mechanical drying equipment - anuj

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    Case Background: Topic Cash Flow DeterminationNew Drying M/c by IMM Objective: Highlight Incremental CF concRam Ratan (PCC) - Engineer To determine CF focussing onR Ramesh - GM of PCC

    Operating Cash Cost 10.00 Operating Cash CostDepreciation(WDV) 25.00% Cost of Equipment (in 1997)Useful Life (Years) 12 Useful Life (Years)Salvage Value (% of Orginal Value) 10% Installation Cost (in 1997)Delivery Time (Months) 12 Salvage Value - Now (1999)Installation Cost 15 Salvage Value - End (2004)Payment @ Order 32.5

    Payment @ Delivery 32.5

    % of Fuel Cost% Annual Rise in Fuel Cost

    Expected Rate of Inflation

    Overall Inflation

    New drying Equipment Existing Drying Equipm

    Operating Cost

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    pttreatment if Depr, Inv Allowance, Salvage Value, etc.

    28 Operating Cash Cost 2225 Capital Expenditure 258 Life Extension 5 upto 2009

    10 New Useful Life 134 Salvage Value - End (2009) 32

    80% Years 1010% Annual Interest Rate 15%

    6% Govt. Bond Yield 12.50%

    Risk Premium (Long Term) 7.50%9.20% Risk Premium (Replacement) 3.50%

    Cost of Capital (Long Term) 20.00%Cost of Capital (Replacement) 16.00%

    Corporate Tax 35.00%

    nt Overhauling Drying Equipment

    Debt Option

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    No. Year Depreciation

    (Old Machine)

    Tax Saving

    (Old

    Depreciation)

    Book Value

    (Old Machine)

    Depreciation

    (New Machine)

    1997 8.75 26.25

    1998 6.56 19.69

    1999 4.92 14.77

    1 2000 3.69 1.29 11.07 22.69

    2 2001 2.77 0.97 8.31 17.02

    3 2002 2.08 0.73 6.23 12.76

    4 2003 1.56 0.55 4.67 9.57

    5 2004 1.17 0.41 3.50 7.18

    6 2005 0.88 0.31 2.63 5.38

    7 2006 0.66 0.23 1.97 4.04

    8 2007 0.49 0.17 1.48 3.03

    9 2008 0.37 0.13 1.11 2.27

    10 2009 0.28 0.10 0.83 1.70

    11 2010 0.21 0.07 0.62 1.28

    12 2011 0.16 0.05 0.47 0.96

    Value on New Machine 80 Opening Block

    Salvage Value -4

    BV of Old Machine 14.77 Add: New Inv

    Net Value 90.77 Less: SV or BV

    Value of New Machine New Bloc

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    Tax Saving

    (New Depreciation)

    Book Value

    (New Machine)

    Incremental Benefit

    (Depreciation)

    i.e. Increase in DTS

    ATCS

    i.e.PAT

    7.94 68.07 6.65 11.70

    5.96 51.06 4.99 11.70

    4.47 38.29 3.74 11.70

    3.35 28.72 2.81 11.70

    2.51 21.54 2.10 11.70

    1.88 16.15 1.58 11.70

    1.41 12.12 1.18 11.70

    1.06 9.09 0.89 11.70

    0.80 6.82 0.67 11.70

    0.60 5.11 0.50 11.70

    0.45 3.83 0.37 11.70

    0.34 2.88 0.28 11.70

    (25+10) - (Depr. For 1997-19999)

    14.77

    80

    -490.77

    k For Depreciation

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    Investment

    Allowance

    Tax Shield

    (IATS)

    Tax Shield

    (Loss)

    Salvage

    Value Net Cash Flow PV of NCF

    7.00 3.77 4 33.12 28.55

    16.69 12.40

    15.44 9.89

    14.51 8.01

    -2 11.80 5.62

    13.28 5.45

    12.88 4.56

    12.59 3.84

    12.37 3.25

    12.20 2.77

    12.07 2.36

    6.5 18.48 3.11

    PV 89.81

    Cash Out Flow 85.2

    NPV 4.61

    IRR

    -89.81 33.1 -56.69203125

    16.7 16.6875

    15.4 15.440625

    14.5 14.50546875

    11.8 11.80410156

    13.3 13.27807617

    12.9 12.88355713

    12.6 12.58766785

    12.4 12.36575089

    12.2 12.19931316

    12.1 12.0744848718.5 18.48086365

    22%

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    Net Cash Flow

    (Without Inv. All)

    PV of NCF

    (Without Inv.

