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  • 8/13/2019 Minimum Wage Memo Draft for Distribution 11252013 (1)

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    COUNCIL OF THE DISTRICT OF COLUMBIA

    Office of the Budget Director

    Jennifer BudoffBudget Director

    TO: Chairman Phil Mendelson

    Councilmember Vincent Orange

    FROM: Jennifer Budoff, Budget Director

    Joseph Wolfe, Senior Capital Budget Analyst

    DATE: November 25, 2013

    SUBJECT: Increasing the Minimum Wage in the District of Columbia and Effect

    on Public Benefits

    Several members of the Council of the District of Columbia have introduced bills to increase theDistricts minimum wage. This memo provides information on wages in the District, proposedincreases in the minimum wage, and potential impacts on public benefit eligibility. We concludethat in most cases the proposed minimum wage increases will not materially affect public benefiteligibility.

    BackgroundThe minimum wage for the District is statutorily set at $1 per hour above the federal minimumwage,1for a current rate of $8.25 per hour. That rate has been in effect since July 24, 2009. TheDistricts tipped minimum wage has been set at $2.77 per hour since January 1, 2005. There areapproximately 18,351 workers employed in the District who earn less than $10/hour.Approximately 42,988 workers employed in the District earn less than $12.00/hour.2

    Three proposals before the Council would increase the Districts minimum wage to about $10.50in 2016, assuming an annual inflation rate of 2.4%. One proposal would raise the Districtsminimum wage to $12.50 in 2018. If the 1968 federal minimum wage of $1.60 had been tied toinflation, the federal minimum wage would currently be about $10.77 (July 2013 dollars).

    3

    Assuming a future annual inflation rate of 2.4%, the equivalent wage would be about $11.50 in2016.

    1D.C. Official Code 32-1003.2Appendix D presents more information provided by the OCFOs Office of Revenue Analysis on wage groups by occupation.3Elwell, Craig K., Congressional Research Service,Inflation and the Real Minimum Wage: A Fact Sheet, September 12, 2013.CPI-W used to calculate current wage.

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    Two proposals before the Council would also increase the tipped minimum wage. One wouldmake it equal to the minimum; the other would make it 70% of the minimum. When the federaltipped minimum wage was established, it was set at 50% of the minimum wage. If the 1968tipped minimum wage had been linked to the CPI, it would be about $5.38 today. Assuming afuture annual inflation rate of 2.4%, the equivalent tipped wage would be about $5.75 in 2016.

    Two neighboring counties in Maryland Prince Georges County and Montgomery County areconsidering proposals that would raise their minimum wages to $11.50 in 2016. Many otherjurisdictions currently have minimum wages that are higher than the federal minimum, and sixjurisdictions currently have minimum wages higher than the Districts $8.25 wage. Threeadditional jurisdictions plan to have minimum wages higher than $8.25.

    Jurisdiction CurrentWages4

    FutureIncreases LinkedtoCPI

    SanFrancisco,CA $10.55 Yes

    SantaFe,NM $10.51 Yes

    SanJose,CA $10.00 Yes

    Washington $9.19 Yes

    Oregon

    $8.95 Yes

    Vermont $8.60 Yes

    DistrictofColumbia $8.25 No

    Connecticut $8.25 Increasingto$9.00on1/1/15 No

    Nevada $8.25 Yes

    California $8.00 Increasingto$10.00on1/1/16 No

    Ohio $7.85 Yes

    Arizona $7.80 Yes

    Montana $7.80 Yes

    Florida $7.79 Yes

    Colorado $7.78 Yes

    Missouri $7.35 Yes

    NewYork

    $7.25 Increasing

    to

    $9.00

    on

    12/31/15 No

    The Impact of Increasing the Minimum Wage on Public Benefit Eligibility

    The table below examines whether wage earners working full-time would be eligible for variouspublic benefits as hourly wages increases from $8.25 to $11.50. As shown below, mosthouseholds with one wage earner would remain eligible for Medicaid, child care subsidies,housing assistance, and food security benefits with an $11.50 minimum wage.

