mexico’s prospects as a global leader

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Convergencias 2015: Mexico’s Prospects as a Global Leader. GEORGETOWN UNIVERSITY, FEBRUARY 21, 2015.

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Convergencias 2015: Mexico’s Prospects as a Global Leader.

GEORGETOWN UNIVERSITY, FEBRUARY 21, 2015.

Only quality education

will change Mexico.

OUR MISSION •  Education quality.

•  Citizen activation.

•  Promotion and defense of human rights.

•  Advance a culture of transparency and accountability.

Jet ski vs oceanliner

•  Proposal based on evidence.

•  Solid diagnosis and demands.

•  Communication to spur political mobilization that allows change to happen.

WE BELIEVE IN THE TRANSFORMATIONAL POWER OF INFORMATION.

DIAGNOSE

COMMUNICATE

PROPOSE

DIAGNOSE

Quantity and

quality

•  We are way behind in High School graduation rates.

WOUNDED GENERATIONS

OECD, Education at a Glance (2014)

Country

High school graduation rates

Germany 95 England 93 Japan 93 Canada 88 United States 79 Mexico 47

•  The national average years of schooling in Mexico is 8.6 years, while in other countries…

OECD Family Database. *Instituto Nacional de Estadística (2005). Estadísticas educativas

**IBGE (2009). Pesquisa Nacional por Amostra de Domicilios 2005-2009.

Country Years of schooling Norway 13.9

United States 13.3 Canada 13.2 Korea 12

OECD Average 11.9 France 11.6 Finland 11.2 Chile 10.6

Mexico 8.6

Quantity

AMOUNT OF SCHOOLING

Country Days Hours Total Effective

Korea 220 8 hrs. 1,760 hrs. 1,186 hrs.

Finland 188 9 hrs. 1,692 hrs. 1,172 hrs.

France 180 7 hrs. 1,260 hrs. 875 hrs.

Canada 190 5.5 hrs. 1,045 hrs. 826 hrs.

United States 180 6 hrs. 1,080 hrs. 710 hrs.

Mexico 200 4.5 hrs. 900 hrs. 468 hrs.

But, in addition, in each school year, we lose days and in each day we lose hours…

Mexicanos Primero with data from the World Bank & OECD (2014).

PISA 2012, Mathematics.

NORTH AMERICA´S PLACE IN THE WORLD Quality

21. Ireland 22. New Zelanda 23. Denmark 24. Czech Republic 25. France 26. United Kingdom 27. Iceland 28. Letonia 29. Luxemburg 30. Norway 31. Portugal 32. Italy 33. Spain 34. Slovak Republic 35. Russian Federation 36. United States 37. Lituania 38. Sweden 39. Hungary 40. Croatia 41. Israel 42. Greece

1.  Shanghai-China 2.  Singapore 3.  Hong Kong-China 4.  Chinese Taipei 5.  Korea 6.  Macao - China 7.  Japan 8.  Liechtenstein 9.  Switzerland 10.  Netherlands 11.  Estonia 12.  Finland 13.  Canada 14.  Poland 15.  Belgium 16.  Germany 17.  Vietnam 18.  Austria 19.  Australia 20.  Slovenia

43. Serbia 44. Turkey 45. Rumania 46. Cyprus 47. Bulgaria 48. United Arab Emirates 49. Kazakhstan 50. Tailand 51. Chile 52. Malasya 53. Mexico 54. Montenegro 55. Uruguay 56. Costa Rica 57. Albania 58. Brazil 59. Argentina 60. Tunisia 61. Jordan 62. Colombia 63. Qatar 64. Indonesia 65. Peru

Mexico’s results on PISA 2012

PISA 2012, Mathematics.

Students performance of 15 year-old (%)

73.8

67.1

66.5

55.8

54.7

51.5

25.8

23.0

17.7

14.2

13.8

12.3

9.1

8.3

3.8

17.8

20.4

22.2

23.0

27.8

25.3

26.3

22.5

19.4

22.8

21.0

20.5

14.7

12.2

7.5

6.4

8.9

9.2

14.4

13.1

15.4

23.3

23.7

23.7

28.4

26.4

28.8

21.4

17.5

13.1

1.9

3.6

2.1

6.8

4.3

7.7

24.6

30.8

39.1

34.6

38.8

38.4

54.8

62.0

75.6

Colombia

Brazil

Argentina

Uruguay

Mexico

Chile

United States

OECD average

Germany

Viet Nam

Canada

Finland

Korea

Singapore

Shanghai-China

Results in private schools are not much better, despite their privilege.

PISA 2012, Mathematics.

