mossel bay feasibility study and competitor impact

23
18 Varing Street P O Box 9059 George, 6530 15 March 2021 Our Ref: 20-058_CIA(rev0) Paprenax Trading 6 CC Pinnacle Point MOSSEL BAY 6500 FEASIBILITY STUDY AND COMPETITOR IMPACT ASSESSMENT FOR PROPOSED NEW FILLING STATION, ERF 13996, MOSSELBAY 1 INTRODUCTION Urban Engineering (Pty) Ltd was appointed by Paprenax Trading 6 CC to undertake a competitor impact assessment for a proposed new filling station on erf 13996, KwaNonqaba, Mossel Bay. 2 OBJECTIVE OF THIS REPORT The aim of this report is to assess the effect of the proposed new filling station on competitor sites. It is therefore necessary to estimate the projected sales of the proposed site as well as all existing filling stations. The assessment was based on the site being developed into a standard filling station with a canopy covered forecourt with four pump islands, a fast-food restaurant and a 370 m 2 convenience store (refer to section 2 below). 3 SITE LOCALITY AND PROPOSED DEVELOPMENT Erf 13996 hereafter referred to as “the proposed site” or “the site” is located in the residential suburb of KwaNonqaba in Mossel Bay, Western Cape. The site is bordered by Mooney Street in the north, Mayixhale street in the east and Louis Fourie road (TR33/1) in the south. A basic locality plan has been included as Figure 1 below. Figure 1 – Locality of the proposed site

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18 Varing Street P O Box 9059 George, 6530

15 March 2021 Our Ref: 20-058_CIA(rev0)

Paprenax Trading 6 CC Pinnacle Point MOSSEL BAY 6500

FEASIBILITY STUDY AND COMPETITOR IMPACT ASSESSMENT FOR PROPOSED NEW FILLING STATION, ERF 13996, MOSSELBAY

1 INTRODUCTION

Urban Engineering (Pty) Ltd was appointed by Paprenax Trading 6 CC to undertake a competitor

impact assessment for a proposed new filling station on erf 13996, KwaNonqaba, Mossel Bay.

2 OBJECTIVE OF THIS REPORT

The aim of this report is to assess the effect of the proposed new filling station on competitor sites.

It is therefore necessary to estimate the projected sales of the proposed site as well as all existing

filling stations.

The assessment was based on the site being developed into a standard filling station with a canopy

covered forecourt with four pump islands, a fast-food restaurant and a 370 m2 convenience store

(refer to section 2 below).

3 SITE LOCALITY AND PROPOSED DEVELOPMENT

Erf 13996 hereafter referred to as “the proposed site” or “the site” is located in the residential

suburb of KwaNonqaba in Mossel Bay, Western Cape. The site is bordered by Mooney Street in the

north, Mayixhale street in the east and Louis Fourie road (TR33/1) in the south. A basic locality plan

has been included as Figure 1 below.

Figure 1 – Locality of the proposed site

Feasibility Study and Competitor Impact Assessment for Proposed New Filling Station, Erf 13996, Mossel Bay

Urban Engineering (Pty) Ltd

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The site is approximately 2,850 m2 in size. It is the site owner’s intention to develop a mixed-use site

that will provide the following:

• Filling station (80,000 litres storage capacity, 8 filling bays)

• Convenience store (185 m2 ground floor and 185 m2 first floor)

• Fast food restaurant (175m2 ground floor only)

• Office building (140m2 ground floor only)

The relevant site development plan has been attached as Annexure A, but for ease of reference an

extract has been attached as Figure 2 below.

Figure 2 – Proposed site development plan

KwaNonqaba is a low cost and affordable housing and informal settlement in Mossel Bay. The

estimated population of Mossel Bay is in excess of 100,000.

The surrounding residential area and new residential development will form a strong dedicated local

market for the proposed site. At present there is no filling station in KwaNonqaba. The only two

sites in close proximity are the Shell and Caltex approximately 2.3 km away. These sites are located

north and south of Louis Fourie road and are ideally located for transient traffic on this route and

local traffic in the suburbs to the north and south of Louis Fourie road, including KwaNonqaba. The

assessment area is within a radius of 3 km from the proposed site.

Feasibility Study and Competitor Impact Assessment for Proposed New Filling Station, Erf 13996, Mossel Bay

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4 ESTIMATED SALES OF THE PROPOSED SITE

The following empirical formula is used by the fuel industry to calculate the expected average litres

of fuel to be sold in a month:

𝐿 = 𝐴𝐷𝑇 × �̅� × 𝑝 × 𝑑

Where 𝐿 = Litres per month,

𝐴𝐷𝑇 = Vehicles per day (Annual Daily Traffic)

�̅� = Average fill per vehicle

𝑝 = Percentage vehicles of pass by traffic turning into the site

𝑑 = Average full normal trading days in a month

There is an established correlation between fuel sales and convenience store sales. The estimated

fuel, convenience store and restaurant sales combined will determine a site’s impact on competitor

sites and feasibility. The following sections detail the approach taken for estimating the fuel and

convenience store sales for the proposed development.

4.1 EXISTING TRAFFIC DEMAND

Traffic counts were used the determine the traffic demand past the site. A classified 12-hour traffic

count was conducted on Wednesday 28 August 2019 at the intersection of Louis Fourie road and

Mayixhale street, KwaNonqaba. The count was taken prior to the Covid-19 pandemic and traffic

volumes were uninfluenced by any form of lockdown or deviations as a result of unusual traffic

patterns.

The detailed traffic volumes have been attached as Annexure B.

The average daily traffic (ADT - light and heavy vehicles combined) exposed to the site is

approximately 18,055 vehicles per day at this stage, of which 16,638 are light passenger vehicles.

The ADT at the site on the day of the count is broken down as follows:

• ± 3229 veh/day travelling south bound on Mayixhale street past the site (A1).

• ± 3375 veh/day travelling north bound onto Mayixhale street past the site (B1).

• ± 9267 veh/day of mostly transient traffic travelling west or east bound on the Louis Fourie

road past the site that may possibly be intercepted (C1).

• ± 2184 veh/day travelling in past the site in a direction such that it is conservatively estimated

that these vehicles will not be intercepted (D1).

4.2 TRAFFIC GROWTH WITHIN THE ASSESSMENT AREA

Current traffic growth rates are expected to be low due to the economic conditions in the country

and the Covid-19 pandemic. Nevertheless, KwaNonqaba and the surrounding suburbs are

considered developing residentials areas. The Western Cape Government Road Network

Information System (RNIS) provides traffic count data and growth rates for various legs of Louis

Fourie road.

