mexico political update - april 2012

Mexico Political Update

April 2012

Mexico Political Update

April 2012

Nuricumbo + Partners

Audit •

Finance • Risk •

Strategy • Business Development


Audit •

Finance • Risk •

Strategy • Business Development

Political Parties and CoalitionsPolitical Parties and Coalitions

Statistics and Preference Polls Statistics and Preference Polls

ContactContact

11

22

33

44

General OverviewGeneral Overview

Outline

Mexico

is

a

Representative

Democratic

Republic

conformed

by

32

Autonomous

States

(31 States and one Federal District).

• Both

the

Federation

and

the

States

adjust

to

the

model

for

the

division

of

powers

and

separation

of

functions,

divided

into

Executive,

Legislative, and Judicial Branch.

Mexico

is

a

Representative

Democratic

Republic

conformed

by

32

Autonomous

States

(31 States and one Federal District).

• Both

the

Federation

and

the

States

adjust

to

the

model

for

the

division

of

powers

and

separation

of

functions,

divided

into

Executive,

Legislative, and Judicial Branch.

Source: Electoral Federal Institute, 2012

Political Organization Political Organization

General Overview

• The

Executive

Branch

is

conformed

by

the

President,

elected

by

vote

for

a

period

of

6

years. Under no circumstance the President may be re‐elected.

• The Legislative Branch is vested upon the Union Congress, formed by a Lower Chamber

of 500 deputies and an Upper Chamber conformed by 128 senators.

• The Judicial Branch is vested upon the Supreme Court of Justice of the Nation, made up

by eleven ministers elected by the vote of two thirds of the Upper Chamber members.

• Elections

must be carried out through universal, free, secret and direct voting.

• The

Executive

Branch

is

conformed

by

the

President,

elected

by

vote

for

a

period

of

6

years. Under no circumstance the President may be re‐elected.

• The Legislative Branch is vested upon the Union Congress, formed by a Lower Chamber

of 500 deputies and an Upper Chamber conformed by 128 senators.

• The Judicial Branch is vested upon the Supreme Court of Justice of the Nation, made up

by eleven ministers elected by the vote of two thirds of the Upper Chamber members.

• Elections

must be carried out through universal, free, secret and direct voting.


Political Organization Political Organization

General Overview

Countrywide Nominated Positions: 2,127

• President

• 500 Federal Deputies

• 128 Federal Senators

• 7 State Governors

• 579 Local Deputies

• 876 Councils

• 16 Delegation Councils (Mexico City)

• 20 Municipal Boards

Election Date: July 1st, 2012

Countrywide Nominated Positions: 2,127

• President

• 500 Federal Deputies

• 128 Federal Senators

• 7 State Governors

• 579 Local Deputies

• 876 Councils

• 16 Delegation Councils (Mexico City)

• 20 Municipal Boards

Election Date: July 1st, 2012

Federal Pre‐

campaign

Dec 18th

– Feb 15th

Federal Inter

Campaign

Feb 16th

– Mar 29th

Federal

Campaign

Mar 30th

– Jun 27th

Elections July 1st

Entry President: Dec 1st

Others: Sept 1st

Agenda 2011 ‐

2012 Agenda 2011 ‐

2012


General Overview

New Alliance PartyNew Alliance Party

National Action PartyNational Action Party

Compromise for MexicoCompromise for Mexico

Progressive MovementProgressive Movement

Source: Senate of the Republic, 2012; Deputies Chamber, 2012; Newspaper “El Universal”, 2012.

Political Position: Center• Deputies: 141 / 500• Senators: 50 / 128

• Governors: 9 / 32 (3 PRD Coalition)

Political Position: Center• Deputies: 141 / 500• Senators: 50 / 128

• Governors: 9 / 32 (3 PRD Coalition)Political Position: Center Right

• Deputies: 261 / 500• Senators: 41 / 128• Governors: 20 / 32

Political Position: Center Right• Deputies: 261 / 500• Senators: 41 / 128• Governors: 20 / 32Political Position: Left• Deputies: 90 / 500• Senators: 33 / 128

• Governors: 6 / 32 (3 PAN Coalition)

Political Position: Left• Deputies: 90 / 500• Senators: 33 / 128

• Governors: 6 / 32 (3 PAN Coalition)Political Position: Center

• Deputies: 7 / 500• Senators: 0 / 128• Governors: 0 / 32

Political Position: Center• Deputies: 7 / 500• Senators: 0 / 128• Governors: 0 / 32

