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Emerging Market Debt: a prime destination for global investors
Max Wolman, Portfolio ManagerAberdeen Asset Management
Citywire South West Retreat
April 2013
Overview
• Emerging Market Debt: a mainstream asset class
• Looking ahead: what does the future hold
• Using EMD in client portfolios
• Aberdeen Emerging Markets Bond Fund
• Appendices
1
Emerging Market Debt: a mainstream asset class
The perception of risk versus the reality
3
Country A Country B
Source: IMF World Economic Outlook, Apr 12; Bloomberg, Jan 13
Public Debt (% GDP) 111.7 43.2
Fiscal Deficit (% GDP) -7.3 -2.3
GDP Growth (%) 2.1 3.5
10 Year Yield (%) 1.9 5.4
General Government Debt (% GDP) vs Government Balance (% GDP)
Belgium
France
Germany
Greece
Ireland
Italy
Luxembourg
Netherlands
Portugal
Slovak Republic
Slovenia
Spain
Australia
Canada
Norway
Sweden
Switzerland
UK
USA
China
India
Indonesia
Korea
Malaysia
PhilippinesThailand
Vietnam Belarus
Croatia
Egypt
Georgia
Hungary
Iraq
Ivory Coast
Jordan
Kazakhstan
Latvia
Lebanon
Lithuania
Namibia
Poland
Qatar
Romania
RussiaSaudi Arabia
Senegal
Serbia
South AfricaTurkey
UAE
Ukraine
Argentina
Barbados
Brazil
Chile
ColombiaCosta Rica
Dominican Republic
Ecuador
El Salvador
Guatemala
Jamaica
Mexico
Panama
Peru
Uruguay
Venezuela
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
110
120
130
140
150
160
-11 -10 -9 -8 -7 -6 -5 -4 -3 -2 -1 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17
Eurozone G10 Asia CEEMEA LatAmJapan
Developed countries
Emerging countries
EM economies have considerably lower debt levels...
Source: IMF, World Economic Outlook Database, May 12
Japan's Govt. Debt is 236%
General Government Balance for 2012 (% of GDP)
Gro
ss G
enera
l Gove
rnm
ent D
ebt f
or
2012 (
% o
f G
DP
)
4
... in contrast to the developed market fiscal cliff…
5
Average credit rating of Developed markets vs Emerging Markets
Source: Morgan Stanley, Fitch, Moody’s, Standard & Poor’s
DM (RHS) EM (LHS)
1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011
BB-
BB
BB+
BBB-
BBB
2002 2010200820062004 20132012
A+
AA-
AA
AA+
• External debt is 62% investment grade
• Average credit quality is BBB-
• Domestic debt is 83% investment grade
• Average credit quality is BBB+
• External debt is 62% investment grade
• Average credit quality is BBB-
• Domestic debt is 83% investment grade
• Average credit quality is BBB+
S&P breakdown of EMBI Global Diversified Index S&P breakdown of GBI-EM Global Diversified Index
… for investment grade credit quality
AA8.4%
A3.4%
BBB17.4%
BB19.3%
B50.0%
NR1.5%
A56.7%
BBB26.3%
BB17.0%
Source: JP Morgan, Dec 12Indexes are unmanaged and have been provided for comparison purposes only. No fees or expenses are reflected. Individuals cannot invest directly in an index. Generally the credit ratings range from AAA (highest) to D (lowest). Where bonds held in the fund are rated by multiple rating agencies (Moody's, S&P and Fitch), the lower of the ratings is used. This may not be consistent with data from the benchmark provider.
