marketing research session 04
TRANSCRIPT
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Marketing Research
March 2011
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Agenda today
Semester ending
Sampling
Segmentation
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Types of research
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The Yin-Yang of Qualitative and
Quantitative Research
Exploratory
Understanding
Flowingstructure
Hypothesis-
generation
Bridging and
putting things
together interms ofhow
and why
Qualitative Quantitative
Validation
Measuring
Rigorous
structure hypothesis-
testing
providing
descriptive
parameters
(who, what,when, where)
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Qualitative techniques
Group Discussions
Depth interview
Expert opinion DI Paired Interview
Triad
Day in life
Deprivations Obituary
Ethnography
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What is a projective technique ?
Their main purpose or aim is to facilitate a deeper exploration of
a persons feelings about a situation, product, brand or type of
activity.
These techniques help to enter the private and often
unconscious world of the individual. One uses these for
descriptive and diagnostic reasons.
Give the man a mask and he will tell you
all about himself
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Sampling
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Sample should represent the
Universe
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Important concepts
Dependent and independent variables
Extraneous variables
Research Hypothesis
Experimental testing approach
Experiment and control groups
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Sampling key considerations
How to select the sample?
How many to select?
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Types of sample designs
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Types
Non probability
Deliberate, purposive, judgmental sampling
Personal selection Bias
Quota sampling
Inferences not statistical
Probability
Random/chance sampling
Everyone has a chance to get selected
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Not simple always
Complex random sampling designs
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Types of complex random sampling
methods
Systematic sampling
Stratified sampling
Cluster sampling
Area sampling
Multistage sampling
Sequential sampling
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Types of complex random sampling
methods
Systematic sampling random numbers to pick first
unit to start and then skip at fixed intervals.
Convenient, less costlier can be used for large
populations
Stratified sampling population is not
homogeneous, divide into sub-groups that are
homogeneous and then sample
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Types of complex random sampling
methods
Cluster sampling divide a big area into small non-
overlapping areas and randomly select a number of
these
Area sampling if clusters are geographic
subdivisions it is called area sampling
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Types of complex random sampling
methods
Multistage sampling applied for considerably large areas
easier to administer and large number of units can be sampled
Probability proportionate to size (PPS) cumulative totals for
systematic sampling probablity of larger to get selected is
higher
Sequential sampling size of sample not fixed decided as
research progresses go on taking samples as long as one
desires
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Quiz
Who sells largest numbers of cameras in India?
Who is the biggest in music business in India?
What Apple did to Sony, Sony did to Kodak? Explain
In 2008, who was the biggest competition to British Airways in
India?
Who was the biggest competitor to film industry in 2008/2009?
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Sampling key considerations
How to select the sample?
How many to select?
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The sample size calculation
Not just mathematical
Other considerations also.
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The sample size calculation - 1
When estimating means (for continuous or interval scaled
variables)
n = square (Zs/e) / (Zs/e) 2
n = Sample size required
Z = constant for a desired confidence level For 95% Z = 1.96
s = standard deviation for the variable which we are trying
to measure from the study
unknown but estimated on past studies. Generally range/6
gives good estimation of s because of all s mostly lie between+/- 3 of mean ..
e tolerable error in estimating the variable in question.
Lower the tolerance higher the sample
To be decided by sponsor/researcher
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Example
Customer satisfaction survey scale : 1-10 7/8
questions
n = square (Zs/e) / (Zs/e)^2
n = Sample size required
Z = constant for a desired confidence level
For 95% Z = 1.96
s = standard deviation for the variable which we are
trying to measure from the study
range = 10-1 =9, s = 9/6 = 1.5
e 0.5
n = (1.96*1.5/0.5)^2 = 34.57 or 35
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The sample size calculation - 2
When estimating proportions or percentage
n = pq x square (Z/e) / pq(Z/e)^2
n = Sample size required
Z = constant for a desired confidence level For 90% Z = 1.645
e tolerable error in estimating the variable in
question.
Lower the tolerance higher the sample
To be decided by sponsor/researcher
p frequency of occurrence of something expressed
as proportion study tries to determine p
q non occurrence of p or 1-p
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Example
Estimate proportion of population wearing a jeans
n = pq x square (Z/e) / pq(Z/e)^2
Z = constant for a desired confidence level
For 95% Z = 1.96
e 3% tolerable error : 0.03 as p is proportion
p from previous studies or knowledge = 25% or 0.25
n = 0.25x 0.75 x (1.96/0.03)^2 = 800
We need a sample of 800 respondents to estimate
the true value of p with a 95% confidence level
and with an error of +/-0.03 from true value
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Determining the sample size
Generally, 50/100 is considered as a good enough
size for each group in the sample
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Other issues affecting sample size
decisions
Number of centres : if data needs to be read by each
centre then need minimum sample per location
Multiple questions different type of questions, scales,proportions need to reconcile sample size arrived by
each method
Cell size in analysis variable on which analysis is
required
Time and budget constraints
Role of experience given limitations of formulae
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Types of error in MR
Sampling error: selection of some and non selection of
some units. Controllable if sample selection is done
random, unbiased way probability sampling used.
Reduces to zero for large samples
Non-sampling error : errors by interviewer, data entry
operator or researcher
Total error : sampling + non-sampling error usually
unknown increasing sample increases non sampling
error optimum sample
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Errors in MR
Sampling error : Kelloggs example
Nonsampling error Measurement Error
Data Recording Error
Data Analysis Error
Nonresponse Error
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Designing Questionnaire
Data collection instrument
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Considerations
Language can be used in any language
Difficulty level of words data collector + respondent to
understand
Fatigue ideal time 20 mins
Co-operation from respondent should encourage
response
Socially acceptable responses
E.g. Do you read a newspaper Yes
Repeat at different places Ask indirectly
Follow up questions to probe truth
Ease of recording
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Considerations
Coding to be done before data collection
Skipping instructions
Sequencing of questions demographics at end
Biased and leading questions
Do you think liberalisation is good?
Some people think liberalisation is good, some think it is
bad. What do you think?
Monotony always agree or disagree..
Analysis required questions to be designed accordingly
Scale of measurement.
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Measurement Scales
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Types of scales
Nominal : number used only as labels, no numerical
sanctity. No statistical computations possible like
mean etc. Simple tabulations and cross-tabulations
possible
Ordinal : have meaningful order. E.g., ranks not
interchangeable. Gives order but not distance not
how much? Average not used
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Types of scales
Interval : behavioural and attitudinal measurements.
Can calculate mean, standard deviation etc Also
called rating scales. Interval distance is fixed
Ratio : Has a unique zero or beginning point. Ratio
of two values on scale corresponds to same ratio
amongst measured values. E.g., length, height, age,
income etc. Arithmetic operations possible
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Ad testing
Appeal
Awareness
Increase recall
Call to action
Curiosity
Instruct
Correct Image
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Advertising Effect
ForTV communication to be effective, it must
Cut-Through the media clutter, in order to..
Reach the target audience
Communicate the desired message, and..
Brand the desired message correctly.
Positively impact the consumer-brand relationship