Election 2012: Parties and Coalitions’

Current SituationElection 2012: Parties and Coalitions’

Current Situation

Political Parties and Coalitions

Institutional

Revolutionary Party

National Action Party

Democratic Revolution

Party

Others ‐

Governor Election ‐

Political Map April 2012 Political Map April 2012

Source: www.eleccion2012mexico.com, 2012 and Newspaper “El Universal”

2012.


http://www.eleccion2012mexico.com/

Josefina Vazquez Mota• Party: National Action Party• Education: Economy / Institutional Studies• Former Position: Minister of Education

Josefina Vazquez Mota• Party: National Action Party• Education: Economy / Institutional Studies• Former Position: Minister of Education

• Book: Our Opportunity: a

Mexico for Everyone, 2011.• Website: josefina.mx/

Enrique Peña Nieto• Party: Institutional Revolutionary Party• Education: Law / MBA• Former Position: Governor of State of Mexico

Enrique Peña Nieto• Party: Institutional Revolutionary Party• Education: Law / MBA• Former Position: Governor of State of Mexico

• Book: Mexico, the Great

Hope, 2011.

• Website:

www.enriquepenanieto.com/

Andres Manuel Lopez Obrador• Party: Democratic Revolution Party• Education: Political Science • Former Position: Governor of Federal District

Andres Manuel Lopez Obrador• Party: Democratic Revolution Party• Education: Political Science • Former Position: Governor of Federal District

• Book: The Mafia that took

over Mexico (2010).

• Website:

http://www.amlo.si/

Presidential CandidatesPresidential Candidates

Gabriel Quadri De la Torre• Party: New Alliance• Education: Civil Engineering / Master in Economy• Former Position: General Manager Ecosecurities

Gabriel Quadri De la Torre• Party: New Alliance• Education: Civil Engineering / Master in Economy• Former Position: General Manager Ecosecurities

• Book: Public Policies:

Sustainability and Environment

• Website: www.nueva‐

alianza.org.mx/

Source: Newspaper “El Universal”

2012.


http://www.enriquepenanieto.com/

http://www.amlo.si/

http://www.nueva-alianza.org.mx/


Pillar 1: Security

• Guarantee the rule of law

• Integral

security

through

prevention,

control and punishment.

•Modernization of the army forces

• Reinforcement

of

health

and

educative

services.

• Increase

of

Federal

Police

up

to

150,000

elements.

Pillar 1: Security

• Guarantee the rule of law

• Integral

security

through

prevention,

control and punishment.

•Modernization of the army forces

• Reinforcement

of

health

and

educative

services.

• Increase

of

Federal

Police

up

to

150,000

elements.

Pillar 2: Welfare

• Construction

of

1,500 high schools and 150

universities.

• Increase from 8 to 16 million scholarships

• Ensure

1%

of

GDP

for

Science

and

Technology.

• Creation of the Ministry of Culture

• Construction

of

more

hospitals

countrywide.

Pillar 2: Welfare

• Construction

of

1,500 high schools and 150

universities.

• Increase from 8 to 16 million scholarships

• Ensure

1%

of

GDP

for

Science

and

Technology.

• Creation of the Ministry of Culture

• Construction

of

more

hospitals

countrywide.

Main Proposals: National Action PartyMain Proposals: National Action Party

Source: josefina.mx/, 2012.


Pillar 3: Productivity

• Development of Balanced budget policies

• Realistic and actual Labor Reform

• Development

of

new

Technological‐base

incubators.

• Boost

the

credit

for

Micro

and

Small‐sized

Companies.

• Minority

and

selective

private

investment

in PEMEX (National Oil Company).

Pillar 3: Productivity

• Development of Balanced budget policies

• Realistic and actual Labor Reform

• Development

of

new

Technological‐base

incubators.

• Boost

the

credit

for

Micro

and

Small‐sized

Companies.

• Minority

and

selective

private

investment

in PEMEX (National Oil Company).

Pillar 4: A Better Mexico

• Treatment for 100% of waste water

• Boost of wind energy sources

• Reinforcement

of

the

US

– Mexican

bilateral relation.

• New

incentives

for

green

technologies

and

environmental conservation.

• Defend the rights and interests of Mexicans

abroad.

Pillar 4: A Better Mexico

• Treatment for 100% of waste water

• Boost of wind energy sources

• Reinforcement

of

the

US

– Mexican

bilateral relation.

• New

incentives

for

green

technologies

and

environmental conservation.

• Defend the rights and interests of Mexicans

abroad.

