mr. fil filipkowski presentation - 4,8 mb

1. September 2004International Data Centre Page 1 Current Status of the CTBT Monitoring System Fil J. Filipkowski Services Officer, Services and Review Section, International Data Centre Comprehensive Nuclear-Test-Ban Treaty Organization Provisional Technical Secretariat Vienna International Centre P.O.Box 1200 A-1400 Vienna AUSTRIA [email protected] Presented at the National Seminar September 2004 at Sarajevo, BiH

2. The CTBT Bans All Nuclear Test Explosions in All Environments Infrasonic waves Radionuclides: particulates and gases Possible seismic/hydro coupling Noise sources: natural and cultural background, meteors, volcanoes, weather, air/spacecraft, chemical explosions Atmospheric Nuclear Tests Seismic waves Radionuclides: vented gases Possible hydro/infra coupling Noise sources: natural and cultural background, earthquakes, volcanoes, chemical explosions Underground Nuclear Tests Hydroacoustic waves Radionuclides: vented gases Possible seismic/infra coupling Noise sources: natural and cultural background, earthquakes, volcanoes, chemical explosions, whales Underwater Nuclear Tests

3. Vision: The CTBT Verification Regime Acquires, Analyses and Disseminates Data and Products, to Supports States Need for Nuclear-Test-Ban Monitoring in Multiple Environments

4. Primary Seismic Auxiliary Seismic Radionuclide Hydroacoustic Infrasound The Complete IMS Verification System

5. IMS Stations Providing Data to IDC Operations by the end of July 2004 Auxiliary seismic array station Primary seismic array station Auxiliary seismic three component station Primary seismic three component station Infrasound station Radionuclide station Hydroacoustic T-phase station Hydroacoustic hydrophone stationT T T

6. Global Communications Infrastructure Galaxy XI at 91W USA KU BAND EUTELSAT W3 AT 7E Europe INTELSAT 801 AT 328.5E Atlantic Ocean Region INTELSAT 804 at 64E Indian Ocean Region The GCI Central System Hubs and space satellites covering Pacific Ocean Region (POR) Atlantic Ocean Region (AOR) Indian Ocean Region (IOR) Europe and Middle East Continental US Hubs in: Griesheim, Germany Fucino, Italy (2) California, USA Sydney, Australia INTELSAT 702 at 176E Pacific Ocean Region The GCI Central System Hubs and space satellites covering Pacific Ocean Region (POR) Atlantic Ocean Region (AOR) Indian Ocean Region (IOR) Europe and Middle East Continental US Japan Hubs in: Griesheim, Germany Fucino, Italy (2) California, USA Sydney, Australia Tokyo, Japan Terrestrial links from each hub to IDC.

7. GCI Communication Technology Eutelsat II F 4 Satellite VSAT Antenna Construction at an National Data Centre VSAT AS047 Shushtar, Iran

8. International Data Centre Mission of the IDC: To support the verification responsibilities of States Parties by providing objective products and services necessary for effective global monitoring. The IDC shall: (from Protocol, Part I) Receive, collect, automatically process, interactively analyse, report on, and archive data from IMS facilities, including the results of analysis conducted at certified laboratories. Carry out, at no cost to States Parties, special studies and technical assistance, and technical analysis of IMS or other data if requested by the Organization or a State Party. Progressively enhance its technical capabilities. Provide standard IDC products with no prejudice to final judgements.

9. IDC Data Flow, Assessment and Improvement IMS Network States National Data Centres Interactive Analysis Assessment and Development Seismic, Hydroacoustic, Infrasound and Radionuclide Data Evaluation, New Knowledge & Methods Data, Products and Support GCI International Data Centre Computer Infrastructure Section Global Communications Section Automatic Products Analysed Products Waveform Monitoring Section Radionuclide Section Waveform Development & Software Integration Section Improved Knowledge & Software GCI Services, Review and Training Section