    4Assuming an inflation rate of 2.4%, San Francisco, Santa Fe, and San Jose will have minimum wages higher than $10.50 andless than $11.50 in 2016.

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    Minimum Wage Increases and Eligibility for Public Benefits

    PublicBenefits

    Eligibility

    (Maximum%of

    theFederal

    PovertyLevel)

    Household

    Size

    $8.25/

    hour

    $17,160/

    year

    $9.50/

    hour

    $19,760/

    year

    $10.50/

    hour

    $21,840/

    year

    $11.50/

    hour

    $23,920/

    year

    Medicaid(Children

    andPregnant

    Women)

    300%

    1 Yes Yes Yes Yes

    2 Yes Yes Yes Yes

    3 Yes Yes Yes Yes

    4+ Yes Yes Yes Yes

    Medicaid(Youthand

    Adults)200%

    1 Yes Yes Yes No*

    2 Yes Yes Yes Yes

    3 Yes Yes Yes Yes

    4+ Yes Yes Yes Yes

    ChildCareSubsidy

    250%

    (300%ifenrolled

    10/1/2009)

    1 n/a n/a n/a n/a

    2 Yes Yes Yes Yes

    3 Yes Yes Yes Yes

    4+ Yes Yes Yes Yes

    Supplemental

    NutritionAssistance

    Program(SNAP)

    130%1 No No No

    No2 Yes Yes No No

    3 Yes Yes Yes Yes

    4+ Yes Yes Yes Yes

    HousingChoice

    VoucherProgramand

    LocalRent

    SupplementProgram

    ~196%

    (30%AMI)

    1 Yes Yes Yes No**

    2 Yes Yes Yes Yes

    3 Yes Yes Yes Yes

    4+ Yes Yes Yes Yes

    Women,Infants,and

    Children(WIC)185%

    1 Yes Yes Yes No

    2 Yes Yes Yes Yes

    3 Yes Yes Yes Yes

    4+ Yes Yes Yes Yes

    TemporaryAssistance

    forNeedyFamilies

    (TANF)

    47%

    1 No No No

    No2 No No No No

    3 No No No No

    4+ No No No No

    FreeandReduced

    MealProgram(FARM)185%

    1 n/a n/a n/a n/a

    2 Yes Yes Yes Yes

    3 Yes Yes Yes Yes

    4+ Yes Yes Yes Yes

    EarnedIncomeTax

    Credit(singlefiler)5

    Varies

    1 No No No No

    2 Yes Yes Yes Yes

    3 Yes Yes Yes Yes

    4+ Yes Yes Yes Yes

    *Calculations

    are

    based

    on

    current

    FPL.

    If

    FPL

    increases

    4.1%

    by

    2016,

    a

    1

    person

    household

    could

    be

    eligible

    for

    benefits.

    A

    1personhouseholdwouldalsoqualifyfortaxincentivesviatheAffordableCareActtopurchaseprivatehealthcarecoverage.

    **CalculationsarebasedoncurrentAMIandFPL. IfFPLincreasesmorethan6.2%,a1personhouseholdcouldbeeligiblefor

    benefits. A1personhouseholdmayalsostillqualifyforcertainsubsidizedrentalprogramsthatprovideflexibilityto

    recipientsastheirincomegrows.

    5Appendix A presents more information provided by the OCFOs Office of Revenue Analysis on EITC recipients and theinteraction of a rising minimum wage and the EITC.

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    Cost of Living and Area Median Wages

    According to the Economic Policy Institute (EPI), the District has one of the highest costs ofliving in the United States. A family of one parent and one child needs an annual income of$72,407,6or a full-time hourly wage of more than $34.81, in order to attain a secure yet modestliving standard in the District. EPIs calculations take into consideration the cost of housing,

    food, child care, transportation, health care, other necessities, and taxes. Similarly, theMassachusetts Institute of Technology (MIT) estimates that a full-time living hourly wage for afamily of one parent and one child is $26.37. For one adult, MITs living wage is $13.68.

