monro, inc. 2020 earnings call€¦ · will continue to advance category management and pricing...
TRANSCRIPT
Monro, Inc.First Quarter Fiscal
2020Earnings Call
July 25, 2019
Certain statements in this presentation, other than statements of historical fact, including estimates, projections, statementsrelated to our business plans and operating results are forward-looking statements within the meaning of the PrivateSecurities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. Monro has identified some of these forward-looking statements with words suchas “anticipates,” “believes,” “expects,” “estimates,” “is likely,” “predicts,” “projects,” “forecasts,” “may,” “will,” “should,” and“intends” and the negative of these words or other comparable terminology. These forward-looking statements are basedon Monro’s current expectations, estimates, projections and assumptions as of the date such statements are made, and aresubject to risks and uncertainties that may cause results to differ materially from those expressed or implied in the forward-looking statements. Additional information regarding these risks and uncertainties are described in the Company’s filingswith the Securities and Exchange Commission, including in the “Risk Factors” and “Management’s Discussion and Analysisof Financial Condition and Results of Operations” sections of our most recently filed periodic reports on Forms 10-K andForm 10-Q, which are available on Monro’s website at https://corporate.monro.com/investors/financial-information/. Monroassumes no obligation to update or revise these forward-looking statements for any reason, even if new informationbecomes available in the future.
This presentation contains references to Adjusted Earnings Per Share (EPS), which is a “non-GAAP financial measure” asthis term is defined in Item 10(e) of Regulation S-K under the Securities Act of 1933 and the Securities Exchange Act of1934 and Regulation G under the Securities Exchange Act of 1934. In accordance with these rules, Monro has reconciledthis non-GAAP financial measure to its most directly comparable U.S. GAAP measure. Management views this non-GAAPfinancial measure as a way to assess comparability between periods.
This non-GAAP financial measure is not intended to represent, and should not be considered more meaningful than, or asan alternative to, its most directly comparable GAAP measure. This non-GAAP financial measure may be different fromsimilarly titled non-GAAP financial measures used by other companies.
Safe Harbor Statement and Non-GAAP Measures
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0.0%
0.5%
1.0%
1.5%
2.0%
2.5%
3.0%
3.5%
4QFY18 1QFY19 2QFY19 3QFY19 4QFY19 1QFY20
First Quarter Fiscal 2020 Highlights
▪ Comparable store sales increased by 0.8%
▪ Sales increased 7.2% to a record $317.1M
▪ Sales from new stores added $19.6M, including
sales from recent acquisitions of $16.6M
Achieved Sixth Consecutive Quarter of Comparable Store Sales Growth1
▪ Brakes: 6%
▪ Alignments: 2%
▪ Tires: 1%
▪ Front End/Shocks: -1%
▪ Maintenance: -2%
1QFY20
Key Highlights
1QFY20
Key Highlights
31Results are adjusted for days
Quarterly Comps Trends
1 1
2-Year Stacked Quarterly Comps Trends
0.0%
0.5%
1.0%
1.5%
2.0%
2.5%
3.0%
3.5%
1QFY19 2QFY19 3QFY19 4QFY19 1QFY20111
Announced and Completed Acquisitions
▪ Completed acquisition of 40 retail locations and one distribution center in California during 1QFY20
▪ Entered a new state, expanding the Company’s geographic footprint to the West Coast
▪ $45M in annualized sales, breakeven to EPS in FY20
▪ Sales mix of 70% service and 30% tires
▪ Acquired two additional stores in California during 1QFY20, representing $3M in annualized sales
▪ Completed acquisition of 12 retail locations in Louisiana early in 1QFY20
▪ Entered a new state, expanding the Company’s presence in the southern markets
▪ $15M in annualized sales, breakeven to EPS in FY20
▪ Sales mix of 35% service and 65% tires
▪ Announced definitive agreements to acquire eight stores in Louisiana, further solidifying market position in recently entered state
▪ $12M in annualized sales, breakeven to EPS in FY20
▪ Sales mix of 50% service and 50% tires
Greenfield Openings1
▪ Added 1 greenfield location during the first quarter (excludes two California stores included above)
A Scalable Platform: Recent Acquisitions
Acquisitions Announced and Completed in Fiscal 2020 Represent $75M in Annualized Sales
1Greenfield stores include new construction as well as the acquisition of one to four store operations 4
Store Refresh & Brand Consolidation Initiative
❑ Same store sales and guest satisfaction ratings at reimaged locations significantly
outperformed Company average during 1QFY20
❑ Significantly advanced re-image of 50 stores during 1QFY20 and expanding refresh
to approximately 70 stores in three additional markets in 2QFY20
❑ Modernized store layout on track to be rolled out across the Company’s remaining
markets and store formats over the next 3 to 5 years
❑ Consolidating brand portfolio into regional power brands to increase brand
awareness in each market and opportunistically shifting to a tire-oriented banner in
targeted markets with strong upside opportunity
Improve Customer
Experience
