mechanical drying equipment - anuj
TRANSCRIPT
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Case Background: Topic Cash Flow DeterminationNew Drying M/c by IMM Objective: Highlight Incremental CF concRam Ratan (PCC) - Engineer To determine CF focussing onR Ramesh - GM of PCC
Operating Cash Cost 10.00 Operating Cash CostDepreciation(WDV) 25.00% Cost of Equipment (in 1997)Useful Life (Years) 12 Useful Life (Years)Salvage Value (% of Orginal Value) 10% Installation Cost (in 1997)Delivery Time (Months) 12 Salvage Value - Now (1999)Installation Cost 15 Salvage Value - End (2004)Payment @ Order 32.5
Payment @ Delivery 32.5
% of Fuel Cost% Annual Rise in Fuel Cost
Expected Rate of Inflation
Overall Inflation
New drying Equipment Existing Drying Equipm
Operating Cost
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pttreatment if Depr, Inv Allowance, Salvage Value, etc.
28 Operating Cash Cost 2225 Capital Expenditure 258 Life Extension 5 upto 2009
10 New Useful Life 134 Salvage Value - End (2009) 32
80% Years 1010% Annual Interest Rate 15%
6% Govt. Bond Yield 12.50%
Risk Premium (Long Term) 7.50%9.20% Risk Premium (Replacement) 3.50%
Cost of Capital (Long Term) 20.00%Cost of Capital (Replacement) 16.00%
Corporate Tax 35.00%
nt Overhauling Drying Equipment
Debt Option
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No. Year Depreciation
(Old Machine)
Tax Saving
(Old
Depreciation)
Book Value
(Old Machine)
Depreciation
(New Machine)
1997 8.75 26.25
1998 6.56 19.69
1999 4.92 14.77
1 2000 3.69 1.29 11.07 22.69
2 2001 2.77 0.97 8.31 17.02
3 2002 2.08 0.73 6.23 12.76
4 2003 1.56 0.55 4.67 9.57
5 2004 1.17 0.41 3.50 7.18
6 2005 0.88 0.31 2.63 5.38
7 2006 0.66 0.23 1.97 4.04
8 2007 0.49 0.17 1.48 3.03
9 2008 0.37 0.13 1.11 2.27
10 2009 0.28 0.10 0.83 1.70
11 2010 0.21 0.07 0.62 1.28
12 2011 0.16 0.05 0.47 0.96
Value on New Machine 80 Opening Block
Salvage Value -4
BV of Old Machine 14.77 Add: New Inv
Net Value 90.77 Less: SV or BV
Value of New Machine New Bloc
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Tax Saving
(New Depreciation)
Book Value
(New Machine)
Incremental Benefit
(Depreciation)
i.e. Increase in DTS
ATCS
i.e.PAT
7.94 68.07 6.65 11.70
5.96 51.06 4.99 11.70
4.47 38.29 3.74 11.70
3.35 28.72 2.81 11.70
2.51 21.54 2.10 11.70
1.88 16.15 1.58 11.70
1.41 12.12 1.18 11.70
1.06 9.09 0.89 11.70
0.80 6.82 0.67 11.70
0.60 5.11 0.50 11.70
0.45 3.83 0.37 11.70
0.34 2.88 0.28 11.70
(25+10) - (Depr. For 1997-19999)
14.77
80
-490.77
k For Depreciation
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Investment
Allowance
Tax Shield
(IATS)
Tax Shield
(Loss)
Salvage
Value Net Cash Flow PV of NCF
7.00 3.77 4 33.12 28.55
16.69 12.40
15.44 9.89
14.51 8.01
-2 11.80 5.62
13.28 5.45
12.88 4.56
12.59 3.84
12.37 3.25
12.20 2.77
12.07 2.36
6.5 18.48 3.11
PV 89.81
Cash Out Flow 85.2
NPV 4.61
IRR
-89.81 33.1 -56.69203125
16.7 16.6875
15.4 15.440625
14.5 14.50546875
11.8 11.80410156
13.3 13.27807617
12.9 12.88355713
12.6 12.58766785
12.4 12.36575089
12.2 12.19931316
12.1 12.0744848718.5 18.48086365
22%
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Net Cash Flow
(Without Inv. All)
PV of NCF
(Without Inv.
