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International Seminar on “Environmental Management and Development in Indonesia”
Serpong, 8 September 2015
Center for Research on Energy PolicyINSTITUT TEKNOLOGI BANDUNG
Monitoring Aspect of MRV System for GHG Emission of Industrial Energy Systems
Dr. Retno Gumilang Dewi
1pg.
Indonesia Climate Change Mitigation Action Plan
In response to climate change issues, the GoI in 2009 announced “non binding commitment”to reduce GHG emissions 26% below the baseline by 2020 with domestic budget and furtherup to 41% with international support. To achieve the target, GoI developed mitigation actionsplan that is published as National GHG Mitigation Action Plan (RAN GRK)
Emission level target
GH
G E
mis
sio
ns
leve
l
BaU (Baseline)
2005 2020 2050
Reduction target ‘non-binding’ commitment (26% or 41%) in 2020
In-line with Low CarbonDevelopment Paths
Sector Emission Reduction* Total
(41 %)26% 15%
Forestry & Peatland
0.672 0.367 1.039
Waste 0.048 0.030 0.078
Agriculture 0.008 0.003 0.011
Industry 0.001 0.004 0.005
Energy 0.038 0.018 0.056
Total 0.767 0.422 1.189
RAN-GRK Target
*Giga Ton CO2e
Monitoring Aspect of MRV System for GHG Emission of Industrial Energy Systems
Background
Impacts of Existing Mitigation Actions
2pg.
Monitoring Aspect of MRV System for GHG Emission of Industrial Energy Systems
In total, there were > 50 mitigation action plans under RAN GRK (Perpres 61/2011),only 45 activities have been implemented during 2010-2012. Not all these mitigationactivities reported the impacts of mitigations, the reported GHG emission reductionduring 2010-2012 was about 0.04129 Gt CO2-e or 0.01376 Gt CO2-e annually.
Other 27 mitigations actions implemented outside Perpres 61/2011, 4 activities aresupported NAMAs and the rest 23 activities are voluntary (i.e. Proklim, CompanySocial Responsibility, Green Building, etc.). Very few of these activities reported theirmitigation impacts, the reported emission reduction was about 0.00509 Gt CO2-e(during 2010-2012) or 0.00170 Gt CO2e annually.
It should be noted, all of those reported emission reduction have not been MRV-ed.
It is important to monitor the achievement of all mitigation implementations (RAN GRK and non-PerPres61/2011) and evaluate whether they could meet: - non-binding commitment of emission reduction (26% or 41% in 2020) and- emission reduction contribution beyond 2020 (i.e. 29% in 2030 under INDC)through developing a good MRV System in the country.
Measurement, Reporting, and Verification (MRV)
3pg.
Within the context of climate change issues, MRV stand for Measurement/Monitoring, Reporting and Verification of GHG emission.
The term MRV is originated from UNFCCC Decision 1/CP.13-2007, Bali Action Plan: Paragraph 1 (b)(ii) of the Decision underlines the need for “…. nationally appropriate mitigation actions by developing country Parties in the context of sustainable development, supported and enabled by technology, financing and capacity-building, in a measurable, reportable and verifiable manner.
“Measurable, Reportable, Verifiable” are now commonly abbreviated as MRV.
As indicated by the Decision, the enabling support (technology, financing and capacity-building) for mitigation actions is also the object of MRV.
Monitoring Aspect of MRV System for GHG Emission of Industrial Energy Systems
4pg.
Ministerial Regulation No.15 /2013
To gather mitigation action information that is accurate, transparent, consistent and credible
• During planning and implementation of action • To determine GHG emission level before and after mitigation• To monitor the achievement of mitigation action
Measurement
• To document the achievement of mitigation action.• As reference document in verification process (by MRV commission).
Reporting
• To ensure that all information stated in the report is correct • Verification is carried out by verifier appointed by “project participant”
(the party that is responsible in mitigation action)• Requirement of verifier: Not involved in mitigation action implementation; Hold competency certificate (as mitigation action verifier).
Verification
M
R
V
Monitoring Aspect of MRV System for GHG Emission of Industrial Energy Systems
The Needs for MRV
5pg.
MRV lately become important issue within the context of NAMAs (NationallyAppropriate Mitigation Actions), i.e. climate change mitigation actions that are inline with country development objective and in support to sustainabledevelopment.
The issue of MRV is still relevant and an important component in the comingglobal efforts in climate change mitigations organized/managed under INDC(Intended Nationally Determine Contribution).
In order to have credible claim of the GHG emission reduction achieved byimplementing all mitigation efforts, including the INDC, the reduction has to bemeasured, reported, and verified (MRV-ed).
