Many Ways to Win

Kevin FlemingApril 26, 2013

education counts

$114,800$41,473

$33,938$63,310

$23,400

$31,500

$37,100

$40,600

$50,900

$61,300

$79,400

$100,000

$0 $20,000 $40,000 $60,000 $80,000 $100,000

Earnings

Not a High School Graduate

High School Graduate

Some College, No Degree

Associates Degree

Bachelor's Degree

Master's Degree

Doctoral Degree

Professional Degree

Ed

uc

ati

on

Le

ve

l

USA Median Annual Earnings by Education

$200,000 in debtEarning $36,000/year

(but skills count more)

education counts

Human Pie Chart

The Fate of 20 Ninth Graders (CA)

6 drop out (30%)6 graduate & go to work (30%)

8 Enroll in college (40%)4 Drop out (20%)4 Graduate in five years (20%)

2 Take “gray collar” jobs, nationally (10%) 2 Win the one-way-to-win game (10%)

Ventura County: by the numbers(CALPADS, 2010-11)

3.5% drop out annually (9-12th grade: 1,631 total)Appr. 14% of all students dropout during high

school

Ventura County: by the numbers

(CALPADS, 2010-11)

3.5% drop out annually (9-12th grade: 1,631 total)

Appr. 14% of all students dropout during high school

Among the 86% that become seniors (11,535)

84% of them graduated high school (9,719)

Ventura County: by the numbers(CALPADS, 2010-11)

3.5% drop out annually (9-12th grade: 1,631 total)Appr. 14% of all students dropout during high school

Among the 86% that become seniors (11,535) 84% of them graduated high school (9,719)

Among those that graduated, 34.3% of 12th grade graduates completed all courses required for UC and/or CSU entrance

Ventura County: by the numbers(CALPADS, 2010-11)

100% 9th graders- 14% dropouts - 16% non-graduating seniors - 65.7% not university bound

24.78% of 9th graders could directly enroll in university

100% 9th graders- 14% dropouts - 16% non-graduating seniors - 21% not college bound (79.3% postsecondary

enrollment) 57.07% of 9th graders eventually enroll in some

college

75%of Ventura county 9th graders

Don’t play the One-Way-to-Win game

43%of Ventura county 9th graders

Do not enroll in postsecondary education…

The Three“Rs”

Reading

Writing

Arithmetic

Relevance

Reality

Five

Most Jobs in the Workplace are Middle Skilled:

(e.g. the Health Care Industry)

Doctors

Nurses

Allied Health Occupations

Ratio: 1 to 2 to 7Ratio: 1 to 2 to 7

Not Everyone needs a BA.By 2018, most jobs will not require a BA

Source: March CPS data, various years; Center on Education and the Workforce forecast of educational demand to 2018, as reported in Pathways to Prosperity (Harvard, February, 2011)

“The society which scorns excellence in plumbing because plumbing is a humble activity and tolerates shoddiness in philosophy because it is an exalted activity will have neither good plumbing nor good philosophy. Neither its pipes nor its theories will hold water”

- John Gardner, 1961

Median, 25th Percentile, and 75th Percentile Earnings of Full-Time Year-Round Workers Ages 25 and Older,

by Gender and Education Level, 2008

Sources: The College Board, Education Pays 2010, Figure 1.5; U.S. Census Bureau, 2009; calculations by the authors.

AA/AS recipients$26,800 - $68,000

BA/BS recipients$33,900 - $96,800

The fact is that large numbers of CA college graduates leave school as

unsure of what they will do “when they grow up” (except perhaps

continue to go toschool) as they

were when they started.

– CA Postsecondary Education Commission

30% of associate degree holders have higher annual earnings as 4-yr grads

College-Prep and CTE are complementary not competing

goals . . .

College-Prep and CTE are complementary not competing

goals!Students in CTE pathways:

– More likely to complete a-g requirements • (50% vs 34%)

– More likely to pass the CAHSEE• (71% vs 55%)

– Had higher graduation rates • (96% vs 87%)

– Had lower drop out rates– Higher postsecondary participation

UC Riverside – ROP Study

Compared to students with similar academic background, ROP students:– raised GPAs more rapidly– attended college in larger numbers– females/minorities earned higher

incomes – received raises and promotions at a

higher rate

(UCR, 2007)

Determine the Goal

• College?• College and graduation?• College, graduation and

commensurate employment?

CTE is to some teens whatAP & Honors is to others

Thank You!

Kevin Flemingwww.TelosES.com