All)
26.12 22.52
16.69 12.40
15.44 9.89
14.51 8.01
11.80 5.62
13.28 5.45
12.88 4.56
12.59 3.84
12.37 3.2512.20 2.77
12.07 2.36
18.48 3.11
PV 83.78
Cash Out Flow 85.2
NPV -1.42
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N0. Year Depreciation
(Old Machine)
Book Value
(Old Machine)
Depreciation
(New Machine)
1997 8.75 26.25
1998 6.56 19.69
1999 4.92 14.771 2000 3.69 11.07 22.69
2 2001 2.77 8.31 17.02
3 2002 2.08 6.23 12.76
4 2003 1.56 4.67 9.57
5 2004 1.17 3.50 7.18
6 2005 0.88 2.63 5.39
7 2006 0.66 1.97 4.04
8 2007 0.49 1.48 3.03
9 2008 0.37 1.11 2.27
10 2009 0.28 0.83 1.70
11 2010 0.21 0.62 1.28
12 2011 0.16 0.47 0.96
Value on New Machine 80
Salvage Value -4
BV of Old Machine 14.77
Net Value 90.77
Value of New Machine
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Book Value
(New Machine)
Tax Saving
(Old Depreciation)
Tax Saving
(New Depreciation)
Incremental Benefit
(Depreciation)
68.08 1.29 7.94 6.65
51.06 0.97 5.96 4.99
38.29 0.73 4.47 3.74
28.72 0.55 3.35 2.81
21.54 0.41 2.51 2.10
16.16 0.31 1.88 1.58
12.12 0.23 1.41 1.18
9.09 0.17 1.06 0.89
6.82 0.13 0.80 0.67
5.11 0.10 0.60 0.50
3.83 0.07 0.45 0.37
2.88 0.05 0.34 0.28
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PAT Investment
Allowance
Tax Shield
(Loss)
Salvage
Value Net Cash Flow PV of NCF
12.78 7.00 3.77 4 34.19 29.48
13.95 18.94 14.08
15.24 18.98 12.16
16.64 19.44 10.74
18.17 -2 18.27 8.70
19.84 21.42 8.79
21.66 22.85 8.08
23.66 24.55 7.49
25.83 26.50 6.97
28.21 28.71 6.51
30.81 31.18 6.09
33.64 6.5 40.42 6.81
PV 125.89
Cash Out Flow 85.2
NPV 40.69
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Net Cash Flow
(Without Inv. All)
PV of NCF
(Without Inv.
All)
27.19 23.44
18.94 14.08
18.98 12.16
19.44 10.74
18.27 8.70
21.42 8.79
22.85 8.08
24.55 7.49
26.50 6.97
28.71 6.51
31.18 6.09
40.42 6.81
PV 119.85
Cash Out Flow 85.2
NPV 34.65 -32.5
-32.5 -47.5
-47.5 27.19475156 27.1947516
18.93961591 18.9396159
18.97623738 18.9762374
19.44268383 19.4426838
18.27188519 18.2718852
21.41725447 21.417254522.84790877 22.8479088
24.54511653 24.5451165
26.49966737 26.4996674
28.70993686 28.7099369
31.18047612 31.1804761
40.42099873 40.4209987
23.81%
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N0. Year Depreciation
(Old Machine)
Book Value
(Old Machine)
Depreciation
(OH)
Book Value
(OH)
1997 8.75 26.25
1998 6.56 19.69
1999 4.92 14.77
1 2000 3.69 11.07 9.94 29.82
2 2001 2.77 8.31 7.46 22.37
3 2002 2.08 6.23 5.59 16.78
4 2003 1.56 4.67 4.19 12.58
5 2004 1.17 3.50 3.15 9.44
6 2005 0.88 2.63 2.36 7.08
7 2006 0.66 1.97 1.77 5.31
8 2007 0.49 1.48 1.33 3.98
9 2008 0.37 1.11 1.00 2.99