Strong Performance of Reimaged Stores Driving Confidence in Store Refresh and Brand Consolidation Strategy
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Monro.Forward Progress Update
❑ Continued investments in in-store technology with the rollout of a new digital phone
system across Monro’s store base during FY20
❑ Collaboration with Amazon.com at more than 800 stores supports omnichannel efforts
❑ On track to launch 2nd phase of omnichannel experience in the second half of FY20
Enhance Customer-
Centric Engagement
Monro.Forward Initiatives Well Underway and Advancing as Planned
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❑ Scaling Monro University across store base and prioritizing newly acquired stores to
facilitate onboarding
❑ Data-driven store scheduling and staffing software to be implemented during FY20
Accelerate Productivity
& Team Engagement
❑ Continued momentum of Good-Better-Best product and service packages
❑ Optimizing tire assortment to become the #1 destination for tires at any price point
❑ Will continue to advance category management and pricing capabilities during FY20
Optimize Product &
Service Offering
❑ Continuing to execute customer satisfaction and online reputation management
program across Monro’s store base
❑ Focus on the in-store experience is having significant impact on Company online
reviews and has increased “Star Ratings” to 4.6 All-time
Improve Customer
Experience
Solid Top-Line and Margin Expansion Reflect Improving Execution Across the Business
First Quarter Fiscal 2020 Results
1QFY20 1QFY19 Δ
Sales (millions) $317.1 $295.8 7.2%
Same Store Sales 0.8% 1.9% (110 bps)
Gross Margin 40.4% 39.6% 80 bps
Operating Margin 11.5% 11.2% 30 bps
GAAP EPS $.67 $.62 8.1%
One-time Costs1 $.01 $.02
Adjusted EPS $.68 $.64 6.3%
1Diluted earnings per share included $.01 per share of one-time incremental costs related to increased acquisition activity in 1QFY20 compared to 1QFY19. This compares to $.02 per share in one-time costs related to Monro.Forward initiatives in 1QFY19. 7
Disciplined Capital Allocation
Executing on Growth Strategy While Maintaining a Disciplined Approach to Capital Allocation
Investing in the Business
▪ Capex of $14.0M during 1QFY20
▪ Continue to expect ~$75M of incremental Capex over 5 years to invest in store re-image and technology
Returning Cash to Shareholders
▪ Paid $7.4M in dividends in 1QFY20
▪ Currently $.22 per share quarterly, an increase of 10% from 1QFY19
Executing on M&A Opportunities
▪ Spent $54.7M on acquisitions during 1QFY20
▪ Acquisitions announced and completed in fiscal 2020 represent $75M in annualized sales
Utilizing Strong Balance Sheet
▪ Generated $58.2M of operating cash flow in 1QFY20
▪ Debt-to-EBITDA ratio as of June 2019 of 2.12x provides significant flexibility to fund M&A strategy
8
Fiscal 2020 Outlook
FY20 FY19 Δ
Sales (millions) $1,285 to $1,315 $1,200 7% to 10%
Same Store Sales +1% to +3% 2.3%-130 bps to
70 bps
GAAP EPS $2.55 to $2.75 $2.37 8% to 16%
Updates Fiscal 2020 Comparable Store Sales Guidance and Reiterates EPS Guidance
Operating Margin
▪ Assumes operating margin of ~11.3% at midpoint of FY20 sales
guidance
▪ Expect stable tire and oil costs year-over-year
▪ Expect to generate earnings increase on a comparable store sales
increase above ~1%
Additional Guidance Assumptions (at the midpoint)
▪ Interest expense of ~$30 million
▪ Depreciation and amortization of ~$67 million
▪ EBITDA of ~$215 million
▪ Tax rate of ~23.5%
▪ Capital expenditures of ~$65 million
▪ 34 million weighted average number of diluted shares outstanding
Stores
▪ Guidance includes recently announced and completed
acquisitions and excludes any additional potential acquisitions
▪ Guidance includes six ground-up greenfield store openings in
FY20
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First Quarter Fiscal 2020 Key Takeaways
▪ Delivered sixth consecutive quarter of positive comparable store sales growth
▪ Monro.Forward initiatives showing traction and progressing on schedule
▪ Outperformance of pilot store reimage locations underscores strength of strategy
▪ Completed and announced acquisitions of 62 stores in California and Louisiana during
1QFY20, bringing annualized sales from fiscal 2020 acquisitions to $75M
▪ Solid progress of West Coast integration and robust pipeline of acquisition opportunities
▪ Updates fiscal 2020 comparable store sales guidance and reiterates EPS guidance
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Appendix
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Q2 FY19 Q3 FY19 Q4 FY19 Q2 FY20 Q3 FY20 Q4 FY20Q4 FY18 FY20FY19 FY21
Monro.Forward Strategic Initiatives
New store comp plans
Technology based in-store experience
Data-driven “new customer” marketing
Monro omnichannel & e-commerce
Store staffing & scheduling system
Improve Customer Experience
Enhance Customer-Centric Engagement
Optimize Product & Service Offering
Accelerate Productivity & Team Engagement
Foundational technology & tools
New in-store sales packages
Scheduled maintenance in-store selling
Data-driven CRM
New websites
Tire category management
Scale store refresh & operational excellence
= Completed Initiatives
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Pilot store refresh & operational excellence
Monro University pilot (includes career path, LMS)