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    The gap between high-income and low-income households in the District is the third-highestamong the 50 largest cities, after Atlanta and Boston. Real, inflation-adjusted wages have grownonly 14 percent for those at the bottom of the earnings scale since 1979, compared with 29percent for middle-wage workers, and 44 percent for high-wage workers.8

    The chart below shows how the median wages of occupation groups with more than 2,000employees at the bottom of the Districts economic ladder changed between 2001 and 2012. As

    the Districts median wage increased from $19.94 to $29.79, the median wage of waiters andwaitresses at the bottom of the scale increased from $6.98 to $9.23. As a percent of the medianfor all occupations, the median wage of waiters and waitresses actually decreased from 35% to31%. The median wage for food preparation workers increased from $10.02 to $10.29, but as apercent of the median for all occupations, it decreased from 50% to 35%.

    6EPI Family Budget Calculator, http://www.epi.org/resources/budget/. Appendix B provides more information on EPIcost of living estimates.7MIT Living Wage Calcultor, http://livingwage.mit.edu/counties/11001.8Biegler, Caitlin, DC Fiscal Policy Institute,A Big Gap: Income Inequality in the District Remains One of the Highest in the

    Nation.

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    MedianWagesintheDistrictofColumbia9

    9Appendix D presents more information provided by the OCFOs Office of Revenue Analysis on occupations and employees.

    $6.25

    $8.25

    $10.25

    $12.25

    $14.25

    $16.25

    $18.25

    $20.25

    $22.25

    $24.25

    $26.25

    $28.25

    $30.25

    2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012

    AllOccupations(653,760)

    JanitorsandCleaners,ExceptMaidsandHousekeepingCleaners(11,030)

    RetailSalespersons(6,290)

    PersonalCareAides(2,600)

    HomeHealthAides(3,880)

    CombinedFoodPreparationandServingWorkers,IncludingFastFood(7,880)

    Cashiers(6,910)

    FoodPreparationWorkers(3,920)

    ParkingLotAttendants(2,450)

    Bartenders(2,400)

    Dishwashers(3,210)

    DiningRoomandCafeteriaAttendantsandBartenderHelpers(3,340)

    WaitersandWaitresses(9,130)

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    APPENDIX A

    Earned Income Tax Credit

    The Earned Income Tax Credit (EITC) is a refundable tax credit for low-income workers. Theamount of the credit rises with earned income until it reaches a maximum level and then begins

    to phase out. As a result, for every $1 increase in income, the EITC reduction is about $.295.Therefore, considering only income and the EITC, an increase in the minimum wage would notgenerate a net loss.

    According to the OCFOs Office of Revenue Analysis (ORA), in tax year 2011 there were56,036 EITC recipients in the District, receiving an average credit of $954, and paying anaverage of $308 in income taxes. The charts below, provided by ORA, show the total EITCrecipients by income category and tax filer type, as well as the amount of benefits received andtaxes paid in each category.

    DCEITCRecipientsbyIncome

    IncomeCategory Number TotalEITCAmountAverage

    EITC

    Credit TotalTax AverageTax

    10Kandunder 17,337 $9,414,729 $543 $400,392 $23

    10k20k 20,132 $27,982,999 $1,390 $3,681,023 $183

    20k30k 11,591 $12,717,366 $1,097 $6,578,890 $568

    30k50k 6,976 $3,344,683 $479 $6,588,050 $944

    Total 56,036 $53,459,777 $954 $17,248,355 $308

    DCEITCRecipientsbyFilerType

    FilerType

    Number

    TotalEITC

    Amount

    AverageEITC

    Credit

    TotalTax

    Average

    Tax

    Single 18,964 $11,496,241 $606 $3,046,715 $161

    Joint 2,862 $3,063,671 $1,070 $1,403,309 $490

    MarriedCombinedSeparate 539 $516,069 $957 $399,342 $741

    HeadofHousehold 33,671 $38,383,796 $1,140 $12,418,042 $369

    Total 56,036 $53,459,777 $954 $17,267,408 $308

    Notes

    JointandMarriedFilingSeparateincludeDomesticPartners

    DataSource:CFO/OTR,TY2011

    The amount of EITC one can receive is dependent on income, marital status and total number ofchildren. After a minimum income threshold is met, the EITC decreases at a maximum rate of29.5 cents for every new dollar increase in gross income. Therefore, while an individuals creditmay decrease, that individual will not experience a net loss in overall income.