6
The EMD universe has grown rapidly …
7
Total EMD market: USD 7.7trn
0
1,000
2,000
3,000
4,000
5,000
6,000
7,000
8,000
9,000
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
Local Sovereign USD Sovereign USD Corporate
Size of the EMD market by investment type
Source: BIS, Bondradar, JP Morgan, Sep 12
USD Corporate $1,023 bn
(13%)Local Sovereign$6,000 bn
(78%)
USD Sovereign
$549bn(9%)
2010
8
• By 2050 Emerging Markets are forecast to represent 69% of world GDP versus 40% now
• With a growing, financially independent, aspirational middle class
Source: Citi Mar 11; GDP measured in 2010 PPP USD
2050f
... and are likely to be the main drivers of future growth
NorthAmerica
22%
Europe23%
Other9%
Japan6%
Emerging Markets
40%
Europe 9%
Japan 2%
Emerging Markets
69%
Other9%
North America
11%
Country 10 year bond yield (%) Inflation y-o-y (%) Real yield (%) Credit rating (S&P)
Brazil 9.1 5.5 3.6 A-
Colombia 5.4 2.4 3.0 BBB+
Malaysia 3.5 1.3 2.2 A
Mexico 5.5 4.2 1.3 A-
South Africa 6.6 5.6 1.0 A-
Poland 3.8 2.8 1.0 A
Hungary 6.1 5.2 0.9 BB
Indonesia 5.1 4.3 0.8 BB+
US 1.9 1.8 0.1 AA+
Germany 1.5 2.1 -0.6 AAA
UK 2.0 2.7 -0.7 AAA
Source: S&P, Bloomberg, Jan 13
… and real yields remain positive…
9
The same perceptions exist for EM companies…
10
1. Total capital/risk weighted assets2. Mid yield to maturitySource: Company presentations and reporting, figures for Q1 2012. Yield as at Jan 13.Securities selected for illustrative purposes only.
Company A Company B
Net interest margin (%) 2.6 5.5
Return on common equity (%)
11.0 20.5
Total capital ratio1 (%) 14.9 15.1
Yield of representative2016 senior bond2 (%)
1.4 2.1
A2 ratedMexican bank
A2 rated US bank
EM corporates have lower leverage in the same ratings buckets …
… but trade at wider spreads
11Source: BofA Merrill Lynch Global Research, Sep 12
… and wider spreads despite lower leverage
0.0 0.5 1.0 1.5 2.0 2.5 3.0 3.5 4.0
A
BBB
BB
B
Net Leverage, x
EM Corporates US Corporates
0 25 50 75 100 125 150 175 200 225 250 275 300 325
A
BBB
BB
B
Spread per Turn of Net Leverage, bps/x
EM Corporates US Corporates
Looking ahead: what does the future hold
EMD 2013 outlook
• EMD providing a haven for investors diversifying out of developed markets
• Structural redeployment by global asset allocators away from core developed bond markets will continue to ensure inflows into EM bond markets.
• Modest supply in external sovereign bonds will be easily absorbed by demand for assets offering yield, which should prevent any significant spread widening.
• Limited supply in hard currency sovereigns paves way for greater opportunities in emerging market corporates
• Reduced tail risk in Europe, increased allocations to EM equities and robust FDI inflows will be supportive for EM currencies.
• Renewed tolerance for modest currency appreciation by Chinese policy-makers will allow other EM countries to accommodate some appreciation pressures.
• Chinese cyclical slowdown has passed, refocusing attention on its structural demand for commodities to fuel its infrastructure investment requirements.
• Biggest risk to EM would be overly strong US economic data which could threaten the “lower for longer” environment.
