mixed migration flows in europe via the western balkans route
TRANSCRIPT
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MIXED MIGRATION FLOWS IN EUROPE VIA THE WESTERN BALKANS ROUTE
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WHO ARE THEY:
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Structure of flows: The former Yugoslav Republic of Macedonia 19 June 2015-October 2015
MALE 150720
FEMALE 38623
MINORS 52304
UNACOMPANYED MINORS 13312
TOTAL 254959
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THE FORMER YUGOSLAV REPUBLIC OF MACEDONIA-GENDER/AGE STRUCTURE OF FLOWS
Male59%Female
15%
Minors21%
UAMs5%
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TOP FIVE NATIONALITIES
NATIONALITY %
SYRIA 62%
AFGANISTAN 22%
IRAQ 8%
PAKISTAN 2%
IRAN 2%
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Characteristics of the flows
• Continuous increase in the number of people on the move• Increasing trends of UAMs (evidenced increase in September,
October and November, majority male but also female)• Decreased structural participation of Syrians, increased participation
of Afghanis• Predominant Western Balkans Route
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Other characteristics of the flows
• In September 2015, the numbers of asylum applications recorded by EU reached a new record high with about 172 185 applications reported. This represents an increase of 16 % compared to the level recorded in August• Increase of asylum applications by UAMs (Afghans, Syrians and
Eritreans) • Increase in the asylum applications by Syrians (26%), Iraqis (115%),
Afghanis (5%)
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DESTINATION COUNTRIES The highest number of first time asylum applicants in the second quarter
of 2015 was registered in:
•Germany (38%) of total applicants in the EU•Hungary ( 15%)•Austria ( 8%), • Italy, France and Sweden (7% each). These 6
Member States together account for more than 80% of all first country applicants in the EU-28
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ASYLUM APPLICATIONS DECISIONS• 46 % were positive first instance decisions (i.e. granting a
type of protection status) • Syrians have received by far the highest number of
protection statuses in the EU, including protection based on national legislations 96% rate of recognition, • Eritreans 84%, • Iraqis 87% • Afghanis 70%
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Factors determining the future trends
• Crisis in Middle East, North Africa – higher flows from those regions• Border controls and measures• Number of border points to cross before accessing the
Schengen zone/Road infrastructure• Economic situation in the countries of destination (pull factor)
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Future trends
“Overall the Western Balkan route will likely remain a viable alternative to the direct sea crossing from Greece or Turkey to Italy, mostly due to the lower costs of facilitation. The increasing pool of would-be migrants fed by the bad security and humanitarian situation in the Middle East will likely fuel both these routes significantly”
Frontex report
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