monitoring stratospheric temperature and trends with satellite data march 3, 2005 r. lin, a. j....

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Monitoring Stratospheric Temperature and Trends with Satellite Data March 3, 2005 R. Lin, A. J. Miller, C. Long, J. Wild, M. E. Gelman, S. Zhou, R. M. Nagatani (Ret)

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Page 1: Monitoring Stratospheric Temperature and Trends with Satellite Data March 3, 2005 R. Lin, A. J. Miller, C. Long, J. Wild, M. E. Gelman, S. Zhou, R. M

Monitoring Stratospheric Temperature and Trends with Satellite Data

March 3, 2005

R. Lin, A. J. Miller, C. Long, J. Wild,

M. E. Gelman, S. Zhou, R. M. Nagatani (Ret)

Page 2: Monitoring Stratospheric Temperature and Trends with Satellite Data March 3, 2005 R. Lin, A. J. Miller, C. Long, J. Wild, M. E. Gelman, S. Zhou, R. M

Major Elements

• Total Ozone: SBUV/(/2) 1979-2004• Temperature Profiles: SSU 1979-2004• Temperature: MSU(4) 1979-2004

• Question: In an atmosphere where ozone is “recovering” and CO2 increasing, how do we separate temperature impacts?

Page 3: Monitoring Stratospheric Temperature and Trends with Satellite Data March 3, 2005 R. Lin, A. J. Miller, C. Long, J. Wild, M. E. Gelman, S. Zhou, R. M
Page 4: Monitoring Stratospheric Temperature and Trends with Satellite Data March 3, 2005 R. Lin, A. J. Miller, C. Long, J. Wild, M. E. Gelman, S. Zhou, R. M
Page 5: Monitoring Stratospheric Temperature and Trends with Satellite Data March 3, 2005 R. Lin, A. J. Miller, C. Long, J. Wild, M. E. Gelman, S. Zhou, R. M
Page 6: Monitoring Stratospheric Temperature and Trends with Satellite Data March 3, 2005 R. Lin, A. J. Miller, C. Long, J. Wild, M. E. Gelman, S. Zhou, R. M
Page 7: Monitoring Stratospheric Temperature and Trends with Satellite Data March 3, 2005 R. Lin, A. J. Miller, C. Long, J. Wild, M. E. Gelman, S. Zhou, R. M

Differences between zonal averages of SSU channel 25 radiance,simultaneous measurements from different spacecraft

-2

-1.5

-1

-0.5

0

0.5

1

1.5

2

-70 -50 -30 -10 10 30 50 70

Latitude [degrees]

Ra

dia

nc

e d

iffe

ren

ce

[r.

u.]

TN-N6

N7-N6,02/1982

N7-N6,07/1982

N7-N6,11/1982

N7-N8,08/1983

N7-N8,02/1984

N9-N6,1985/86

average ofnormal

Page 8: Monitoring Stratospheric Temperature and Trends with Satellite Data March 3, 2005 R. Lin, A. J. Miller, C. Long, J. Wild, M. E. Gelman, S. Zhou, R. M

Channel 25

• Instruments generally match within about 0.3 radiance units

• Exception is NOAA-9 which is about 0.5 radiance unit higher than others

Page 9: Monitoring Stratospheric Temperature and Trends with Satellite Data March 3, 2005 R. Lin, A. J. Miller, C. Long, J. Wild, M. E. Gelman, S. Zhou, R. M

Channel 26

• Instruments generally match within 2 radiance units

• Exception is NOAA-7 which is about 3 radiance units high

Page 10: Monitoring Stratospheric Temperature and Trends with Satellite Data March 3, 2005 R. Lin, A. J. Miller, C. Long, J. Wild, M. E. Gelman, S. Zhou, R. M

Channel 27

• Spectroscopic and tidal effects dominate

• General agreement between instruments of about 3 radiance units in equatorial region, increasing to about 5 radiance units in polar latitudes

