m&g income allocation fund webcast march 2015 neil brown, director of global retail sales...
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M&G Income Allocation Fund Webcast
March 2015
Neil Brown, Director of Global Retail Sales Management
2
Fund facts
Source: M&G, 28 February 2015.*ISIN is for euro accumulation A share class
M&G Income Allocation Fund
Launch: November 2013
Fund manager: Steven Andrew, since launch
Deputy manager: Juan Nevado
Fund size: €1,108 million
Sector: Morningstar EUR Moderate Allocation Global Sector
ISIN: GB00BBCR3283*
3
0.0
0.5
1.0
1.5
2.0
2.5
3.0
3.5
4.0
4.5
5.0
Performance and distribution since launchM&G Income Allocation Fund
Total return* and capital-only performance
+21.9%
*The combination of income and growth of capital
Distrib
utio
n in
cen
ts pe
r sha
re
+17.0%
Distribution in cents per share (rhs)
Source: Morningstar Inc., 28 February 2015. Euro A class shares, price to price. *Total return: accumulation shares, net income reinvested. Capital-only: income shares, capital-only, income distributed and not reinvested. Both series are rebased to 100 as at 7 November 2013. Source of distributions: M&G, euro A Inc share class
Nov-1
3
Dec-1
3
Jan-
14
Feb-1
4
Mar
-14
Apr-1
4
May
-14
Jun-
14
Jul-1
4
Aug-1
4
Sep-1
4
Oct-14
Nov-1
4
Dec-1
4
Jan-
15
Feb-1
592
96
100
104
108
112
116
120
124
Total return (lhs) Capital-only (lhs)
Re
ba
sed
to 1
00
4
Delivering a growing income streamPast performance of a UK-based fund with a similar investment approach
Estimated Delivered
Average income yield* (annual) 4% 4.3%**
Annualised capital gain† 2-4% 5.3%
Annualised volatility 4-10% 6.0%‡
*4% is an estimated gross yield and represents the fund’s total distribution over 12 months as a percentage of the average share price before UK tax. Please note that this is not guaranteed and may be revised in the future. The ongoing charge is taken from investments held in the fund’s portfolio and not from the income these investments produce. Please note the fund’s delivered average income yield differs from the fund’s historic yield, which is 3.34% as at 28 February 2015 (sterling A class shares). The average income yield represents the fund’s total distribution over 12 months as a percentage of the average share price before UK tax. The historic yield reflects distributions declared over the past 12 months as a percentage of the mid-market price, as at the date shown. Both the delivered average income yield and historic yield do not include any preliminary charges and investors may be subject to tax on their distributions.
Source: M&G, Morningstar Inc., 28 February 2015. **Figure as at 9 March 2015. †Capital gain calculated as the performance of the income share class. ‡Annualised volatility calculated from 1 December 2010
This UK-based fund is not available to European investors. European investors can invest in the euro share class of the M&G Income Allocation Fund. Both funds are managed by Steven Andrew. The UK fund may invest in physical property, while the European version, being UCITS, may not. The UK-based fund has a minimum exposure of 70% to sterling, while the European version has a minimum exposure of 70% to euros. These are internal guidelines and are subject to change. The past performance of the UK-based fund has been included purely to illustrate the fund manager's investment approach for an existing fund. The provision of this information should not be taken as a recommendation or advice regarding the UK-based fund. Please note the differences between the UK- based fund and the M&G Income Allocation Fund. The UK-based fund is not registered for sale or distribution outside the UK.