13
Breakdown of JPM GBI-EM GD returns
EM currencies poised to pull their weight in 2013
14Source: JP Morgan, 31 Dec 12
80
85
90
95
100
105
110
115
120
125
130
May 11 Jul 11 Sep 11 Nov 11 Jan 12 Mar 12 May 12 Jul 12 Sep 12 Nov 12
GBI-EM GD Total Return (in USD) GBI-EM Global Div Rates (Local Bond) Returns GBI-EM GD FX Return (USD)
EM FX returns only contributed 3% out of 16.7% in EM local currency in 2012
Total return (USD from May 11 to Dec 12)
Rates return (Local Bond from May 11 to Dec 12)
FX return (Local vs USD from May 11 to Dec 12)
6.22% 21.22% -12.30%
Total return (USD since Jun 12) Rates return (Local Bond since Jun 12) FX return (Local vs USD since Jun12)
15.62% 9.35% 5.73%
Hourly wage in manufacturing
Mexico: still gaining export competitiveness vs China
* Estimate for ChinaSource: ILO and INEGI, Oct 12
• The convergence in costs with China has led to an increase in market share and in foreign direct investment flows in manufacturing
15
Dollars China Mexico
2.5
2.0
1.5
1.0
0.5
0.0
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009*
2010*
2011*
3.0
237.9%
7.3%
Using EMD in client portfolios
5-year risk vs return
Risk & return data support the case for EMD
17Source: L-IM. All figures were correct at the close of business on 31st December 2012
IMA £ Corporate Bond
IMA £ High Yield
IMA Global
IMA Global Bonds
IMA Global Emerging Markets
IMA UK Equity Income
JPM EMBI Global Diversified
0.00
2.00
4.00
6.00
8.00
10.00
12.00
14.00
16.00
18.00
0.00 5.00 10.00 15.00 20.00 25.00
Be
nch
mark
An
nu
alis
ed
Risk / Annualised Standard
A blended approach can offer the best risk/return profile
18
JPM EMBI Global diversified vs JPM GBI-EM Global diversified (Jan 03 – Jun 12)
Source: Aberdeen Asset Management, Jun 12Note: Annualised return = 10.65% , Annualised volatility = 9.10%
9.0 9.5 10.0 10.5 11.0 11.5 12.0
10.0
10.5
11.0
11.5
12.0
12.5
%
100% JPM GBI-EM
Glob. Div.
100% JPM EM Bond Glob. Div.
13% JPM GBI-EM GD
87% JPM EMBI GD
Strategic Bond funds are not the answer
19
Why?
• They don’t have the necessary skill sets and invest across the ‘traditional’ credit spectrum of government bonds, credit and high yield
• This creates a strong argument for holding dedicated Emerging Market Debt exposure alongside ‘strategic’ exposure
UK 47.9
Developed Europe (ex UK) 28.1
North America 14.2
Australia and New Zealand 1.9
South and Central America 0.6
Middle East and Africa 0.5
Emerging Europe 0.5
Developed Asia 0.2
Emerging Asia 0.1
Japan 0.01
Non-classified 2.6
Managed fund 1.9
Cash and equivalent 1.6
• The average* strategic bond fund allocates only 1.7% to Emerging Market Debt
NB Due to rounding effects the total does not add up to 100%* Based on the weighted average of the top 10 GBP Strategic bond funds (IMA), Jan 13Source: Aberdeen, Hargreaves Lansdown and Lipper
