modes&of&megainfrastructure& financing… · modes&of&megainfrastructure&...
TRANSCRIPT
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Modes of Mega Infrastructure Financing and their Effects on Ci6es:
A Review of the Australian Experience
Phillip O’Neill
Centre for Western Sydney
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Outline
1. Context 2. Theore6cal framework 3. Australia's infrastructure history 4. Case study priva6sa6on Port of Newcastle 5. Case study priva6sa6on of Port Botany and
Sydney’s motorways 6. Conclusions
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Relevance
1. What is the public policy ra6onale for the priva6sa6on of urban infrastructure?
2. What demands are made on the opera6on of urban infrastructure when their performance coincides with the need for delivery of compe66ve returns over long 6me periods?
3. What new management skills and tasks are required of government and its apparatus in order to ensure successful infrastructure rollout and opera6on?
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Concerns
1. What rela6onships between infrastructure financing and urban structure/performance are evident?
2. How are these expressed? 3. What does a progressive poli6cs of
infrastructure provision look like? 4. What sorts of state capacity and ac6on—
statecraX—are needed?
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The Wider Project
• Australian Research Council Discovery Project: Tracing modes of infrastructure 1inancing.
• Michael Pryke and John Allen from Open University
• Preqin data base analysis • Interviews in New York, Toronto, London, Sydney, Melbourne
• Documentary case studies.
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Infrastructure’s tensions
Interplay and
tension
Investors
Finance The asset
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Abbott and Cohen 2014
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Abbott and Cohen 2014
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Abbott and Cohen 2014
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Infrastructure’s lifecycle
Project Operation commences commences
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Risk lessens
Returns moderate
Financing period lengthens
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Infrastructure’s Framings
• Organisa6onal structure • Capital structure • Regulatory regime
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‘Joe’ Cahill Premier NSW 1952 to 1959
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Paul KeaFng Treasurer 1983 to 1991
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Fred Hilmer NaFonal Comp. Policy 1995
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Restructuring and NaFonal CompeFFon Policy
• Within a national project of international competitiveness, rising productivity and economic rationalism for the state apparatus
• Sell-‐off of national non-‐infrastructure state enterprises (Qantas, Commonwealth Bank, Commonwealth Serum Laboratories)
• Corporatisation and marketisation of utilities
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Jeff KenneN Premier Victoria 1992 to 1999
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Peter Costello Treasurer 1996-‐2007
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PrivaFsaFon and Debt ReducFon
• Sell-‐off state utilities • Sell-‐off national telecommunications carrier • Repeated Xiscal surpluses • Funding of pension liabilities esp. by Future Fund
• Infrastructure emerges as a Xinancial product and as a private economic sector
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Kevin Rudd and Julia Gillard Prime Ministers, 2007 to 2013
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Privatisation and Debt Expansion
• Continued sell-‐off of state utilities • Establishment of Infrastructure Australia • But Global Financial Crisis and massive spending response
• Repeated Xiscal deXicits • Infrastructure role devolved to private sector
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Mike Baird Premier NSW, 2013–
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The Recycling Capital Period
• Long term public Xinance difXiculty • Continued sell-‐off of state utilities • Funds (to be) recycled into newly commissioned projects
• Maturing assets privatised and cycles repeated.
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Port of Newcastle
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Port Botany and Sydney’s Motorways
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Year Australia Sydney (GMR)
1850 0.4 mil 39,000
1900 3.7 mil 481,000
1950 8.3 mil 1,700,000
2000 19.2 mil 4,085,000
2050 35.0 mil 7,500,000
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Lessons from the Australian Experience
• Public sector balance sheets • Contemporary state apparatus • Sources of Xinance • Funding • Statecraft: – Organisational structures – Capital structures – Regulatory structures