Main Proposals: National Action PartyMain Proposals: National Action Party

Source: josefina.mx/, 2012.


1. Recovery of Peace and Freedom

• Reduce

kidnapping

and

homicides

to

50%,

reducing

extortions

and

trafficking;

develop

a

National Strategy to reduce violence.

2. An Inclusive Mexico without Poverty

• Set

conditions

to

allow

15

million

people

to

overcome

poverty

and

the

disappearance

of

food poverty; guarantee women, indigenous and disabled people’s rights.

3. More and Better Jobs

• Triple

the

economic

growth

of

the

last

decade

and

create

more

than

one

million

jobs

per

year; increase investment in infrastructure.

1. Recovery of Peace and Freedom

• Reduce

kidnapping

and

homicides

to

50%,

reducing

extortions

and

trafficking;

develop

a

National Strategy to reduce violence.

2. An Inclusive Mexico without Poverty

• Set

conditions

to

allow

15

million

people

to

overcome

poverty

and

the

disappearance

of

food poverty; guarantee women, indigenous and disabled people’s rights.

3. More and Better Jobs

• Triple

the

economic

growth

of

the

last

decade

and

create

more

than

one

million

jobs

per

year; increase investment in infrastructure.

Main Compromises: Compromise for Mexico CoalitionMain Compromises: Compromise for Mexico Coalition

Source: http://www.enriquepenanieto.com, 2012.



4. Quality Education for Everyone

• Offer

more

and

qualified

education

for

everyone,

reaching

an

universal

cover

from

kindergarten

to

high‐school

level;

at

least,

cover

45%

of

higher

education;

and

being

the

1st

place of the PISA standard (Program for International Student Assessment) in Latin America.

5. Recovery of the Mexican Leadership in the World

• Consolidate

Mexico

as

emerging

power

and

contribute

in

the

solution

of

global

problems,

such as climate change or drugs, people and weapon trafficking.

6. Efficient Government

• Offer certainty and results to the people in order to achieve the mentioned compromises.

4. Quality Education for Everyone

• Offer

more

and

qualified

education

for

everyone,

reaching

an

universal

cover

from

kindergarten

to

high‐school

level;

at

least,

cover

45%

of

higher

education;

and

being

the

1st

place of the PISA standard (Program for International Student Assessment) in Latin America.

5. Recovery of the Mexican Leadership in the World

• Consolidate

Mexico

as

emerging

power

and

contribute

in

the

solution

of

global

problems,

such as climate change or drugs, people and weapon trafficking.

6. Efficient Government

• Offer certainty and results to the people in order to achieve the mentioned compromises.

Main Compromises: Compromise for Mexico CoalitionMain Compromises: Compromise for Mexico Coalition

Source: http://www.enriquepenanieto.com, 2012.



1. Promote the Revolution of Conscience and a Critical Thinking

• Recover

the

sense

of

community;

restore

political

ethics

through

the

regulation

of

wages;

boost an Integral Human Rights Vision without hierarchies; defend cultural diversification.

2. Orient the State to serve the People

• Develop

of

the

productive

capacity;

increase

resources

for

education,

health,

housing,

environment and social affairs; renegotiate the external debt; set up a new federalism.

3. Democratization of the Media

• Create

autonomous

institutions

aimed

to

regulate

radio

and

TV

broadcasting;

promote

the

creation of cultural and educative shows; guarantee Internet access as information right.

1. Promote the Revolution of Conscience and a Critical Thinking

• Recover

the

sense

of

community;

restore

political

ethics

through

the

regulation

of

wages;

boost an Integral Human Rights Vision without hierarchies; defend cultural diversification.

2. Orient the State to serve the People

• Develop

of

the

productive

capacity;

increase

resources

for

education,

health,

housing,

environment and social affairs; renegotiate the external debt; set up a new federalism.

3. Democratization of the Media

• Create

autonomous

institutions

aimed

to

regulate

radio

and

TV

broadcasting;

promote

the

creation of cultural and educative shows; guarantee Internet access as information right.

Main Proposals: Progressive MovementMain Proposals: Progressive Movement

Source: http://www.amlo.si/

2012.


http://www.amlo.si/

Source: http://www.amlo.si/

2012.

4. Create a New Economy

• Labor

protection

and

promote

formal

jobs;

fight

extortion;

promote

democracy

at

the

Unions; promote the insertion of young people into the labor market.

5. Fight Monopolies

• Promote

Law

reforms

(Economic

Federal

Law);

promote

competitive

pricing;

create

specialized court houses; broaden the training for judges.

