moving forward 2050

1Moving Forward 2050


CTP DEVELOPMENT PROCESS

Develop and implement public engagement strategy

Update Vision and Goals

Inventory transportation systems & update trends

Update project list and test performance

Actions needed to achieve the CTP goals

Introduction

A Transportation Plan for the FutureAddressing EquityCommunity VoicesVision and Goals

1


A HISTORY OF LONG RANGE PLANNING

Twenty years ago, SCTA produced the first CTP.It called for:

• expanded bus transit;• commuter rail and a rail-ferry connection; • strategic expansion of Highway 101; • and a more robust bicycle lane network;• safe local roads, free of potholes


EQUITYSCTA is committed to equitable transportation planning. To encourage investment in disadvantaged communities, SCTA identified targeted areas for prioritizing funding to provide safe, accessible, and affordable mobility.

Now we have a flexible approach that includes:

• A fine-tune the technical analysis to get a better understanding of geographic spaces that serve Equity Priority Communities and;

• Addressing the whole population of disadvantaged people with means based fares on transit and for other modes.


PUBLIC ENGAGEMENTBetween the Fall 2019 to Spring 2020 the SCTA team invited residents to share their transportation needs through a survey designed to inform Sonoma County’s Comprehensive Transportation Plan.

Invitation to community to engage

through all known outlets

Listening sessions with

CBOs Summer

2019

Online survey

Summer/Autumn

2019

Public meetings

Winter 2019 –Spring 2020

Webinar series late

2019 – early 2020

Continuous online

presence, updates to Board and advisory

committees

Presentation of Draft CTP

to SCTA Board and Advisory

Committees

Public engagement for the draft

CTP


WHAT WE HEARD


Repair potholes

7 - Very important

52%

44%

43%

41%

40%

39%

39%

6

13%

15%

17%

18%

14%

16%

5 Total Importance

16% 15% 83%

13% 69%

18% 76%

17% 75%

16% 74%

17% 71%

18% 73%

Reduce greenhouse gas emissions

Reduce traffic congestion on local roads and highways

Make local roads and highways safer

Improve evacuation and emergency road access

Enhance

Make walking and biking safer

transportation for seniors, veterans, and people with disabilities

Everyday commuter issues like potholes, traffic, and road safety are of the highest importance to voters, along with reducing greenhouse gasses and improving evacuation routes.

GO SONOMA POLLING


GO SONOMA POLLING

Other more specific projects do not resonate as widely.

7 - Very important

Protect transportation infrastructure from floods, fires,32%earthquakes, and other impacts of climate change

Support new housing near transit hubs 28% 14%

Expand the reach and frequency of local bus service 25% 13%

Improve connections between East and West County 21% 16%

Make it easier to get to and from public transit with options like 20% 13%electric scooters, bike shares, employee shuttles, and ride hailing

Support installation of electric vehicle charging stations 20% 11%

Eliminate fares for taking the bus 16% 10% 13%

6 5

18% 18%

20% 61%

21% 59%

19% 56%

19% 53%

18% 49%

38%

Total Importance

68%


Connecting people, places and goods as we transition our transportation network to zero-emissions by 2050. Our guiding principles are to improve safety, equity and quality of life.

The goals are that our transportation system should be:

1. Connected and Reliable: Deliver a seamless network that allows people to use a variety of transportation types easily, affordably and dependably.

2. Safe and Well Maintained: Provide safe and well-maintained transportation infrastructure.

3. Community Oriented and Place-Based: Implement place-based (or context sensitive) transportation projects, tailored to urban, suburban and rural communities that will improve local mobility.

4. Zero Emissions: Provide zero-emission transportation opportunities that meet diverse community needs, improve health and enhance quality of life.

VISION AND GOALS


25 year Total Project Costs

PROJECT TYPE $M

Transit Improvements - Non Capital $4,220

Roadway Improvements (including maintenance) $2,914

Transit Capital Projects $876

Bicycle and Pedestrian Facilities $846

Highway Improvements $785

Multimodal Streetscape Improvements $162

Intersection Improvements $123

ITS & New Technologies $80

Emission Reduction Technologies $6

Travel Demand Management $3

Total needs $10,015

SUMMARY OF CTP PROJECTS

Bicycle & Pedestrian Facilities 8%

Highway Improvements

8%Roadway Improvements

including maintenance

29%

Transit Capital

Projects9%

Transit Improvements -Non Capital

42%

Multimodal Streetscape Improvements 2%

Tech & TDM 1%

Intersection Improvements 1%

All project details are online at: https://scta.ca.gov/planning/comprehensive-transportation-plan/#projects