10. IDC Pipeline Data Processing, Analysis, Screening, Fusion, Review, Access Fused Event Bulletin & Executive Summaries (daily) Outputs:Outputs: Seismic Hydro- acoustic Infra- sound Radionuclide Standard Event List 1 Standard Event List 2 Standard Event List 3 Reviewed & Standard Event Bulletins Standard Screened Event Bulletin Reviewed Radnuc. Report Final Quality Review (done for all reviewed products) Auxiliary Seismic Event Screening Analyst Review Fission Product Screening Automatic Radnuc. Report Raw Data Analyst Review Logarithmic Time Scale 1 hr 6 hrs4 hrs2 hrs 10 hrs 1 day 2 days 1 wk 2 wks Standard Screened Radnuc. Event Bulletin All raw data (cont.) Inputs:Inputs: (accessible as soon as it arrives)

11. Data and Product Summary country A country B ocean minemine Time Lat Long Depth Mag ... Uncertainties ... Signal 1 Parm A Parm B Parm C ... Signal 2 Parm A Parm B Parm C ... Signal 3 Parm A Parm B Parm C ... ... Station Phase Time Amplitude Direction ..... Uncertainties IMS Data Authenticated waveforms and spectra as received from IMS network stations and other sources Signal Detections Measured parameters that characterize detected signals Event Lists and Bulletins Located events, with associated signals, and estimated parameters that characterize the events Executive Summary Total events Unscreened events IMS, GCI, IDC status

12. Civil and Scientific Applications Seismology Civil application (e.g. hazard assessment) Scientific application (e.g. study of internal structure of the earth) Hydroacoustics Civil application (e.g. tsunami warning) Scientific application (e.g. study of ocean process) Infrasound Civil application (e.g. disastrous chemical explosion near to earths surface) Scientific application (e.g. study of processes in the atmosphere) Radionuclide Civil application (e.g. early mapping of dispersion of radioactive materials from accidental nuclear release) Scientific application (e.g. study of background levels at very remote areas)

13. IDC Reviewed Event Bulletin: 100,000 Events and Counting

14. IDC REB events in and around Europe: 21 February 2000 - 15 August 2004 Over 7100 events reported in the REB for this time period and geographic region. Magnitudes (mb) range from 2.4 to 6.4.

15. IDC REB events in and around BiH: 21 February 2000 - 15 August 2004 Over 3600 events reported in the REB for this time period and geographic region. Magnitudes (mb) range from 2.4 to 5.9.

16. Seismic Data Benefit: Assessment of Earthquake Hazards Over 400 events reported in the REB for this time period and geographic region. Magnitudes (mb) range from 2.4 to 5.3.

17. IDC Reviewed Event Bulletin: Event in BiH on 7 August 2004, ~85 km WNW of Mostar Reviewed Event Bulletin of the CTBT_IDC, generated 2004/09/14 12:10:38 EVENT 2675146 NORTHWESTERN BALKAN REGION Date Time Err RMS Latitude Longitude Smaj Smin Az Depth Err Ndef Nsta Gap mdist Mdist Qual 2004/08/07 03:02:43.46 1.80 1.05 43.8260 17.0115 25.8 13.2 44 0.0f 10 7 161 5.49 58.99 m i uk Magnitude Err Nsta Author OrigID ML 3.2 0.1 6 IDC_REB:I 2681655 mb 3.6 0.3 1 IDC_REB:I 2681655 mb1 3.6 0.1 7 IDC_REB:I 2681655 mb1mx 3.5 0.1 23 IDC_REB:I 2681655 mbtmp 3.5 0.2 7 IDC_REB:I 2681655 Sta Dist EvAz Phase Time TRes Azim AzRes Slow SRes Def SNR Amp Per Qual Magnitude VRAC 5.49 357.1 Pn 03:04:06.813 -0.7 184.1 7.3 13.1 -0.6 TA_ 5.7 0.4 0.33 a__ ML 3.4 mb1 3.3 mbtmp 3.2 VRAC 5.49 357.1 Sn 03:05:09.813 -0.7 114.3 -62.5 18.7 -6.0 T__ 4.2 0.7 0.33 __ GERES 5.52 336.6 Pn 03:04:07.388 -0.6 152.4 -6.1 13.5 0.0 TA_ 17.7 0.5 0.33 a__ ML 3.2 mb1 3.8 mbtmp 3.4 GERES 5.52 336.6 Sn 03:05:13.306 2.0 154.6 -1.5 24.2 0.5 TA_ 16.7 1.9 0.33 a__ DAVOX 5.83 302.9 Pn 03:04:12.200 0.8 125.5 7.6 12.9 -0.8 TA_ 25.6 2.6 0.33 a__ ML 3.8 mb1 4.0 mbtmp 4.0 DAVOX 5.83 302.9 Sn 03:05:21.300 1.1 130.9 13.1 20.1 -4.6 T__ 5.1 1.1 0.33 a__ MLR 6.58 72.3 Pn 03:04:24.717 1.5 145.3 -113. 13.9 0.2 T__ 2.2 0.1 0.33 __ ML 3.0 mb1 3.3 mbtmp 2.8 IDI 10.47 141.9 Pn 03:05:13.641 -1.2 301.6 -25.3 10.6 -3.1 T__ 4.3 0.3 0.33 __ ML 3.3 mb1 4.0 mbtmp 4.0 FINES 18.42 13.8 P 03:07:00.500 0.4 194.0 -7.1 7.9 -3.7 TA_ 5.1 0.06 0.33 a__ ML 3.1 mb1 3.4 mbtmp 3.4 SONM 58.99 51.8 P 03:12:44.500 -0.3 295.4 -7.0 9.1 2.1 TA_ 5.1 0.5 0.64 a__ mb 3.6 mb1 3.6 mbtmp 3.6

