merck (mrk) earnings report: q3 2014 conference call...
TRANSCRIPT
CompanyName:Merck&CoIncCompanyTicker:MRKSector:HealthCare
Industry:DrugsEventDescription:Q32014 EarningsCall
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Merck(MRK)EarningsReport:Q32014ConferenceCallTranscriptThefollowingMerckconferencecalltookplaceonOctober27,2014,08:00AMET.Thisisatranscriptofthatearningscall:
CompanyPart icipants
JosephRomanelli;Merck&Co;VPofIRKenFrazier;Merck&Co;ChairmanandCEOAdamSchechter;Merck&Co;EVPandPresidentGlobalHumanHealthRobDavis;Merck&Co;EVPandCFORogerPerlmutter;Merck&Co;EVP
OtherPart icipants
ChrisSchott;JPMorgan;AnalystSeamusFernandez;LeerinkPartners;AnalystMarkSchoenebaum;ISIGroup;AnalystAlexArfaei;BMOCapitalMarkets;AnalystJohnBoris;SunTrustRobinsonHumphrey;AnalystJamiRubin;GoldmanSachs;AnalystTimAnderson;SanfordC.Bernstein;AnalystMarcGoodman;UBS;AnalystAndrewBaum;Citigroup;AnalystColinBristow;BofAMerrillLynch;AnalystGreggGilbert;DeutscheBank;AnalystTonyButler;GuggenheimPartners;AnalystVamilDivan;CreditSuisse;AnalystJeffHolford;Jefferies&Co;AnalystDavidRisinger;MorganStanley;Analyst
MANAGEMENTDISCUSSIONSECTION
Operator:
Goodday,everyone.WelcometoMerck'sthird-quarter2014earningsconferencecall.
Today'scallisbeingrecorded.
AtthistimeIwouldliketoturnthecallovertoJosephRomanelli,VicePresidentofInvestorRelations.
Pleasegoahead.
JosephRomanelli(VPofIR):
Thankyou,Jackie.Goodmorning,everyone.
IwouldalsoliketosaygoodafternoonandgoodeveningtoeveryonelisteningoutsidetheUnitedStates.WelcometoMerck'sthird-quarter2014conferencecall.
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BeforeIturnthecallovertoKen,Iwanttoremindyouofacoupleofitems.
First,thereareanumberofitemsintheGAAPresultssuchasacquisition-relatedcharges,restructuringcostsandcertainotheritems.Wehaveexcludedtheseitemsinournon-GAAPreconciliationtablesandyoucanseetheminourpressreleaseinTable2.Thiswillgiveyouabettersenseofourunderlyingbusinessperformance.
Therearethreetablesinthepressrelease.ThefirsttableprovidestheGAAPresults.Tablenumber2reconcilesourGAAPP&Ltothenon-GAAPresultsandTable3providessalesperformanceforthecompany'sbusinessunitsandourproducts,bothonareportedbasisandexcludingforeignexchange.
DuringthecallwewillbereferringtoTable2whenwediscusstheP&L,andTable3whenwetalkaboutrevenueperformance.
Finally,I'dliketoremindyousomeofthestatementswemakeduringtoday'scallmaybeconsideredforward-lookingstatementswithinthemeaningoftheSafeHarborprovisionoftheUSPrivateSecuritiesLitigationReformActof1995.SuchstatementsarebaseduponMerck'scurrentbeliefandaresubjecttosignificantrisksanduncertainties.Ifunderlyingassumptionsproveinaccurateoruncertaintiesmaterializeactualresultsmaydiffermateriallyfromthosesetforthintheforward-lookingstatements.
Thecompany'sSECfilingsincludingItem1Ainthe201310-Kidentifycertainriskfactorsandcautionarystatementsthatcouldcausethecompany'sactualresultstodiffermateriallyfromthoseprojectedinanyforward-lookingstatementsmadethismorning.Merckundertakesnoobligationtopubliclyupdateanyforward-lookingstatement.OurSECfilingscanbefoundonthewebsiteatMerck.comandyoucanalsofindourearningsreleaseandallthetablesthereaswell.
Nowwiththat,IwouldliketosaygoodmorningtoKenFrazier,ourChairmanandCEO;RobDavis,ourCFO;AdamSchechter,HeadofGlobalHumanHealth;andDr.RogerPerlmutter,HeadofMerckResearchLabs.WiththatIwillturnthecallovertoKen.Ken?
KenFraz ier(ChairmanandCEO):
Thanks,Joe.Goodmorning,everyone.Ithankyouallforjoiningthecalltoday.
WeagainreportedsolidearningsthismorningbutbeforeIdiscussourperformance,pleaseallowmetoremindyouofthestrategythatconsistentlyguidesus.Merckremainsfocusedonbringingforwardmedicinesandvaccinesthatmakeadifferencetopatients,payersandhealthcaresystemsaroundtheworld.Inahealthcaremarketplacewhereresourcesareincreasinglyscarce,ourstrategycontinuestobeallaboutmeaningfulinnovation.
Toaccomplishthis,lastOctoberweannouncedourglobalinitiativetosharpenourcommercialandR&Dfocus,redesignouroperatingmodelandreduceourcostbase.WelaunchedthismultiyearinitiativetotransformMerckintoamorecompetitive,moreinnovativecompanyandtobuildaplatformforsustainedfuturegrowth.
Now,oneyearlater,I'mpleasedtoreportthisquarter'sresultsreflectthesteadyprogresswehavemadeineachoftheseareas.Weidentifiedfourareasoffocuswherewewillcompetetowinandourinvestmentsarepayingoff.
Inourdiabetesbusiness,wereallocatedresourcesandinvestedsignificantlyinJanuviaandhavenowreportedoursecondconsecutivequarterofgrowthintheUSandininternationalmarkets.Thismarksanimportantturnaroundfromwherewewerelastyear.
Ouracutecarebusinessgrewbydoubledigitsthisquarteraswearenowseeingtheimpactofour
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investments.Thesebrandswillcontinuetobekeydriversofgrowthinemergingmarkets.
OurvaccinesbusinessremainsafundamentalcontributortoMerckdespiteadeclinethisquarterduetothetimingofUSpublicsectorpurchases.WearealsolookingforwardtoregulatoryactionforV503,ournext-generation9-valentvaccineforHPV.Andinoncology,ourintegratedbusinessunithasmadestridestofileandlaunchKEYTRUDA.
ThisquarterwereceivedapprovalfromtheFDAforKEYTRUDA,thefirstanti-PD-1therapyapprovedintheUSforadvancedmelanoma.AndI'mhappytoreportthatwealsorecentlyreceivedbreakthroughdesignationfromtheFDAforKEYTRUDAasapotentialtherapyforadvancednon-smallcelllungcancer.WecontinuetostudyKEYTRUDAinmorethan30differenttumortypesandareencouragedbyrecentdatapresentedattheEuropeanSocietyforMedicalOncologyinfivedifferentcancers.RogerwilltalkmoreinafewminutesabouttheprogresswecontinuetomakewiththeKEYTRUDAprogramandAdamwilldiscusstherecentUSlaunchinadvancedmelanoma.Alsodoingthethirdquarter,wereceivedUSapprovalfromtheFDAforBELSOMRA,ournoveltreatmentforinsomniawhichweanticipatelaunchingearlynextyear.
Inadditiontoincreasingourfocusonthekeytherapeuticareasthatrepresentourbestopportunities,wecontinuedtorigorouslyprioritizeourportfoliotoensurethatallofourbusinesseshavethepotentialtobemarketleadersandcreatevalueforshareholders.Thisapproachledustodivesthumanhealthproductsandbusinessareasthatamountedtonearly$1billioninannualrevenue.
Thatfocusalsoledtotherecentlycompletedsaleofour$2billionrevenueConsumerCarebusinesstoBayer.WethenemployedtheproceedsofthatsaletocompletetheacquisitionofIdenixandtoincreaseourreturnofcashtoshareholdersthisyear.
ThesameapproachledustoadifferentconclusionwithregardtoourAnimalHealthbusinesswhichwebelievewillcontinuetogeneratelong-termvalueforMerck.AnimalHealthsawstronggrowththisquarteracrossallspecies.WelookforwardtoadditionalinnovationcomingoutofourAnimalHealthpipelineandremaincommittedtogrowingthisbusinesswhichisalreadyamarketleaderinkeysegmentsoftheglobalAnimalHealthmarket.
LetmenowturntotheprogresswehavemadeinsharpeningthefocusofourR&Dorganization.AlongwiththestrongprogresswehavemadeonourKEYTRUDAprogram,wecontinuetoadvanceourworktodevelopahighlyeffectiveonce-dailyoralpan-genotypicregimenforthetreatmentofhepatitisC.AsImentionedearlier,wealsocompletedtheacquisitionofIdenixPharmaceuticalsanditspromisingportfolioofhepatitisCcandidateswhichcomplementourinternaldevelopmentefforts.