    All)

    26.12 22.52

    16.69 12.40

    15.44 9.89

    14.51 8.01

    11.80 5.62

    13.28 5.45

    12.88 4.56

    12.59 3.84

    12.37 3.2512.20 2.77

    12.07 2.36

    18.48 3.11

    PV 83.78

    Cash Out Flow 85.2

    NPV -1.42

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    N0. Year Depreciation

    (Old Machine)

    Book Value

    (Old Machine)

    Depreciation

    (New Machine)

    1997 8.75 26.25

    1998 6.56 19.69

    1999 4.92 14.771 2000 3.69 11.07 22.69

    2 2001 2.77 8.31 17.02

    3 2002 2.08 6.23 12.76

    4 2003 1.56 4.67 9.57

    5 2004 1.17 3.50 7.18

    6 2005 0.88 2.63 5.39

    7 2006 0.66 1.97 4.04

    8 2007 0.49 1.48 3.03

    9 2008 0.37 1.11 2.27

    10 2009 0.28 0.83 1.70

    11 2010 0.21 0.62 1.28

    12 2011 0.16 0.47 0.96

    Value on New Machine 80

    Salvage Value -4

    BV of Old Machine 14.77

    Net Value 90.77

    Value of New Machine

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    Book Value

    (New Machine)

    Tax Saving

    (Old Depreciation)

    Tax Saving

    (New Depreciation)

    Incremental Benefit

    (Depreciation)

    68.08 1.29 7.94 6.65

    51.06 0.97 5.96 4.99

    38.29 0.73 4.47 3.74

    28.72 0.55 3.35 2.81

    21.54 0.41 2.51 2.10

    16.16 0.31 1.88 1.58

    12.12 0.23 1.41 1.18

    9.09 0.17 1.06 0.89

    6.82 0.13 0.80 0.67

    5.11 0.10 0.60 0.50

    3.83 0.07 0.45 0.37

    2.88 0.05 0.34 0.28

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    PAT Investment

    Allowance

    Tax Shield

    (Loss)

    Salvage

    Value Net Cash Flow PV of NCF

    12.78 7.00 3.77 4 34.19 29.48

    13.95 18.94 14.08

    15.24 18.98 12.16

    16.64 19.44 10.74

    18.17 -2 18.27 8.70

    19.84 21.42 8.79

    21.66 22.85 8.08

    23.66 24.55 7.49

    25.83 26.50 6.97

    28.21 28.71 6.51

    30.81 31.18 6.09

    33.64 6.5 40.42 6.81

    PV 125.89

    Cash Out Flow 85.2

    NPV 40.69

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    Net Cash Flow

    (Without Inv. All)

    PV of NCF

    (Without Inv.

    All)

    27.19 23.44

    18.94 14.08

    18.98 12.16

    19.44 10.74

    18.27 8.70

    21.42 8.79

    22.85 8.08

    24.55 7.49

    26.50 6.97

    28.71 6.51

    31.18 6.09

    40.42 6.81

    PV 119.85

    Cash Out Flow 85.2

    NPV 34.65 -32.5

    -32.5 -47.5

    -47.5 27.19475156 27.1947516

    18.93961591 18.9396159

    18.97623738 18.9762374

    19.44268383 19.4426838

    18.27188519 18.2718852

    21.41725447 21.417254522.84790877 22.8479088

    24.54511653 24.5451165

    26.49966737 26.4996674

    28.70993686 28.7099369

    31.18047612 31.1804761

    40.42099873 40.4209987

    23.81%

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    N0. Year Depreciation

    (Old Machine)

    Book Value

    (Old Machine)

    Depreciation

    (OH)

    Book Value

    (OH)

    1997 8.75 26.25

    1998 6.56 19.69

    1999 4.92 14.77

    1 2000 3.69 11.07 9.94 29.82

    2 2001 2.77 8.31 7.46 22.37

    3 2002 2.08 6.23 5.59 16.78

    4 2003 1.56 4.67 4.19 12.58

    5 2004 1.17 3.50 3.15 9.44

    6 2005 0.88 2.63 2.36 7.08

    7 2006 0.66 1.97 1.77 5.31

    8 2007 0.49 1.48 1.33 3.98

    9 2008 0.37 1.11 1.00 2.99

    10 2009 0.28 0.83 0.75 2.24

    Value 25

    Old BV 14.77

    Net Value 39.77

    Value of OH Machine

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    Tax Saving

    (Old Depreciation)