Developed92.3%
Cash andequivalent
1.6%
Emerging Markets1.7%Non-classified
2.6%
Managed fund1.9%
Strategic Bond funds are not very ‘strategic’ in our view
Summary
• EMD is supported by better fundamentals than developed markets
• Perceptions are often counter to this reality in both countries and companies
• This is a rapidly growing asset class which is predominantly investment grade
• Inflows are structural and should remain steady amid search for yield
• EMD offers attractive return opportunities
20
Aberdeen Emerging Markets Bond Fund
Aberdeen Emerging Markets Bond Fund
• Aberdeen’s flagship onshore ‘blended’ EMD fund
• An emerging market debt solution investing across entire EMD universe
• Provides investors with an attractive level of income and capital return
• Active allocation between sub asset classes provides diversified sources of return
• Offers compelling risk return characteristics
22A true emerging market debt solution
Aberdeen Global – Select Emerging Markets Bond Fund
23
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
Mar-07 Sep-07 Mar-08 Sep-08 Mar-09 Sep-09 Mar-10 Sep-10 Mar-11 Sep-11 Mar-12 Sep-12
LC Sovereign HC Sovereign/Quasi HC Corporates FX exposure
Source: Aberdeen Asset Management, 30 Sep 12Aberdeen Global – Select Emerging Markets Bond Fund
Allocation historyAberdeen Global – Select Emerging Markets Bond Fund
Key positions
% Index Portfolio SovereignUS$
bonds
Corporate US$
bonds
SovereignLocal bonds
Currency exposure
Brazil 6 9 1 5 3
Ivory Coast 1 1 1
Mexico 6 12 7 1 4 4
Philippines 5 1 1
Serbia 1 3 3
S. Africa 3 6 2 4 2
UAE 5 3 2
Uruguay 2 2 2 2
24
Source: Aberdeen Asset ManagementPositions for the Aberdeen Emerging Markets Bond Fund,31 Jan 2013. Index: JPM EMBI GD
Benchmark aware not benchmark driven
Aberdeen Emerging Markets Bond FundKey fund facts as at 31 March 13
Source: Lipper, as at 31 Jan 13. Basis: Total Return, NAV to NAV, UK Net Income Reinvested,Share Class A Acc. Past performance is not a guide to future results
Performance (Gross) Key facts
Fund Size £77.4 million
Launch date 9 Mar 11
Investment Team Emerging Markets Bond Team
Sector IMA Global Bonds Sector
Number of holdings 126
Yield 4.8%**
ISIN GB00B5BV9P41
AMC 1.00%
% 3 months 1 year Annualised since inception
Fund 1.25 14.37 13.14
Benchmark -2.29 9.86 10.28
Difference +3.54 +4.51 +2.86
25
** As at 31 Jan 13. The Distribution Yield reflects the amounts that may be expected to be distributed over the next 12 months as a percentage of the mid-market share price of the fund at the date shown. The Distribution and Underlying Yields are based on a snapshot of the portfolio on that day. The yields do not include any preliminary charge and investors may be subject to tax on distributions. The fund may distribute coupon income and a portion of the fund’s income is charged to capital. Thishas the effect of increasing the distributions for the year and constraining the fund’s capital performance to an equivalent extent
* Benchmark: 100% JP Morgan EMBI Global Diversified