Wewillcontinuetofocusonourhighestpotentialgrowthopportunitieswhilerigorouslyprioritizingourpipelinebolsteringitwithexternalassetswhiledivestingourout-licensingprogramsandcandidatesthatarebettersuitedtocreatevalueelsewhere.
Forexamplethisquarter,weenteredintoanagreementtoout-licenseMK-3222,ourinvestigationaltreatmentforchronicplaquepsoriasistoSunPharma.Alloftheseactionsareinkeepingwithourintentiontobethepremierresearchintensivebiopharmaceuticalcompany.
Lastly,wehavemadesignificantprogressinredesigningouroperatingmodelandreducingourcostbase.YouwillrecallthatlastOctoberwetargetedanetreductioninannualoperatingexpensesofapproximately$2.5billionoffourfull-year2012expenselevelsbytheendof2015.
Asaresultofdisciplinedcostmanagement,I'mpleasedthatweremainontracktoachieveourtargetfor2015andouroverallsavingsgoalbytheendof2015.ThesesavingshaveenabledustobettertargetresourcestokeepprioritiesacrosstheenterpriseandtoaccomplishthegoalsImentionedtoday.
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Atthesametimethisdisciplineallowsustoreturnahighlevelofcashtoshareholdersthroughbothadividendandourstockrepurchaseprogram.Overthepast12months,wehavereturnednearly$11.5billiontoourshareholders.
WearerebuildingMerckforsustainablefuturegrowth.Wehavesharpenedourcommercialfocusandarelaunchingproductswiththepotentialtomakeasignificantdifferencetopatientswhileprovidingvaluetopayers,providersandhealthcaresystems.
We'vefocusedandprioritizedourR&Deffortssothatwemaycontinuetotranslatecutting-edgescienceintomedicinesandvaccinesthathavemeaningfuldifferentiatedattributesandwehavecontinuedtoaggressivelymanageourcosttoensurethatourresourcesarefocusedonourmostpromisingopportunitiesforgrowth.Takentogether,theseactionshavecreatednearandlonger-termopportunitiesthatwillallowMercktocontinuetodrivevalueforbothshareholdersandsociety.
NowIwouldliketoturnthecallovertoAdamSchechter.
AdamSchechter(EVPandPresidentGlobalHumanHealth):
Thankyou,Ken.Goodmorning,everyone.
ThismorningI' llprovideyouwithanoverviewofglobalhumanhealththird-quarterresultsandalsoprovidesomecommentaryontheearlydaysoftheKEYTRUDAlaunch.Mycommentarywillbeonaconstantcurrencybasis.
Overallsalesreached$9.1billionreflectingthefollowing,growthincoreareassuchasdiabetes,immunologyandacute-carewhichwereoffsetbymorethan$150millioninproductdivestitures,hepatitisCmarketdynamicsandpatentexpiries.First,IwillreviewourcoreproductareasandthenIwillprovideanupdateonourregionalperformanceandIwillstartwithprimarycare.
TheJanuviafranchisereachedmorethan$1.4billioninsalesandgrew5%inthequarterreflectinggrowthintheUSandinternationalmarkets.IntheUS,salesgrew6%oncontinuedvolumeincreases.WeareencouragedbythegrowthtrendswesawinthethirdquarterandthemonthofOctober.Weareseeingpositiveresultsfromoureffortstodefendour75%marketshareandtogrowtheDPP-4class.
Inourinternationalmarkets,salesgrew4%drivenbyEuropeandtheemergingmarkets.SalesdeclinedinJapanduetoa10%repricingthatoccurredinAprilandtheoverallcompetitiveenvironmentforDPP-4s.WeareconfidentthatwewilldeliverglobalsalesgrowthforJanuviafranchisein2014.
Nextinhospitalandspecialtycare,salesofIsentresswereapproximately$410millioninthethirdquarter,adeclineof3%.InternationallyourgrowthinEuropewasbalancedbythetimingoftendersintheemergingmarkets.IntheUS,IsentresssaleswereimpactedbycustomerbuyingpatternsandthecompetitivedynamicsintheHIVmarket.
Salesofourimmunologyproductsreachedmorethan$770millioninthethirdquartergrowing9%.WeareseeingcontinuedstronguptakeofSimponiacrossmultipleindicationsandSimponiremainsthefastestgrowinganti-TNFinmarketswherewepromote.Remicadegrew3%reflectinggrowthincoremarketsandoffsetbybiosimilarcompetitioninsomeofthesmallerEUmarkets.
Inacutecare,salesexceeded$600millionandgrewby17%thisquarter.GrowthwasdrivenbycontinueduptakeofBridioninJapan,Europeandemergingmarketsandsolidperformancesacrossourportfolioofantibioticsandantifungals.Whilegrowthratesmayvaryfromquartertoquarterduetotimingoftenders,wecontinuetoexpectthiscoreareatobeanimportantcontributortofuturegrowth.
Now,turningtoourvaccinebusiness.
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Inthethirdquarter,vaccinesaleswereapproximately$1.7billion,adeclineof6%primarilyduetoroughly$100millionofUSpublicsectorpurchasesofGardasilandRotaTeqinthethirdquarteroflastyearthatdidnotoccurinthethirdquarterofthisyear.
SalesofZostavaxwereapproximately$180millioninthequarterdeclining2%comparedtolastyear.AsweenterthefluseasonintheUnitedStates,wehaveinitiatedpromotionaleffortsincludinganewdirecttoconsumercampaigntoeducateconsumersoftheimportanceoftalkingtotheirphysicianandtheirpharmacistaboutshingles.WehavebroadaccessforZostavaxandweareworkingwithcustomerstohelpthemunderstandthereimbursementprocess.
Now,turningtosomegeographichighlightsinthethirdquarter.
IntheUnitedStates,salesdeclined8%asgrowthintheJanuviafranchiseandDulerawasoffsetbylowervaccinesales,thelossofexclusivityofTEMODARanddeclinesinourHCVportfolio.InEuropesalesfell1%.Wedrovecontinuedgrowthindiabetes,immunologyandIsentressbutsaleswereimpactedbythedivestitureofourophthalmologyproducts,continueddeclinesintheHCVportfolioandagenericerosionforNasonex.
SalesinJapandeclined14%primarilyduetobiannualpricedecreasesandophthalmologyproductdivestitures.
Salesinemergingmarketsgrew8%.Chinagrew33%inpartduetotimingofpurchases.DemandinChinaremainsstrongforourbroadportfolioofinnovativeandalsoestablishedproducts.OtherimportantemergingmarketssuchasTurkeyandMexicoalsodeliveredsolidgrowthinthequarter.Forthefullyear,wecontinuetoexpectthattheemergingmarketswillbegoodgrowthdrivers.
Now,I' llspendafewmomentsspeakingabouttheearlydaysoftheKEYTRUDAlaunch.
First,letmesayweareveryexcitedtolaunchthefirstandtheonlyanti-PD-1therapyapprovedintheUnitedStates.Wearestillintheearlydaysoflaunchbutwehavebeenmovingrapidlytoensurethemedicineisavailabletopatientsandfeedbackfromourcustomersisveryencouraging.UponapprovalwesaidKEYTRUDAwouldbeavailablewithinaweekandweweretakingordersandshippinginjustacoupleofdays.Ourcolleaguesinmanufacturingworkedtirelesslytoensurethatpatientswouldhaveaccesstothisimportantmedicationassoonaspossible.
Onthecommercialside,wereachedthetopipilimumabprescribersinamatterofdaysfromapproval.Wehavenowexpandedourreachintocommunitypractitioners.Wehavereachedmorethan75%ofthekeyphysiciansandwehavemademultiplecallsintomanyofthehigh-volumeprescribers.
Regardingaccess,mostpayersarecoveringthecostofKEYTRUDAforitscurrentindicationwithoutrestrictions.Additionally,weofferpatientassistanceforpatientsrequiringreimbursementassistance.Aswesaidatapproval,webelievethereareabout1200patientsintheUSwhoareeligibleforKEYTRUDAbaseduponourcurrentlabel.Additionally,weexpectafewhundrednewpatientstobecomeeligiblefortreatmentwithKEYTRUDAeachmonth.
SinceapprovalinearlySeptember,webelievethatapproximately900patientsarebeingtreatedwithKEYTRUDA.ManyofthesepatientswerepreviouslypartoftheexpandedaccessprogramandarenowinaprocessofmovingfromtheEAPtocommercialproduct.
OurglobaloncologybusinessunitispassionatelyengagedonmaximizingthepotentialforKEYTRUDAforappropriatepatients.Wearelookingforwardtosharingmorelaunchdetailswithyouinthefourthquarterearningscall.
