michael jansen_2001_corporate budgeting is broken_let's fix it
TRANSCRIPT
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8/10/2019 Michael Jansen_2001_Corporate Budgeting is Broken_Let's Fix It
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Corporate
Budgeting
s Brol
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8/10/2019 Michael Jansen_2001_Corporate Budgeting is Broken_Let's Fix It
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Harvard
usiness
evie
November oo1
HBR
CASE
ruoy
Ro l loA
Are
Some
Customers
More
Equal
han Others?
P a u l .
u n e s
n dB r i a n
. J o h n s o n
Frnsr
PeRsoN
Ro11oB
Where Leadersh
p
Starts
Robert
.Eckert
D l rpERErur
orcE
Ro11oc
The
Inner Life
of Executive
(ids:
A Conversation ith Chi ld Psychiatr ist obertColes
Skate o
Where he Money
Wil l
Be
Ro11oD
Clay ton .
Chr is tensen,ichae l
aynor ,
ndMat t
Ver l inden
The Real
ReasonPeople
Won't
Change
Ro11oE
Robert(egan
nd
Lisa askowahey
Corporate
Budgeting s
Broken
Lefs Fix t Ro11oF
Michae lC.Jensen
How
to LoseYour
Star Performer
R011oc
Without Losing
Customers, oo
Nee l i endapud i
ndRober t
Leone
HBR
Iru renvrew
Ro11oH
Jim
l(el ly
of UPS:Reinvention
ith
Respect
J u l i a
( i r b y
BEST RACTTcE
Ro11oJ
Changing
a Culture
of Face ime
B i l lM u n c k
Toor- ( r r
Ro11oK
Welcome o the
NewWorld
of Merchandising
Scot t
.
F r iend
ndPat r ic ia
.Walker
EEE
w
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Corporate
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8/10/2019 Michael Jansen_2001_Corporate Budgeting is Broken_Let's Fix It
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o
lng IsBrokenE
L&'s
Fix
It
Trad tiona budqetinc
processes;r; .
t ime
distort
decisions,
and
urn OneSt
manaqers
nto
ChemefS.
I t doesn ' t
ave
o be hat
wav-
i f
you' re
i l l ingo
SeVe
the
ie
S
betwe.n
udgets
and
OmpenSatiOn.
by Michael
.Jensen
t,
I
l"
Copyright o 2001
Michael
C.
ensen.
All rights
reserved.
95
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C o r p o r a t e
u d g e t i n g
s
B r o k e n L e t ' sF i x t
ORPORAT E UDGET I NG S
A
' OKE,
and
everyone nows
t. lt consumes huge amount
of executives'
ime, forcing them int o endless
rounds
of
dull
meetings nd ensenegotiations.
It encourages
anagers
o
lie
and
cheat,
owballing ar-
gets
and nflating esults,
nd t
penalizes
hem
or
telling
the truth. It turns businessecisionsnto elaborate xer-
cisesn
gaming.
t sets olleague gainst
olleague,reat-
ing
distrustand ill will.
And it distorts
ncentives,
moti-
vating
people
o act n
ways hat run counter
o the best
interests
f
their companies.
Consider
ust
two examples. t
one international
heavy-equipment
anufacturer,
anagers ere
soseton
hitting
their
quarterly
revenue arget hat
they shipped
unfinished
products
rom
their
plant
in
Englandall the
way
to a warehousen
the Netherlands,
ear he cus-
tomer,
or f inal assembly.
y shipping
he
incomplete
products,
hey
were able
o realize he
sales efore he
endofthe
quarter
and
hus
ulfi l l heir
budget
oal
an d
make
heir bonuses. ut
the high costof
assembling
he
goods
at a
distant
ocation
it required ot
only
he rental
of the warehouse
ut
also
additional abor-ended
up
reducing
he company's
verall
profit.