    To illustrate this point, ORA tabulated the estimated income gain and EITC loss of a full time(2080 hours) minimum wage employee receiving a wage increase of $1, $2, and $3.25 per hour.

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    The results by filing status are in the charts below. These charts show that even though the EITCdecreases in most cases, net income increases regardless of filing status at all three wage levels.It is important to note that actual income gains and EITC loss would vary by individual. Actualtotal hours worked and other sources of income could affect ones actual results.

    FilerType Grossincomegain EITCLoss

    Netincomegain/loss

    (adjustedfortaxes)

    SingleFiler,nochildren 2,080.00$ overthreshold 1,747.20$SingleFiler,1child 2,080.00$ (457.80)$ 1,289.40$

    SingleFiler,2children 2,080.00$ (604.80)$ 1,142.40$SingleFiler,3+children 2,080.00$ (604.80)$ 1,142.40$

    Married,Jointreturn,noChildren 2,080.00$ overthreshold 1,747.20$Married,Jointreturn,1child 2,080.00$ $0 1,747.20$

    Married,JointReturn,2children 2,080.00$ $0 1,747.20$Married,JointReturn,3+children 2,080.00$ $0 1,747.20$

    HeadofHousehold,nochildren 2,080.00$ overthreshold 1,747.20$HeadofHousehold, 1child 2,080.00$ (457.80)$ 1,289.40$

    HeadofHousehold,2children 2,080.00$ (604.80)$ 1,142.40$HeadofHousehold,3+children 2,080.00$ (604.80)$ 1,142.40$

    NETANNUAL

    INCOME

    INCREASE

    (INCREASE

    IN

    SALARY

    DUE

    TO

    NEW

    HOURLY

    MINIMUM

    WAGE,

    MINUSLOSTEITCCREDITAMOUNT) $9.25($1increaseoverthecurrent$8.25perhour)

    FilerType Grossincomegain EITCLoss

    Netincomegain/loss

    (adjustedfortaxes)

    SingleFiler,nochildren 4,160.00$ overthreshold 3,494.40$SingleFiler,1child 4,160.00$ (928.20)$ 2,566.20$

    SingleFiler,2children 4,160.00$ (1,223.60)$ 2,270.80$SingleFiler,3+children 4,160.00$ (1,223.60)$ 2,270.80$

    Married,Jointreturn,noChildren 4,160.00$ (215.60)$ 3,278.80$Married,Jointreturn,1child 4,160.00$ (8.40)$ 3,486.00$

    Married,JointReturn,2children 4,160.00$ overthreshold 3,494.40$Married,JointReturn,3+children 4,160.00$ $0 3,494.40$

    HeadofHousehold,nochildren 4,160.00$ $0 3,494.40$HeadofHousehold, 1child 4,160.00$ (928.20)$ 2,566.20$

    HeadofHousehold,2children 4,160.00$ (1,223.60)$ 2,270.80$Head

    of

    Household,

    3+

    children 4,160.00$

    (1,223.60)$

    2,270.80$

    NETANNUALINCOMEINCREASE(INCREASEINSALARYDUETONEWHOURLYMINIMUMWAGE,

    MINUSLOSTEITCCREDITAMOUNT) $10.25($2increaseoverthecurrent$8.25perhour)

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    APPENDIX B

    Costs of Living

    Below is the income a family of 1 parent and 1 child needs in order to attain a secure yet modest living standardBudget Calculator. Virginia and Maryland portions of the metro area are listed separately.

