mariana popova weather forecasting department national institute of meteorology and hydrology - bas,...
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Severe weather forecasting in Bulgaria
Mariana Popova
Weather Forecasting DepartmentNational Institute of Meteorology and Hydrology - BAS, BULGARIA
Vienna, 7-8. Apr 2011
NIMH structureGeneral Director
Deputy General Directors
Departments
Meteorology
Weather Forecasts
Hydrology
CAH
Administration Divisions
IT center
Communications
Central Meteo-Observ.
Finances
Regional Centers
Plovdiv
Varna(Black sea)
Pleven
Kyustendil
Training center
Instruments
Forecasting tools
Deterministic forecasts of the NWP global models:
•ECMWF•GFS•ARPEGE•GME (DWD)•UKMO•GEM
Forecasting tools
Ensemble forecasts:
• ECMWF• GFS
Forecasting tools
ALADIN - High resolution LAM model (up to 72 h)
Forecasting tools
SYNERGIE - The integrated environment for the operational forecaster
Analysis
EUMETSAT MSG• 12 channels• RGB products• SAF products
RADAR• Limited coverage
Severe weather warnings
Severe weather criteria:• Heavy rain – more than 30 mm/24h;• Heavy snow – more than 20 mm/24h;• Strong winds and gales - > 15 m/s;• Thunderstorms / Hail;• Blizzards;• Fog;• Freezing rain;• Frosts;• Extreme Heats / Colds;
Bulgarian Meteo Alarm
Recipients and partners:• Governmental instutions
• Local Authorities• Civil Protection (part of Ministry of Interior)• Ministry of Environment and Water• Ministry of Transport, Information Technology
and Communications• Mass Media• WEB page of NIMH
BG Meteo Alarm in pictures
http://info.meteo.bg/opasni
Fire index and soil moistureGeneral Director
Deputy General
Directors
Departments
Meteorology
Weather Forecasts
Hydrology
CAH
Administration Divisions
IT center
Communications
Central Meteorological
Observatory
Finances
Regional Centers
Plovdiv
Varna(Black sea)
Pleven
Kyustendil
Training center
Intruments
Flood warningsGeneral Director
Deputy General Directors
Departments
Meteorology
Weather Forecasts
Hydrology
CAH
Administration Divisions
IT center
Communications
Central Meteo-Observ.
Finances
Regional Centers
Plovdiv
Varna(Black sea)
Pleven
Kyustendil
Training center
Instruments
System of early warning-Up to 5 days-3 levels of awareness-Automatically generated
General Director
Deputy General Directors
Departments
Meteorology
Weather Forecasts
Hydrology
CAH
Administration Divisions
IT center
Communications
Central Meteo-Observ.
Finances
Regional Centers
Plovdiv
Varna(Black sea)
Pleven
Kyustendil
Training center
Instruments
Sea warnings (coast also)