    Tax Saving

    (OH)

    Incremental Benefit

    (Depreciation) PAT

    Investment

    Allowance

    1.29 3.48 2.19 3.90 2.19

    0.97 2.61 1.64 3.90

    0.73 1.96 1.23 3.90

    0.55 1.47 0.92 3.90

    0.41 1.10 0.69 3.90

    0.31 0.83 0.52 3.90

    0.23 0.62 0.39 3.90

    0.17 0.46 0.29 3.90

    0.13 0.35 0.22 3.90

    0.10 0.26 0.16 3.90

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    Salvage

    Value Net Cash Flow PV of NCF

    Net Cash Flow

    (Without Inv. All)

    PV of NCF

    (Without Inv. All)

    8.28 6.90 6.09 5.07

    5.54 3.85 5.54 3.85

    5.13 2.97 5.13 2.97

    4.82 2.33 4.82 2.33

    -2 2.59 1.04 2.59 1.04

    4.42 1.48 4.42 1.48

    4.29 1.20 4.29 1.20

    4.19 0.97 4.19 0.97

    4.12 0.80 4.12 0.80

    3 7.06 1.14 7.06 1.14

    PV 22.67 PV 20.85

    Cash Out Flow 25 Cash Out Flow 25

    NPV -2.33 NPV -4.15

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    N0. Year Depreciation

    (Old Machine)

    Book Value

    (Old Machine)

    Depreciation

    (OH)

    Book Value

    (OH)

    1997 8.75 26.25

    1998 6.56 19.69

    1999 4.92 14.77

    1 2000 3.69 11.07 9.94 29.82

    2 2001 2.77 8.31 7.46 22.37

    3 2002 2.08 6.23 5.59 16.78

    4 2003 1.56 4.67 4.19 12.58

    5 2004 1.17 3.50 3.15 9.44

    6 2005 0.88 2.63 2.36 7.08

    7 2006 0.66 1.97 1.77 5.31

    8 2007 0.49 1.48 1.33 3.98

    9 2008 0.37 1.11 1.00 2.99

    10 2009 0.28 0.83 0.75 2.24

    Value 25

    Old BV 14.77

    Net Value 39.77

    Value of OH Machine

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    Tax Saving

    (Old Depreciation)

    Tax Saving

    (OH)

    Incremental Benefit

    (Depreciation) PAT

    Investment

    Allowance

    1.29 3.48 2.19 4.26 2.19

    0.97 2.61 1.64 4.65

    0.73 1.96 1.23 5.08

    0.55 1.47 0.92 5.55

    0.41 1.10 0.69 6.06

    0.31 0.83 0.52 6.61

    0.23 0.62 0.39 7.22

    0.17 0.46 0.29 7.89

    0.13 0.35 0.22 8.61

    0.10 0.26 0.16 9.40

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    Salvage

    Value Net Cash Flow PV of NCF

    Net Cash Flow

    (Without Inv. All)

    PV of NCF

    (Without Inv. All)

    8.63 7.19 6.45 5.37

    6.29 4.37 6.29 4.37

    6.31 3.65 6.31 3.65

    6.47 3.12 6.47 3.12

    -2 4.75 1.91 4.75 1.91

    7.13 2.39 7.13 2.39

    7.61 2.12 7.61 2.12

    8.18 1.90 8.18 1.90

    8.83 1.71 8.83 1.71

    3 12.57 2.03 12.57 2.03

    PV 30.40 PV 28.58

    Cash Out Flow 25 Cash Out Flow 25

    NPV 5.40 NPV 3.58

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    Existing Vs New Equipment Without Inflation

    With Investment Allowance 4.61

    Without Investment Allowance -1.42

    Existing Vs Overhauling Without Inflation

    With Investment Allowance -2.33

    Without Investment Allowance -4.15

    Computed NPV's for various Combinations

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    With Inflation

    40.69

    34.65

    With Inflation

    5.40

    3.58