managing technical risk to optimize roe...thank you for your attention! contact details: marc lees...

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Managing technical risk to optimize RoE Marc LEES Solar Regional Director East Asia & Australia November 26 th , 2014 - Bangkok

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Page 1: Managing technical risk to optimize RoE...Thank you for your attention! Contact details: Marc Lees marc.lees@schneider-electric.com Mobile: +66 (0) 899643110 Visit our Schneider Electric

Managing technical risk to

optimize RoE Marc LEES Solar Regional Director – East Asia & Australia

November 26th, 2014 - Bangkok

Page 2: Managing technical risk to optimize RoE...Thank you for your attention! Contact details: Marc Lees marc.lees@schneider-electric.com Mobile: +66 (0) 899643110 Visit our Schneider Electric

We are the global specialist in energy management

25 billion € revenue

(in last twelve months)

41% of revenue in new economies

(in last twelve months)

150 000+ employees in 100+ countries

4-5% of sales devoted to R&D

A large company, with a balanced

geographical footprint and a commitment

to sustainability

>3.5 GW Solar solutions installed

worldwide

Page 3: Managing technical risk to optimize RoE...Thank you for your attention! Contact details: Marc Lees marc.lees@schneider-electric.com Mobile: +66 (0) 899643110 Visit our Schneider Electric

1973 – Opening of Indonesia Office

1976 – Opening of Thailand Office

1995 – Opening of Philippines Office

2013 – Opening of Myanmar Office, etc…

Today over 5,000 + employees in South-

East Asia

Our Solar Presence in South-East Asia

We have strong local presence in all South-East Asian countries

Regional Solar Solution Centre Bangkok, Thailand, 50 + staff

Offices & Service Centres Bangkok, Jakarta, Manila, Davao, Phitsanulok, Ubon Ratchathani, Kuala Lumpur, etc.

Solar installations in the Region Since 2009

>350 MW Installed or under construction in

South East Asia

Page 4: Managing technical risk to optimize RoE...Thank you for your attention! Contact details: Marc Lees marc.lees@schneider-electric.com Mobile: +66 (0) 899643110 Visit our Schneider Electric

Schneider Electric 4 - Division - Name – Date

What makes the RoI of a plant

Weather/irradiance

CAPEX & OPEX

Plant performance

and availability

Grid integration

PPA or feeding tariff

Page 5: Managing technical risk to optimize RoE...Thank you for your attention! Contact details: Marc Lees marc.lees@schneider-electric.com Mobile: +66 (0) 899643110 Visit our Schneider Electric

Schneider Electric 5 - Division - Name – Date

Understanding South-East Asian particularities

• Various compliance standards apply with different

grid-connection requirements

• Grid stability is under pressure due to high growth

in demand

• Remote location

• Tropical weather conditions

• Different stages of the learning curve

Page 6: Managing technical risk to optimize RoE...Thank you for your attention! Contact details: Marc Lees marc.lees@schneider-electric.com Mobile: +66 (0) 899643110 Visit our Schneider Electric

Schneider Electric 6 - Division - Name – Date

CAPEX / OPEX

Mitigation

• Thorough technical due diligence including LCOE

calculation of various solutions

• Cheap is not always beautiful as lower CAPEX may result

in lower RoI

• Long-term commitment made by bankable companies

Risk

• Right design based on

LCOE vs $/W

• Underestimation of the

OPEX costs

Page 7: Managing technical risk to optimize RoE...Thank you for your attention! Contact details: Marc Lees marc.lees@schneider-electric.com Mobile: +66 (0) 899643110 Visit our Schneider Electric

Schneider Electric 8 - Division - Name – Date

Grid integration

Mitigation

• Flexible design (not just enough)

• Plant SCADA able to integrate new

features and be connected to DMS

Risk

• Evolution of requirements

over the years

o Reactive power

o Remote control

o Production forecast

o Frequency support

Page 8: Managing technical risk to optimize RoE...Thank you for your attention! Contact details: Marc Lees marc.lees@schneider-electric.com Mobile: +66 (0) 899643110 Visit our Schneider Electric

Schneider Electric 9 - Division - Name – Date

Would you like this plane to have this cockpit?

Grid operators are like international airport

traffic controllers having to manage many

type of planes. They require a minimum of

instruments, data and performance to

allow the plane to land on international

airports. And these requirements may

change overtime.

Page 9: Managing technical risk to optimize RoE...Thank you for your attention! Contact details: Marc Lees marc.lees@schneider-electric.com Mobile: +66 (0) 899643110 Visit our Schneider Electric

Schneider Electric 10 - Division - Name – Date

Monitoring or power plant controller

Production forecasting

Grid support (ESS)

Plant remote control

and DMS integration

Hypervisor

Multi-source

management

Monitoring

and reporting

Web based

monitoring

Power plant

control system

Page 10: Managing technical risk to optimize RoE...Thank you for your attention! Contact details: Marc Lees marc.lees@schneider-electric.com Mobile: +66 (0) 899643110 Visit our Schneider Electric

Schneider Electric 11 - Division - Name – Date

Plant performance and availability

Mitigation

• Selection of modules and critical equipment

(quality, proven technology…)

• Selection of bankable suppliers

• Long term service contracts with

performance commitment (bonus/malus)

Risk

• Ageing of modules and equipment

• Bankruptcy or default of critical suppliers

• Lack of optimization during operation

Page 11: Managing technical risk to optimize RoE...Thank you for your attention! Contact details: Marc Lees marc.lees@schneider-electric.com Mobile: +66 (0) 899643110 Visit our Schneider Electric

Schneider Electric 12 - Division - Name – Date

Indoor vs outdoor

Good weather for outdoor maintenance activity?

• Corrective maintenance can happen any time.

• Intervention in inverters may require several hours of with

the open enclosures.

• Better climatic and environment control with indoor solutions

• High ambient temperatures require proper ventilation inside

inverters buildings

Page 12: Managing technical risk to optimize RoE...Thank you for your attention! Contact details: Marc Lees marc.lees@schneider-electric.com Mobile: +66 (0) 899643110 Visit our Schneider Electric

Schneider Electric 13 - Division - Name – Date

Conclusion

• Challenge design, look at various solutions, ask technical due diligence to go into more

details on the selected solution and bankability of the suppliers.

• Keep in mind that a solar plant is at the end a power plant and considered as such by

grid operators.

• Be ready to make some additional investment to ensure long term operations and to

adapt to new requirements

• Select the solution appropriate to your project (copy/paste does not always work)

• Look for reliable and bankable suppliers as 20 years is a very long period of time

And if you do all the above things right, you will probably enjoy a

better return on investment than expected …

Page 13: Managing technical risk to optimize RoE...Thank you for your attention! Contact details: Marc Lees marc.lees@schneider-electric.com Mobile: +66 (0) 899643110 Visit our Schneider Electric

Thank you for your attention!

Contact details:

Marc Lees

[email protected]

Mobile: +66 (0) 899643110

Visit our Schneider Electric Solar Business Website for more information

www.SESolar.com