Feasibility Study and Competitor Impact Assessment for Proposed New Filling Station, Erf 13996, Mossel Bay

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Considering the existing economic circumstances and the potential growth in the area, the traffic

growth rates below are used for the assessment based on the RNIS growth rates:

• 3.5% per annum is assumed for the first 5 years (2022 – 2026)

• 2.0% per annum is assumed for the following 5 years (2027 – 2031); and

• 1.0% per annum thereafter

4.3 FUTURE ROAD CHANGES

The upgrade of Trunk Road TR33/1 (Contract C964) has already been implemented at the relevant

junction and no other significant changes are currently planned for the immediate local road

network.

4.4 AVERAGE FILL RATE PER VEHICLE

Average fuel fill rates per vehicle for filling stations vary depending on the type of traffic that the

site is exposed to. Where the majority of traffic is transient, higher average fill rates can be

expected.

The proposed site will cater for some transient commuter traffic travelling on Louis Fourie road

and local traffic travelling on Mayixhale and Louis Fourie road. The site will be exposed mainly to

local and residential traffic, with a number of minibus taxis being likely. The minibus taxis will likely

have slightly higher fill rates.

Based on previous similar studies and volume forecasts for new filling stations, the average petrol

fill rates per vehicle are estimated at 12 litres per vehicle for a combination of light and heavy

local and transient traffic for the purpose of this assessment.

4.5 EVALUATION OF FACTORS DETERMINING INCEPTION PERCENTAGES

Various factors will influence the interception percentages of passing vehicle traffic for a filling

station, with convenience having the highest impact and filling station brand the lowest.

For example:

• If there are two filling stations on either side of a road between a motorist’s residence and

place of employment, the service station on the homebound side of the road will be more

convenient as a motorist will usually fill up on the way home.

• If there are two equally convenient filling stations on route, a motorist will likely choose the

station offering the best service or facilities.

• If two sites offer the same convenience and the same level of service or facilities, a motorist

will likely choose their preferred oil company brand.

The various factors determining the inception or turn-in percentage were evaluated for the

proposed site and a rating given to each. The rating scale and factors are described below:

RATING SCALE FOR CRITERIA DETERMINING TURN-IN PERCENTAGE

1 - VERY POOR 2 - POOR 3 - AVERAGE 4 - GOOD 5 - VERY GOOD

Feasibility Study and Competitor Impact Assessment for Proposed New Filling Station, Erf 13996, Mossel Bay

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VISIBILITY

A service station with excellent visibility will present a good view of the service station from a

reasonable distance with the main sign, canopy, entrance to the site and pumping position being

visible from the road. The visibility will determine how much time a passing motorist has to decide

whether to use a specific facility or not, considering the relevant speed limit. In a suburban

environment, at least 7 to 10 seconds of decision time is considered adequate.

Visibility for the proposed site is rated 3. The filling station will be visible from the Louis Fourie

road and Mayixhale street. Since a high percentage of traffic travelling on Mayixhale street is

considered to be residential traffic, these motorists will be aware of the existence of the filling

station.

ACCESSIBILTY

A filling station with excellent accessibility will have unhindered access from the nearside road

without any level problems, a good site layout, good on-site turning circles and easy exit back into

the traffic flow.

Accessibility of the site is rated 2 as accessibility is poor for transient traffic and the main entrance

and exit from and onto Mayixhale street is only available to north bound traffic on Mayixhale

street. Secondary access is provided from Mooney street.

TRAFFIC VOLUMES

Traffic volume is the number of vehicles passing a site at the entrance of the filling station

determined from the traffic count. High traffic flows on a nearby road will not necessarily equate

to high traffic volumes through the site. The type of traffic (home bound, work bound, transient

etc.) passing a site will have a major effect on inception percentages.

The traffic volume on this route is rated 3. Mayixhale street is the north-to-south link through

KwaNonqaba from Louis Fourie road in the north (Voorbaai) and Louis Fourie road in the south,

but serves mostly local traffic. The site will serve mainly residential traffic with limited transient

and commercial traffic.

TRADE AREA

Trade area is a description of the type of area a service station is located in. These are ranked

from best (1) to worst (7) as 1) High-density residential areas, 2) Medium density residential, 3)

Low density residential, 4) CBD, 5) Industrial, 6) Commuter and 7) Transient.

Cyclic or seasonal effects (such as on national routes or in purely residential areas during holiday

periods) and traffic generators such as hospitals, schools, libraries and shops in the area also

contribute to the value of the trade area.

The trade area is rated 3. KwaNonqaba is a low-income residential area. There are a few new low-

cost housing developments in the area, although these are located closer to competitor sites.

Feasibility Study and Competitor Impact Assessment for Proposed New Filling Station, Erf 13996, Mossel Bay

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OPPOSITION SITES NEARBY

Opposition sites nearby may negatively affect estimated sales volumes. Sites outside a 3 km radius

or sites with different traffic flows (such as sites close to the target site but on the other side of a

barrier), will likely not have a major effect on estimate volumes.

The target site has two opposition sites targeting the local market in KwaNonqaba, but these sites

are approximately 2.3 km away from the site – opposition is rated 3. These existing sites also have

their own local market.

FACILITIES PROVIDED

Additional facilities such as a convenience store, restaurant or other facilities are taking into

consideration. Good quality facilities will increase inception percentages.

As the site will offer a fast-food restaurant and convenience store, the facilities provided are

rated 4.

SERVICES PROVIDED

The quality of service offered, the attitude and appearance of the staff and the tasks they perform

while attending to the motorist will affect inception percentages. As this is a proposed

development, current service is not rated.

4.6 ESTIMATED INCEPTION PERCENTAGES

The average rating for the proposed site based on the factors influencing the turn-in percentage

as described in section 4.5 above is 3 (AVERAGE). The estimated interception percentages for light

and heavy vehicles are provided in Table 1 below. These percentages are based on previous

studies.

ADT = ± 18,055 veh/day PASSING SITE

ROAD AND DIRECTION INTERCEPTION PERCENTAGE

MAYIXHALE RD SOUTH BOUND (A1) 6 %

MAYIXHALE RD NORTH BOUND (B1) 12 %

POSSIBLY INTERCEPTABLE TRANSIENT TRAFFIC (C1) 1 %

NEGLIGIBLE TRAFFIC ON OR OFF LOUIS FOURIE RD (D1) 0.5 %

Table 1 – Estimated inception percentages

The volume calculations in Table 2 and Table 3 below are based on the interception percentages

given in Table 1.

4.7 FULL TRADING DAYS IN MONTHS

The definition of full normal trading days in a month is the number of days where trading is similar

to that of typical weekday (Tuesday, Wednesday or Thursday) during a week with no holidays or

public holidays. Trading days for filling stations are determined by traffic volumes. Thus, if there

is no variation in traffic there will be 30.5 (365/12) full normal trading days in a month. If traffic

demand is lower over a weekend, the full normal trading days in a month will decrease, even

though a filling station is operated 24 hours per day.