Insummary,globalhumanhealthistransitioningthroughaperiodofpatentexpiriesanddivestitures.Sincelatelastyear,wehaveconsciouslyredirectedourfocustocoreproductareastocoremarketsandtonew
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productlaunches.WedrovegrowthinmanyofthesecoreareasandwearesuccessfullyintroducingKEYTRUDAtotheUSmarketforpatientssufferingfromadvancedmelanoma.
Wecontinuetoprioritizeourinvestmentsandweareintentondrivingfuturegrowthandbroadeningourimpactinglobalhealth.
NowIwouldliketoturnthecallovertomycolleague,RobDavis.
RobDavis (EVPandCFO):
Thanks,Adam.Goodmorning,everyone.
Wehavehad(nice)resultsinthefirstninemonthsoftheyear.Ourthird-quarterresultsdemonstratethatwecontinuetosharpenourfocusasacompanyandasKenmentioned,ourcostreductionprogramisontrack.ThismorningIwillprovideadditionalcoloronourP&Landcommentonouroutlookfortherestoftheyear.Myremarkswillfocusonournon-GAAPfinancials.
Totalcompanyrevenueswere$10.6billionforthequarter,adecreaseof4%year-over-yearwitha1%benefitfromforeignexchange.Thisdecreasereflectsinpartthelossofmorethan$400millionofsalesintheprioryearfromdivestituresandthenowendedjointventurewithAstraZeneca.
AsAdamstated,oursalesinthepharmaceuticalbusinessweredrivenbysolidperformanceinourkeybrandswhichhavebenefitedfromcontinuedresourceallocationtoourprioritytherapeuticareaslikediabetesandacutecare.
AnimalHealthrevenuesincreased$83millionor10%year-over-yearexcludingexchange.Theseresultsweredrivenbystrongperformanceacrosstheportfolioincludingsignificantgrowthinourcompanionanimalandpoultrybusinesses.
ConsumerCarerevenuesdecreased9%excludingexchange.Asareminder,thisisthelastquarterinwhichwewillrecordresultsfromtheconsumercarebusinesssincethetransactionwithBayerclosedonOctober1.
Movingnowtoexpenses,grossmarginwas74.3%inthequarterwhichrepresentsa30basispointincreaseyear-over-year.Wecontinuetoexpectthe2014full-yeargrossmargintobeslightlylowerthan2013'sfull-yearratioof74.3%.
Marketingandadministrativeexpenseswere$148millionlowerthantheprioryeardrivenbyreductionsindirectsellingandpromotioncosts.WecontinuetofocusourresourcesonkeymarketsandcoreproductswhileensuringweappropriatelyinvestinourproductportfoliolaunchesandinsupportoftheseeffortswewouldexpectM&Aexpensestobesequentiallyhigherinthefourthquarter.
Researchanddevelopmentexpenseswere$1.5billioninthequarter,$109millionlowerthanprioryear.WeexpectR&Dexpenseinthefourthquartertobehigheryear-over-yearasweinvestinourportfolio.
Finally,regardingthetaxrate,ournon-GAAPeffectivetaxratewas26.5%inthequarterwhichwasinlinewithourexpectations.Wecontinuetoanticipatethetaxrateforthefullyeartobebetween24%and26%.
Intermsofourbottom-lineperformance,weearned$0.90pershareinthethirdquarterascomparedto$0.92pershareintheprior-year.
Nowouroutlookfortherestoftheyear.Onthetopline,wearenarrowingourrevenueguidanceto$42.4billionto$42.8billionatcurrentexchangerates.ThistakesintoaccountrecentcurrencymovementsaswellasapublicsectorvaccinepurchaseinthethirdquarteroflastyearthatdidnotoccurthisyearwhichAdamdescribedearlier.
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Wearealsonarrowingournon-GAAPEPSrangeraisingthebottomendoftherangeto$3.46andloweringtheupperendto$3.50whilemaintainingthesamemidpoint.OurEPSrangereflectsourstrongperformanceinthefirstninemonthsoftheyearandincludestheabsorptionofroughly$0.06to$0.09ofdilutionfromtheconsumercaredivestitureandtheIdenixacquisition.
OnaGAAPbasis,weexpecttoearnbetween$4.06and$4.29in2014.BothM&AandR&Dexpensein2014areexpectedtobelowerthan2013andasIsaidearlier,weremainontracktoachieveourtargetofa$2.5billionreductioninexpensesoffofthe2012basebytheendof2015.
Nowtouchingbrieflyoncapitalallocation.Bytheendoftheyear,wewillhavedeployedthebalanceoftheafter-taxproceedsfromtheBayertransactionnetofcashusedfortheIdenixacquisitionforsharerepurchase.Wecontinuetoprojectouraveragedilutedsharesoutstandingwillbeslightlylowerthan2.95billionsharesfor2014.
WeremainfocusedonourcommitmenttoreturncashtoshareholdersandasKensaid,wehavereturnedover$11billiontoshareholdersoverthepast12monthsintheformofdividendsandsharerepurchases.
Aswelookatcapitalmarketsmorebroadly,werecentlytookadvantageoffavorablemarketconditionsandrestructuredsomeofourdebtthroughatenderofferandaEUR2.5billiondebtoffering.Wearepleasedwiththeresultsofthetransactionswhichcreatedeconomicvalueforthecompanyandwillbenefitannualinterestexpensein2015andbeyond.
Insummary,thethirdquarterwasanothersolidquarterforMerck.Sinceourannouncementatthistimelastyear,wehaverefocusedourbusinessanddivestednon-coreassetswith2013full-yearsalesofapproximately$3billion.Inaddition,wecontinuetotrimourexpensebaseputtingussolidlyontracktoachieveourexpensereductionsbytheendof2015whilealsoinvestinginourpromisingnewproductlaunchesandpipeline.
NowIwillturnthecallovertoRoger.
RogerPerlmut ter(EVP):
Thanks,Rob.Thethirdquarterwasanespeciallybusyoneforourregulatoryaffairsgroupwithmultipleproductapprovalsinseveralimportantareas.InAugust,ournovelfirst-in-classorexinreceptorantagonist,BELSOMRA,wasapprovedbytheUSFDA.BELSOMRAactstoimprovesleepinitiationandsleepmaintenanceinpatientssufferingfrominsomnia.AsKenmentioned,theBELSOMRAlaunchwillbeginearlynextyear.
InSeptemberwegainedapprovalofBELSOMRAinJapanwherewealsogainedapprovalofVaniprevir,apotenthighlyselectiveproteaseinhibitorforthetreatmentofgenotype1hepatitisCvirusinfection.AlsoinSeptember,wereceivedapprovalforKEYTRUDA,ourmonoclonalantibodydirectedagainstPD-1forthetreatmentofpatientswithadvancedmalignantmelanomarefractorytocurrentlyavailabletherapies.AsIpreviouslymentioned,ourdevelopmentprogramforKEYTRUDAhasexpandedtoincludemorethantwodozenstudiesaroundtheworldinvolvingmorethan6000patientsandaddressingmorethan30differenttumortypes.
AttheEuropeanSocietyforMedicalOncologymeetingsearlierthismonth,wepresenteddatadocumentingtheactivityofKEYTRUDAinpatientswithgastric,bladderandheadandneckcancersandalsopresentedmorecomprehensivedatadescribingtheactivityofKEYTRUDAinpatientssufferingfrommalignantmelanomaornon-smallcelllungcancer.
TodayweannouncedthattheUSFDAhasgrantedbreakthroughdesignationtoKEYTRUDAforthetreatmentofnon-smallcelllungcancerinpatientswhohavefailedplatinumbasedtherapiesandwhosetumorsdonotbearEGF-receptoror[ALK]genemutations.WeareworkingcloselywiththeFDAtodefineanoptimaldataset
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thatwouldpermitregistrationofKEYTRUDAforthisimportantindication.
Laterintheyearweexpecttohaveachanceto(prescribe)ourstudiesofKEYTRUDAinpatientswithso-calledtriplenegativebreastcancerattheSanAntonioBreastCancerconferenceandthensomehematologicmalignanciesattheAmericanSocietyof(inaudible)meeting.
CombinationstudiesemployingKEYTRUDAforthetreatmentofavarietyofdevastatingmalignanciesarealsounderway.ThesestudiesemployingconventionaltherapeuticmodalitiesaswellasnoveltargetedagentswillbenefitenormouslyfromthebroadunderstandingofKEYTRUDAmonotherapythatwearedeveloping.
Turningnowtoinfectiousdiseases,wearelookingforwardtotheupcomingAmericanAssociationfortheStudyofLiverDiseasesmeetingnextmonth.DuringthemeetingweplantopresentcompletedatafromPhase2studiesofourMK-51728742doublet.IremindyouthattheFDAhasgrantedbreakthroughdesignationtotheseagentsforthetreatmentofhepatitisCvirusinfection.IndeedthePhase3registrationprogramforMK-51728742isnowcompletelyenrolledandweexpecttoseedatafromthesestudiesinthefirsthalfof2015.