Sonoma County Today

Travel Behavior

Sonoma County in 2050

Our Community2


SONOMA COUNTY TODAY AND IN 205013

Ethnicity 2010 - 2050

100%

90% Latino

80%Multirace

70%

Pacific60% Islander

50% Asian

40% NativeAmerican30%

Black20%

10% White

0%2020 2050

Aging Population 2010 - 2050

31%14% 21% 28% 30%

54%50%

48% 48% 48%

10% 10% 9% 8% 8%22% 19% 15% 14% 14%

2010 2020 2030 2040 205017 and under College Age (18-24)

Working Age (25-64) Seniors (65+)

Source: CA Dept. of Finance

700,000

600,000

500,000

400,000

300,000

200,000

100,000

0

Moving Forward 2050

Population2019 Development

Occupied Pipeline

Housing UnitsLocal Plans Maxed

EmploymentPBA 2050

14

PROJECTED POPULATION, HOUSING, AND EMPLOYMENT GROWTH


SHARE OF INCOME SPENT ON HOUSING AND TRANSPORTATION

34%42%

24

Housing

Remaining Income

Transportation

2017 Sonoma County

32%

17%

51%

Housing

Transportation

Remaining Income

2017 Bay Area

Source – The Center for Neighborhood Technology, H + T Index, 2017

24%


• Text here.

TRIPS ORIGINS AND DESTINATIONS - WEEKDAYS

Travel Behavior Study https://scta.ca.gov/wp-content/uploads/2020/02/Sonoma_TBS_2-7-2020_web.pdf

https://scta.ca.gov/wp-content/uploads/2020/02/Sonoma_TBS_2-7-2020_web.pdf


re.

60% OF TRIPS ARE SHORTER THAN 5 M•ILESText he

TRAVEL CHARACTERISTICS

TRIPS THAT CROSS THE COUNTY LINE ACCOUNT FOR ONLY 10% OF DAILY TRIPS BUT GENERATE 45% OF

DAILY VMT

Travel into or out of Sonoma County Internal Sonoma County Travel

55%

90%

45%

10%

TRIPS VMT


OPPORTUNITIES & CHALLENGES

OPPORTUNITIES

60% of trips under 5 miles Shift to non-motorized or other non-auto modes

Almost 90% of trips stay in the county Continue to develop job centers in-county and connect them to appropriate housing

Continued focus on city-centered growth Improved accessibility and safety and efficiency of walking, biking, transit, and other emerging travel modes

Telecommuting and avoiding trips has shown to reduce VMT or shift travel to less congested time periods

CHALLENGES

Emergencies impact travel conditions and patterns.

Travel in the county continues to be focused on single occupant vehicle travel.

Even though most travel stays in the county, trips leaving or entering the county contribute 45% of VMT.


Existing conditionsProjects and visionTrends and innovation

TransportationSystem


ROADS AND HIGHWAYS2,600 miles of public roadway countywide

$2B over the next 3 years to maintain a state of good repair on all roads in Sonoma County

1,648,000 trips are taken in or through Sonoma County on an average weekday

89 percent of trips are intra-county

Largest trip generators in Sonoma County:

1. Rohnert Park West Side Commercial

2. Downtown Santa Rosa and Plaza Mall

3. City of Sonoma

4. Santa Rosa Airway Industrial Area

5. Rohnert Park Expressway Commercial


ROAD AND HIGHWAY PROJECTS

Project Type Cost in $MRoadway Improvements (including maintenance)* $2,914

Highway Improvements $835

Multimodal Streetscape Improvements $162

Intersection Improvements $124

Total ($M) $4,035 *Maintenance accounts for $2B of Roadway improvements

Highway 37 Protection & Enhancement Project1. Highway 37 Improvements and Sea Level Rise

Mitigation Environmental Only ($10 M)2. Interim Segment B Project at Current Elevation

($149 M; 2023-2025)3. Near-Term Operational Improvements: SR 121

intersection reconfiguration & eastbound lane drop extension.


Intelligent Transportation Systems can improve safety and efficiency through mechanisms ranging from optimizing operations through signal timing to automated driving systems

The introduction and adoption of autonomous vehicles is expected to be gradual due to the complexity of cost of these new systems

Any congestion reduction from autonomous vehicles may also require dedicated lanes that allow for platooning or the early retirement of non-autonomous vehicles

Land use, transit, parking, curb management, pricing, electric vehicle policies and planning are necessary to avoid increased VMT and GHG from AVs

TRENDS AND INNOVATION

Jaguar MENA


BICYCLE AND PEDESTRIAN INFRASTRUCTURE

8% of all trips in Sonoma County are taken bicycle or walking

4.1% of commute to work trips bicycle or walking

60% of trips in Sonoma County are 5-miles or shorter

30% percent are less than 2-miles (12- minute bike ride)

208 built miles of bikeways

1,013 planned miles of new bicycle and pedestrian facilities


Bicycle and Pedestrian

Projects

*All projects under $1M are combined into one project for each jurisdiction.