Feasibility Study and Competitor Impact Assessment for Proposed New Filling Station, Erf 13996, Mossel Bay

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Although transient traffic on Louis Fourie road will decrease on weekends, local traffic will remain

nearly constant throughout the year. As the site will serve mainly local/resident traffic, the

number of trading days per month is estimated at 30.

4.8 ESTIMATE MONTHLY FUEL SALES

The estimated fuel sales are calculated in Table 2 and Table 3 below:

Table 2 – Estimated monthly sales based on inception percentages

Table 3 – Forecast estimated sales

From Table 3 it follows that after 2 years of operation, the proposed filling station will exceed the

Department of Energy’s Benchmark Service Station of 2,789,581 liter per year (average of 232,487

per month) as per the Regulatory Accounts System (RAS).

4.9 CONVENIENCE STORE SALES

There is a correlation between fuel sales and convenience store sales that is commonly used in

the industry. The average convenience store sales are estimated as between R1.20 and R1.50 per

litre of fuel sold for a service station with a branded convenience store and in-store food offering.

Feasibility Study and Competitor Impact Assessment for Proposed New Filling Station, Erf 13996, Mossel Bay

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As the target market is local residential, customer loyalty or customers who frequent a specific

filling station may also influence sales.

5 IMPACT ON EXISTING FILLING STATIONS

To determine the impact of a proposed new filling station on surrounding existing filling stations,

common industry practice is to assess the effect on all existing filling stations within a 3 km radius

of the proposed new filling station. Physical barriers such as freeways, railway lines and airports or

natural barriers such as mountains, rivers and dams will create different catchment markets for a

site which will dampen the effect.

For this assessment, the assessment area was divided into sections based on the type of traffic (local

vs transient) when considering the effect on competitor sites:

• The local market of KwaNonqaba east and west of the Mayixhale street

• Louis Fourie road - transient traffic on the provincial road

• The area north of KwaNonqaba, separated from the local catchment market by a large open

area with mixed industrial and informal agricultural developments.

The existing filling stations and factors that will determine the impact of the proposed site on these

existing sites are discussed in the sections below.

5.1 COMPETITOR SITES

Three existing filling stations are located within the assessment area (within a 3km radius of the

site). Other filling stations outside the assessment area may be impacted by the site, but the effect

is considered negligible as these sites have different target and catchment markets. Figure 3

illustrates the location of the competitor filling stations in relation to the proposed site within the

assessment area.

Figure 3 – Location of competitor sites in relation to a 3 km radius assessment area

Feasibility Study and Competitor Impact Assessment for Proposed New Filling Station, Erf 13996, Mossel Bay

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5.1.1 CALTEX DE’ALMEIDA SERVICE STATION

This is an old-fashioned style filling station. It has a convenience store and ATM, but no

restaurant. It is frequented by minibus taxis as its attraction is the accessibility of residential

areas adjacent to the site. With the residential trade area, it is estimated that this site pumps in

the region of 250 000 litres per month.

Figure 4 – Caltex D’Almeida filling station

5.1.2 SHELL MOSSEL BAY MALL

This is more modern style filling station than the Caltex filling station described above. It is

situated at the Mossel Bay mall shopping centre. Due to the location, the layout may appear

cramped and accessibility limited. There is limited parking space available on site. This station’s

convenience store is currently being renovated which will improve the facilities offered. It is

estimated that this filling station pumps in excess of 300,000 litres per month. This will likely

increase once the convenience store renovation has been completed.

Figure 5 - Shell Mossel Bay Mall filling station

Feasibility Study and Competitor Impact Assessment for Proposed New Filling Station, Erf 13996, Mossel Bay

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5.1.3 TOTAL SSK

This small modern style filling station with a convenience store is located 3.6 km away from the

proposed site when travelling via Mayixhale street. It is located next to the SSK Agricultural

Cooperation. Although it is inside the 3 km radius of the assessment area, it shares a trade area

with the two subsequent sites. As this site lies on the north side of Louis Fourie road and is

separated from the proposed site by a natural barrier (a ridge and a large area of mixed

agricultural/industrial use with undeveloped land in between), it has its own catchment market.

The effect of the proposed site on this existing filling station is considered negligible. It is

estimated that this filling station pumps in excess of 300,000 litres per month.

Figure 6 - Total SSK filling station

5.1.4 ATLANTIC OIL VOORBAAI AND ENGEN OCEAN VIEW

These two sites are located next to each other close to the Total SSK filling station, but outside

the 3 km radius assessment area and with different trade areas and catchment markets to the

proposed site. The impact of the new site on these sites will likely only be the sharing of some

north bound transient traffic on Louis Fourie road. It is estimated that both these sites pump in

excess of 200,000 litres per month.

Figure 7 – Atlantic Oil Voorbaai

Feasibility Study and Competitor Impact Assessment for Proposed New Filling Station, Erf 13996, Mossel Bay

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Figure 8 – Engen Ocean View

5.2 SHARED TRAFFIC VOLUMES

To assess the impact of the proposed filling station on other existing filling stations, the shared

traffic streams were determined based on the 2016 RNIS traffic counts with adjusted growth rates

applied. The percentage of shared traffic only gives an indication of the daily traffic movement

patterns and no inference can be made on loss of fuel sales at existing stations.

The estimated shared traffic volumes are presented in Table 4 below.

Table 4 – Shared traffic between the new site and existing filling stations

5.3 MOVING MARKET FACTOR BETWEEN FILLING STATIONS

A new filling station will have an impact on nearby filling stations that serve the same traffic

stream. Most filling stations attract between 1% to 8% of the passing traffic stream. The remaining

traffic will fill up elsewhere along their route. For the purposed of this assessment, the main area

of influence is considered within a 3 km radius of the proposed site, with a small effect on other

sites outside the assessment area.

Feasibility Study and Competitor Impact Assessment for Proposed New Filling Station, Erf 13996, Mossel Bay

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The number of filling stations in an area will determine the overall impact of any new filling station

on the remaining filling stations. If there is only one existing filling station in an area, a new filling

station close to the existing one will take away a large percentage of the existing filling station’s

customers. If there are a large number of filling stations in an area, a new filling station will take

away a smaller percentage of the market share of each existing filling station.

If an existing filling station captures 8% of the passing traffic and a new fillings station upstream

or downstream opens, also capturing 8% of the passing traffic, the two filling stations will not

capture the same 8% of the passing traffic stream. When a new filling station opens there will be

a moving market – customers of the existing filling station that will “move” to the new filling

station due various factors.

The said factors are detailed in Table 5 below with estimated moving market factors for each

factor.

