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  • 7/29/2019 Module 2_Hydromet Hazards 1

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    SUSAN R. ESPINUEVA

    HYDRO-METEOROLOGY DIVISION,

    PAGASA, DOST

    Department of Science and Technolog y

    Phi l ippine Atmosph er ic, Geophysical and A stronomical Services Administ rat ion

    Hazard 102:Hydro-meteorological Hazards (Part 1) - Intro

    Training on Trainers on DRR/CCA for Local Partners8 January 2013, Tagaytay City

    Project on Enabling Cities in Cagayan de Oro and Iligan to Cope

    with Climate Change (Project Climate Twin Phoenix)

    http://www.google.com/imgres?imgurl=http://www.nidm.net/images/flood6.jpg&imgrefurl=http://www.nidm.net/flood5_ii.asp&h=317&w=498&sz=16&tbnid=xQsMwHR6MnYJ::&tbnh=83&tbnw=130&prev=/images?q=flood+disaster+pics&usg=__OxfdyzuXcEc7in4yM2hADUqjZi8=&sa=X&oi=image_result&resnum=2&ct=image&cd=1http://h/wiki/New_Orleans
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    Outline of Presentation

    1. Background

    2. The Hydrologic Cycle, Runoff Process, River

    System

    3. Types and causes of flooding, flood mitigation

    measures, some examples of extreme flood4. Flood hazard and risk mapping

    5. Flood forecasting and warning system

    6. Challenges, opportunities and WAY FORWARD

    http://h/wiki/New_Orleans
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    Nature of hazards in the PH

    According to any criteria, the Philippines is an extremely

    dangerous place to inhabit.

    One of the most comprehensive records on the

    occurrence of recent natural hazards even advised that

    the archipelago has experienced more disasters thanany other country in the world since 1900.- Centre for Research on the Epidemiology of Disasters, Universit Catholique de

    Louvain, Brussels (hereafter CRED) EM-DAT: The OFDA/CRED International

    Disaster Database.

    Residents of southern Luzon were likely to face a majortyphoon once every 5 to 6 years in the 18th century and

    once every four to five years in the 19th century.- Rantucci, Geological Disasters in the Philippines, 27; Archive of the Manila

    Observatory, Manila (hereafter AMO):

    http://h/wiki/New_Orleans
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    Background

    Geographical Location of the PH

    The PH cl imate is inf lu encedby the complex interact ions

    of var ious factors such as:

    Philippine Geographyand Topography

    Linear systems Principal Air Streams

    Semi-permanentcyclones and anti-cyclones

    Tropical Cyclones

    Ocean currents

    http://h/wiki/New_Orleans
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    Background

    Physiographic features of the PH

    Associated hazard: Flashfloods

    EFFECT OF TOPOGRAPHY

    Topographic Map of PH

    http://h/wiki/New_Orleans
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    Hydromet hazards in the PH

    1. Floods/flash floods

    2. Storm surges

    3. Rainfall induced landslides4. Drought

    http://h/wiki/New_Orleans
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    Background

    The Water (Hydrologic) Cycle

    http://h/wiki/New_Orleans
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    The Runoff process

    That portion of rainfall percolating to lower layers becomes part ofthe groundwater. Groundwater flow to a stream or river is termed

    baseflow - supports streamflow during non-storm periods.

    A critical issue is how to determine exactly what comprises runoff.

    One component isthe water visiblyflowing across theground surface. As

    water infiltrates,some water willflow just below thesurface (interflow,or subsurface

    stormflow).

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    The Runoff process

    Runoff Process is defined as the portion of rainfall and/or

    irrigation water that runs over the soil surface toward the

    stream rather than infiltrating into the soil. It is sometimes

    called surface runoff.

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    The Runoff process

    Runoff is that portion of rainfall that does not infiltrate intothe soil. In the case of a paved area, the expected runoff

    would equal the amount of rainfall minus evaporation andany small amount of surface storage.

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    The Runoff process

    The accounting budget approach for hydrology is expressed

    as:

    Inflow (I) Outflow (O) = +/- Change in Storage (S)

    Or

    I O = +/- S

    (Continuity Equation/Conservation of mass)

    Surface water storage and distribution occurs in lakes,

    ponds, rivers, and streams and accounts for less than 0.01%

    of the earth's water.

    Groundwater - occurs in the aquifer, a region beneath the

    earth's surface composed of unconsolidated rock and soil

    particles. Less than 1% of the earth's total water supply is

    stored as groundwater or soil moisture.

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    The Runoff process

    Springs are almost

    completely fed bygroundwater sources.If enoughgroundwater is taken

    out of storage and thelocal water table islowered, baseflow,the water in a streamoccurring during non-

    storm or dry periods,will decrease andsprings may disappear.

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    The Runoff process

    The amount of water that infiltrated during an earlier stormincreases the current soil moisture. This means that the soilcannot absorb as much water as before resulting in a decreased

    infiltration rate and more surface runoff from the later storm.

    As the soilbecomes

    saturated, lessinfiltration willtake place. Foridentical storms,

    the amount ofstorm runoff willvary depending onthe soil moistureconditions.