6. Fight Corruption

• Reduce

salary

of

Government

officials;

impose

the

accountability

of

Government

officials;

remove additional cash bonus of Government officials; fight bravery.

4. Create a New Economy

• Labor

protection

and

promote

formal

jobs;

fight

extortion;

promote

democracy

at

the

Unions; promote the insertion of young people into the labor market.

5. Fight Monopolies

• Promote

Law

reforms

(Economic

Federal

Law);

promote

competitive

pricing;

create

specialized court houses; broaden the training for judges.

6. Fight Corruption

• Reduce

salary

of

Government

officials;

impose

the

accountability

of

Government

officials;

remove additional cash bonus of Government officials; fight bravery.

Main Proposals: Progressive MovementMain Proposals: Progressive Movement


http://www.amlo.si/

Source: www.nueva‐alianza.org.mx/

2012.

1. Quality and Equity of Education

• Reduce the educative lag and increase schooling levels; decrease inequalities among regions

and social groups; increase educative quality; strengthen scientific / technological research.

2. Labor Opportunities

• Promote economic expansion and jobs creation; broaden labor offer; facilitate the access to

labor market and fight informality; broaden social and economic benefits.

3. The Family as the Central Axis of Society

• Promote conditions that facilitate coexistence between groups and persons; promote values

such as respect, tolerance, solidarity; promote actions that benefit single mothers.

1. Quality and Equity of Education

• Reduce the educative lag and increase schooling levels; decrease inequalities among regions

and social groups; increase educative quality; strengthen scientific / technological research.

2. Labor Opportunities

• Promote economic expansion and jobs creation; broaden labor offer; facilitate the access to

labor market and fight informality; broaden social and economic benefits.

3. The Family as the Central Axis of Society

• Promote conditions that facilitate coexistence between groups and persons; promote values

such as respect, tolerance, solidarity; promote actions that benefit single mothers.

Main Proposals: New AllianceMain Proposals: New Alliance



4. Equality and Dignity

• Promote

the

access

for

all

people

to

alimentation,

health

and

education;

fight

violence;

promote respect to Human Rights; promote the development of indigenous communities.

5. Defend the Environment

• Promote actions intended to

the restoration of

damaged

ecosystems;

promote

actions

that

allow economic growth and jobs creation without harming the environment.

4. Equality and Dignity

• Promote

the

access

for

all

people

to

alimentation,

health

and

education;

fight

violence;

promote respect to Human Rights; promote the development of indigenous communities.

5. Defend the Environment

• Promote actions intended to

the restoration of

damaged

ecosystems;

promote

actions

that

allow economic growth and jobs creation without harming the environment.

Main Proposals: New AllianceMain Proposals: New Alliance

Source: www.nueva‐alianza.org.mx/

2012.




Percentual Budget per Party Percentual Budget per Party

$32,168,433.46

$52,538,959.12

$33,843,516.27

$8,716,067.32

Total $127,266,976.20

Monetary Budget per PartyMonetary Budget per Party

Note: USDExchange Rate: $13.20 pesos / USD

Statistics and Preference Polls

45,478

2,806

2,345

1,421

1,372

Foreign VotersForeign Voters

Registered Voters 84,610,389

Foreign Voters 59,044

Total Registered VotersTotal Registered Voters


Percentage of time broadcasted in

Radio and TV per Candidate

Percentage of time broadcasted in

Radio and TV per Candidate

Media: Broadcast MonitoringMedia: Broadcast Monitoring

Period: March 30th

– April 5th, 2012Note: 493 selected News Programs


Voters’

Preference PollVoters’

Preference Poll

Question: If today were the Presidential Election, which candidate would you vote for? Source: Newspaper “El Universal”

2012.



Address: Plateros 16 –

504, San Jose Insurgentes 03900, Mexico City

Tel. Office: + 52 (55) 5339 5839

Mobile: + 52 (55) 5453 6309

E‐mail: [email protected]

Web: www.nuricumbo.com

Skype: nuricua BB Pin: 21BD8276


Address: Plateros 16 –

504, San Jose Insurgentes 03900, Mexico City

Tel. Office: + 52 (55) 5339 5839

Mobile: + 52 (55) 5453 6309

E‐mail: [email protected]

Web: www.nuricumbo.com

Skype: nuricua BB Pin: 21BD8276

Contact

mailto:[email protected]

http://www.nuricumbo.com/

mexico political update - april 2012

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