Table 5 – Moving market factor

The various factors described thus far can be combined with the estimated fuel sales to assess the

potential impact of the proposed site on existing sites. The information is summarized in Table 6

below. These calculations are attached as Annexure C.

Table 6 - Impact on surrounding sites

The development and operation of the proposed new filling station will initially have a negative

effect on the five closest filling stations, but all existing filling stations should be able to recover

the possible lost sales within 3 to 5 years.

A brief explanation of each column in Table 6 is presented below:

PRESENT ESTIMATED FUEL SALE VOLUME – the current estimated fuel sales volumes per month

for each site.

Feasibility Study and Competitor Impact Assessment for Proposed New Filling Station, Erf 13996, Mossel Bay

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The present fuel sales volume is estimated by considering the following:

• Potential pass-by traffic per day (ADT) as per Table 4

• Trading days per month – assume 30 days per month

• Average fill for the sites in the area – estimated as 12 litres/vehicle

• Average interception rate for traffic passing the site (ranging from 3.5 – 6.25 %)

MOVING MARKET FACTOR - Refer to Table 5

LOST FUEL SALES – potential sales lost to the proposed new filling station if developed, calculated

by multiplying the moving market factor with the present sales volume.

PRESENT FUEL SALES – LOST FUEL – potential remaining fuel sales after loss to the new filling

station.

THREE-YEAR FUTURE SALES – recovered fuel sales at the applicable growth rate (refer to section

4.2) to determine what the impact is on a competitor site once the proposed site reaches its

assumed potential after three years.

It is assumed that the fuel sales for the area can increase by 2-5% per annum, depending on the

new developments in the area. This growth will be driven by the completed new developments as

well as various planned developments in the area.

From Table 3, an approximation was made that the proposed site has a potential sales volume of

± 250 000 litres of fuel per month for the base year of which ± 175,000 – 210,000 litres per month

could possibly be gained from the surrounding sites.

Based on the potential growth and accessibility of available new markets, it is estimated that the

proposed new filling station will not jeopardize the feasibility of any competitor filling stations in

the assessment area.

6 CONCLUSION

The estimated fuel sales volume for the proposed filling station’s third year of operation is

± 280 000 litres per month. The volume is expected to grow as the surrounding areas develops. The

convenience store and fast-food restaurant facilities will likely increase the inception percentages

of passing traffic. The estimated projected fuel sales are summarized in Table 3.

It is our opinion that the impact of the proposed new filling station development will not jeopardize

the viability of any of the existing filling stations in the area. General traffic growth in the area will

likely ensure the recovery of some losses incurred due to competition with the new filling station.

There are also other options available to existing filling stations to increase the attractiveness of

their offering and recover potential fuel sales losses.

Prepared by:

Ruan Espach (B. Eng) (on behalf of Urban Engineering (Pty) Ltd)

Urban Engineering (Pty) Ltd

ANNEXURE A SITE DEVELOPMENT PLAN

ERF 13996 MOSSELBAAI - Hersoneer na BZVI - 2885 vk.m

GERIEFSWINKEL + KANTORE = 322 vk.m

T O T A A L = 791 vk.m

VOV = 0.27 < Maks 1 - OK

"DRIVE THROUGH" = 158 vk.m

DEKKING 791 / 2885 = 27,4 % < Maks 75% - OK

B U I L D I N G C O N S U L T A N T S

2885,39m²

Erf 13996

1399113992

1399313994

13995

68,9

9m

63,99m

42,0

0m

37,0

1m

7,07m

MAYIXHALE 25,00m

5,0m Boulyn

Men

s C

hang

e

R

oom

Ladi

es C

hang

e

R

oom

Dis

able

WC

Publ

ic W

C

STO

RAG

EW

alk

inFr

eeze

r

Wal

k in

Col

d R

m

Kitc

hen

Bake

ryO

ffice

Poin

t of S

ale

Gon

dola

Gon

dola

Gon

dola

Atte

ndan

tsAT

MC

offe

e

Generator

Compressor

C-STORE

DRIVE THROUGH

UNDERGROUND TANKS

FILL

ER C

ON

TAIN

MEN

T

PUM

P IS

LAND

1

PUM

P IS

LAND

2

PUM

P IS

LAND

3

PUM

P IS

LAND

4

TO & FROM MOONEY STR

30m3 25m3 25m3

10 PPM50 PPMLRP

AFDAK OOR POMPE = 311 vk.m

Parkering benodig 4/100 vk.m = 480/100x4 = 19 Parkering voorsien = 23 Oop + 8 O/Dak = 31 = OK

13 x Parkings

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

8

5,0m Bou

lyn

ESTATE AGENT

10 x

Par

king

s

Dis

able

WC

Publ

ic W

C

Offi

ce

Kitc

hen

Drive Thru Sales

Sales Counter

Vullis

Staff Room

Dry Store

Cold Room

Freezer

Col

lect

ion

Urban Engineering (Pty) Ltd

ANNEXURE B TRAFFIC COUNT DATA

Mayixhale Street

1 2 3

9 8 7

456

121110

Spekboom Street

Louis Fourie RoadLouis Fourie Road

NORT

H

Projek Naam: Mayixhale

Plek/Location:

Datum/Date:

Teller/Counter:

L S MBT L S MBT L S MBT L S MBT L S MBT L S MBT

06:00 - 06:15 3 0 0 5 0 0 8 0 5 15 0 5 28 3 5 1 0 0

06:15 - 06:30 11 1 1 9 0 1 18 1 10 28 2 9 56 3 10 3 0 0

06:30 - 06:45 27 3 2 17 1 2 47 1 18 49 5 10 100 5 14 11 0 1

06:45 - 07:00 89 3 2 41 1 3 86 3 25 77 6 15 180 5 23 29 0 1

07:00 - 07:15 107 4 3 57 1 3 157 4 31 127 7 22 286 7 32 47 0 2

07:15 - 07:30 181 6 6 63 1 3 221 5 49 191 8 34 465 8 45 65 2 2

07:30 - 07:45 236 7 12 70 1 4 286 5 57 242 11 38 622 8 51 87 2 2

07:45 - 08:00 268 9 12 84 1 4 359 8 72 318 12 49 767 12 54 107 4 2

08:00 - 08:15 286 11 13 93 2 4 387 11 78 343 13 51 830 19 55 125 5 3

08:15 - 08:30 298 12 13 103 2 4 415 11 82 383 13 56 887 27 57 131 6 3

08:30 - 08:45 313 13 13 114 2 4 437 11 88 409 14 60 939 33 57 143 8 3

08:45 - 09:00 336 13 13 116 3 4 475 12 91 442 16 63 1000 37 61 154 8 3

09:00 - 09:15 351 13 14 122 4 4 498 12 92 477 16 65 1051 39 61 164 9 3

09:15 - 09:30 359 14 14 125 4 4 520 15 93 499 16 65 1097 39 62 175 9 3

09:30 - 09:45 369 17 14 129 5 4 529 15 93 521 16 67 1146 44 64 192 10 3

09:45 - 10:00 377 18 14 134 5 5 556 16 94 541 17 73 1201 45 67 208 11 5

10:00 - 10:15 394 19 14 138 5 5 573 16 95 583 19 74 1285 47 69 232 13 5

10:15 - 10:30 411 19 14 144 5 5 590 17 96 602 19 79 1335 50 71 245 13 7

10:30 - 10:45 428 20 14 156 6 5 621 17 97 642 21 81 1401 51 74 258 17 7

10:45 - 11:00 444 20 14 163 8 5 642 18 98 673 21 83 1467 52 76 274 17 7

11:00 - 11:15 460 21 14 172 9 5 665 20 98 698 21 83 1542 53 77 284 17 7

11:15 - 11:30 469 22 14 179 11 5 701 21 101 726 21 83 1610 54 78 303 18 8

11:30 - 11:45 479 23 15 187 11 5 731 21 101 749 21 87 1694 59 81 323 18 8

11:45 - 12:00 497 25 16 192 11 5 756 22 101 789 23 90 1781 63 83 342 18 8

12:00 - 12:15 510 26 16 200 11 5 776 22 103 828 23 94 1883 65 86 356 23 9

12:15 - 12:30 525 32 17 203 11 5 799 22 104 872 25 97 1963 66 89 373 23 9

12:30 - 12:45 531 33 17 211 11 5 823 25 106 890 25 98 2008 69 90 389 24 9

12:45 - 13:00 555 35 17 220 12 5 863 26 108 917 25 103 2106 70 94 421 25 10

13:00 - 13:15 571 38 17 230 12 6 899 26 109 944 26 104 2188 72 96 440 26 10

13:15 - 13:30 583 39 17 236 12 6 927 28 111 971 27 107 2253 72 97 466 26 10

13:30 - 13:45 595 39 17 243 12 6 947 31 111 998 27 111 2318 74 97 479 27 11

13:45 - 14:00 606 43 17 250 12 6 976 31 115 1025 30 112 2391 76 100 504 28 12

14:00 - 14:15 619 45 17 255 13 6 1021 33 119 1061 30 118 2503 78 101 530 28 15

14:15 - 14:30 630 46 17 260 14 7 1049 34 119 1087 31 122 2604 83 105 564 29 15

14:30 - 14:45 650 48 17 270 14 8 1077 34 120 1124 31 124 2721 84 114 589 30 16

14:45 - 15:00 670 48 17 276 14 8 1112 35 122 1163 31 131 2826 88 115 607 30 18

15:00 - 15:15 696 51 20 280 15 8 1149 35 122 1194 32 136 2939 90 117 637 30 19

15:15 - 15:30 708 52 20 284 15 10 1184 36 124 1241 33 140 3041 91 117 655 30 19

15:30 - 15:45 718 53 20 293 16 10 1215 37 126 1265 33 145 3113 98 121 673 30 20

15:45 - 16:00 730 55 20 309 16 10 1260 39 129 1309 34 150 3209 100 122 693 30 20

16:00 - 16:15 752 57 21 314 16 10 1292 39 131 1343 36 156 3275 102 125 700 30 20

16:15 - 16:30 779 58 21 322 16 10 1339 45 134 1404 38 167 3395 103 131 723 30 20

16:30 - 16:45 806 59 22 332 17 10 1383 47 137 1463 40 176 3515 105 137 740 30 21

16:45 - 17:00 832 59 25 339 17 10 1429 47 138 1508 41 181 3638 106 139 760 30 22

17:00 - 17:15863 60 27 343 17 10 1476 47 141 1554 41 190 3775 106 141 777 30 22

17:15 - 17:30898 60 28 351 18 10 1526 48 142 1625 42 197 3925 109 141 790 30 22

17:30 - 17:45935 62 29 358 18 11 1566 50 144 1680 44 207 4009 111 143 804 31 23

17:45 - 18:00 953 62 31 360 18 11 1598 50 146 1729 47 211 4084 114 145 811 32 24

3

Direction

4

Direction

65

Verkeerstelling/Traffic Count

Mayixhale afrit

Tyd

29-Aug-19

1 2

Projek Naam: Mayixhale

Plek/Location:

Datum/Date:

Teller/Counter:

L S MBT L S MBT L S MBT L S MBT L S MBT L S MBT

06:00 - 06:15 4 0 0 2 0 0 2 0 2 0 0 0 17 2 3 6 0 0

06:15 - 06:30 5 0 0 7 0 1 4 0 2 4 0 0 41 3 8 12 1 2

06:30 - 06:45 12 0 0 11 0 2 6 0 2 10 0 1 99 5 14 34 1 6

06:45 - 07:00 17 0 1 21 0 4 10 0 2 27 0 2 208 7 21 60 1 7

07:00 - 07:15 39 0 1 24 0 4 16 0 2 42 1 3 412 7 27 85 1 7

07:15 - 07:30 59 1 1 31 0 4 26 0 2 54 2 3 593 9 31 107 2 7

07:30 - 07:45 73 1 1 37 0 4 40 0 2 69 4 3 725 11 40 137 2 7

07:45 - 08:00 89 2 1 46 0 4 52 1 2 82 7 3 849 22 56 174 2 7

08:00 - 08:15 102 2 1 53 0 5 62 2 3 91 11 3 913 25 58 182 3 7

08:15 - 08:30 114 2 1 58 0 5 71 3 3 103 16 3 975 35 58 201 6 7

08:30 - 08:45 124 3 3 65 0 5 76 3 3 110 18 3 1032 41 59 221 6 7

08:45 - 09:00 140 3 4 79 0 5 79 4 3 120 22 3 1111 46 60 234 9 7

09:00 - 09:15 148 3 4 83 1 5 82 6 3 125 22 3 1186 48 63 244 12 7

09:15 - 09:30 158 4 6 90 1 6 92 8 3 131 22 3 1233 50 65 262 13 7

09:30 - 09:45 175 6 7 93 2 6 99 9 3 147 22 4 1310 53 67 270 14 7

09:45 - 10:00 192 6 7 105 2 6 104 12 3 166 23 4 1388 58 68 285 15 8

10:00 - 10:15 202 7 8 119 3 6 113 12 4 178 26 4 1480 61 68 301 17 8

10:15 - 10:30 207 7 8 123 3 6 118 13 4 189 27 4 1537 63 68 309 18 9

10:30 - 10:45 218 7 8 132 3 6 127 15 4 201 30 4 1626 64 69 324 19 9

10:45 - 11:00 229 8 8 137 4 6 135 17 4 211 34 4 1702 68 69 334 21 10

11:00 - 11:15 249 9 8 142 5 6 140 18 4 217 35 4 1777 75 71 342 26 10

11:15 - 11:30 266 9 8 147 5 6 144 19 4 223 37 4 1856 75 73 351 28 10

11:30 - 11:45 283 10 8 153 6 6 149 19 4 225 38 4 1931 77 73 363 29 10

11:45 - 12:00 298 10 8 158 7 6 163 21 4 236 41 4 2015 79 75 377 30 10

12:00 - 12:15 327 10 8 167 7 6 168 23 4 251 43 4 2081 85 75 391 34 10

12:15 - 12:30 340 11 8 174 7 8 183 23 4 257 46 5 2150 85 75 404 35 10

12:30 - 12:45 351 11 8 178 7 8 189 23 4 266 47 5 2208 88 78 413 35 10

12:45 - 13:00 371 11 8 190 7 8 200 24 4 274 49 5 2300 93 79 432 36 10

13:00 - 13:15 399 14 8 195 7 9 211 24 4 284 51 5 2396 98 79 445 37 10

13:15 - 13:30 416 15 8 201 8 9 229 26 4 308 53 5 2456 99 81 455 39 10

13:30 - 13:45 433 15 9 204 9 10 237 27 6 320 56 6 2528 101 85 467 39 12

13:45 - 14:00 459 15 9 213 9 11 254 29 6 331 56 7 2633 105 88 479 39 12

14:00 - 14:15 485 15 10 217 9 11 264 29 7 347 57 8 2741 107 88 492 40 13

14:15 - 14:30 503 15 10 232 10 11 283 29 7 357 57 8 2814 109 88 522 41 14

14:30 - 14:45 512 15 10 235 12 13 285 29 7 363 58 9 2849 111 91 528 43 15

14:45 - 15:00 531 15 12 243 12 13 305 29 7 380 58 11 2938 114 92 546 46 15

15:00 - 15:15 551 15 12 258 12 13 323 30 7 399 59 12 3009 116 95 573 46 15

15:15 - 15:30 575 16 12 272 12 13 341 30 7 410 59 14 3065 120 96 591 51 16

15:30 - 15:45 587 16 12 285 12 13 359 30 8 420 59 15 3129 121 97 610 53 16

15:45 - 16:00 605 18 12 295 12 15 375 30 8 428 60 15 3211 123 100 624 53 17

16:00 - 16:15 616 18 12 317 12 16 394 32 10 441 60 16 3299 126 102 640 54 18

16:15 - 16:30 635 18 13 329 13 16 412 32 10 450 60 16 3385 130 102 665 56 19

16:30 - 16:45 648 18 13 342 13 16 423 34 11 458 60 16 3532 132 107 713 57 20

16:45 - 17:00 665 19 13 354 14 16 444 34 11 475 60 16 3675 132 108 762 58 21

17:00 - 17:15696 20 13 371 17 18 459 34 11 492 60 16 3778 133 108 801 59 21

17:15 - 17:30715 20 13 383 17 18 477 34 11 515 60 16 3891 136 109 833 59 21

17:30 - 17:45728 21 13 394 17 18 485 35 11 523 60 16 3978 138 111 858 61 21

17:45 - 18:00 744 21 14 401 17 18 492 35 11 532 60 16 4064 138 114 870 61 21

29-Aug-19

7 8 9 10 11

Direction

12

Direction

Verkeerstelling/Traffic Count

Mayixhale afrit

Tyd

Site Mayixhale_Spekboom_Louis FourieDate 29-08-19Surveyor NVTSWeather SunnySite Layout ;

1 2 3

Luois Fourie Rd

12 4

11 5

10 6

9 8 7

Time Period

Start End Total 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 Total 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 Total 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 Total 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 Total

6:00 6:15 116 3 5 8 15 28 1 4 2 2 0 17 6 91 0 0 5 5 5 0 0 0 2 0 3 0 20 0 0 0 0 3 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 5

6:15 6:30 137 8 4 10 13 28 2 1 5 2 4 24 6 107 1 1 5 4 5 0 0 1 0 0 5 2 24 1 0 1 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 6

6:30 6:45 263 16 8 29 21 44 8 7 4 2 6 58 22 225 1 1 8 1 4 1 0 1 0 1 6 4 28 2 1 0 3 2 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 10

6:45 7:00 461 62 24 39 28 80 18 5 10 4 17 109 26 422 0 1 7 5 9 0 1 2 0 1 7 1 34 0 0 2 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 5

7:00 7:15 591 18 16 71 50 106 18 22 3 6 15 204 25 554 1 0 6 7 9 1 0 0 0 1 6 0 31 1 0 1 1 2 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 6

7:15 7:30 719 74 6 64 64 179 18 20 7 10 12 181 22 657 3 0 18 12 13 0 0 0 0 0 4 0 50 2 0 1 1 1 2 1 0 0 1 2 1 12

7:30 7:45 610 55 7 65 51 157 22 14 6 14 15 132 30 568 6 1 8 4 6 0 0 0 0 0 9 0 34 1 0 0 3 0 0 0 0 0 2 2 0 8

7:45 8:00 644 32 14 73 76 145 20 16 9 12 13 124 37 571 0 0 15 11 3 0 0 0 0 0 16 0 45 2 0 3 1 4 2 1 0 1 3 11 0 28

8:00 8:15 311 18 9 28 25 63 18 13 7 10 9 64 8 272 1 0 6 2 1 1 0 1 1 0 2 0 15 2 1 3 1 7 1 0 0 1 4 3 1 24

8:15 8:30 312 12 10 28 40 57 6 12 5 9 12 62 19 272 0 0 4 5 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 11 1 0 0 0 8 1 0 0 1 5 10 3 29

8:30 8:45 276 15 11 22 26 52 12 10 7 5 7 57 20 244 0 0 6 4 0 0 2 0 0 0 1 0 13 1 0 0 1 6 2 1 0 0 2 6 0 19

8:45 9:00 336 23 2 38 33 61 11 16 14 3 10 79 13 303 0 0 3 3 4 0 1 0 0 0 1 0 12 0 1 1 2 4 0 0 0 1 4 5 3 21

9:00 9:15 264 15 6 23 35 51 10 8 4 3 5 75 10 245 1 0 1 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 3 0 7 0 1 0 0 2 1 0 1 2 0 2 3 12

9:15 9:30 227 8 3 22 22 46 11 10 7 10 6 47 18 210 0 0 1 0 1 0 2 1 0 0 2 0 7 1 0 3 0 0 0 1 0 2 0 2 1 10