10 2009 0.28 0.83 0.75 2.24
Value 25
Old BV 14.77
Net Value 39.77
Value of OH Machine
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Tax Saving
(Old Depreciation)
Tax Saving
(OH)
Incremental Benefit
(Depreciation) PAT
Investment
Allowance
1.29 3.48 2.19 3.90 2.19
0.97 2.61 1.64 3.90
0.73 1.96 1.23 3.90
0.55 1.47 0.92 3.90
0.41 1.10 0.69 3.90
0.31 0.83 0.52 3.90
0.23 0.62 0.39 3.90
0.17 0.46 0.29 3.90
0.13 0.35 0.22 3.90
0.10 0.26 0.16 3.90
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Salvage
Value Net Cash Flow PV of NCF
Net Cash Flow
(Without Inv. All)
PV of NCF
(Without Inv. All)
8.28 6.90 6.09 5.07
5.54 3.85 5.54 3.85
5.13 2.97 5.13 2.97
4.82 2.33 4.82 2.33
-2 2.59 1.04 2.59 1.04
4.42 1.48 4.42 1.48
4.29 1.20 4.29 1.20
4.19 0.97 4.19 0.97
4.12 0.80 4.12 0.80
3 7.06 1.14 7.06 1.14
PV 22.67 PV 20.85
Cash Out Flow 25 Cash Out Flow 25
NPV -2.33 NPV -4.15
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N0. Year Depreciation
(Old Machine)
Book Value
(Old Machine)
Depreciation
(OH)
Book Value
(OH)
1997 8.75 26.25
1998 6.56 19.69
1999 4.92 14.77
1 2000 3.69 11.07 9.94 29.82
2 2001 2.77 8.31 7.46 22.37
3 2002 2.08 6.23 5.59 16.78
4 2003 1.56 4.67 4.19 12.58
5 2004 1.17 3.50 3.15 9.44
6 2005 0.88 2.63 2.36 7.08
7 2006 0.66 1.97 1.77 5.31
8 2007 0.49 1.48 1.33 3.98
9 2008 0.37 1.11 1.00 2.99
10 2009 0.28 0.83 0.75 2.24
Value 25
Old BV 14.77
Net Value 39.77
Value of OH Machine
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Tax Saving
(Old Depreciation)
Tax Saving
(OH)
Incremental Benefit
(Depreciation) PAT
Investment
Allowance
1.29 3.48 2.19 4.26 2.19
0.97 2.61 1.64 4.65
0.73 1.96 1.23 5.08
0.55 1.47 0.92 5.55
0.41 1.10 0.69 6.06
0.31 0.83 0.52 6.61
0.23 0.62 0.39 7.22
0.17 0.46 0.29 7.89
0.13 0.35 0.22 8.61
0.10 0.26 0.16 9.40
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Salvage
Value Net Cash Flow PV of NCF
Net Cash Flow
(Without Inv. All)
PV of NCF
(Without Inv. All)
8.63 7.19 6.45 5.37
6.29 4.37 6.29 4.37
6.31 3.65 6.31 3.65
6.47 3.12 6.47 3.12
-2 4.75 1.91 4.75 1.91
7.13 2.39 7.13 2.39
7.61 2.12 7.61 2.12
8.18 1.90 8.18 1.90
8.83 1.71 8.83 1.71
3 12.57 2.03 12.57 2.03
PV 30.40 PV 28.58
Cash Out Flow 25 Cash Out Flow 25
NPV 5.40 NPV 3.58
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Existing Vs New Equipment Without Inflation
With Investment Allowance 4.61
Without Investment Allowance -1.42
Existing Vs Overhauling Without Inflation
With Investment Allowance -2.33
Without Investment Allowance -4.15
Computed NPV's for various Combinations
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With Inflation
40.69
34.65
With Inflation
5.40
3.58