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Steven AndrewBiography
• Steven joined M&G in 2005 as a member of the Portfolio Strategy & Risk team, before moving to the Multi Asset team, where he helped to formulate asset allocation strategies for M&G’s multi-asset fund range
• In November 2010, he was appointed manager of the M&G Episode Income Fund. Three years later, he became manager of the M&G Income Allocation Fund upon its launch
• Prior to joining M&G, Steven worked at F&C Asset Management, Merrill Lynch and the Bank of England
• He graduated from the University of London in 1987 with a degree in financial economics
8
Why multi-asset for income
Source: Datastream, Bloomberg, M&G, 28 February 2015
Traditional sources of income
Risks of seeking income from a single asset class are low returns and high volatility
Asset class yields
1999
1999
2000
2000
2001
2001
2002
2003
2003
2004
2004
2005
2006
2006
2007
2007
2008
2008
2009
2010
2010
2011
2011
2012
2013
2013
2014
2014
0%
1%
2%
3%
4%
5%
6%
7%
8%
European corporate bonds German 10-year bundsMSCI World Index (dividend yield) Cash (euribor)
9
Why multi-asset for incomeCombining the benefits of different sources of income
Risk of capital volatility and loss
Static coupon
Potential for regularly accruing income
Bonds
−−+
Risk of capital volatility and loss
Dividend uncertainty and calendar effects
Potential for growing distributions
Equity
−−+
Asset allocation aims to mitigate volatility and
offer potential to generate capital return+
Potential for regularly accruing income+Potential for growing distributions+Multi-
asset
10
Proposition: income and capital growth
• Designed to use the flexibility of multi-asset investing to generate:
*4% is a gross estimated yield and represents the fund’s total distribution over 12 months as a percentage of the average share price before tax. Please note that this is not guaranteed and may be revised in the future. The ongoing charge is taken from investments held in the fund’s portfolio and not from the income these investments produce. **This is approximately half the volatility of equities over the long term
M&G Income Allocation Fund
Uses a similar investment approach as a current UK fund with a 4-year track record
Income yield of 4%* pa distributed monthly
Capital growth of 2% to 4% pa over the long term
And volatility between 4% and 10% pa over the long term**
11
Delivering a growing income streamPast performance of a UK-based fund with a similar investment approach
This UK-based fund is not available to European investors. European investors can invest in the EUR share class of the M&G Income Allocation Fund. Both funds are managed by Steven Andrew. The UK fund may invest in physical property, while the European version, being UCITS, may not. The UK-based fund has a minimum exposure of 70% to GBP, while the European version has a minimum exposure of 70% to EUR. These are internal guidelines and are subject to change. The past performance of the UK-based fund has been included purely to illustrate the fund manager's investment approach for an existing fund. The provision of this information should not be taken as a recommendation or advice regarding the UK-based fund. Please note the differences between the UK- based fund and the M&G Income Allocation Fund. The UK-based fund is not registered for sale or distribution outside of the UK.
Capital performance and income distributions since launch*
Nov-1
0
Mar
-11
Jun-
11
Oct-11
Jan-
12
May
-12
Sep-1
2
Dec-1
2
Apr-1
3
Aug-1
3
Nov-1
3
Mar
-14
Jul-1
4
Oct-14
Feb-1
580
85
90
95
100
105
110
115
120
125
130
NA
V p
er
sha
re
2011 in-come
£41.96
2012 in-come£45.37
2013 in-come£47.85
Gross income distribution per £1,000 invested
This is gross of the 10% dividend tax charged to UK investors
Capital growth+24.9%
Source: M&G, Bloomberg, 28 February 2015, sterling A Income class shares, price to price.*12 November 2010. Gross income distribution is the total distribution over 12 months as a percentage of the current share price before UK tax
13
Building blocks of our investment strategy
Source: M&G
A robust, repeatable approach
M&G Multi Asset team
Strategic assessment
Assets prices
Fundamental analysis
Tactical assessment
Investors’ behaviour
Market volatility
Portfolio construction
Correlation analysis
Fund’s objectives
14
Valuation signals are clear
Source: Datastream, Bloomberg, 28 February 2015. Equity proxy is MSCI World; cash proxy is EURIBOR 3 months. World Government proxy is The BofA Merrill Lynch Global Government Index. All data is inflation-adjusted
Equities offer compelling earnings yield relative to fixed income
Safer assets are expensive
Dec-9
0-4%
-2%
0%
2%
4%
6%
8%
10%
12%
14%
Re
al y
ield
s
World equity
World government bonds
World real yields
GBP cash
15
Is Europe in recession?
Source: Bloomberg, 28 February 2015
Business confidence is improving – PMIs Italy: Consumer confidence and unemployment change
80
85
90
95
100
105
110
115
-2.0
-1.0
0.0
1.0
2.0
3.0
4.0Consumer confidence (index, lhs)
Unemployment rate (12m %pt change, in-
verted on rhs)
Mar
-12
Aug-1
2
Dec-1
2
Apr-1
3
Sep-1
3
Jan-
14
May
-14
Sep-1
4
Feb-1
540
42
44
46
48
50
52
54
56
58
Italy Spain France EuroZone Germany
16
Q1 19
90
Q1 19
91
Q1 19
92
Q1 19
93
Q1 19
94
Q1 19
95
Q1 19
96
Q1 19
97
Q1 19
98
Q1 19
99
Q1 20
00
Q1 20
01
Q1 20
02
Q1 20
03
Q1 20
04
Q1 20
05
Q1 20
06
Q1 20
07
Q1 20
08
Q1 20
09
Q1 20
10
Q1 20
11
Q1 20
12
Q1 20
13
Q1 20
14
Q1 20
15
-100
-50
0
50
100
150
200 -4.0
-2.0
0.0
2.0
4.0
6.0
8.0
Oil price fallingWhat are the implications for US consumers?