Then
here'she recent
ebacle
nvolving
big
bever-
age company.
he vice
president
f sales or
one
of
the
company'sargest egions
ramatically nderpredicted
demancl
or an upcomingmajorholiday.
is motivation
wassimple-he wanted
o ensure
low
revenuearget
that he
couldbe certain
f exceeding.ut he
price
or his
litt le
white ie was xtremely igh:The
company asedts
demand
lanning
n
his
sales
orecast nd
consequently
ran out
of its core
product
r.r
ne of
its argest
marketsat
the height
of the holiday
ell ing eason.
Suchcases f distorted ecisionmakilrg re egion n
business.
o doubt,
ou
could
ist similar
nstancesha t
you've
observed-or
perhaps
ven nstigated-at
your
own company.
he sad
hing
is,
heseshenanigans ave
become
so common hat
they're
almost
nvisible. he
budgeting
rocess
s so
deeplyembeddedrr
corporate
ife
that he attendanties
and
games
resimply
accepted
s
business
susual,no matter
how destrr.rctivehey are.
But it
doesn't
have
o
be
that way.Even
f
you grant
that budgeting,ike death
and axes,
will
always e
with
us,deceitful
behaviordoesn'thave o be.
That'sbecause
the budget
process
tself isn't the root
causeof the
counterproductive ctions;
ather, t's he
useof budget
targets
o determinecompensation. hen managers re
told they'll
get
bonusesf they each pecific
erformance
Michael
C.
Jensen,
he
Jesse
sidor Straus
ProfessorJ
Busi-
ness dntinistration,
nteritLts,
t Harvartl
Business chool
it"r
Boston,
s the ntanaging
lrectorof the
organizationttl
strategy
ractice
of the Monitor
Group,
collection
f
gloltal
p
rofess
onal se v ces
r tns
with headqua er
n Cambrd
ge,
Massachusetts.
96
goals,
wo things nevitably
happen.First, hey attempt
to
set
ow targets
hat
are easilyachievable.
hen, once
the
targets
are n
place,
hey do whatever
t takes
o
see
that they
hit them,
even
f the company uffers
s
a result.
Only
by severing he link between budgets
and
bonuses-by
ewarding
eople
purely
or their
accom-
plishments,ot for theirability o hit targets will we ake
away he
incentive
o cheat.
Only then will
we eliminate
the budgeting ncentives
hat drive ndividuals o act
in
ways hat destroy orporate
alue.
Cheaters
rosper
Let's ook more
carefully
at how budgetsdrive compen-
sation and,
in
turn, behavior. n a traditional
pay-for-
performance
ncentive ystem, manager's
otal cash
compensation
salary
lus
bonus) s
constant
nti l
a
min-
imum
performance
urdle s
reached-commonly
ov "
of a budgeted
arget.
The
arget might be expressed s
profits,
ales,
utput,
or any
number
ofthings;
or
our
pur-
poses,
t doesn'tmatter
what's
being
measured.)When
the manager
exceeds
hat hurdle,
she
receives bonus,
often a substantial
ne.
The bonus hen increases s
per-
formancemounts
above
he hurdle until t he
bonus
is
capped
t some
maximum
evel-rzouznf the target s
usual.
hissystems llustrated
n
the exhibit
A
Tlpical
Executive ompensation
lanl'
The kinks n
the
pay-for-perfornance
ine-caused
y
the minimum hurdlebonusand he maximumcap-cre-
ate strong
ncentives
o
game
he system.
s long
as
he
manager elieves
hecan
make
he
minimum hurdle,
he
will naturally
ry
her best o
increase
erformance-by
legitimatemeans
or,
if
push
comes o shove, y illegiti-
mateones.f the measuresprof i ts,or instance,hewill
havea strong
ncentive o
increasehe current
year's
earnings t the
expense
f next
year's,
ither by
pushing
expenses
nto
the future
(delaying urchases
r
hires,
or
example)or
by moving
future
revenues
o the
present
(booking
ordersearly or offerir.rg pecial iscounts o
customers,
or
example).
