mastering the art of the campaign: setting the …...mastering the art of the campaign: setting the...
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Mastering the Art of the Campaign:Setting the context for reform
Mastering the Art of the Campaign:Mastering the Art of the Campaign:Setting the context for reformSetting the context for reform
RailRail--VolutionVolutionBoston, Mass.Boston, Mass.Oct. 31, 2009Oct. 31, 2009
Historic Context: The era of suburbanization
Historic Context: Historic Context: The era of suburbanizationThe era of suburbanization
One era ends, One era ends, another beginsanother begins
The Halcyon Days Before Suburbanization
The Halcyon Days Before The Halcyon Days Before SuburbanizationSuburbanization
World War II: Austerity MeasuresWorld War II: Austerity MeasuresWorld War II: Austerity Measures
Post War Prosperity: Marketing the American Dream
Post War Prosperity: Post War Prosperity: Marketing the American DreamMarketing the American Dream
Post War Prosperity: Post War Prosperity: Marketing the American DreamMarketing the American Dream
“We are pushing ahead with a great road program, a road program that will take this Nation out of its antiquated shackles of secondary roads… It will be a nation of great prosperity, but will be more than that: it will be a nation that is going ahead every day… The expanding horizon is one that staggers the imagination.”
— October 29, 1954
“We are pushing ahead with a great road program, a road program that will take this Nation out of its antiquated shackles of secondary roads… It will be a nation of great prosperity, but will be more than that: it will be a nation that is going ahead every day… The expanding horizon is one that staggers the imagination.”
— October 29, 1954
Source: FHWA
Intent: 40,000 miles in 20 years. Today: 47,000 miles-plus
Unstated motto: Death to pedestrians …
Unstated motto: Unstated motto: Death to pedestrians Death to pedestrians ……
The context for future growth and development
The context for future The context for future growth and developmentgrowth and development
Economic, Economic, environmental, demographic and environmental, demographic and
cultural trendscultural trends
High priorities:
69% - Dependency on oil68% - Health care costs64% - Education62% - Jobs and the economy56% - The war in Iraq56% - Public safety45% - Global warming and climate change
High priorities:High priorities:
69% 69% -- Dependency on oilDependency on oil68% 68% -- Health care costsHealth care costs64% 64% -- EducationEducation62% 62% -- Jobs and the economyJobs and the economy56% 56% -- The war in IraqThe war in Iraq56% 56% -- Public safetyPublic safety45% 45% -- Global warming and climate changeGlobal warming and climate change
National Priorities: National Priorities: Concern over oil dependency sky highConcern over oil dependency sky high
Which of the following national issues do you consider a priority? After each one, please indicate if it is a low, medium, or high priority for the country? Are there any other national issues that were not mentioned that are high priority to you? If so, what is the issue?
Source: Dec. 2007 Nat’l Survey, Harris Interactive
Surging transit ridership, despite cheaper gas
Surging transit ridership, Surging transit ridership, despite cheaper gasdespite cheaper gas
VMT still high, after years of growth exceeding that of population
VMT still high, after years of growth VMT still high, after years of growth exceeding that of populationexceeding that of population
Growth of VMT, vehicle registrations, and population in the United States relative to 1980 values
Growth of VMT, vehicle registrations, and population in the United States relative to 1980 values
1980 2004
U.S. share of car emissions of GHGU.S. share of car emissions of GHGU.S. share of car emissions of GHG
Why do we drive so much?Why Why dodo we drive so much?we drive so much?
Do we have
another choice?
Do we have
another choice?
National ~ October 5, 7, 9-10, 2007 SLIDE 21
Three-fourths of Americans believe public transportation and smarter development will do more to
cure traffic than building new roads.“Which of the following proposals is the best long-term solution to reducing traffic in your area?”