90
100
110
120
130
140
Feb11
Mar11
Apr11
May11
Jun11
Jul11
Aug11
Sep11
Oct11
Nov11
Dec11
Jan12
Feb12
Mar12
Apr12
May12
Jun12
Jul12
Aug12
Sep12
Oct12
Nov12
Dec12
Jan13
Feb13
Mar13
Fund (Gross) JPM EMBI GD GBP
Performance (Gross)
Aberdeen Global – Select Emerging Markets Bond FundKey fund facts as at 31 March 13
Source: Aberdeen Asset Managers, BPSS, Datastream, Gross, USD,
50
150
250
350
450
550
Sep 01 Sep 02 Sep 03 Sep 04 Sep 05 Sep 06 Sep 07 Sep 08 Sep 09 Sep 10 Sep 11 Sep 12
Fund (Gross) JPM EMBI GD USD
Performance (Gross)
Performance (Gross)
Key facts
Fund Size US$3.07 billion
Launch date 15 Aug 01
Investment Team Emerging Markets Bond Team
Benchmark JPM EMBI GD USD
Number of holdings 158
% in top ten holdings 24.3%
ISIN LU0132414144
Annual Management Charge (AMC) 1.50%
Valoren 4983937
Share class A2 Acc
Total Expense Ratio (TER) 1.68%
Fund domicile Luxembourg
% YTD 1 year Annualised
3 years 5 years Launch
Fund -0.90 12.56 11.98 11.21 14.25
Benchmark* -2.26 10.11 9.87 9.44 10.61
Difference +1.36 +2.45 +2.10 +1.77 +3.64
* Benchmark: JP Morgan EMBI Global Diversified
Risk analysis 3 years
Tracking error 2.60
Information ratio 0.78
Sharpe ratio 1.44
26
Aberdeen Emerging Markets Bond FundCurrent positions
Country Portfolio (%)Benchmark (%)
(%) of total fund
Hard currency Local currency FX (% of portfolio)
Sovereign/Quasi Corporate
Argentina 0.5 1.5 0.5
Brazil 8.9 5.9 1.0 4.3 3.6
Chile 0.4 3.2 0.4
Colombia 0.7 4.1 0.7
Costa Rica 0.5 0.5 0.5
Dominican Republic 1.6 0.8 1.4 0.2
El Salvador 0.6 1.7 0.3 0.3
Guatemala 1.0 0.5 1.0
Honduras 1.1 1.1
Mexico 10.8 5.3 5.9 0.8 4.1 4.1
Panama 0.5 2.7 0.5
Peru 1.8 3.5 1.8 1.8
Uruguay 2.4 1.9 0.3 2.1 2.1
Venezuela 4.7 4.5 4.7
Other* 1.2
Latin America total 35.5 36.8 17.2 6.7 11.6 8.0
Croatia 2.0 2.0 2.0
Egypt 1.0 0.6 1.0
Georgia 0.5 0.4 0.5
Hungary 1.5 2.5 1.5
Ivory Coast 1.1 0.7 1.1
Kazakhstan 0.7 3.2 0.3 0.4
Latvia 1.1 0.9 1.1
Lithuania 2.4 2.5 2.4
Namibia 0.6 0.2 0.6
Nigeria 1.0 0.2 1.0
Qatar 1.0 1.0
Romania 2.3 0.8 2.3
Russia 8.9 5.6 0.8 5.6 2.5 0.1
Serbia 3.3 1.2 3.3
South Africa 5.0 3.3 2.4 2.6 1.9
Tanzania 0.6 0.6
Turkey 5.2 5.6 2.2 1.4 1.6
UAE 4.0 2.6 1.4
Other** 14.4
Europe/Middle East/Africa total 42.2 44.1 25.7 9.8 6.7 2.0
* Belize, Chile, Ecuador, Jamaica** Belarus, Bulgaria, Gabon, Ghana, Iraq, Jordan, Lebanon, Poland, Ukraine, ZambiaSource: Aberdeen Asset ManagementPositions for the Aberdeen Emerging Markets Bond Fund, 22 March 2012
Aberdeen Global – Emerging Markets Corporate Bond FundKey fund facts as at 31 March 13