18. Seismic Waveforms and Regional Map Indian Nuclear Test: 11 May 1998 Origin Time: 1998/05/11 10:13:44.2 Coordinates: 27.09o N 71.69o E +- 13-14 km mb = 5.0 MS = 3.2 IDC Solution Ground Truth OT (GMT) LAT (N) LON (E) LAT (N) LON (E) Difference 10:13:44.2 27.0925 71.6896 27.078 71.719 3.3km

19. Seismic Waveforms and Regional Map Pakistani Nuclear Test: 28 May 1998 Origin Time: 1998/05/28 10:16:17.6 Coordinates: 28.91o N 64.84o E +- 13-15 km mb = 4.9 MS = 3.5 IDC Solution Ground Truth OT (GMT) LAT (N) LON (E) LAT (N) LON (E) Difference 10:16:17.6 28.9089 64.8428 28.830 64.950 13.6km

20. Seismic Waveforms and Regional Map: Barents Sea, Kursk Nuclear Submarine Accident 12 Aug 2000, 7:30:42 GMT, 69.59N 37.41E 12-15 km

21. IMS stations used in preliminary IDC location (measured arrival times in green and blue) IDC pIDC Announced 8.3 km between IDC location and ground truth IDC: OT 25 September 1999, 05:00:06:00; Lat 49.802N; Long 77.967E; Depth 0.0 fixed; mb 3.7 Seismic Data: Kazakhstan Calibration Explosion (100 tonnes)

22. OSI Activities and Techniques

23. CTBTO Infrasound Data Benefit: Detection of Near-Surface Chemical Explosions Infrasonic waves generated by a quarry blast (approximately 200 kg, distance 10 km) Near-surface chemical explosions can be detected.

24. CTBTO Infrasound Data: Re-entry and Disintegration of Space Shuttle Columbia on 1 Feb. 2003 Signals recorded by IMS station I10CA (four channels) at a distance of about 18o from the disintegration point over Texas. Two waveforms were filtered in the frequency band 0.5-1.5 Hz (I10H1 and I10H2), and two in 3.0-6.0 Hz (I10H3 and I10H4).

25. Output of a -spectrometric measurement Number of photons ( rays) collected in the detector What energy do they have What radionuclides and how much are in the sample

26. Level 4 One anomalous anthropogenic radionuclide Level 5 Multiple anomalous anthropogenic radionuclides Tracking of possible accidental releases of radioactivity. Farmland products could be safer. Atmospheric Transport Modeling of a radionuclide detection. Radionuclide Events from 21 February 2000 to 31 December 2003 Radionuclide Data Benefit