9:30 9:45 265 10 4 9 22 49 17 17 3 7 16 77 8 239 0 0 0 2 2 0 1 0 0 1 2 0 8 3 1 0 0 5 1 2 1 1 0 3 1 18

9:45 10:00 307 8 5 27 20 55 16 17 12 5 19 78 15 277 0 1 1 6 3 2 0 0 0 0 1 1 15 1 0 1 1 1 1 0 0 3 1 5 1 15

10:00 10:15 364 17 4 17 42 84 24 10 14 9 12 92 16 341 0 0 1 1 2 0 1 0 1 0 0 0 6 1 0 0 2 2 2 1 1 0 3 3 2 17

10:15 10:30 232 17 6 17 19 50 13 5 4 5 11 57 8 212 0 0 1 5 2 2 0 0 0 0 0 1 11 0 0 1 0 3 0 0 0 1 1 2 1 9

10:30 10:45 347 17 12 31 40 66 13 11 9 9 12 89 15 324 0 0 1 2 3 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 7 1 1 0 2 1 4 0 0 2 3 1 1 16

10:45 11:00 301 16 7 21 31 66 16 11 5 8 10 76 10 277 0 0 1 2 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 6 0 2 1 0 1 0 1 1 2 4 4 2 18

11:00 11:15 301 16 9 23 25 75 10 20 5 5 6 75 8 277 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 3 1 1 2 0 1 0 1 1 1 1 7 5 21

11:15 11:30 305 9 7 36 28 68 19 17 5 4 6 79 9 287 0 0 3 0 1 1 0 0 0 0 2 0 7 1 2 1 0 1 1 0 0 1 2 0 2 11

11:30 11:45 312 10 8 30 23 84 20 17 6 5 2 75 12 292 1 0 0 4 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 8 1 0 0 0 5 0 1 1 0 1 2 1 12

11:45 12:00 363 18 5 25 40 87 19 15 5 14 11 84 14 337 1 0 0 3 2 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 8 2 0 1 2 4 0 0 1 2 3 2 1 18

12:00 12:15 366 13 8 20 39 102 14 29 9 5 15 66 14 334 0 0 2 4 3 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 1 0 0 0 2 5 0 0 2 2 6 4 22

12:15 12:30 330 15 3 23 44 80 17 13 7 15 6 69 13 305 1 0 1 3 3 0 0 2 0 1 0 0 11 6 0 0 2 1 0 1 0 0 3 0 1 14

12:30 12:45 233 6 8 24 18 45 16 11 4 6 9 58 9 214 0 0 2 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 3 0 7 1 0 3 0 3 1 0 0 0 1 3 0 12

12:45 13:00 420 24 9 40 27 98 32 20 12 11 8 92 19 392 0 0 2 5 4 1 0 0 0 0 1 0 13 2 1 1 0 1 1 0 0 1 2 5 1 15

13:00 13:15 377 16 10 36 27 82 19 28 5 11 10 96 13 353 0 1 1 1 2 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 6 3 0 0 1 2 1 3 0 0 2 5 1 18

13:15 13:30 320 12 6 28 27 65 26 17 6 18 24 60 10 299 0 0 2 3 1 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 8 1 0 2 1 0 0 1 1 2 2 1 2 13

13:30 13:45 297 12 7 20 27 65 13 17 3 8 12 72 12 268 0 0 0 4 0 1 1 1 2 1 4 2 16 0 0 3 0 2 1 0 1 1 3 2 0 13

13:45 14:00 382 11 7 29 27 73 25 26 9 17 11 105 12 352 0 0 4 1 3 1 0 1 0 1 3 0 14 4 0 0 3 2 1 0 0 2 0 4 0 16

14:00 14:15 443 13 5 45 36 112 26 26 4 10 16 108 13 414 0 0 4 6 1 3 1 0 1 1 0 1 18 2 1 2 0 2 0 0 0 0 1 2 1 11

14:15 14:30 394 11 5 28 26 101 34 18 15 19 10 73 30 370 0 1 0 4 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 10 1 1 1 1 5 1 0 1 0 0 2 1 14

14:30 14:45 330 20 10 28 37 117 25 9 3 2 6 35 6 298 0 1 1 2 9 1 0 2 0 1 3 1 21 2 0 0 0 1 1 0 2 0 1 2 2 11

14:45 15:00 422 20 6 35 39 105 18 19 8 20 17 89 18 394 0 0 2 7 1 2 2 0 0 2 1 0 17 0 0 1 0 4 0 0 0 0 0 3 3 11

15:00 15:15 437 26 4 37 31 113 30 20 15 18 19 71 27 411 3 0 0 5 2 1 0 0 0 1 3 0 15 3 1 0 1 2 0 0 0 1 1 2 0 11

15:15 15:30 385 12 4 35 47 102 18 24 14 18 11 56 18 359 0 2 2 4 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 1 12 1 0 1 1 1 0 1 0 0 0 4 5 14

15:30 15:45 328 10 9 31 24 72 18 12 13 18 10 64 19 300 0 0 2 5 4 1 0 0 1 1 1 0 15 1 1 1 0 7 0 0 0 0 0 1 2 13

15:45 16:00 408 12 16 45 44 96 20 18 10 16 8 82 14 381 0 0 3 5 1 0 0 2 0 0 3 1 15 2 0 2 1 2 0 2 0 0 1 2 0 12

16:00 16:15 366 22 5 32 34 66 7 11 22 19 13 88 16 335 1 0 2 6 3 0 0 1 2 1 2 1 19 2 0 0 2 2 0 0 0 2 0 3 1 12

16:15 16:30 494 27 8 47 61 120 23 19 12 18 9 86 25 455 0 0 3 11 6 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 22 1 0 6 2 1 0 0 1 0 0 4 2 17

16:30 16:45 557 27 10 44 59 120 17 13 13 11 8 147 48 517 1 0 3 9 6 1 0 0 1 0 5 1 27 1 1 2 2 2 0 0 0 2 0 2 1 13

16:45 17:00 545 26 7 46 45 123 20 17 12 21 17 143 49 526 3 0 1 5 2 1 0 0 0 0 1 1 14 0 0 0 1 1 0 1 1 0 0 0 1 5

17:00 17:15 529 31 4 47 46 137 17 31 17 15 17 103 39 504 2 0 3 9 2 0 0 2 0 0 0 0 18 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 3 0 0 1 1 7

17:15 17:30 563 35 8 50 71 150 13 19 12 18 23 113 32 544 1 0 1 7 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 10 0 1 1 1 3 0 0 0 0 0 3 0 9

17:30 17:45 423 37 7 40 55 84 14 13 11 8 8 87 25 389 1 1 2 10 2 1 0 0 0 0 2 0 19 2 0 2 2 2 1 1 0 1 0 2 2 15