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    The Runoff process

    A graph of streamflow is called

    a hydrograph.

    The shape of the hydrograph isinfluenced by the storm andwatershed characteristics.

    Storm factors include amount,duration, intensity, and arealextent of precipitation.

    Watershed factors include basin size, shape, overall basinslope, topography, soil & vegetation, channel network anddrainage pattern, land use, and soil moisture conditions at

    the time of the storm.

    D fi iti Ri b i

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    Definition River basin

    The soil water that travels through various processes reaches the riverat various time scales. Baseflow takes months to reach the streamand sustains the river during its low or normal flow. An accounting ofthe soil water and surface runoff in order to forecast flood is usuallydone on a river basin or watershed. A basin is defined as a drainage

    area of a stream, river or lake.

    A river basin isthe area within

    the basin divide(blue outline),and drains thesurface runoffand riverdischarge (greenlines) of acontiguous area .

    Ri t

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    River system

    Source: JICA TCP: Strengthening Floof Forecasting and Warning System for Dam Operation, Nov 2012

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    Longitudinal profile of Agno River (Upstream)

    Agno Riverup to the Agno-Tarlac confluence

    Source: JICA TCP: Strengthening Floof Forecasting and Warning System for Dam Operation, Nov 2012

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    Longitudinal profile of Agno River (Upstream)

    Agno Riverup to the Agno-Tarlac confluence

    Source: JICA TCP: Strengthening Floof Forecasting and Warning System for Dam Operation, Nov 2012

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    River flow capacity

    CabatuanTaotao River

    Aur or a Br idge

    Gamu

    Aurora

    San Mateo

    CamarungayanKalabasa

    Bagong-Tanza

    San Andres

    Bagong Sikat

    Pulay

    Lalog

    Kalinga

    Santor

    Cataban

    Banguero

    Reina Mercedes

    FuraoLenzon

    San Roque

    Bannor

    Namipucan

    Bolinao

    Victoria

    Villa Fugo

    Apiat

    Mapurok

    San Roque

    Sinamar Norte

    Oscariz

    50000 2500

    Scale (km)

    N

    S

    EW

    Relocation Luna Br idge

    San Roque Over f l ow Br idge

    MAGAT DamMARISDAM

    Magat River

    Cagayan River

    Legend

    City/Town

    Barangay

    Presumed Inundation Map in the Magat

    River during Typhoon Emong in 2009

    Source: JICA TCP: Strengthening Floof Forecasting and Warning System for Dam Operation, Nov 2012

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    River flow capacity

    1,3

    90m

    Left Bank

    El. 55.6 m

    Right Bank

    El. 56.4 m

    El. 56.6 m

    El. 58.4 m

    River Flow

    Source: JICA TCP: Strengthening Floof Forecasting and Warning System for Dam Operation, Nov 2012

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    River boundary

    Water Code: Article 51

    Preparatory Survey for Flood Risk Management Project

    for Cagayan de Oro River (FRIMP-CDOR)

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    River boundary: No building zone

    Tropical Storm SendongDanger Zone (Prohibited

    Area for buildingconstruction)

    Preparatory Survey for Flood Risk Management Project

    for Cagayan de Oro River (FRIMP-CDOR)

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    River boundary: Alternatives

    Preparatory Survey for Flood Risk Management Project

    for Cagayan de Oro River (FRIMP-CDOR)

    Option 1: Water Code (up to Highest Flood Level) & Topography

    Reference: Previous M/P (along bank of low water channel)Option 2: Protection for residential area

    Residential Area

    Inundation at HWL

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    River boundary

    Preparatory Survey for Flood Risk Management Project

    for Cagayan de Oro River (FRIMP-CDOR)

    Present main issues

    - DPWH had never invoked the Flood

    Control Area based on the Water Code

    - In spite of Article 56 of Water Code,river beds, sand bars are being developed.

    - Local peoples are settled or come back

    at danger zones within the River Area

    1. Main Laws/Regulations/Orders

    (1) RA10121: comprehensive and Integrated DRRM approach(2) Water Code: determination of easement, establish flood control area, etc.

    (4) Local Government Code : All the LGUs have responsibility to deliver basicservices, including flood control facilities.

    (5) Executive Orders by each related LGU : establishment of LDRRMCs in each LGU

    A Challenge of enactment of No-build

    Zone in Cagayan de Oro City

    - Enactment of City Ordinance for No-

    build Zone- Approval of Comprehensive Land Use

    Plan, Including No-build Zone of CDO

    City

    After that, declaration of Flood Control

    Area by DPWH will be needed.

    2. Legal aspects related to River Boundary

    River basins in the Philippines

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    River basins in the Philippines

    There are 421 principal river basins and twenty (20) of these areconsidered major river basins with catchment areas that are

    1,400 km2

    or more. The flood plains of major river basins arehighly susceptible to severe flooding.

    Low-lyingagriculturally

    developed andeconomicallyproductive landsalso frequentlydevastated byextreme floodingevents.

    Major river basins Topographic map