27. Data and Product Distribution AutoDRM - Successful requests 130,561 38.3 GB 129,514 76.5 GB Subscriptions - Products sent 555,584 16.8 GB 277,935 7.7 GB IDC Secure Web Site - Visits 8,700 22.6 GB 6,007 12.4 GB External Database Service - minutes 68,288 85,509 Continuous Data Forwarding 53 Stations/5 Est. 863 GB 46 Stations/7 Est. 366 GB 1 Jan - 31 Dec 2003 Jan - Jul 2004 External Database Service available from February 2003. All primary stations in IDC operations available for continuous data forwarding. Principal users (302>377, 25% increase). Regular users (168>179, 7% increase) Other Services Requests for assistance/information IDC Tours 611 50 tours - 360 visitors 68 States Signatories 420 29 tours - 230 visitors 1 Jan - 31 Dec 2003 Jan - Jul 2004 NDC-in-a-Box (GEOTOOL) software distribution in total 65 States Signatories Version 1.0 of NDC-in-a-Box software available from September 2003. Overview of Distribution and Services

28. NDC Software Models Option 1 Browser Display data and products Download data and products No analysis Cost/NDC: US$3-8K Staff/NDC: 1 Option 2 NDC-in-a-Box Option 1+ Limited detection and location Could add national data Cost/NDC: US$ 8-26K Staff/NDC: 2-3 Option 3 Mini IDC Option 2+ IDC-like data acquisition and forwarding IDC-like processing and analysis IDC-like data management system Cost/NDC: US$ 500-10,000K Staff/NDC: 10-1000

29. IDC Training Programme 8 - 12 March 2004 IMS/IDC Training for Station Operators and NDC Managers Vienna, Austria 18 participants from 16 States Signatories 12 - 18 May 2004 IMS/IDC Regional Training Course for Station Operators and NDC Technical Staff Obninsk, Russian Federation 7 participants from 3 States Signatories 7 - 12 June 2004 IMS/IDC Regional Training Course for Station Operators and NDC Technical Staff Caracas, Venezuela 10 participants from 8 States Signatories 25 - 30 October 2004 IDC Regional Training Course for NDC Technical Staff Dakar, Senegal Deadline for applications 10 September 8 - 14 December 2004 IDC Regional Training Course for NDC Technical Staff Jakarta, Indonesia Deadline for applications 15 October IMS/IDC Regional Training Course for Station Operators and NDC Technical Staff Caracas, Venezuela

30. Who are the IDC Users? The provisional National Authority and the National Data Centre (NDC) of State Signatories. (These may be the same place or located in separate establishments). Currently, guidelines and draft model agreement for data and product distribution to Disaster Alert and Scientific Organizations, has not been decided upon by WGB. Two exceptions: ISC (limited to the REB) and WMO (limited to meteorological observation data). NDCs can be subdivided, with each subdivision being located in a separate establishment and dealing with one or more of the IMS technologies. Where do the authorized IDC Users come from?

31. Different Classes of IDC Users Principal Users (Limit - 18 from up to 6 establishments): Access to all IMS data and IDC products through IDC secure web site or e-mail (AutoDRM). Can request data subscriptions, establish national event screens and request expert technical assistance. Three classes of users, nominated by the principal point of contact and authorized by the State Signatory, can access IMS data and IDC products through the single secure signatory account established for each State Signatory: Regular Users (Limit - normally up to about 10): Access restricted to IDC secure web site. Station Operators and Station Maintenance Personnel (no limit defined): Access restricted to station status information and waveform data from their stations which are already stored at the IDC.

32. Four Steps to become a User of the IDC Access Methods to Data and Products 1. Become an Authorized User. Only authorized users can access the IDC products and services. 2. The IDC has to be informed about the appointment and given sufficient information about the users to be able to identify them. - A completed Secure Signatory Account Registration Form allows the PTS to activate a single Secure Signatory Account for each State Signatory. Send the completed form through your Permanent Mission. 4. Establish connection to the IDC. Communication links between the NDCs and IDC are provided by the Internet or the GCI (managed by the IDC). 3. Receive information from the IDC regarding user accounts and passwords.