If, on the other hand, he manager oncludeshat she
can't
make he
minimum
hurdle,her incentives lip r8o
degrees.
ow
her
goal
s
to move earnings
rom the
present
o the
future.
After all,
her
compensation oesn't
changewhether
she
misseshe
target
by a
linle
or a lot;
shestil l
gets
her full salary
assuming
he
doesn't
ge t
fired,of course). ut by shifting
profits
orward by
pre-
paying
expenses,aking
write-offs,
or
delaying he real-
izationof revenues
she
ncreases er chances f
getting
a argebonus he following
year.
his s a
variation
on
the
"big
bath"
heory
of corporate inancial
eporting:
f
you'regoing
o take
a loss, ake as big a
lossas
possible.
Finally, f the manager
s having
a
great year
and her
performance
s nearingthe
budgetcap,sheagainhas
an
incentive
o
push profits
nto
the
future.
Because
he's
HARVARDBUSINESS EVIEW
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not
going
o
get
any
additionalcompensation
f
perfor-
mance
exceedshe level
at
which
he cap s
set,accelerat-
ing expenses
r
postponing
sales
will
haveno
negative
impact
on
her
current earnings,
ut
it
will raise
he
odds
that she'll eap
a
high
bonusnext
year
as
well.
This
per-
verse
ncentive
becomes ven
stronger
f
her current
year's erformances used n setting he followingyear's
targets,
s
s
often he
case.
When
these
kinds of
subterfuge imply move
profits
from
one
year
o
another-by
changing ccruals,or
ex -
ample
the
adversempact
on company
alue s
probably
small.But rarely
s the
activityso
benign.Usually,
he
shuffl ing
fdollars
esultsrom
decisionshat
change
he
operatingcharacteristics
f
a company,
nd t
generates
high, f sometimesidden,
osts
haterode he
otal
value
of
he
company.
e
saw
uch rosionn
he wo
examples
presented
arlier.
We
see
t
aswell in
the common
prac-
tice of
channel
stuff ing-when nanagers
hip oads
of
products
o
distributors
o meet mmediate
ales
oals,
A Typical
Executive
Compensat ion
lan
I
n a
trad
tiona
pay-for-pe
forma
ce
com
pe
n
satiot l
p lan,
manager
arns
hurd le
onus
when
per for -
mance
eaches
cer ta in eve l
A) .
he
bonus
ncreases
wi th
per formance
nt i l t h i t s
a max imum ap
B) .
he
kinks n the
pay-for-performance
ine
create ncentives
to
game
he
sys tem. hen
per for r -nance
pproaches
the
hurd le arget ,
manager
as s t rong ncent iveo
acce lera te
he
rea l iza t ionf revenue
nd
prof i t .
When
per formancei t s he cap, he m. lnager asa s t rong
incent ive
o
push
evenue
nd
prof i t
n to he
nex t
ear .
c o r p o r a t eB u d g e t i n g
s B r o k e n L e t ' sF i x t
even hough hey
krrowmanyof the
goods
will soon
come
back as returns.
And
we
see
t in
distorted
pricing
deci-
sions. he managers f
one
durable-goods anufacturer,
struggling o meet heir minimum bonus hurdles, n-
nounced ate one
year
hat they would
be
raising
prices
1oo/o
crosshe board on
January
2. The managersmade
the price hikes becausehey wantedto encourage us-
tomers o
place
ordersby
year-end
o
hey
could
hit
their
annualsales
oals.
But the
price
ncrease
was
out of
line
with the
competition
and
undoubtedlyendedup costing
the company ales
nd
market
share.