    State Area

    Monthly

    Housing

    Monthly

    Food

    Monthly

    Child

    care

    Monthly

    Transportation

    Monthly

    Health

    care

    DCWashingtonArlingtonAlexandria,DCVAMDHUD

    MetroFMRArea $1,412 $369 $1,318 $480 $967

    NY NassauSuffolk,NYHUDMetroFMRArea $1,583 $369 $1,070 $480 $945

    CA SanFrancisco,CAHUDMetroFMRArea $1,795 $369 $720 $480 $1,096

    CT StamfordNorwalk,CTHUDMetroFMRArea $1,648 $369 $899 $480 $1,039

    NY NewYork,NYHUDMetroFMRArea $1,474 $369 $1,070 $450 $1,050

    NY WestchesterCounty,NYStatutoryExceptionArea $1,468 $369 $1,070 $480 $945

    MA

    BostonCambridgeQuincy,MANHHUDMetroFMR

    Area

    $1,444

    $369

    $1,019

    $480

    $1,037

    VAWashingtonArlingtonAlexandria,DCVAMDHUD

    MetroFMRArea $1,412 $369 $1,072 $480 $967

    CT Danbury,CTHUDMetroFMRArea $1,384 $369 $899 $459 $1,175

    CA OrangeCounty,CAHUDMetroFMRArea $1,621 $369 $720 $480 $949

    CA

    SanJoseSunnyvaleSantaClara,CAHUDMetroFMR

    Area $1,610 $369 $720 $480 $987

    MD Columbiacity,MDHUDMetroFMRArea $1,569 $369 $785 $459 $931

    NH

    BostonCambridgeQuincy,MANHHUDMetroFMR

    Area $1,444 $369 $824 $570 $1,037

    CA SantaCruzWatsonville,CAMSA $1,587 $369 $720 $480 $910

    MA EastonRaynham,MAHUDMetroFMRArea $1,255 $369 $1,019 $459 $1,039

    MA

    BarnstableTown,

    MA

    MSA

    $1,267

    $369

    $1,019

    $459

    $1,019

    MDWashingtonArlingtonAlexandria,DCVAMDHUD

    MetroFMRArea $1,412 $369 $785 $480 $967

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    APPENDIX C

    Eligibility for Supplemental Nutrition Assistance Program

    As shown on the table entitled Minimum Wage Increases and Eligibility for Public Benefits,aswages rise Supplemental Nutrition Assistance Program (SNAP) benefits may phase out for

    certain 2-person households. The following analysis explores the impact that proposedminimum wage increases would have on incomes and eligibility for SNAP benefits.

    To be eligible for SNAP benefits, households are generally required to pass both gross and netincome tests. For October 1, 2013, through September 30, 2014, gross annual incomes cannotexceed the following, which are set at 130% of the Federal Poverty Level:

    Household

    Size

    Maximum

    GrossAnnual

    Income

    1 $14,937

    2

    $20,163

    3 $25,389

    4 $30,615

    For this analysis, net incomes are computed by making the following deductions from grossincome:

    EarnedIncomeDeduction 20%ofGrossIncome(standard)

    StandardDeduction $152permonth(maximumallowedforhouseholdslessthan4)

    DependentCareDeduction Monthlycopaymentsof$63.48foronechildand$111.15fortwo

    ExcessShelterDeduction 30%ofgrossincomeorthemaximumdeductionallowed($478permonth).

    As of November 1, 2013, maximum annual SNAP benefit allotments are $4,164 for a householdof two and $5,964 for a household of three. The actual allotment a household will receive iscalculated by subtracting 30% of the households net income from the maximum allotmentallowed. The assumed deductions above would allow the head of a 2-person household to claimthe maximum SNAP benefit allotment up to the maximum gross eligible income of $20,163,which is the annual income equivalent to a full-time wage of $9.69. These deductions wouldalso allow the head of a 3-person household to claim the maximum SNAP benefit allotmentworking full-time at the proposed minimum wage of $11.50.

    The charts below show the change in incomes and SNAP benefits anticipated if the Districtsminimum wage is increased from $8.25 to $11.50. Note that no allowance has been made forfuture increases in the Federal Poverty Level or potential changes in SNAP allotments.