AtAASLD,wewillalsopresentearlydatafromtheC-SWIFTstudywhichpairstheMK51728742doubletwiththenucleosidepolymeraseinhibitor,Sofosbuvir.ThegoalofthesestudieswhichweannouncedfivemonthsagoatourbusinessrevealsistoadvancethecaseforanalloralRibavirinfreegenotypeindependentregimenthatcanbeusedinpatientsirrespectiveofcomorbiditiesforexampleinpatientswithestablishedcirrhosis,simultaneousinfectionwithhumanimmunodeficiencyvirusand/orrenalinsufficiencyandthatwillachievesustainedvirologicresponsesoverashortercourseoftherapy.
Becauseofthedifficultiesinensuringpatientadherenceintherealworld,shortercourseoftherapyisclearlydesirable.OurtripletherapyregimenshavebeenenabledbyourrecentlycompletedacquisitionofIdenixPharmaceuticalsthroughwhichwegainedaccesstoapotentnucleosidepolymeraseinhibitorthatwenowcallMK-3682.DatadescribingtheeffectivenessofMK-3682monotherapywillalsobepresentedattheAASLDmeeting.
BeyondHCV,wecontinuetomakeverygoodprogressenrollingotherPhase3infectiousdiseasetherapeuticsprogramsincludingonce-dailyIsentressandletermovir,atreatmentforpatientsatriskfromdisseminatedcytomegalovirusinfection6.
DuringNovemberwealsoexpecttopresenttheresultsofIMPROVE-IT,ourstudytestingwhetheracholesterol-loweringregimenofezetimibeplussimvastatinversussimvastatinaloneimprovesoutcomesinpatientsathighriskformajorcardiovascularevents.Thefirstpatientwasenrolledinthistrialexactlynineyearsago.Withdesignandprotocolreview,ithasbeenadecadesincethequestionthatthetrialaddresseswasfirstposed.
Inall,IMPROVE-ITenrolled18,145patientspresentingwithstabilizedacutecoronarysyndromes.Therehavebeenmorethan5000compositeeventsthatwillsoonbereviewed.TheMROclinicalteamandI,alongwiththerestofMerckmanagementremainblindedtothedataandourstatisticianshaveonlyaveryshortperiodtoconductanalysesbeforethepresentationinmid-November.MynumberoneconsiderationregardingthisstudyhasbeentoensurethatweworkcloselywithouracademiccolleaguestoobtainacompleteandrobustdatasetgeneratedduringthedecadethatithastakentoconductIMPROVE-IT.
Giventhesizeandcomplexityofthisstudy,IexpectthattheIMPROVE-ITdatawillprovideimportantinsightsintotheappropriatecareofpatientsathighriskformajorcoronaryadverseevents.
Returningbrieflytoregulatoryaffairs,wehavenowsubmittedourcompleteresponsetoFDAquestionsregardingsugammadex,ourparenteralagentforthereversalofneuromuscularblockadeduringanesthesia.Includedinthisresponsearenewstudiesdesignedtoexaminehypersensitivityreactionsthatcanoccurwith
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sugammadexadministrationaswellasanupdatedreviewofourpharmacovigilanceexperiencewithsugammadexwhichismarketedinmorethan50countriesasBridion.
Separatelywehavehadapre-NDAmeetingwiththeFDAtodiscussourodanacatibresults.Wehaveagreedtogetheruponaplantocharacterizemorecompletelytheadjudicatedadverseeventreportinginthisstudywhichwillmeanthatourfilingwillbedelayeduntil2015.ThedatathatwepresentedattheASBMRmeetinginSeptemberdemonstratethatodanacatibcouldprovideameaningfultherapeuticoptiontoreducethefrequencyofosteoporoticfracturesinwomenathighriskfortheseevents.
FinallyasKenmentioned,wecontinuetoworkcloselywiththeFDAonthereviewofV503,our9-valenthumanpapillomavirusvaccineforthereductionofcervicalmalignancy.WeexpectthattheFDAwillcompleteitsreviewbeforetheendoftheyear.
Joe?
JosephRomanelli(VPofIR):
Great.Thankyou,Roger.
Jackie,IthinkwearegettingreadytostarttheQ&Asegmentofthecall.Justasareminderifyoucanlimityourselftooneortwoquestionsthatwaywecangettoasmanycallersaspossible.
So,Jackie,Ithinkwewillturnitovertothefirstcaller.
QUESTIONS&ANSWERS
Operator:
ChrisSchott,JPMorgan.
ChrisSchot t (Analyst-JPMorgan):
Justtwoquestionshere.
First,withthebreakthroughstatusinlungforKEYTRUDA,canyoujustupdateusonanythingaboutyourfilingstrategyoratleastkeydatapointsweshouldbewatchingforthatcouldsupportafilinginlung?
Andthensecond,justyourthoughtsonTECOSandriskofheartfailurewithJanuvia.ThereisobviouslybeenalotofdiscussionaroundthispointasoflateandwewouldlovejusttogetMerck'sperspectiveontherisksassociatedwiththatstudy.Thanksverymuch.
RogerPerlmut ter(EVP):
Yes,Chris.
Justwithrespecttothefilingstrategy,Ithinkwecertainlyarepleasedtohavegainedbreakthroughdesignationfornon-smallcelllungcancer.Asyouknow,wehaveanumberofstudiesunderway,largestudiesandwehavetheopportunitytolookatthosestudiesandweareworkingcloselywiththeagencytodevelopanideaofregistrationstrategyasIindicated.Sowewon'thaveanymoretosayaboutthatthanwhatIhavesaidtothispoint.
WithrespecttoTECOS,youknowIthinkthatwedoexpectthatthefinalpatientwillbeavailable,patientdatawillbeavailable,lastpatient,lastvisitbytheendoftheyear.Thisisofcourseastudythatisbeingconductedledbyacademicinstitutionssowewillbemadeawareofthosedata.
IthinkitisimportanttorecognizethataDataSafetyMonitoringBoardhasbeenfollowingthisstudyextremely
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carefully.TheobservationsthathavebeenmadeinotherstudiesemployingregimenstotreatdiabetesarewellknowntotheDataSafetyMonitoringBoard.ThelastDataSafetyMonitoringBoardreviewwasinDecemberoflastyear.GiventhatthefactthattheDSMBcamebackandsaidthestudyshouldbecontinuedwithoutchangeIthinkprovidessomereassurancewithrespecttotheoverallconductofthestudy.Itisalargestudy,willprovideimportantanswerstoquestionsaboutthemeaningfulnessofinterventionwithsitagliptininpatientswithtype2diabetes.
JosephRomanelli(VPofIR):
Great.Thankyou,Roger.
Jackie,nextcaller.
Operator:
SeamusFernandez,Leerink.
SeamusFernandez (Analyst-LeerinkPartners):
Thanksforthequestion.SoacoupleofquickquestionsforRoger.
Roger,canyoutalktousalittlebitabout--Idon'tseePD-L1statushighlightedforthebreakthroughdesignationforKEYTRUDAbutmyunderstandingisthatmuchofthedatathatwasgeneratedinnon-smallcelllungcancerwasinthePD-L1positivepatientpopulation.CanyoujustclarifyforusifthisindicationisspecifictothePD-L1patientpopulationorifitisnotanditisactuallyforthebroaderpatientpopulation?
AndthenaswethinkaboutthenextdatapointsintheKEYNOTE-010study,canyoujustupdateusonwhetherornotyouhaveofficiallytakenthelookattheresponserateswhichissortofspecifiedonclinicaltrials.govrelativetothe2mgand10mgdoseandifthatlookincludedacomparisontoTaxotere?ThereasonIaskisifthatcouldbeutilizedassupportiveevidenceforapotentialfiling?Thanks.
RogerPerlmut ter(EVP):
Firstofall,thebreakthroughdesignationisnotspecifictoPD-L1positivepatientsandasyouknow,wehavedonequitealotofworkontryingtounderstandthemeaningfulnessofPD-L1positivitywhatwehaveshowninawholevarietyofsettingsisthatpatientswhosetumorsarejudgedPD-L1negativeormorepreciselythatfallintothePD-L1staininglessthan1%categoryneverthelessdodemonstratesomeresponsesandweandothergroupsthatarestudyingthisarestillinthemidstoftryingtounderstandexactlyhowtocorrelatePD-L1expressionstatuswithoutcomes.
WeknowthereisarelationshipbutexactlywhatthemeaningfulnessofthatisIthinkremainstobeelucidated.