Evenmore insidious ffectsare common.One of the
main easonshat
big
companiesave
udgets
n
the
irst
place
s
to
help
coordinate he
disparate
parts
of
their
businesses.
y
openly sharingaccurate nformation and
basing ecisions
n
a common
etof
numbers,he hink-
ing
goes,
ou
ensureharmonious nteractions mong
units, eadir.rgo
efficient
processes,
igh-quality
roducts,
low
inventories.
nd satisfied
ustomers. ut as
soon
as
you
start
motivatingunit anddepartmentheads o falsify
forecastsnd otherwise ide or manipulate ritical nfor-
mation,
ou
undermine he salutary ffects f budgeting.
Indeed,
he
whole
effort backfires. ouend
up with
unco-
ordinated,
haotic nteractionss
people
rake ecisions
on the basisof distorted nformation hey
receive
rom
other
unitsand rom headquarters.oreover,ince
man-
agers rewell
aware hat everyones attempting o
game
the
system or
personal
easons,
ou
create
an
organiza-
tion rifewith
cynicism,uspicion,
nd
mistrust.
When the
manipulation
of budget argetsbecomes
routine,moreover,
t
can
undermine
he
inte$ity
of an
entire organization. ncemanagers
ee hat
it 's okay
to l ie and concealnformation
o enrich
hemselves r
simply o hold or.ro their obs, hey soonbegir-ro extend
their dishonest
ehavior o
all
parts
of
the
company's
management ystemand
even o its
relationshipswith
outside
parties.
Managers tart o feed misleading nfor-
mation
to customers, uppliers, nd
employees,
nd
the
CEO
and
CFObegin o
"manage
he
numbers" o
influ-
ence he
perceptions
f
board
membersand Wall
Street
ar.ralysts.venboards f
directors
redrawn
nto
the
fray,
as
hey
endup
endorsing eceptiveeports o
sharehold-
ers.Sometimes,
utright
fraud ensues, s
we've seen
recently n
high-profile ases
nvolvingcompanies
uch
as
lnformix,
Sabratek, nd
Lenrout& Hauspie.
The
damage an
go
well
beyond he
wallsof individual
companies.
hink about
what happens,or
example,
ur-
ing a boom. As financialanalysts nd investors aise
expectationsor
growth
beyond
he capabilityof compa-
nies, .nany
managers
egin
o
borrow rom the
future to
satisfy
he
present
emands.
his results n an overstate-
ment of
earnings nd
cash lows or many companies
nd
an
exaggeration f the extent
of the
good
times. Con-
versely, uring he earlystages f an economic
lowdown,
as demand alls below
predicted
evelsand
inventories
,{ar9* ,{a(9er
"{a(9et
^(sodq*
s*dq*
^(s$dqe'
to"r"'
(}o"1""
N O V E M B E R2 O O 1
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C o r p 0 r a t e u d g e t i n g s
B r o k e n L e t ' sF i x
t
build
up,
managers ften ind themselvesalling
shortof
their
bonus
argets.
When they and their companies ll
react n
the same,
redictable
ay-takingbig
bathsby
maximizing he
bad
news-the
cumulative ffect
s
o ex-
aggerate
he
economic
weakness,
erhaps
eepening
r
extending
he
recession.
acroeconomictatistics nd
evenpublicpolicyare ikelydistortedn the process.'
Getting he l(inl
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C o r p o r a t e u d g e t i n g
s B r o k e n L e t ' s
F i x t
bonuses f factoryworkers.Based n
his
indings,Roy
estimated hat
productivity
n
the factory
he
studied
would
ncrease
y
33,2,
o r5o"z"f the targets
were
dis-
continued.Based
n
that research, s well
as
my
own observations f the
widespread,
estructive
effects f
gaming,
conclude hat the costs f
bud-
get-based onuses ar outweigh the benefits n
most, f not all,
situations.
Finally,
t 's important to note
that setting
extremely
aggressivetretch
goals,
s
s
so
com-
mon n business
oday,
an
tselfhave
dan'raging
repercussions.y establishing
he expectation
that managers i l l constantly
ush
o
exceed
reasonable
rowth
and
profitability
argets,
senior xecutivesanend
up creating dys-
functional
organizational
ulture n which
all the
problems
've
described re
ampli-
fied.That's
what
happened ecently
at one
h
prominent
multinational
corporation.A
new
CEO ame
n,andhe
suspectedhat unit
heads ere outinely owballingheirbr.rdget
targets nd hen delivering
mediocreesults.