Source: Aberdeen Asset Managers, BPSS, Datastream, Gross, USD
Performance (Gross)
90
100
110
120
130
Jan 11 Apr 11 Jul 11 Oct 11 Jan 12 Apr 12 Jul 12 Oct 12 Jan 13
Fund (Gross) JPM CEMBI BD
Performance (Gross) Key facts
Fund Size US$322 million
Launch date 30 Dec 10
Investment Team Emerging Markets Bond Team
Benchmark JPM CEMBI Broad Diversified
Number of holdings / issuers 146 / 118
% in top ten holdings 12.7%
ISIN LU0566480116
Valoren 12575568
Annual Management Charge (AMC) 1.50%
Share class A2 Acc
Total Expense Ratio (TER) 1.73%
Fund domicile Luxembourg
* Benchmark: JP Morgan CEMBI Broad Diversified** Annualised
28
Risk analysis Since launch
Tracking error 3.10
Information ratio 0.56
Sharpe ratio 1.06
% YTD 1 year Annualised
2 years 5 years Launch
Fund 0.30 12.42 9.33 -- 9.59
Benchmark* 0.93 10.57 8.13 -- 7.96
Difference -0.63 +1.85 +1.20 -- +1.64
Country Portfolio % Benchmark % Difference %
Brazil 8.64 5.88 2.76
Chile 2.11 4.12 -2.01
Colombia 3.02 3.85 -0.83
Dominican Republic 2.09 0.23 1.87
El Salvador 2.66 0.29 2.37
Guatemala 1.21 0.19 1.02
Mexico 8.76 6.02 2.75
Peru 5.34 3.72 1.62
Latam Other* 0.00 2.92 -2.92
Latam total 33.84 27.22 6.62
Abu Dhabi 2.03 4.49 -2.46
Dubai 4.77 0.65 4.12
Egypt 1.03 0.33 0.71
Georgia 0.49 0.00 0.49
Kazakhstan 1.10 1.48 -0.38
Nigeria 1.77 0.70 1.07
Russia 12.34 5.97 6.37
Turkey 5.15 4.20 0.95
Ukraine 4.02 1.12 2.90
EMEA Other** 0.00 13.85 -13.85
EMEA total 32.70 32.79 -0.09
China 4.42 6.74 -2.32
Hong Kong 4.16 5.75 -1.59
India 4.82 5.53 -0.71
Indonesia 4.52 2.35 2.17
Malaysia 0.70 2.41 -1.71
Mongolia 0.82 0.23 0.59
Philippines 1.37 2.12 -0.75
Singapore 1.84 4.45 -2.62
South Korea 3.46 5.81 -2.35
Thailand 2.84 3.67 -0.84
Asia Other*** 0.00 0.90 -0.90
Asia total 28.95 39.95 -11.00
US/Cash/Other 4.51 0.00 4.51
Total 100.0 100.0
Sector Portfolio % Benchmark %
Capital Goods 0.45 0.44
Consumer Discretionary 4.22 3.07
Consumer Staples 6.37 3.32
Energy 13.02 14.01
Financials 30.46 35.87
Health Care 0.00 1.83
Industrials 4.46 6.13
Information Technology 0.82 0.99
Materials 11.49 11.02
Real Estate 10.63 4.93
Telecommunication Services 6.21 9.87
Utilities 7.37 8.49
Cash 4.51 0.00
Total 100.00 100.00
Rating Portfolio % Benchmark %
AAA 0.00 0.22
AA 2.87 6.77
A 6.50 26.61
BBB 33.43 39.59
BB 31.64 12.00
B 16.48 9.87
CCC 0.00 0.21
CC 0.00 0.02
NR 0.00 0.00
NA 4.57 4.73
Cash 4.51 0.00
Total 100.0 100.0
Aberdeen Global – Emerging Markets Corporate Bond Fund
29
Current positions
Source: Aberdeen Asset ManagementPositions for the Aberdeen Global Emerging Markets Corporate Bond Fund, 31 Mar 13
* Argentina, Barbados, Jamaica, Venezuela, Paraguay** Bahrain, Croatia, Czech Republic, Hungary, Israel, Kenya, Kuwait, Lebanon, Oman, Poland, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, South Africa*** Macau,Taiwan
Appendices
Why Aberdeen?