WithrespecttotheKEYNOTE-010study,asIhaveindicated,wehaveavarietyofdifferentwaysthatwecanlookatthesedatainordertocomeupwithanoptimalregistrationstrategyandthatissomethingthatthroughthecloseinteractionthatwehavewiththeFDAandwillhavemoreparticularlybecauseofthebreakthroughdesignationthatwearegoingtobedoinginordertocomeupwiththebestpossiblestrategy.
JosephRomanelli(VPofIR):
Thankyou,Seamus.
Jackie,nextcaller.
Operator:
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MarkSchoenebaum,ISI.
MarkSchoenebaum(Analyst-ISIGroup):
Hey,guys.Thankyoufortakingthequestion.
Maybejustafollow-uponSeamus.TheKEYNOTE-010trial,Roger,whatisthetimelineforadatareadoutonthat?Canyouupdateus?Ibelievelasttimeyouspokeaboutityouhadtalkedaboutlate2015.Couldyoujustremindmeifthatiscorrectorincorrectdata?
AndthenonhepatitisCifImay,Roger,lastcallyouexpressedagreat--whatIinterpretedtobeagreatperiodofoptimismforthefour-weekregimen.Obviouslythebarisvery,veryhighgiventheGileaddatathatisoutthere.Iwaswonderingifyoucouldupdateusonyourexpectationsforthefour-weekdata?
Iknowthisisthethirdbutthisisjustayesorno.Justtobeclear,thebreakthroughdesignationwasfor--ifIamreadingthepressreleaseright,wasactuallyforsecondlineandlaterlung.Isthatcorrect?
RogerPerlmut ter(EVP):
Mark,sofirstofall,thebreakthroughdesignationdoesn'tspecifylineoftherapy.Thebreakthroughdesignationisforpatientswhohavefailedplatinum-basedtherapies.Andthatisunderstandableofcoursebecauseyougetbreakthroughdesignationforthosecircumstancesunderwhichthereisa--theanticipationofameaningfulinterventionbeyondwhatexistsasstandardcare.SothatisunderstandableIthink.
WithrespecttotheKEYNOTE-010studyagainIthinkthetimingremainsasbefore.Wecontinuetomarchforwardwiththatstudy.We,asIsaid,haveopportunitiestoexaminethatdataatdifferenttimesandoneofthethingsthatwewillbedoingisdiscussingthatwiththeagencybutwedoexpecttohavedataavailablebytheendofnextyearforsure.
ThenwithrespecttohepatitisC,IthinktheimportantthingtorememberhereisthatwhatweproposedwhenwedescribedthestudybackinMaywasthatatripletregimenwouldprovidetheopportunitytotestwhetheritwaspossibletogetsustainedvirologicresponsesthatiseradicationwithveryshortregimens.Wedon'tknowwhatthenatureofthoseregimenswouldbeuntilwehavetriedtobook-endthosefourgenotype1andgenotype3intheC-SWIFTstudy.
Wehaveaccessnowofcourseto3682,ourownnucleosidepolymeraseinhibitorandthethingsthatwelearnfromourstudieswasSofosbuvircanthenbeappliedtoourtripletstudieswith3682recognizingofcoursethatnotwopolymeraseinhibitorswillbehaveinexactlythesameway.ButitbasicallyprovidesthekindofguidancethatweneedinordertodesigneffectivePhase3studies.Sowearelookingforwardtohavingtheopportunitytoreviewthosedataindetail.
JosephRomanelli(VPofIR):
Thankyou,Mark.
Jackie,nextcaller.
Operator:
AlexArfaei,BMOCapitalMarkets.
AlexArfaei(Analyst-BMOCapitalMarkets):
Goodmorning.Thankyoufortakingthequestions.
Roger,justafollow-uponthosecomments.
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Couldyoupleasereminduswhatthesimilaritiesanddifferencesarefromwhatyoucantellfromyournew(inaudible)?
Adam,couldyoupleasegiveusalittlebitmoreontheGardasilperformanceandyouroutlook.Itseemedtohavebeenalittlebitlowerthanexpectations.Thankyou.
RogerPerlmut ter(EVP):
So,Alex,youwillhavetheopportunitytoseePhase1bdataforMK-3682atAASLDwhichwillbeinterestingbutofcourseitisverydifficulttocomparetwodifferentagentswhentheyarenotstudiedinahead-to-headcontextbecauseofdifferencesinpatientpopulation.Ican'treallyspeculateaboutthat.WewillhavetheopportunitytolookatthosekindsofdatasometimelaterbutrightnowIthinktheimportantthingwillbetolookatthedata,thePhase1bdatawhichIthinkyouwillfindintriguing.
AdamSchechter(EVPandPresidentGlobalHumanHealth):
Alex,regardingGardasil,letmeprovidesomeadditionalcontext.Thesalesintotalwere$590millionforthequarter.TheUSdeclined7%.TheUSdeclinesweremostlyduetohigherpublicsectorpurchasesin2013thatdidnotoccurin2014.
Ifyoulookatthecumulative15-to18-year-oldpenetrationratesintheUS,itisabout65%forfemalesandabout50%formales.Sothereisstillroomtogrowthere.Ifyoulookatmales,wecontinuetohavegooduptakeandifyoulookattheprivatesectordataitsuggeststhatabout50%to55%offirstdosesarenowbeingadministeredtomales.
IfyoulookoutsidetheUS,thedeclineswereduetoKoreaandalsothereistheendofthecatch-upcohortsinseveralofthesmallermarkets.Butoverallwecontinuetobepleasedwithourmarketshare,greaterthan90%onaglobalbasisand99%intheUSandwebelievethatthereisstillroomforadditionalgrowthinthefuture.
JosephRomanelli(VPofIR):
Great.Thankyou,Alex.Jackie,nextcaller.
Operator:
JohnBoris,SunTrust.
JohnBoris (Analyst-SunTrustRobinsonHumphrey):
Thanksfortakingthequestions.Firstquestion,justforKen.Ithinkyoutraditionallygothroughyourplanningprocessthistimeofyear.Iknowyoucan'tgiveoryouarenotreadytopreparetogiveguidancefor2015butifyoucanjusthelpusunderstandwhatsomeofthepushesandpullsareespeciallysince2015youhaveindicatedasareturntogrowthyeargoingintothatyear.Sothatwouldbeveryhelpful.
ThenforRoger.Ifyoucanjustcharacterizewhyit'ssodifficulttopotentiallytogettofourweeksoftherapyintheHCVpopulationeitherfouroreightweeksgoingforwardthatwouldberealhelpful.
Thanks.
KenFraz ier(ChairmanandCEO):
Thanks,John,forthequestion.
Soletmestartbysayingofcoursewearenotgiving2015guidancetoday.Wewilldothatonourfourth-quartercall.Butyouarecorrect.Westillexpecttogrowoffour2014baseandthereareanumberoffactors
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thataregoingonoutsiderightnow.Forexample,therehasbeenachangeincurrencyrateswhichwillhaveanimpacton2015.Butalsoonanoperationalstandpoint,wearelookingforwardtoseverallaunches.Wearelookingforwardtothecontinueddevelopmentofseveralkeyprogramsinourpipeline.
Sofromanoperationalstandpoint,wearepleasedwiththeprogressthatisbeingmadeinourpipelineandwiththeupcominglaunchesandobviouslytheywillhavetobelookedatinthecontextoftheoverallheadwindsthatIthinkeveryoneisexperiencingfromthingslikecurrency.Roger?
RogerPerlmut ter(EVP):
Yes,John.
Thedurationoftreatmentininfectiousdiseaseisalwaysadifficultprocesstoassess.Ithinkfirstofall,thereareaspectsofmolecularcellbiologytoconsiderthatyouhavehepatocytesthatareinfectedwithHCV.Theydifferalmostcertainlyonecellfromanotherintermsofreplicationrate.Thosethatarereplicatingmoreslowly,itcanbedifficulttoinhibitthatprocessandtherewillbevariabilityintermsofthedegradationoftheviralnucleicacid.Sothereisalotofheterogeneityintheliveritselfandthenthereisalsovariationintermsoftheexposuretodruginindividuallivercells.Andbeyondthosesortofmolecularcellularconsiderations,thereisalsotheclinicalcontext.
Soweallrecognizethatdespitethefactthatwehavemoreorlessunderstoodthenatureofforexamplejusttopickone,thenatureofosteomyelitis,bacterialinfectioninbone,thelengthoftreatmentintheclinicalsettingisdifferentindifferentpartsoftheworldindifferentregions.Wereallydon'thaveanestablishedlengthoftreatmentthatwecanjustifywithgoodclinicaldata.AndonecanexpectthatitwillbeeasierinHCVbecausewecanmeasureviralburdenmuchmorereadily.Butstilltheclinicalcontextwillchangedependinguponforexample,thedegreeofliverdisease.Soyoucanimaginewherethereisalotoffibrosisanditisdifficulttogetdrugpenetrationthatthatwillmakethingsmorechallenging.