He
quickly
eorganizedhe companyo estal>
lish clearer ccountabil ityowr.rhe line,an d
then he
aunched
n intensive ampaign
o
get
everyoneo set
stretch
goals
or
he coming
ear,
with
their bonuses anging n the bllar.rce.he
*
v
. ' . :
t
rI
effort blew up
in the
CEO's
ace.
The budget-setting
rocess
ecarnre
year{ong
exercise
n
nternecine
arfare.
(nowinghat
heir
bonuses inged
on
their
abil ity
o hit the new ar-
gets,
ine managers att led lverhe way
he overall
corporate tretch
goals
or revenues
nd
profits
shouldbe
allocateclmong he businessnits.Each, f cotrrse,ried
to reduce is
or her unit 's arget. veryime revised
oals
were
circulated,ewargunrentsroke ut.Ar.rd
hen
he
targets
were
eventuallyinalized,
hings
got
evenworse.
Within months, tost
unit heads ealiz-edl-rey ouldn'tbe
able o
reach
heir stretch
oals,
nd
hey
et
he
year
al l
into he ank n
a
way hat
sconsistent
ith
pushing
ev-
enues nd
profits
out to the future.'Iheywere
clearlyhop
ing that
by takinga
bath
his
year
hey would
be
given
lower
argets ext
year.
Needlesso
say,
he
CEO'senure
was
short.
Mal
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C o r p o r a t e u d g e t i n g
s
B r o k e n L e t ' s i x t
coming
year.
f, after some
point,
market sharecan be
increased
nly
by
cutting
prices,
nd thus
prof l ts,
he
manager
o
longer
hasa basis or making easoned eci-
sions.
he
conflicting
oals
liminatehisability o act
pur-
posefully.
When usi ng multiple
performance
measures
for
individualmanagers, ompanies
houldbe careful o
establish single, learly efinedmeasure f overall usi-
ness
uccess,uch seconomic alue
dded. hatwill
give
managers
basis
or
making trade-offsamong
perfor-
mancemeasures
hen
hey come nto
conflict.'
A second xamples the
use
of ratios s
performance
measures.lere I can
be
blunt: Don't
do
it.
Using atios,
suchas salesmargin
or
return
on
assets,nevitably
ro-
duces
aming.
hat's
ecause anagersan ncreasehe
measuren two
ways: y ncreasinghe
numerator
r
de -
creasing
he denominator.f, for example,
company
tracks
erformance
ccordingo marginas
a
percentage
of sales, anagersan
ncreaseheir
pay
bysimply utt ing
b: rck
ales
sel l ing
nty he highest
margin
products)
instead f working o
increase
he
margins
n all
prod-
ucts. he result: otaldollars f profit all,andcompany
value
erodes.
The
positioning
nd
slope f the
bonus ine
work n
tan-
dem to determine he amount
of
money a manager
receives
or a
given
evel
of
1-nrformance.
oving hc'
ine
to the right on the-
erformance
cale,or
instance,
akes
it harder o
get
an
additional ollarof
bonus,
hilc
pro-
viding
a steeper
lope
makes
t
easicr
o
get
hatdollar.n
setting
he
ine,executives avea er.rdencyo focus
on
he
short erm. n
particular,
heyoftcn
position
he
ine
based
on
he
prioryear's erformance.
hat educes
he
isl
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Don't
backtrack. Evenafter manurgers
ecome ntel-
lectually
onvincedhat
a l inearbonus chedules
desir-
able, hey
nray
stil l
argue br
a compromise
lan
that
again
allows
budget
argets
o influence ompensation.
n
a
number
of companies haveworl