17:45 18:00 342 18 2 32 49 75 7 16 7 7 9 86 12 320 2 0 2 4 2 1 1 0 0 0 3 0 15 0 0 0 3 3 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 7

Total (5‐19) 18055 953 360 1598 1729 4084 811 744 401 492 532 4064 870 16638 31 11 146 211 145 24 14 18 11 16 114 21 762 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 62 18 50 47 114 32 21 17 35 60 138 61 655

AM Pk hour vol 2564 179 43 273 241 587 78 72 25 42 55 641 114 2350 10 1 47 34 31 1 0 0 0 1 35 0 160 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 6 0 5 6 7 4 2 0 1 7 15 1 54

7:00 to  8:00 Total AM Pk hour vol (Light + Heavy) 189 44 320 275 618 79 72 25 42 56 676 114 2510 189 44 320 275 618 79 72 25 42 56 676 114 2510 195 44 325 281 625 83 74 25 43 63 691 115 2564

PM Pk hour vol 2194 119 29 187 221 530 67 80 54 65 65 506 168 2091 7 0 8 30 10 2 0 2 1 0 7 2 69 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 2 3 4 6 0 2 4 2 0 6 3 34

16:30 to  17:30 Total PM Pk hour vol (Light + Heavy) 126 29 195 251 540 69 80 56 66 65 513 170 2160 126 29 195 251 540 69 80 56 66 65 513 170 2160 128 31 198 255 546 69 82 60 68 65 519 173 2194

Heavy VehiclesBusTaxis/Minibus‐taxisLight Vehicles

Spe

kboo

m S

tree

t

Louis Fourie Rd

May

ixha

le S

tree

t

11

6 13

72

63

46

15

91

71

96

10 6

44

31

13

12

27

63

36

26

42

27 2

65 3

07

36

42

32

34

73

01

30

13

05

31

23

63

36

63

30

23

34

20

37

73

20

29

73

82

44

33

94

33

04

22

43

73

85

32

84

08

36

64

94

55

75

45

52

9 56

34

23

34

2

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

700

800

6:0

0

6:4

5

7:3

0

8:1

5

9:0

0

9:4

5

10

:30

11

:15

12

:00

12

:45

13

:30

14

:15

15

:00

15

:45

16

:30

17

:15

Veh

/15

min

Veh/15minTotal Light Vehicles Taxis/Minibus-taxis

7:00 TO 8:00

Legend : : Total direction Pk hour

volume (veh/hr)

: L/T/B/H (Total) Pk hour

volume (veh/hr)

16:30 TO 17:30

Legend : : Total direction Pk hour

volume (veh/hr)

: L/T/B/H (Total) Pk hour

volume (veh/hr)

May

ixh

ale

Str

869

55/1/0/7 (63) 78/1/0 /4 (83)

114/0/0/1 (115)

641/35 /0/15(691)

65/0/0/0 (65)

14/9/1/1 (25)

14/9/1/1 (25)

SPEKBOOM/LOUIS FOURIE/MAYIXHALE INTERSECTION

530/10/0 /6 (546)

757

142

May

ixh

ale

Str

190

Sp

ekb

oo

mS

t

Figure 28-Aug-19

67/2/0 /0 (69)

65/1

/0/2

(68

)

54/2

/0/

4(60

)

80/0

/0/

2(82

)

Sp

ekb

oo

mS

t

Louis Fourie

421

273/

47/0

/5(

325)

241/34/0/6 (281)

0

564

187/

8/0

/3(1

98)

1090

179/

10/0

/6 (

195)

43/1

/0/0

(44

)

587/31/0 /7 (625)

357

119/

7/0/

2 (1

28)

29/0

/0/2

(31

)

488

Louis Fourie

72/0

/0/

2(74

)

989

799

742 870

210

16599

221/30/0/4 (255)

506/7 /0/6(519)

168/2/0/3 (173)

863

42/0

/0/1

(43

)

25/0

/0/

0(25

)

99

AM - PEAK

PM - PEAK

Urban Engineering (Pty) Ltd

ANNEXURE C ESTIMATED FUEL SALES

CALCULATIONS

SHARED TRAFFIC VOLUMES

FILLING STATIONPOTENTIAL

PASS BY TRAFFIC

CALTEX DE'ALMEIDA 16400

SHELL MOSSEL BAY MALL 16400

TOTAL SSK 21500

ENGEN OCEAN VIEW 20300

ATLANTIC OIL VOORBAAI 20300

CALCULATION OF ESTIMATED FUEL SALESADT (2021) ADT (2021)

12 HRS 24 HRS MIN MAXNEW SITE 250,000 13250 2016 4.99% 6 14,750 17,700 30 4.91% 12 260000 310000CALTEX DE'ALMEIDA 250,000 14250 2016 2.33% 6 13,667 16,400 30 4.91% 12 240000 290000SHELL MOSSELBAAI MALL 300,000 14250 2016 2.33% 6 13,667 16,400 30 6.25% 12 310000 370000TOTAL SSK 300,000 18260 2016 2.76% 6 17,917 21,500 30 4.91% 12 320000 380000BP 200,000 17914 2016 2.08% 6 16,917 20,300 30 3.50% 12 210000 260000ATLANTIC OIL 200,000 17914 2016 2.08% 6 16,917 20,300 30 3.50% 12 210000 260000

WILL SHARE TRANSIENT TRAFFIC - DIFFERENT CATCHMENT MARKETS AND MORE THAN 3 KM APARTWILL SHARE TRANSIENT TRAFFIC - DIFFERENT CATCHMENT MARKETS AND MORE THAN 3 KM APART

Notes: 1. The average conservative inception percentage from previous studies is 4.92%. This percentage is adjusted based on factors influencing inception percentages.2. Estimated sales volume is rounded to the nearest 10,000 litres.

WILL SHARE LOCAL TRAFFIC. PROPOSED SITE WILL HAVE BETTER FACIILITIES AND WILL BE MORE CONVENIENT TO LOCAL TRAFFIC

GENERAL COMMENT

WILL SHARE LOCAL AND TRANSIENT TRAFFIC. SHELL HAS GOOD FACILITIESWILL SHARE TRANSIENT TRAFFIC - DIFFERENT CATCHMENT MARKETS.

2030

2030

80%

PERCENTAGE OF TOTAL TRAFFIC

SHARED

60%

25%

10%

10%

TRAFFIC SHARED WITH NEW

FILLING STATION

13120

9840

5375

COMPETITOR SITEEST. SALESESTIMATE

FUEL/MGROWTH

RATENO OF YEARS

TRADING DAYS

INCEPTIONFILL PER

VEHRNIS ADT

DATE