Oil price fall likely to boost consumption
Oil price (% yoy, inverted lhs)
Oil price and US consumer spending growth
Source: Datastream, 31 January 2015
US consumer spending(% yoy, rhs)
17
Market views
Source: M&G, February 2015
M&G Multi Asset team
Overweight equities versus underweight bond exposure
Within equities, favouring Europe vs US
Within fixed income, favouring credit vs mainstream government bonds
US dollar exposure still attractive
19
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
40%
Current portfolioM&G Income Allocation Fund
Source: M&G, 28 February 2015. *This is mainly diversified securities such as real estate, convertible bonds and preferred shares
Allocation ranges NeutralityEquity 10-50% 30%Fixed income 40-80% 60%Other 0-20% 10%Currency Min. 70% in EUR
Neutrality Current allocationRange
Global equity Global fixed interest
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
Other*
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
20
Fund positioningM&G Income Allocation Fund
Source: M&G, 28 February 2015
Equity exposure, 47.4%
Europe UK United States Asia ex Japan Canada Japan Emerging markets
0%
3%
6%
9%
12%
15%
18%
15.5%
12.5%
7.1%
5.2%
3.2%2.4%
1.5%
February 2015 Portfolio MSCI AC World
Average forward P/E 13.5x 16.5x
21
Fund positioningM&G Income Allocation Fund
Source: M&G, 28 February 2015.*Only includes fixed income exposure above 1.3% and excludes cash
Fixed income exposure, 44.2%*
US
30-
yrs
Ger
man
y 30
-yrs
Bra
zil 5
-yrs
Col
ombi
a 10
-yrs
Mex
ico
25-y
rsS
outh
Afri
ca 2
2-yr
sN
ew Z
eala
nd 1
0-yr
s
Chi
le 5
-yrs
Aus
tralia
10-
yrs
Phi
lippi
nes
10-y
rsU
S c
orpo
rate
bon
dsU
K c
orpo
rate
bon
dsE
urop
ean
corp
orat
es
0%
2%
4%
6%
8%
5.0%4.5%
3.1% 3.0% 3.0% 2.9%2.0% 2.0% 1.8%
1.3%
6.1%5.5%
3.1%
Mainstream CreditNon-mainstream government bonds
22
Fund positioning: targets
Source: M&G, 28 February 2015
M&G Income Allocation Fund
Currency exposure outside the euro
US doll
ar
Hong
Kong
dolla
r
Colom
bia p
eso
Mex
ican
peso
Pound
ste
rling
Canad
a do
llar
New Z
ealan
d do
llar
Chile
peso
Brazil
ian re
al
Philipp
ines
peso
Austra
lia d
ollar
0%
1%
2%
3%
4%
5%
6%
5.0%
3.0% 2.9%2.5% 2.5% 2.5% 2.5%
2.0%1.5% 1.3%
1.0%
23
Diversified sources of income
Source: M&G, 9 March 2015. *Expected income for the next 12 months
M&G Income Allocation Fund
Asset class Average yieldAsset allocation
(Weight, %)Contribution to total
income*
Equity 3.8% 49% 1.9%
Corporate bonds 4.7% 16% 0.8%
Mainstream government bonds 1.9% 10% 0.2%
Non-mainstream government bonds 5.6% 18% 1.0%
Cash 7%
Total 4.0% 100% 3.8%
24
Summary
• Overweight equities. Exposure to companies that pay a growing dividend
• Underweight fixed income
• Overweight in USD, underweight in EUR and GBP
• A solution for investors seeking a growing income
• Potential to deliver a growing income stream of 4% pa* and capital growth of 2% to 4% pa
• A top-down approach that provides a regular, growing and diversified income stream
Philosophy
Positioning
*4% is an estimated gross yield and represents the fund’s total distribution over 12 months as a percentage of the average share price before UK tax. Please note that this is not guaranteed and may be revised in the future. The ongoing charge is taken from investments held in the fund’s portfolio and not from the income these investments produce.
25
The fund may invest more than 35% in securities issued by any one or more of the governments listed in the fund prospectus. Such exposure may be combined with the use of derivatives in pursuit of the fund objective. It is currently envisaged that the fund’s exposure to such securities may exceed 35% in the governments of Australia, Austria, Belgium, Canada, Denmark, Finland, France, Germany, Italy, Japan, Netherlands, New Zealand, Singapore, Sweden, Switzerland, UK, USA although these may vary subject only to those listed in the prospectus.