Allofwhichmeansthatitmaybehardtogettoasingleshortcourserecommendationforallpatientsbutinsteadpatientswillhavetobestratifiedandmaybethestratificationcanbedeterminedbeforetreatmentbeginsbutmostlikelyitwillbeinresponsetotherapy.
ThesearethethingsthatwehavetolearnnowthatwehavethesepotentdirectactingantiviralsandourC-SWIFTstudiesIthinkwillprovideimportantdataonthis.
JosephRomanelli(VPofIR):
Thanks,John.
We'lltakethenextcaller.
Operator:
JamiRubin,GoldmanSachs.
JamiRubin(Analyst-GoldmanSachs):
Thankyouverymuch.Justafewquestions.
Roger,doyouexpecttoreceivepriorityreviewforyourdoublethepatitisCtherapy?Iknowyoumentionedyouhavecompletedenrollment.Thosetrialsshouldbecompletedbytheendof--sortof,Iguess,middleofnextyearshouldweanticipatepriorityorreviewandtimingofapproval?
SecondquestiononKEYTRUDAforlung.WhenistheearliestwecanexpecttoseerandomizeddatashowingoverallsurvivalforKEYTRUDA?
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Thenthirdly,aquestionforyou,Ken.WehadreadIguessrumorsinthepressaboutMerckconsideringsellingitsdiversifiedproductlineoritslegacybusiness.Canyougiveusanupdateintermsofhowyouarethinkingaboutthat?Therehavebeenacoupletrades,asyouknow,ofthosebusinesses.IamjustwonderinghowweshouldthinkaboutthatforMerck.Thanksverymuch.
RogerPerlmut ter(EVP):
Thefirstquestion,ofcoursewedohavebreakthroughdesignationforthedoublet,andthatdoesn'tbyanymeansstipulatethatthepriorityreviewwouldoccur.Ithinkitwillbedriveninlargepartbythestrengthofthedataandassessmentofmeaningfulness.SowewillgettothatpointwhenwehaveachancetoevaluateallofthePhase3dataandgetitsubmitted.
Withrespecttotherandomizedoverallsurvival,again,wedohavedatacomingfromtheKEYNOTE-010study.Thereareotherpossibleapproachestothis,butcertainlyonewouldexpecttowardstheendofnextyear,sowewouldhaveanearlylookatthat.Again,alotdependsofcourseonthesurvivalstatisticsforthepopulation,butwewillhavedataaroundthattime,Jami.
KenFraz ier(ChairmanandCEO):
Thanks,Jami,forthequestion.Letmestartwithabroaderfocusonit,andthatisthis.Wecontinuetoprioritizeandfocuswithinourbusiness.AndaswecommunicatedlastOctober,thathasrequiredustolookacrosstheentirebusinesstodeterminewhichassetsmighthavemorevalueoutsideMerckversusinsidethecompany.Aspartofthat,youhaveseenustakeactionanddivestassetswithapproximately$3billionin2013sales,includingMCCandcertainGHHproducts.
Wewillcontinuetoevaluateopportunitiesasappropriatebutspecificallywithrespecttothediversifiedbrands,wewillalsobeconsiderateofthefactthatalllotofthesemorematureassetsalsoprovidestrongcashflowwhichenablesustocontinuetoinvestbehindameaningfulinnovationthatisattheheartofourstrategy.
Sowewillcontinuetolookatopportunitiesaswemoveforwardbutwe'vegottobalancethecashflowconcernsaswellaswhatwecandotomonetizeassetswhereappropriate.
JosephRomanelli(VPofIR):
Thanks.Nextcaller.
Operator:
TimAnderson,SanfordBernstein.
TimAnderson(Analyst-SanfordC.Bernstein):
IwouldlovetogetyourthoughtsontheKEYNOTE-006trial,prettyimportantinthatitcomparesyouranti-PD-1head-to-headversusitbeinfirst-linemelanomaandIamwonderingifyoucanupdateusontimingofreadoutandjustmoregenerally,yourviewsofCTLA-4antagonistandspecificallyyourviewsofthoseproductsfromarisk-benefitstandpointaspartofcombinationtherapywithPD-1sintwosettings,melanomaandlung?
AndthejustaquickquestiononTECOS,isitpossibleyouwouldtoplinethoseresultsbylate2014andmoregenerallyhowwehandledatadisclosurewhenyoudohavethoseresults?
RogerPerlmut ter(EVP):
ForKEYNOTE-006yes,wedoexpectthatthedatamovingalongandwewillhavecomparativedataversussifalimumabandthereisnothingparticularlytoupdatewithrespecttoKEYNOTE-006.Whatyouseeonclinicaltrials.govisafairreflectionofwhatwehaveandweareexpectingtohavedatanextyear.
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YouaskedamoregeneralquestionofhowweviewPD-1antagonismversusCTLA-4ipilimumabinparticularandtherehasbeenalotofdiscussionofthisasyouknowverywell.TherehasnotbeenanopportunityforustocompareKEYTRUDAvis-a-visipilimumabdirectlytothispointalthoughultimatelywewillhavethosekindsofdata.
Ithinkwhatwehaveseenfromtheregistrationmaterialsforthesedrugsisthatatthecurrentexposurelevels,thereisasubstantialamountofsystemictoxicitythatisseenwithCTLA-4antagonistsbuttimewillreallytellhowthatplaysoutparticularlyastherearedoseadjustmentsanddifferentapproachestocombinationtherapy.SoIdon'tthinkwecansaythatthatisgoingtoturnouttobeanimpossibility.
Ithinkthattheimportantthinginordertodesigncombinationscorrectly,speakingnotjustforipilimumaborCTLA-4butspeakingforthetotalityofcombinations,iswehavetohaveafirmunderstandingofhowthesemoleculesbehaveasmonotherapy.AndwehaveaverylargemonotherapyprogramforKEYTRUDAwhichinvolvesmorethan6000patientsasIhavenoted.
Inaddition,wehave17combinationstudiescurrentlyunderwaywhichexploreKEYTRUDAinavarietyofothersettingsusedwithotherdrugs.SowewillhavetheopportunitywiththisfirmfoundationofmonotherapyresultstounderstandthemeaningfulnessofcombinationtherapiesincludingcombinationswithCTLA-4antagonistslikeipilimumab.
Ohyes,TECOS,sotheTECOSdataasIhaveindicated,weshouldhavelastpatientlastvisit,Iremindyouthisisastudythatiscoordinatedbyanacademicgroup.Theyaremanagingthestudybutweshouldhavelastpatientlastvisitbytheendofthisyearwehopeandthedatawillbepresentedin2015.Thatisallweknowaboutit.ImentionedbeforetheDataSafetyandMonitoringcommitteethatisoverseeingthestudyaswellbutwedon'tknowanythingmorethanthat.
JosephRomanelli(VPofIR):
Thankyou,Tim.
Jackie,nextcaller.
Operator:
MarcGoodman,UBS.
MarcGoodman(Analyst-UBS):
Ken,obviouslytherestructuringprogramtakesyourexpensesdownprettysignificantlybytheendofnextyearandIamjustcuriousfromthere,arewenowresetandaswestarttoseethistoplinefromthenewlauncheskickin,willwegettheoperatingleveragethatwewouldexpecttoseegiventhathepatitisC,oncology,thesebusinessesthatarenotprimarycarekindofdrivethetopline?Iamcurioushowmuchinvestmentyouneedtomakeinthoseareasthatwouldoffsetandthatwewouldn'tseethatoperatingleverage?
Andthen,Adam.Ifyoucouldjusttalkabouttheemergingmarketsjustalittlebitmore.ObviouslyChinawasreallystrong.Whattypeofone-timerwasthereorwasthiskindofthecatch-upfortheyear?Andmaybeyoucouldtalkaboutjustsomeofthekeydriversandwhatisgoingonintheemergingmarkets.
AdamSchechter(EVPandPresidentGlobalHumanHealth):
Soifyoulookattheemergingmarkets,Ihavealwayssaidthatgrowthcanvaryfromquartertoquarterandtimingoftendersbecomesverysignificantintheemergingmarkets.Chinaasyoumentioned,hadstronggrowthof33%.Alotofthatwasintheacutecareproductsofwhichtimingplayedapartinandalsothe
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diversifiedbrandscontinuedtoshowgoodgrowthwhichwasnotrelatedtotiming.
IalsomentionedthatinTurkeyandMexicowehadaverygoodquarteraswellandthatwasdrivenbyspecialtyproductsbutalsocardiovascularproducts.