Page 11: Monitoring Stratospheric Temperature and Trends with Satellite Data March 3, 2005 R. Lin, A. J. Miller, C. Long, J. Wild, M. E. Gelman, S. Zhou, R. M

AMSU => SSU

Page 12: Monitoring Stratospheric Temperature and Trends with Satellite Data March 3, 2005 R. Lin, A. J. Miller, C. Long, J. Wild, M. E. Gelman, S. Zhou, R. M
Page 13: Monitoring Stratospheric Temperature and Trends with Satellite Data March 3, 2005 R. Lin, A. J. Miller, C. Long, J. Wild, M. E. Gelman, S. Zhou, R. M

John Nash (UKMO) SSU Channels

Channel Peak of Weighting Function

47X 0.5 hPa

27 1.5

36X 2.0

26 6.0

25 15.0

26X 20.0

15X 50.0

Page 14: Monitoring Stratospheric Temperature and Trends with Satellite Data March 3, 2005 R. Lin, A. J. Miller, C. Long, J. Wild, M. E. Gelman, S. Zhou, R. M

AMSU => SSU via Statistical Regression NOAA-16 AMSU vs NOAA-14 SSU

10/00 – 10/02

14

SSU25, etc = a0 + ai x AMSUi

i=9

Page 15: Monitoring Stratospheric Temperature and Trends with Satellite Data March 3, 2005 R. Lin, A. J. Miller, C. Long, J. Wild, M. E. Gelman, S. Zhou, R. M

SSU/AMSU Standard Error of Regression 10/00 – 10/02

47x

2736x

262526x15x

Page 16: Monitoring Stratospheric Temperature and Trends with Satellite Data March 3, 2005 R. Lin, A. J. Miller, C. Long, J. Wild, M. E. Gelman, S. Zhou, R. M
Page 17: Monitoring Stratospheric Temperature and Trends with Satellite Data March 3, 2005 R. Lin, A. J. Miller, C. Long, J. Wild, M. E. Gelman, S. Zhou, R. M
Page 18: Monitoring Stratospheric Temperature and Trends with Satellite Data March 3, 2005 R. Lin, A. J. Miller, C. Long, J. Wild, M. E. Gelman, S. Zhou, R. M
Page 19: Monitoring Stratospheric Temperature and Trends with Satellite Data March 3, 2005 R. Lin, A. J. Miller, C. Long, J. Wild, M. E. Gelman, S. Zhou, R. M
Page 20: Monitoring Stratospheric Temperature and Trends with Satellite Data March 3, 2005 R. Lin, A. J. Miller, C. Long, J. Wild, M. E. Gelman, S. Zhou, R. M
Page 21: Monitoring Stratospheric Temperature and Trends with Satellite Data March 3, 2005 R. Lin, A. J. Miller, C. Long, J. Wild, M. E. Gelman, S. Zhou, R. M
Page 22: Monitoring Stratospheric Temperature and Trends with Satellite Data March 3, 2005 R. Lin, A. J. Miller, C. Long, J. Wild, M. E. Gelman, S. Zhou, R. M
Page 23: Monitoring Stratospheric Temperature and Trends with Satellite Data March 3, 2005 R. Lin, A. J. Miller, C. Long, J. Wild, M. E. Gelman, S. Zhou, R. M
Page 24: Monitoring Stratospheric Temperature and Trends with Satellite Data March 3, 2005 R. Lin, A. J. Miller, C. Long, J. Wild, M. E. Gelman, S. Zhou, R. M
Page 25: Monitoring Stratospheric Temperature and Trends with Satellite Data March 3, 2005 R. Lin, A. J. Miller, C. Long, J. Wild, M. E. Gelman, S. Zhou, R. M
Page 26: Monitoring Stratospheric Temperature and Trends with Satellite Data March 3, 2005 R. Lin, A. J. Miller, C. Long, J. Wild, M. E. Gelman, S. Zhou, R. M

The End