BICYCLE AND PEDESTRIAN PROJECTS

BICYCLE AND PEDESTRIAN $M

Implementation of all 111 projects* $859.91

Example projects

Countywide Expansion of Micromobility $90

SMART Pathway $40

North Santa Rosa Station Area Bike/Ped Connector over Hwy 101 $24

Southeast Greenway Multi-Use Path and Crossings $20

Hwy 1 – 34 miles of class 2 bike lanes along the Sonoma coastline $18

Hwy 128 – 24 miles of class 2 bike lanes from Napa to Mendocino $18


Class I282.4

Class II/IIB432.3

Class III/IIIB261.7

Class IV2.2

Class I Class II/IIB Class III/IIIB Class IV

PLANNED MILES OF BIKE FACILITIES BY CLASSClass IV*

Class III Boulevard*

Class III**

Class II

Class I

Class II Buffered*

*National Association of City Transportation Officials, Urban Bikeway Design Guide**Los Angeles County, Model Design Manual for Living Streets


The pandemic provoked a “bike boom” and slow streets movement

20% increase in bicycling

1 in 10 American adults rode a bike for the first time in a year (or longer)

145% increase in electric bicycle sales

65% increase in pedal bicycle sales

Cities temporarily closed streets to traffic or encroached on parking areas to allow space for physical distancing, recreation, and open-air dining

Demonstration bicycle and pedestrian projects were installed as demand increased and lower traffic provided opportunities to dedicate space for bicyclists and pedestrians


LADOT Bike Blog, Cycletrack at CicLAvia: The Valley


Over 4.4 million rides on public transit in Sonoma County

84 percent by bus

16 percent by rail

70 percent of bus transit riders and 26 percent of train riders in Sonoma County are very low-income

Large percentage of riders do not have access to a vehicle

High school and college students make up a significant portion of transit riders

PUBLIC TRANSIT SERVICES


Transit Projects

TRANSIT PROJECTS

TRANSIT $M

Transit Improvements Non-Capital –includes operating costs for serviceenhancement, first/last miles operations, fare free programs, paratransit operations and more.

$4,220

Transit Capital Projects – new buses, bus stops and shelters, SMART operations to Cloverdale, facilities and maintenance

$876

ITS & New Technologies – traffic signal technology, fare payment tech and marketing

$80

Total ($M) $5,176



Micro-transit – dynamic trip routing based on demand may increase efficiencies in lower ridership areas

Trip planning and fare payment apps –improvements to apps and integration if single app for multiple providers and fare payments can make transit more convenient and comfortable for users

Transit priority projects – queue jump lanes, bus only lanes, high-occupancy vehicle lanes, transit signal priority, etc. allow transit vehicles to bypass traffic congestion and reduce travel times

Automation – could reduce costs of operations


Mode shift Programs are a collection of methods and actions intended to improve the efficiency of the existing transportation system by reducing the demand for single occupancy vehicle travel, especially during congested peak commute hours

MODE SHIFT Projects $M

GreenTRIP Sonoma County $0.50

Transportation Management Association $40

Total ($M) $40.50

MODE SHIFT PROGRAMS AND PROJECTS


Subsidies and Incentives

• Transit discounts

• Employer incentives

• Carpool matching and

incentives

• Merge and Ride Amigos

Youth Education Programs

• Safe Routes to School

(SRTS)

• Eco2School

• College programs

Complementary Programs

• Emergency Ride Home

• SCBC Bicycle Education and

Encouragement programs

• GoSonoma.org

• 511.org, SF Bay

• Shared Micromobility

Supportive Policies• Vision Zero

• Parking management

Mode Shift Programs


Performance

Reaching Our Goals

Moving Forward


What are current conditions?

How will CTP projects move us towards

achieving the plan goals and objectives?

What else can be done to make progress towards achieving CTP goals?

MEETING OUR GOALS


PERFORMANCE MEASURES FOR 2050 GOALS

Performance Measure Connected & Reliable

Safe and Well-

Maintained

Community Oriented and Place-

BasedZero Emissions

System Condition and SafetyPavement Condition Index xTransit Vehicle Revenue Hours x xCollision Rates xTravel EfficiencyPerson Hours of Delay xPeak Period Travel Time xTravel Time x xTransit Use and Active TransportationMode Share (Non-motorized) x xBicycle Facilities - Miles x x xTransit Revenue Hours x xTransit Ridership/Capita x xEquity and the EnvironmentAverage Household Travel Costs xGHG Emissions xVMT x xVMT/capita x xVMT/job x x


PERFORMANCE RESULTS

• Transit vehicle revenue hours (transit availability) increase from 760 hours to 1,365 hours.