49%
26%
21%
Improve public transportation
Develop communities where people do not have to drive as much
Build new roads
Decline in Households with Kids Decline in Households with Kids Decline in Households with Kids
HouseholdHousehold 19601960 20002000 20252025
With With ChildrenChildren 48%48% 33%33% 28%28%
Without Without ChildrenChildren 52%52% 67%67% 72%72%
Single Single PersonPerson 13%13% 26%26% 29%29%
Census for 1960 and 2000, 2025 adapted from Martha Farnsworth Riche, How Changes in the Nation’s Age and Household Structure Will Reshape Housing Demand in the 21st Century, HUD, 2003.
The Senior TsunamiThe Senior Tsunami
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
2021
2022
2023
2024
2025
Y e a r
0
50 0
1 ,00 0
1 ,50 0
2 ,00 0
Thou
sand
sPe
ople
Tur
ning
65
in Y
ear
National Real Estate Analysis,Robert Charles Lesser Co.
National Real Estate Analysis,National Real Estate Analysis,Robert Charles Lesser Co.Robert Charles Lesser Co.
••
Adding “fuel” to an existing trendAdding Adding ““fuelfuel”” to an existing trendto an existing trend
• “The housing boom encouraged the development of far-flung suburbs, contributing to longer commutes. Now developers are building more walkableneighborhoods close to city centers and public transit, and Americans are beginning to migrate back toward their workplaces, city planners and other experts say.”
Automobile-dependent suburbs in declineAutomobileAutomobile--dependent suburbs in declinedependent suburbs in decline
The end of driving to qualify?The end of driving to qualify?The end of driving to qualify?
Washington ExaminerWashington ExaminerOct. 22, 2009Oct. 22, 2009
Impacts on Health:Impacts on Health:Impacts on Health:
Physical inactivity and obesity, diabetes and heart disease
Air quality
Safety
Reauthorization of federal transportation law - SAFETEA-LU
Reauthorization of federal Reauthorization of federal transportation law transportation law -- SAFETEASAFETEA--LULU
Creating a 21st Century Vision for Transportation
•• Reconnecting America Reconnecting America (co(co--chair)chair)
•• Smart Growth America Smart Growth America (co(co--chair)chair)
•• AARPAARP•• Action! For Regional EquityAction! For Regional Equity•• America BikesAmerica Bikes•• American Public Health American Public Health
Association (APHA)Association (APHA)•• Apollo AllianceApollo Alliance•• LOCUS: Responsible Real LOCUS: Responsible Real
Estate Developers and Estate Developers and InvestorsInvestors
•• National Association of REALTORSNational Association of REALTORS•• National Association of City National Association of City
Transportation Officials (NACTO)Transportation Officials (NACTO)•• National Housing ConferenceNational Housing Conference•• Natural Resources Defense CouncilNatural Resources Defense Council•• PolicyLinkPolicyLink•• Surface Transportation Policy Surface Transportation Policy
Partnership (STPP)Partnership (STPP)•• Transit for Livable Communities Transit for Livable Communities
(TLC)(TLC)•• US PIRGUS PIRG
Executive CommitteeExecutive Committee
Bridges to Nowhere?Bridges to Nowhere? Or Bridges that Stand?Or Bridges that Stand?
Key platform planksKey platform planksKey platform planks
•• FixFix--itit--First for Highways and TransitFirst for Highways and Transit•• A Level Playing Field for TransitA Level Playing Field for Transit•• Complete StreetsComplete Streets•• Empower Local SolutionsEmpower Local Solutions
Key platform planksKey platform planksKey platform planks
Hold agencies accountable for Hold agencies accountable for National Transportation Objectives:National Transportation Objectives:••Reduced oil consumptionReduced oil consumption
••Climate stability, environmental protectionClimate stability, environmental protection
••Economic competitiveness and system efficiencyEconomic competitiveness and system efficiency
••Safety and improved public healthSafety and improved public health
••State of good repairState of good repair
••Equitable access to transportation and jobsEquitable access to transportation and jobs
Work with Us!Work with Us!Work with Us!
T4America.orgContact me:
T4America.orgContact me:
Flickr user: tallkev