KenFraz ier(ChairmanandCEO):
Ontheoverallissueswithrespecttoourcoststructureandhowweareapproachingit,wehavebeenprettyaggressiveinthefirstninemonthstoreducecostsandchangeouroperatingmodelandweareontrackfortheoverall$2.5billionincostsavingsby2015.Andsowethinkthatactuallypositionsuswellaswemoveintothefuture.BeyondthatIcan'tsaymuchbecausewearenotprovidingguidanceintoday'scall.
JosephRomanelli(VPofIR):
Jackie,nextcaller.
Operator:
AndrewBaum,Citi.
AndrewBaum(Analyst-Citigroup):
Morning.Regardinganacetrapib,aquestionforRoger.
WouldapositiveprotocolanalysisforIMPROVE-ITatAHAmakeyouanymoreconfidentabouttheanacetrapibtrialgiventhebetaaboutitsproposedLDLmediatedmechanismofaction?AndIknowyouareawaretherearetwopresentationsarescheduled.
Second,justfollowinguponaKEYNOTE-010trial,shouldIbethinkingaboutanearlierinterimanalysisforyourtrialcomparedtoBristol'sequivalentgivenyouareselectingPD-L1patientsanditisobviouslymuchlargerandthereforewherewouldthatputtheinterimjustonyourmodeling?
Andthenjustanadjuncttothat,doyoustillremainconvincedthatlookingatPD-L1expressionontumorsratherthanonthedifferentcohortsofwhitebloodcellsistherightwaytogotooptimallyselectpatients?
RogerPerlmut ter(EVP):
Andrew,threequestions.Firstofallforanacetrapib,youknowofcoursewedon't,asIhavebeenindicated,wehavenoideawhattheresultsoftheIMPROVE-ITaregoingtobe.IMPROVE-ITteststhequestionasyouknowofwhetherornotonecanbyaggressivelyloweringLDLcholesterollevelsinpatientswhoalreadyareoptimallymanagedwithsimvastatinonecanachieveabeneficialeffectoncardiovasculareventsandthemagnitudeofthateffect.Ourstudieswithanacetrapibaredifferentandbecausewehaveananacetrapib,boththesignificantLDLcholesterol-loweringeffectbutalsotheHDLelevatingeffect,I'mnotsurethatIcouldreadoutmuchofanythingfromIMPROVE-ITtoanacetrapib.IthinkanacetrapibistestingreallyquiteadifferentquestionandwewilljusthavetowaitfortheresultsoftheREVEALstudy.
WithrespecttotheKEYNOTEtiming,Ican'tspeculateabouthowBristol-Myersispursuingtheiranalysesversusourown.Ihaveindicatedwhenweexpectourdatatobecomeavailableandwearegoingtoexaminethoseandmakedecisionsbasedonthat.
WithrespecttoPD-L1,wehavepresentedreallyquitealotofdatausingourproprietaryPD-L1antibodytolookatexpressionintumorsandwhatwehaveshownisthatthereissubstantialassociationbetweenPD-L1expressionintumorswhichisjustadifferentcutpointsandresponsestoKEYTRUDAandwehaveshownthatinanumberofdifferenttumorsandmostrecentlyweshoweditinourpresentationsatESMO.
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TheimportantthingtorecognizeasIsayisthatdoesn'tmeanthattherearenoresponsesinthosewhoarePD-L1negative.Itissimplyanassociation.Itisanassociationthatisbiologicallyplausiblebutwedon'tbyanymeansfeelthatweareabletoinventoryallofthePD-L1thatisexpressedinandaroundthosecellsthatmightberesponsiblefortumorkillingandsonomatterwhat,weonlygetapartialpictureofit.
MyfeelingisthatPD-L1assessmentinthetumorismuchmorelikelytoberevealingthanPD-L1assessmentoncirculatingwhitebloodcellsasanexampleandcertainlythatisourexperience.
JosephRomanelli(VPofIR):
Okay.Jackie,nextcaller.
Operator:
ColinBristow,BankofAmericaMerrillLynch.
ColinBristow(Analyst-BofAMerrillLynch):
Goodmorning.Thanksfortakingthequestions.
SorryifImissedthis--butonhepatitisC,howimportantdoyouviewhittingfourweeksfromacommercialstandpoint?Itfeelslikephysicianfeedbackhasnotindicatedahighlevelofimportanceasperhapswewouldexpect.
AndthenjustasecondoneonIMPROVE-ITstudy.Ifthetrialdoesnotmeettheprimaryendpoint,howdoyouthinkaboutthelevelofinvestmentinthefranchisegoingforward?Thanks.
AdamSchechter(EVPandPresidentGlobalHumanHealth):
ThisisAdam,Colin.WithregardtohepatitisC,thisisaverylargemarket.IntheUSalonethereisabout3.2millionpeoplewithchronicHCVofwhichonlyabout50%arediagnosedandonlyabout150,000,200,000arecuredsothemarketisverylarge.Ibelievethatfourweekswouldbehelpfulbutaslongasinthecompetitivedynamicsthereisequalityintermsoftheregimens,Ithinkthatyoucanbesuccessfulcommerciallyundereithercircumstance.
AtthispointwearenotcommentingspecificallyonIMPROVE-IT.WecontinuetobelieveintheLDLcholesterolhypothesisandofcourseweprepareforallscenariosbutthereisnothingspecificatitthismoment.
JosephRomanelli(VPofIR):
Jackie,nextcaller.
GreggGilbert (Analyst-DeutscheBank):
GreggGilbert,DeutscheBank.
GreggGilbert (Analyst-DeutscheBank):
Thanks.Ihavetwo.
Adam,youmentionedthatroughly900patientsarebeingtreatedwithKEYTRUDA.Iwascuriousifyouareseeingordersinshipmentsthatareprettyconsistentwiththat?Isitaprettytightrelationshipbetweenindividualpatienttomanageshipmentsoristhesystemkindofgearingupforbroaderusageeventhoughyoucan'ttalkaboutbroaderusagefromMerck'sstandpoint?
Roger,howconfidentareyouandthescientificcommunityifyoucanspeakforthecommunityinthe
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reproducibilityofaparticularpatient'sPD-L1status?Itsoundslikeinvestorskindofwantthingsinneatboxes.Iamnotsosureitisactuallygoingtoplayoutthatwaybutcuriousonyourthoughtsthereonthetestingandthestatusandwhetherthatcouldfluxwithinpatients?
Thanks.
AdamSchechter(EVPandPresidentGlobalHumanHealth):
SofirstofallasIsaidbefore,wearepleasedwiththeuptakeincustomerfeedbackthatwehaveearlyinthelaunchbutwearestillveryearlyinthelaunch.WearetakingordersfromKEYTRUDAsincethefirstdayofavailability.Nearlyallofthetop50accountshavepurchasedsincewelaunchedtheproductandthemajorityhavemaderepeatpurchases.Atthispointintimewebelievewehaveabout900patientsthatarebeingtreatedwiththeproduct.
RogerPerlmut ter(EVP):
YouareabsolutelyrightwithrespecttoPD-L1statusandthatthePD-L1geneitselfisresponsivetoavarietyofdifferentstimuliincludingcytokinessotheinflammatory(inaudible)couldeasilyinfluencehowmuchPD-L1isexpressedandthatcouldbedifferentfromoneforexamplesiteofmetastasistoanothersotherecouldbequiteabitofvariability.ThatvariabilitymayunderliethechallengesthatpeoplehaveexperiencedintryingtodissecttherelationshipbetweenPD-L1expressionandresponsivenesstoanti-PD-1therapy.
Neverthelessthefactisthereissuchanassociationsosummingovereverything,therestillisageneralrelationshipbetweenPD-L1expressionintumorsandresponsivenessthathasbeenseenmanytimes.
JosephRomanelli(VPofIR):
Jackie,nextcaller.
Operator:
TonyButler,GuggenheimPartners.
TonyBut ler(Analyst-GuggenheimPartners):
Thanksverymuch.Twobriefquestions,Roger,wehavetalkedabout010inplatinumfailures.Thequestioniswhatisthedifferencebetween024and042inthePhase3settingatleastinfirst-lineadvancednon-smallcelllung?
Thesecondquestion,Adam,thetop50accountshavingorderedKEYTRUDA,canyouprovideanyadditionalcoloronthepercentageofpatientswhowerealreadyontherapyintheaccessprogramandhavemovedontoifyouwillasapayingcustomerandthosethatareactuallynewtotherapy?Thankyou.
AdamSchechter(EVPandPresidentGlobalHumanHealth):
Sorightnowaswesaid,webelievethereisabout900patientsthatarebeingtreatedwiththeproduct.Manyofthose,manyofthosewebelievearecomingfromtheEAPprogram.