PISA 2012, Mathematics.

(%)

Only a few students get outstanding results (%)

OECD (Education at a Glance, 2014) *Argentina, Canada and Colombia information refers only to primary school.

Public spending on education (% of GDP)

OECD (Education at a Glance, 2014)

% of current education spending on salaries

World Bank & OECD (2011)

Research and Development Spending (% of GDP)

World Bank (2011)

Research and Development Spending – Countries vs Companies

World Bank (2011) and strategy (2011) | $ Nominal values Country data includes public and private spending.

World Intellectual Property Organization (2013)

Number of registered patents in 2013

Inequity within and between countries

PISA 2012, Mathematics

•  The main government spending category in education: 4.9% of GDP (almost 63 billion dollars) in 2012.

•  1 of every 5 pesos in the public budget goes to education, but 8 of 10 schools are failing or barely passing.

✘  Inequitable ✘  Innefective

✘  Captured

✘  Corrupt ✘  Opaque ✘  Inefficient

298,174 irregular or illegal payments to personnel that were not found in their workplace. •  39,222 “aviators”. •  30,695 commissioners. •  113,259 in another work place. •  114,998 retired, removed or dead.

The census reports

Terrible conditions in public schools:

•  24% schools without bathrooms. •  In indigenous primary schools(Chiapas, Oaxaca,

Guerrero) - 48%. •  31% without running water. In Chiapas - 60%. •  46% without plumbing. In Oaxaca - 82%.

Terrible conditions for learning:

•  7% without blackboards. In Chiapas - 15%. •  10% without electricity. In Chiapas - 28%. •  36% without even a minimal recreation area. •  In Campeche - 57%. •  94% of primary schools do not have a science lab*

*(Duarte Gargiulo y Moreno, 2011)

298,174

$10,000

12

Irregular and illegal payments.

Conservative estimate of the average monthly salary.

months.

2.7 billion dollars

…each year!

256  ×  256  -­‐  fla)con.es    

Total amount: 35,780,880,00 pesos.

>

This mess costs us…

PROPOSE AND COMMUNICATE

Documented in:

Evaluations of the state school system

Against the wall (2009)

Gaps (2010)

Goals (2011)

Now is the time (2012)

(Mis)spent (2013)

The Invisibles (2014) SORRY (2015)

SOCIAL CAMPAIGNS AND INITIATIVES

DRIVEN BY:

NEWSPAPER SPREADS

A DOCUMENTARY: “BARELY PASSING”

1.

Teachers professionalization.

2.

Transparent and efficient spending.

3.

4. School autonomy and participation.

GOAL 1: Complete Trajectories. Catch up with the world in quantity of education.

GOAL 2: Successful Trajectories. Catch up with the world in quality of education.

Put the State back in charge of education.

2 GOALS, 4 PATHWAYS

Greater attention and

priority given to education.

9 IMPORTANT ADVANCES:

1.  

Significant reform of education legislation.

• 3rd Article of the Constitution (December 2012).

• Secondary Legislation: Teacher Assesment and professional service (September, 2012).

• State Legislation (March, 2012). Constitutional Controversy in 8 states, among them Oaxaca- Supreme Court (November, 2014).

2.  

Mandatory examination for teaching posts.

3.  

Breaking the Teachers’ Schools monopoly on teaching posts (from 2016).

4.  

Mandatory assessment, with consequences.

•  Universal assessment of teachers is taking shape (January or September, 2015).

- End teacher tenure.

- 3-strikes and out.

•  A new student assessment will replace ENLACE (June, 2015).

5.  

Teacher professionalization

•  Need for a national crusade to improve teacher preparation and professional development.

6.  

Autonomous evaluation body: INEE

•  First signs of autonomy for the INEE

(entrance exam 2014).

7.  

Census and the Information and Education Management System (SIGED).

•  A first step, but it is essential that the complete databases be made public.

•  To date, 23% of the information has yet to be revealed (this is the key to resolving corruption).

•  Information and Education Management System (SIGED).

8.  

First steps to correct

•  End double negotiations (from May 2014).

•  Schools of Excellence Program: 7.5 billion pesos invested in 20,000 schools (September, 2014).

•  National Education Fund : re-centralize teacher payment (FONE; January, 2015).

•  Collaboration with Ministry of Finance to improve transparency and efficiency of educational spending.

9.   SPENDING  

IMPLEMENTATION! IMPLEMENTATION!

IMPLEMENTATION!

PERSISTENT URGENCY.

HISTORIC OPPORTUNITY.

THANK YOU

ClaudioXGG Mexicanos1o

www.mexicanosprimero.org