33. Secure Signatory Account Registration Form A. Principal Point of Contact for the Secure Signatory Account Principal Point of Contact The individual designated by the State Signatory to have overall responsibility for its Secure Account for the purpose of initial testing of the IDC. Any changes to the status of the Account or the Users should be communicated between the Principal Point of Contact and the IDC. FullName Position Establishment/ Organization Address City Country Phone Fax E-mail E-mailaddress fromwhich AutoDRM requestsareto besent(if relevant)

34. Secure Signatory Account Registration Form B. Establishments for Accessing the Secure Signatory Account Establishments A maximum of six establishments can be designated. All users have to belong to these establishments. Nameofthe Establishment CTBTrelevant function Organization Address City Country Phone Fax E-mail

35. Secure Signatory Account Registration Form C. Designated Principal Users for Accessing the IDC Principal Users Principal Users have access to the IDC Secure Web site and they can set up subscriptions and send AutoDRM requests. A maximum of eighteen Principal Users can be designated.

36. Secure Signatory Account Registration Form D. Designated Regular Users for Accessing the IDC Regular Users Regular Users have access to the IDC Secure Web site. A maximum of about ten Regular Users can be designated. E. Designated IMS Station Operators and IMS Station Maintenance Personnel Station Operators Access restricted to station status information and waveform data from their station(s) stored at the IDC.

37. Designation of Authorized Users Designations of Users and Establishments easy to change - The Principal Point of Contact can send a letter or fax to IDC Services - GCI questionnaire #3 to establish a communication link NDC-IDC (VSAT) - Expert Communication System (ECS), access to reports of PrepCom and its working groups All IMS data and IDC products are available over Internet. No need to wait for a VSAT link to be established between the NDC and the IDC. Data and products are made available free of charge. The distribution of IMS data and IDC products started already in February 2000. New IMS stations are being installed and sending data to the IDC. Up to six establishments can be nominated - Organizations working in different fields (seismic, radionuclide, environmental, coordination) can all be given access to IMS data and IDC products.

38. Designated Establishments around BiH Hungary (1 principal user) Hungarian Atomic Energy Authority, provisional National Authority Austria (3 principal users, 1 regular user) Central Institute for Meterology and Geodynamics, NDC Italy (10 principal users, 1 regular user, 1 station operator) Ministry of Foreign Affairs, provisional National Authority Instituto Nazionale di Geofisica Bulgaria (17 principal users) Geophysical Institute, Coordinator NDC Nuclear Regulatory Agency National Centre of Radiobiology and Radiation Protection Institute of Oceanology Institute for Nuclear Research and Nuclear Energy Executive Environmental Agency Greece (3 principal users, 2 station operators) Institute of Geodynamics

39. Designated Establishments around BiH Slovakia (4 principal users) Nuclear Regulatory Authority of the Slovak Republic, National Authority Geophysical Institute, NDC Romania (7 principal users, 3 regular users, 1 station operator) Romanian National Data Centre, NDC Central HQ - Nat. Comm. for Nuclear Activities Control, National Authority General Directorate for Environmental Radioactivity Surveillance, NA Ministry of National Defence - Procurement and Services Dept., OSI and IMS Nat. Agency for the Control of Strategic Exports and Prohibition of Chemical Weapons, NDC subdivision Slovenia (3 principal users) Environmental Agency of the Republic of Slovenia, National Authority Institute for Occupational Safety Jozef Stefan Institute

40. Secure Signatory Accounts as of 6 September 2004 Africa Middle East and South Asia Algeria Namibia Bangladesh Kuwait Burkina Faso Nigeria Iran (Islamic Republic of) Kyrgyzstan Egypt South Africa Israel Oman Ethiopia Tunisia Jordan Uzbekistan Kenya Uganda Kazakhstan Malawi Zambia Morocco Zimbabwe Eastern Europe North America and Western Europe Albania Hungary Austria France Spain Armenia Lithuania Belgium Germany Sweden Azerbaijan Poland Canada Greece Switzerland Belarus Romania Cyprus Iceland Turkey Bulgaria Russian Federation Denmark Italy UK Czech Republic Slovakia Finland Netherlands USA Estonia Slovenia Norway Georgia Ukraine Latin America and the Caribbean South-East Asia, the Pacific and the Far East Argentina Honduras Australia Philippines Viet Nam Belize Jamaica China Republic of Korea Bolivia Mexico Japan Solomon Islands Brazil Panama New Zealand Thailand Chile Paraguay Ecuador Peru Guatemala Venezuela TOTAL: 81 States with 628 Users (Principal Users - 380, Regular Users - 181 and Station Operators - 67)