Those are the rationale that we have to continue researches that support to thedevelopment of MRV system in energy sectors, particularly energy in industry.
Monitoring Aspect of MRV System for GHG Emission of Industrial Energy Systems
Significant increase of energy demand in transport and industry sector
6pg.
Current National Energy Supply-Demand
Million ToE
FINAL ENERGY DEMAND By Type of Fuel
source: Pusdatin—ESDM
0
50
100
150
200
250
2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012
BIOFUEL
BIOMASS
ELECTRICITY
LPG
GAS
COAL
OIL
Monitoring Aspect of MRV System for GHG Emission of Industrial Energy Systems
Million Toe
Primary Energy Supply Mix
0
50
100
150
200
250
2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012
Biomass Industrial
Biomass
Geothermal
Hydro
Crude Oil &Product
Gas & Product
Coal
7pg.
Energy consumption is dominated by fossil fuels (Coal) source: Pusdatin—ESDM
Energy Consumption in Industry Sector
Monitoring Aspect of MRV System for GHG Emission of Industrial Energy Systems
MToe
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
160
180
200
2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012
ACM
Commerce
Residential
Transport
industri
National Final Energy Demand By Sector
MToe
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
45
50
2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012
Electricity
IDO+ADO
Kerosene
Natural Gas
Briquette
Coal
Biomass (solidbiomass)
Final Energy Demand in Industry Sector
GHG emissions of Energy Sector
Coal is the major emission source; 2nd major source is oil combustion
Coal use: power generation & industry; Oil use: transport and building
End-use sector: one-half of the direct combustion emissions are from fuel burning in industry; emissions from power generation is accounted by building (60%) and industry (40%) sectors.
Industry is important for implementing mitigation activities
Low Carbon Development (LCD) in Energy Sector
9pg.
• LCD is Long Term Vision of Economic Development in a Low-Carbon Way. Challenge forachieving LCD is now in a global mainstream and there is no turning back in this trend.
GH
G e
mis
sio
ns
per
cap
ita
Time
Developing Countries
Leapfrog-development
Indonesia (2005)0.48 ton C/capita
World Target (2050):
0.44 ton C/capita
Indonesia BAU (2050): 3.3 ton C/capita
International (2005), Ton C/capita-Japan, UK, Germany 2.5 -US 5.5; Canada 4.2 -India 0.3; China 0,6 -World (average) 1.0 – 1.1
De-Carbonization
Monitoring Aspect of MRV System for GHG Emission of Industrial Energy Systems
-100%
-50%
0%
50%
100%
2020 2030 2040 2050
Fossil Energy CO2Emissions per Energy
Final Energy per GDP
GDP per capita
Population
2,5
8,3
0,0 5,0 10,0
2050
2010
Energy intensity of GDP (MJ/$)
50
871
0 500 1000
2050
2010
Electricity emission intensity gCO2/kWh
34%
12%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40%
2050
2010
Electrification at end use (%)
The pillars of decarbonization
Pillars:• Efficiency measures• Electrification of end-use• Decarbonization of el. power
Decomposition of decarbonization
1
0pg.
Monitoring Aspect of MRV System for GHG Emission of Industrial Energy Systems
144184 197
161
56
152
176202
214
211
111
121
123118
109
25
27
2828
27
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
2010 2020 2030 2040 2050
Mt CO2
Buildings
Transportation
Industry
Electricity
Forecast of CO2 emission by sector
1
1pg.
Monitoring Aspect of MRV System for GHG Emission of Industrial Energy Systems
871
621
401
211
500
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
800
900
1.000
0
200
400
600
800
1.000
1.200
2010 2020 2030 2040 2050
gCO2/kWhTWh
Biofuel
Geothermal
Biomass
Solar
Wind
Hydro
Nuclear
Natural gas w/ CCS
Natural gas w/o CCS
Oil w/ CCs
Oil
Coal w/ CCS
Coal w/o CCS
Carbon intensity(gCO2/kWh)
Electricity generation and carbon intensity
1
2pg.
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
BA
U
DEC
BA
U
DEC
BA
U
DEC
BA
U
DEC
2010 2020 2030 2040 2050
Mill
ion
TO
E Electricity
Biofuels
Biomass
Oil Fuels
Nat Gas
Coal
3,7 3,63,4
3,12,8
3,73,4
3,0
2,3
1,6
0,0
1,0
2,0
3,0
4,0
2010 2020 2030 2040 2050
Ton
CO
2/T
OE
BAU
DEC
Forecast of energy demand from industry and emission intensity
Monitoring Aspect of MRV System for GHG Emission of Industrial Energy Systems
1
3pg.