31
Source: Aberdeen Asset Management, 31 Dec 12
Unparalleled depth and breadth
London
São Paulo
Budapest
Bangkok
Kuala Lumpur
Singapore
• Combined emerging market debt and equity expertise
• Local presence, with over 70 EM investment professionals worldwide
• Over $100bn in EM assets, with $11bn in EMD
• Over 50 countries and 1,000 companies researched
Hong Kong
Our strategies
32
EMD Plus: invests in hard currency sovereign, quasi sovereign and corporate bonds, localcurrency sovereigns and currencies
• Pooled fund: Aberdeen Global – Select Emerging Markets Bond Fund ($3,039m)
• Benchmark: JP Morgan EMBI Global Diversified
• AUM: $4,898m
EMD Local Currency: invests primarily in local currency sovereign bonds and currencies
• Pooled fund: Aberdeen Global – Emerging Markets Local Currency Bond Fund ($463m)
• Benchmark: JP Morgan GBI-EM Global Diversified
• AUM: $4,343m
EMD Core: invests primarily in hard currency sovereign and quasi sovereign bonds
• No pooled fund
• Benchmark: JP Morgan EMBI Global Diversified
• AUM: $2,109m
EMD Corporate: invests primarily in hard currency corporate bonds
• Pooled fund: Aberdeen Global – Emerging Markets Corporate Bond Fund ($308m)
• Benchmark: JP Morgan CEMBI Broad Diversified
• AUM: $510m*
As of 28 Feb 13. *$1,463m including off benchmark allocations to EM corporates within our EMD Plus strategy
Total AUM: $11.9bn Total AUM: $11.9bn
EMD Plus1
EMD Local Currency3 EMD Core4
EMD Corporate2
Annualised performance
33
-5
0
5
10
15
YTD 1 year 3 years 5 years Sinceinception
%
Composite Benchmark
0
5
10
15
20
YTD 1 year 2 years Since inception
%
Composite Benchmark
As at 28 Feb 2013
1 Inception: 1 Aug 99Benchmark: JPM EMBI Global Div.2 Inception: 1 Feb 11Benchmark: JPM CEMBI Broad Div.3 Inception: 1 May 09Benchmark: JPM GBI-EM Global Div.4 Inception: 1 Jan 96Benchmark: JPM EMBI Global Div.Source: Aberdeen Asset Management. Total return, gross of fees in USD.
Consistent long term performance
-5
0
5
10
15
20
YTD 1 year 3 years 5 years Sinceinception
%
Composite Benchmark
0
5
10
YTD 1 year 2 years Sinceinception
%
Composite Benchmark
The investment team
• Experienced, stable and growing team
• Broad range of specialist skills across the asset class
• Formal weekly portfolio review and six-weekly strategy meetings
• Monthly meetings with EM equity, global macro, US and Asian fixed income teams
34
Brett Diment(21 years)
Edwin Gutierrez(16 years)
Kevin Daly(24 years)
Esther Chan(9 years)
Max Wolman(13 years)
Siddharth Dahiya(7 years)
Andrew Stanners(12 years)
Viktor Szabo(12 years)
Ewa Gray(9 years)
Anthony Simond(4 years)
Flora Sexton(6 years)
Strong challenge culture
(-) denotes years industry experienceSource: Aberdeen Asset Management, 31 Dec 2012
Kathy Collins(5 years)
Debora Confortini(4 years)
Imre Tajti(10 years)
Global Emerging Market (GEM) Equity Flows (US$bn)
Inflows into GEMs will be supportive for EM currencies
35Source: EPFR , Barclays Capital, 31 Dec 2012
-15
-10
-5
0
5
10
15
20
25
Dec 02 Dec 03 Dec 04 Dec 05 Dec 06 Dec 07 Dec 08 Dec 09 Dec 10 Dec 11 Dec 12
• GEMs benefitting from renewed flows into global equity markets
• Valuations looking more attractive despite reduced earnings outlook
Past performance is not a guide to future returns. The value of investments, and the income from them, can go down as well as up and your clients may get back less than the amount invested.
The views expressed in this presentation should not be construed as advice on how to construct a portfolio or whether to buy, retain or sell a particular investment. The information contained in the presentation is for exclusive use by professional customers/eligible counterparties (ECPs) and not the general public. The information is being given only to those persons who have received this document directly from Aberdeen Asset Management (AAM) and must not be acted or relied upon by persons receiving a copy of this document other than directly from AAM. No part of this document may be copied or duplicated in any form or by any means or redistributed without the written consent of AAM.
The information contained herein including any expressions of opinion or forecast have been obtained from or is based upon sources believed by us to be reliable but is not guaranteed as to the accuracy or completeness.
Issued by Aberdeen Asset Managers Limited which is authorised and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority in the United Kingdom.
36
Not for public distribution
For professional use only