45 47 35 -24.9 -21.3


p prelimilary

x suppressed to meet the confidentiality requirements of the Statistics Act

r revised


Note: Figures may not add up to totals as a result of rounding

. . not available for a specific reference period




Table 3: Retail sales by industry, Manitoba - Unadjusted

Accumulative totals: Year-to-date and 12 month rolling sum

RetailTrade_Manitoba

W:\mbsmbs\w ebsites\intranet_site\source\retail_sales\ Jan 19 Jan 20 May 18 May 19

to to to to Contributing

Apr 19 Apr 20 Apr 19 Apr 20 Growth (3)

VECTOR % change % change %

Retail trade 6,331 5,794 -8.5 21,075 20,665 -1.9 -1.9'W:\mbsmbs\websites\intranet_site\source\retail_sales\[retail_source.xlsx]_Parameters'

Motor vehicle and parts dealers 1,714 1,331 -22.3 5,579 5,056 -9.4 -2.5

Automobi le dealers 1,472 1,120 -23.9 4,775 4,247 -11.1 -2.5

New car dealers 1,379 1,041 -24.5 4,481 3,956 -11.7 -2.5

Used car dealers 93 79 -14.7 294 291 -0.8 0.0

Other motor vehicle dealers 94 77 -18.3 322 291 -9.6 -0.1

Automotive parts , accessories and ti re s tores 148 134 -9.5 482 518 7.5 0.2

Furniture and home furnishings s tores 173 160 -7.3 579 568 -2.0 -0.1

Furniture s tores 121 115 -5.3 404 412 1.9 0.0

Home furnishings s tores 52 46 -12.0 176 156 -11.2 -0.1

Electronics and appl iance s tores 95 77 -18.6 437 319 -27.0 -0.6

Bui lding materia l & garden equipment & suppl ies 361 372 3.1 1,495 1,581 5.7 0.4

Food and beverage s tores 1,400 1,492 6.6 4,477 4,572 2.1 0.5

Grocery s tores 1,124 1,215 8.1 3,467 3,586 3.4 0.6

Specia l ty food s tores 44 38 -13.7 172 146 -15.4 -0.1

Beer, wine and l iquor s tores 231 238 3.2 838 841 0.3 0.0

Health and personal care s tores 433 436 0.6 1,206 1,343 11.3 0.6

Gasol ine s tations 847 755 -10.9 2,694 2,697 0.1 0.0

Clothing and clothing accessories s tores 232 145 -37.8 881 783 -11.1 -0.5

Clothing s tores 177 111 -36.9 676 596 -11.9 -0.4

Shoe s tores 33 . . . . 126 . . . . . .

Jewel lery, luggage and leather goods s tores 23 . . . . 79 . . . . . .

Sporting goods , hobby, book and mus ic s tores 111 78 -29.6 421 380 -9.6 -0.2

Genera l merchandise s tores 809 788 -2.6 2,796 2,835 1.4 0.2

Miscel laneous s tore reta i lers 155 158 2.0 511 532 4.2 0.1


April 2020

. . not available for a specific reference period

(2) Compares the sum of the 12 months ending this month with the sum of the 12 months ending one year earlier.

(1) Compares the sum of the months beginning in January to the latest month available with the same period one year earlier.


Note: Figures may not add up to totals as a result of rounding

(3) Contributing growth rates indicate how much a components’growth contributed to the overall growth for an indicator. In the context of retail

12 month rolling sum (2)

contributing growth rates equals the retail trade growth rate.

trade, contributing growth rates indicate how much the components of retail trade contributed to the overall growth of retail. The sum of the

x suppressed to meet the confidentiality requirements of the Statistics Act

r revised

Year-to-date (1)

millions of dollars

p prelimilary

millions of dollars

ms reports retail trade month-over-month change (%)€¦ · when using a 12 month rolling sum,...

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