    An employee with no dependents working full-time at the current minimum wage of $8.25,which would generate a gross income of $17,160, would be ineligible for SNAP benefits.Therefore, a minimum wage increase would have no impact on the SNAP eligibility of thishousehold. The chart below shows the proposed increases in the minimum wage and income fora 1-person household.

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    An employee working full-time with one dependent child would be eligible for SNAP benefits iftheir gross annual income does not exceed $20,163. The maximum wage for an eligible full-time employee would be $9.69. Under the deduction assumptions outlined above, if anemployees wage was increased from $9.69 to $9.70, they would lose annual SNAP allotments

    of approximately $1,823. However, a wage increase from $9.50 to $10.50 would increaseannual income by $2,080 and offset the loss of benefits.

    If an employee with two dependents working full-time had their wage increased to $11.50, whichwould generate a gross annual income of $23,920, they would remain eligible for SNAPbenefits. Under the assumptions outlined above, the employee would not see a decrease incombined income and benefits. Currently a household of three can have an income of up to$25,392, which is equivalent to a minimum wage of about $12.20, before they become ineligiblefor SNAP benefits.

    FullTime@$9.50

    Min+SNAP,

    $23,650

    FullTime@$10.50

    Min+SNAP,$25,231

    FullTime@$11.50

    Min+SNAP,$26,811

    $15,000

    $17,000

    $19,000

    $21,000

    $23,000

    $25,000

    $27,000

    $29,000

    $31,000

    CurrentandProjectedIncomefor3PersonHousehold

    (1Wage

    Earner)

    FullTimeIncome CurrentIncome+SNAP

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    APPENDIX D

    Profile of Wage Groups by Occupation

    According to the OCFOs ORA, of the approximately 626,520 workers in the District (not all ofwhom are District residents), approximately 18,360 earn less than $10 per hour, and 42,990 earn

    less than $12 per hour. The major occupation groups that are the lowest paid are foodpreparation, sales, personal care and service, transportation and material moving, healthcaresupport, and building and ground maintenance. The ORA chart below shows the approximatetotal number of workers making less than $10, $12, and $20 by occupation type.

    Occupation

    TotalApprox#

    EmployedinDC

    Approx#workers

    makinglessthan

    $10perhour

    Approx#workers

    makinglessthan

    $12perhour

    Approx#workers

    makinglessthan

    $20perhour

    FoodPreparationandServing

    RelatedOccupations

    48,800 12,200 24,400 36,600

    SalesandRelatedOccupations 24,500 2,450 6,125 12,250

    PersonalCareandService

    Occupations

    11,330 1,133 2,833 8,498

    TransportationandMaterialMoving

    Occupations

    13,980 1,398 1,398 6,990

    HealthcareSupportOccupations 11,800 1,180 2,950 8,850

    BuildingandGroundsCleaningand

    MaintenanceOccupations

    21,130 5,283 19,017

    CommunityandSocialService

    Occupations

    11,290 2,823

    OfficeandAdministrativeSupport

    Occupations

    82,140 20,535

    ProtectiveServiceOccupations 24,420 6,105

    ConstructionandExtraction

    Occupations

    11,910 2,978

    Installation,Maintenance,and

    RepairOccupations

    9,560 2,390

    Arts,Design,Entertainment,Sports,

    andMediaOccupations

    26,640 2,664

    HealthcarePractitionersand

    TechnicalOccupations

    29,850 2,985

    Life,Physical,andSocialScience

    Occupations

    19,820 1,982

    BusinessandFinancialOperations

    Occupations

    103,620

    ArchitectureandEngineering

    Occupations

    13,780

    Computerand

    Mathematical

    Occupations

    34,280

    LegalOccupations 39,930

    ManagementOccupations 78,020

    ComputerOccupations,AllOther 9,720

    ApproximateTotalworkers: 626,520 18,361 42,988 134,666Notes:

    The#ofemployeetotalsareapproximate;certaintotalsacrosscategorieswillnottieexactly

    DataSource:BureauofLaborStatisticsOccupationalEmploymentandWageestimateData