The value of stockmarket investments will fluctuate, which will cause fund prices to fall as well as rise and investors may not get back the original amount invested . For Investment Professionals and Institutional Investors only. Not for onward distribution. No other persons should rely on any information contained within. For Switzerland: Distribution of this document in or from Switzerland is not permissible with the exception of the distribution to Qualified Investors according to the Swiss Collective Investment Schemes Act, the Swiss Collective Investment Schemes Ordinance and the respective Circular issued by the Swiss supervisory authority ("Qualified Investors"). Supplied for the use by the initial recipient (provided it is a Qualified Investor) only. In Spain the M&G Investment Funds are registered for public distribution under Art. 15 of Act 35/2003 on Collective Investment Schemes as follows: M&G Investment Funds (1) reg. no 390, M&G Investment Funds (2) reg. no 601, M&G Investment Funds (3) reg. no 391, M&G Investment Funds (5) reg. no 972, M&G Investment Funds (7) reg. no 541, M&G Investment Funds (8) reg. no 1100, M&G Investment Funds (9) reg. no 930, M&G Investment Funds (14) reg. no 1243, M&G Global Dividend Fund reg. no 713, M&G Dynamic Allocation Fund reg. no 843, M&G Global Macro Bond Fund reg. no 1056 and M&G Optimal Income Fund reg. no 522. The collective investment schemes referred to in this document (the "Schemes") are open-ended investment companies with variable capital, incorporated in England and Wales. In the Netherlands, all funds referred to, are registered with the Dutch regulator, the AFM. This information is not an offer or solicitation of an offer for the purchase of investment shares in one of the Funds referred to herein. Purchases of a Fund should be based on the current Prospectus. The Instrument of Incorporation, Prospectus, Key Investor Information Document, annual or interim Investment Report and Financial Statements, are available free of charge, in paper form, from the ACD: M&G Securities Limited, Laurence Pountney Hill, London, EC4R 0HH, GB, or one of the following: M&G International Investments Limited, German branch, mainBuilding, Taunusanlage 19, 60325 Frankfurt am Main, the German paying agent J.P. Morgan AG, Junghofstraße 14, D-60311 Frankfurt am Main, the Austrian paying agent, Raiffeisen Bank International A.G., Am Stadtpark 9, A-1030 Wien, the Luxembourg paying agent, J.P. Morgan Bank Luxembourg S.A., European Bank & Business Center, 6 c route de Treves, 2633 Senningerberg, Luxembourg, the Danish paying agent, Nordea Bank Danmark A/S Issuer Services, Securities Services, Hermes Hus, Helgeshøj Allé 33, Postbox 850, DK-0900, Copenhagen C, Denmark, Allfunds Bank, Calle Estafeta, No 6 Complejo Plaza de la Fuente, La Moraleja, 28109, Alcobendas, Madrid, M&G International Investments Limited, the French branch, or from the French centralising agent of the Fund: RBC Dexia Investors Services Bank France. For Switzerland: Please refer to M&G International Investments Switzerland AG, Bahnhofstrasse 100, 8001 Zurich, for Sweden, from the paying agent, Skandinaviska Enskilda Banken AB (publ), Sergels Torg 2, 106 40 Stockholm, Sweden. For Italy, they can also be obtained on the website: www.mandgitalia.it. Before subscribing investors should read the Prospectus, which includes investment risks relating to these funds. This financial promotion is issued by M&G International Investments Ltd. In Switzerland it is created by M&G Securities Limited (registered in England No. 90776). Both are authorised and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority in the UK and have their registered offices at Laurence Pountney Hill, London EC4R 0HH. Registered in England No. 90776. M&G International Investments Ltd is registered in England, No. 4134655 and has a branch located in France, 6 rue Lamennais 34, Paris 75008, registered on the Trade Register of Paris, No. 499 832 400 and a branch in Spain, with corporate domicile at Plaza de Colón 2, Torre II Planta 14, 28046, Madrid, Spain, registered with the Commercial Registry of Madrid under Volume 32.573, sheet 30, page M-586297, inscription 1, CIF W8264591B and registered with the CNMV under the number 79. In Switzerland, the financial promotion is published by M&G International Investments Switzerland AG, Bahnhofstrasse 100, 8001 Zurich, authorised and regulated by the Swiss Federal Financial Market Supervisory Authority. Past performance is not a guide to future performance. Performance stats are quoted gross of Italian tax on capital gains.