• Transit ridership increases from 16,000 riders/day to 21,000 riders/day.• Transit ridership/capita increases from 11.75 rides/year to 12.25

rides/year

Improved transit service

coverage and transit

ridership

• Bicycle/pedestrian facility mileage planned to increase from 208 miles to 1,066 miles.

Expanded bicycle and

pedestrian system and

connectivity

• Average travel time predicted to decrease from 14.43 minutes per trip to 14.01 minutes per trip. Average travel time for work trips predicted to decrease from 22.13 minutes per trip to 21.27 minutes per trip.

• Average trip length predicted to decrease from 8.12 miles per trip to 7.84 per trip. Average trip length for work trips predicted to decrease from 13.83 miles per trip to 13.28 miles per trip

Shorter travel times and trips,

or better access to employment

and destinations


Average percentage of household income spent on transportation predicted to decrease from 22.1% to 21.6%

Lower household travel costs

• VMT/capita predicted to decrease from 28.69 to 27.65

• Total GHG emissions (CO2E annual tons/year) predicted to decrease from

2,600,000 to 1,750,000.

• GHG/capita predicted to decrease from 5.27 to 2.85

VMT and GHG emissions trend downward on a per

capita basis

PERFORMANCE RESULTS CONTINUED


Local safety

improvements

Improved experience

for transit riders

Increased

neighborhood mobility

Better environment for

pedestrians and

bicyclists

Enhancements to

existing infrastructureADA improvements

Local Operational

Improvements

BENEFITS NOT MEASURED IN PERFORMANCE ASSESSMENT


REMAINING CHALLENGES

• The percentage of trips made using non-auto modes (8.5% of all trips) is predicted to stay the same in the future.

Continued reliance on automobiles

• Daily hours lost due to congestion expected to increase by roughly 1/3 in the future.• Hours lost due to congestion for each person each month is predicted to increase from 1.4

hours to 1.7 hours.

Increased traffic congestion and delay

• Countywide pavement condition in the “at risk” category• Historic budget shortfalls for transit• Many CTP projects are currently unfunded

Significant maintenance needs and funding shortfalls

• Daily crashes expected to increase from 6.4 to 7.6 in the absence of specific safety measures and policies. The countywide Vision Zero project and many other local projects are specifically intended to improve safety in Sonoma County.

No countywide reduction in collision rates


HOW TO ACHIEVE CTP VISION AND GOALS


SUPPORTING PLANNING EFFORTS


SHIFT SONOMA COUNTY

• GOALS• Reduce VMT• Shift single occupant vehicle trips to

biking or walking• Increase transit ridership• Reduce average household travel

costs• STRATEGIES

• Transportation demand management / trip reductions

• Bike share• Car share

Mode Shift

• GOALS• Reduce countywide petroleum use

by 50%• 100,000 EVs by 2030• 11,000 charging stations by 2030• Increase access to clean

transportation for low income households

• Electrify municipal fleets• STRATEGIES

• Increased EV adoption• Expanded EV charging

infrastructure

Fuel Shift


SONOMA COUNTY CLIMATE MOBILIZATION STRATEGY

• Build a network that makes it safe to bike and walk.• Implement Vision Zero Action Plan to make walking and biking safer.• Develop a “next generation” transit system for Sonoma County.• Implement the SCTA Comprehensive Transportation Plan.

Drive Less Sonoma County

Campaign

• Develop over 10,000 public and workplace charging stations in Sonoma County.• Address barriers for installing charging equipment and limiting fossil fuel

infrastructure.• Support the use of electric bicycles and other lightweight electric utility vehicles.• Increase the use of heavy-duty EVs through infrastructure planning and

incentives.• Create an accessible and affordable EV assistance service.

EV Access for All Partnership

• Develop a VMT mitigation banking structure for new development to fund transportation demand management (TDM) and VMT reducing projects and programs

Vehicle Miles Traveled Mitigation Bank


TRANSPORTATION FUNDING NEED

$10 billion needfor 25 years

$2.1 billion in road maintenance$5 billion for transit


Task Name June July August September

Advisory Committee Presentations

Draft CTP Presentation to SCTA/RCPA Board

Public Comment

Board Approval

SCHEDULE OF NEXT STEPS


SCTA.CA.GOV/2050Moving Forward 2050 Plan

[email protected]

QUESTIONS?

THANK YOU

moving forward 2050

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