MRV Development for Industrial Energy System
ITB – NIES Research on The Development of MRV System
CurrentFocus area : industry sector Activities : (a) Installation of equipment to monitor energy system performance in industry in order to identify
the potential of energy efficiencies, develop baseline emission and identify the corresponding GHG emission reduction potential. The efficiency may be obtained through technological intervention at an industry or through integration of energy system between industries in a location (i.e. industrial park).
(b) Capacity building for climate change mitigations in industry and the associated MRV system(c) Modeling of Low Carbon Development incorporating mitigation actions in industry sector at local
level and link to the national level
Previous ITB - NIES Research CollaborationAIM Modeling Research: ITB-IPB-NIES-Kyoto University - Extended Snapshot (ExSS) - Scope: National and Sub-National (DKI Jakarta)- End Use Model - Power, Industry, Transport, Commercial, Residential - Scope: National- CGE - National - for evaluating impact of national action plan (RAN) - Scope: National
1
4pg.
Framework of Modeling Approach
BOTTOM-UP AND INTEGRATED APPROACH
PLANT
INDUSTRIAL PARK
CITY
PROVINCE
NATIONAL
NON-INDUSTRIAL:• POWER PLANT• TRANSPORT• COMMERCIAL• RESIDENTIAL• LAND-BASED
Notes: existing models consider the object as non spatial (national as well as sub-national)
Monitoring Aspect of MRV System for GHG Emission of Industrial Energy Systems
JAKARTA
BOGOR
BANDUNG
INDUSTRIAL PARK SELECTIONEXISTING CITY-WIDE SIMULATION: JAKARTA
Bekasi & Cikarang
Cilegon
1
5pg.
INDONESIA INDUSTRIAL PARKSTOTAL: 232 Sites (71 outside Java)
West Java: 110 Sites
Monitoring Aspect of MRV System for GHG Emission of Industrial Energy Systems
1
6pg.
Monitoring Aspect of MRV System for GHG Emission of Industrial Energy Systems
Cikarang Typical Industries
Jababeka CikarangDelta Silicon CikarangEJIP (East Jakarta Ind. Park)Hyundai CikarangMM22100 Cikarang
Plastic PackagingMetal ProductionAutomotive Spare-part Electronic ComponentChemical Product (Detergent, Chemical for Lab.)Paper Packaging
Karawang/Bekasi Typical Industries
Surya CiptaAutomotive Food and Beverages
Banten Typical Industries
Krakatau Industrial Estate Cilegon (KIEC)
Petrochemical Electricity
West Java Industrial Estates and Their Typical Industries
Outside Industrial Estate:• Automotive (Honda, Toyota, Suzuki, Mitsubishi, etc.) • Paper Industry (Pindodeli – Karawang)• Textile raw material: Indo-bharat Rayon, Viscose Rayon, Indorama, etc.)• Textile industry in Bandung Regency (industrial cluster)
1
7pg.
Example 1: Energy Efficiency and Conservation Potential in Textile Industry
Monitoring Aspect of MRV System for GHG Emission of Industrial Energy Systems
cooling and temperature control systems 39%
Mixing/Opening
7% Carding8%Combing
5%Drawing/Roving
4%
Ring Spinning
30%Finishing
7%
Air Conditioning Plant
39%
Fiber Making & Spinning
Knitting & Weaving
Dyeing & Finishing
Sewing & Garment TOTAL
% Energy Use 8% 8% 80% 4% 100%
EE&C Potential for each type industryEE&C Potential for
Textile Industry
2015 2.50% 2.50% 12% 0% 10%
2025 20% 20% 35% 0% 30%
Energy use in the textile industry:• electricity for: machinery, cooling and temperature
control systems, lighting, office equipment, etc.; • oil for boilers (generate steam); • LPG, coal, and natural gas.
1
8pg.
Challenge / Opportunities
ITB – NIES research is not limited to the current scope/activity but also will include:
1. Monitoring system as part of MRV System
2. Energy audit to identify EE&C Measures
3. Identify symbiosis possibility between industries and surrounding establishments (other industries/consumers)
4. Promoting the results of currents research and relevant ideas to other industries (individual as well as to industrial park or region)
5. Integrating the plant level information for developing LCD Model in industrial park, city, regional (province) and national level
We welcome new ideas/initiatives from lecturers, researchers, industries, etc. in this collaborative research
Thank You
[email protected]@crep.itb.ac.id
Monitoring Aspect of MRV System for GHG Emission of Industrial Energy Systems