Ifyoulookatthetop50accounts,itisnoteasytotellwherethepurchasesgo,towhichpatientsexactlysoyoucan'tcommentonthat.ButIthinkthebottomlineisweareontrackforallin60daystomovefromtheEAPprogramintothecommercialarea.Soweareworkinghardonthatandweareontrackforthat.
RogerPerlmut ter(EVP):
Ifyoulookat024and042,youwillseethatwearetalkingaboutsimilarkindsofstudiesbuttheydifferinsizeandtheydifferinprimaryoutcomesandthatiskindofunderstandableandnotatypicalforregistration
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strategiesinthesesortsofsettings.
JosephRomanelli(VPofIR):
Nextcaller.
Operator:
DavidRisinger,MorganStanley.
DavidRisinger(Analyst-MorganStanley):
Yes.Thanksverymuch.Ihaveacouplequestions.
First,withrespecttoyourhepatitisCprogram,couldyoutalkaboutyourdevelopmentvisionfortheIdenixnukeincludingthetimingforPhase3?
Second,IhavealittlebitofalengthyquestiononKEYTRUDAandthisrelatestotheKEYNOTE-006trial.SotheapproveddoseofKEYTRUDAis2mgperkilogrameverythreeweeksanditcosts$150,000ayearbutinKEYNOTE-006,theKEYTRUDAdosingis10mgperkilogrameverytwoorthreeweekswhichwouldcost$1.15millionor$750,000ayearrespectively.
SosinceKEYNOTE-006issupposedtoreadoutearlynextyearandassumingthatitshowsthatKEYTRUDAissuperiortoYervoyinfirst-linemelanoma,itshouldgetCompendialistedat10mgperkilogrambuthowshouldwethinkaboutactualuseintherealworldandhowshouldwethinkaboutpricingforthatcompound?Thankyou.
RogerPerlmut ter(EVP):
Yes.SoIguessthequestionisfirstofallwithrespecttoMK-3682andthetiming,IshouldnotethatforMK-3682andagainthedatawillbe--Phase1bdatawillbeatAASLD,wedohaveanINDnowintheUnitedStatesforthatmoleculeandPhase2studieswillbeginshortly.Andthereafterbasedontheresultsofthat,wewillbegintodecidehowbesttoconductregistrationstrategiessothatismoreorlesshowwearethinkingaboutit,fairlyconventional.
AndthenwithrespecttoKEYNOTE-006,asyouknow,webeganourstudiesofpembrolizumabinavarietyofdifferentdoses,at2mgQ3,at10mgQ2,at10mgQ3andwhatwehavelearnedinthecourseofthosestudiesisthatthedoseresponsecurveisrelativelyflatand2mgQ3wasselectedasthedosetogoforwardinmelanoma.Wearealsoworkingonafixeddoseat200mgQ3whichwillgivetheequivalentexposureof2mgQ3formostpatientsanddoesn'trequiretheweightcalculation.
Myexpectationisthatbecausewewillhavealargeamountofdatafromallofthesedifferentsettingswewillbeabletomaketheappropriateanalysis.Ican'tspeakofcoursetohowCompendiawilllookatthisandanyotheraspectofthecommercializationprocess.
AdamSchechter(EVPandPresidentGlobalHumanHealth):
WhatIwouldsayiswehavebeenveryactivetoensurethepatientsthatareinneedofKEYTRUDAhaveaccesstoitandclaimsarebeingpaidforKEYTRUDAconsistentwiththeindicationwithoutrestrictionsandwehavegotourclinicalpresentationswithallofourtop30targetedhealthplanseitheroccurredoraregoingtooccur.
Soaswelookatthefutureofcoursewecontinuetoworktomaintainaccessasappropriate.
JosephRomanelli(VPofIR):
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Jackie,Ithinkwehavetimeforjusttwomorecallers.
Operator:
VamilDivan,CreditSuisse.
VamilDivan(Analyst-CreditSuisse):
Thanksfortakingthequestion.Acouplehere.OneonJanuviaandJanumet.FromwhatweunderstandIthinkthatproductstartingin2015isnotgoingtobeavailabletopeoplewithUnitedHealthcarecommercialplans.Canyoujustconfirmifthatisindeedthecaseiftherehasbeenachangethere?AndwhileIassumethatlosingoneplanisnotlikelythatmaterialtoyouguys,arethereanyotherchangestotheaccessofthatfranchisethatweshouldbeawareofaswestartthinkingabout2015?
AndthenthesecondquestionjustonthePD-1sideofthings,anyupdateyoucanprovideonthestatusofthelawsuitthatyouguysfiledagainstBristolinEuropeandalsotheonethatBristolhasfiledintheUSagainstyouguysonceyougettheapprovalforKEYTRUDA.Thanks.
AdamSchechter(EVPandPresidentGlobalHumanHealth):
Januviacontinuestohavegoodaccessin2014andbaseduponpreliminaryreviewsin2015,weexpecttocontinuetohavegoodaccess.JanuviaisstillonformularyforUnitedPartDplanin2015andcontinuestohavepreferredaccess.ThecontractwithUnitedwassignedrecentlybutsinceithadnotbeensignedwhenUnitedfiledtheir2015formularywithCMS,theUnitedPartDwebsiteandCMSrequirednoticetoinsureesthatdidnotlistJanuviaasonformularybutIjustwanttorepeatthatitstillisonformularyforPartDin2015.
JosephRomanelli(VPofIR):
Thanksfortheotherquestion.WeareconfidentwithrespecttoPD-1andthelitigationassociatewiththepatents.WeareconfidentwewillbeabletomarketKEYTRUDAtoanycountryinwhichitisapproved.Litigationappeals,theyareamultiyearprocesssoyouwon'thearanythingfromusforawhile.Ifthereareanyupdates,wewillprovidethoseintheQ.
Jackie,Ithinkwehavetimeforthelastcaller.
Operator:
JeffHolford,Jefferies.
Jef f Holford(Analyst-Jefferies&Co):
Thanksfortakingmyquestion.IwonderedifyoucouldjustgiveusabitmorecoloronwhatthebiosimilarsituationinEuropelookslike,whatyouarereallylearningfromtheearlystagesofthisandwhatyouaregoingtotakeforwardasaccesstobiosimilarsbecomesmoreprevalentinEurope?Thankyou.
AdamSchechter(EVPandPresidentGlobalHumanHealth):
SoifyoulookatRemicadeandSimponiasIsaid,wehadabout$775millionofsales,about9%growth.WecontinuetohavegrowthofRemicadeofabout3%.ThatwasdrivenbythecoreEUmarketsdrivenbyGastroindicationsbuttherewassomeoffsetduetobiosimilarcompetitioninthesmallermarkets.
Ifyoulookatthebiosimilarsspecifically,therehasbeenrelativelylimiteduptakeofeitherbiosimilarproductoracceptanceontendersinformulariesandwhatwehaveseensofariswheretherehasbeenmovementofthebiosimilars,ithaslimitedtonewpatientsonly.However,wehaveseenincreasedpricingpressuresthatarerequiredinorderforustocompetewiththebiosimilars.Soweexpectthepressuretocontinueinthesmall
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marketsthisyearandthenweexpecttheretobesomepricingpressureandnewpatientsinthecoreEUmarketsafterFebruary2015lossofexclusivity.
JosephRomanelli(VPofIR):
Thankyou,Adam.Ken?
KenFraz ier(ChairmanandCEO):
Sojustinclosing,wereportedanothersolidquarterofcompanyperformance.AsImentionedearlier,wearemakinggreatprogressonourstrategicinitiativesweannouncedlastyear.Wearenowseeingthebenefitofinvestinginourcoretherapeuticareaslikewehaveseenindiabetes.WehavemadesignificantadvancementsinsomeofourmostimportantresearchprogramsincludingthelaunchofKEYTRUDAandreceivingbreakthroughtherapeuticdesignationinnon-smallcelllungcancerandasRogermentionedthismorning,wearemakingsteadyprogressinhepatitisCasourregistrationstudyforthedoubletisnowfullyenrolled.
Wealsocontinuetofocusonimprovingouroperatingmodel.Overthepastyearwehaveseenouroperatingexpensesdeclinesignificantly.Wewillremainontracktoachieveour$2.5billionofcostsavings.
Ourprioritizationhasalsoledustodivesting$3billioninsalesthroughtheMCCtransactionwithBayerandotherdivestituresinhumanhealth.WehaveusethoseproceedstofundtheIdenixacquisitionandrepurchasesharesthisyear.Overthepast12months,wehavereturnedmorethan$11billionviathedividendandsharerepurchaseprogram.Weremainstronglycommittedtoreturningcashtoourshareholders.
Soagain,thankyouforjoiningus,hanginginwithusforalittlebitofalengthycallandwelookforwardtoupdatingyouagainonourfourth-quarterearningscall.
Operator:
Thankyou.Thisconcludestoday'sconferencecall.Youmaynowdisconnect.
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