maintenance management 6
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Main tenance
Management
Par t 6Rel iabi l i ty
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Reliability
There are two main approaches to the concept of
reliability in the aviation industry.
1. One looks essentially at the whole airline operation or
the M&E operation within the whole and,
2. the other looks at the maintenance program in
particular.
I n t roduc t i on
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The first approach is to look at the overall airline
reliability.This is measured essentially by dispatch reliability; that
is, by how often the airline achieves an on-time departure
of its scheduled flights. Airlines using this approach track
delays. Reasons for the delay are categorized as
maintenance, flight operations, air traffic control
(ATC), etc. and are logged accordingly.
The M&E organization is concerned only with those
delays caused by maintenance.
On-time departure means that the aircraft has been "pushed back"
from the gate within 15 minutes of the scheduled departure time.
I n t roduc t i on
The first approach is to look at the overall airline
reliability.
Very often, airlines using this approach to reliability
overlook any maintenance problems (personnel or
equipment related) that do not cause delays and track and
investigate only those problems that do cause delays. This
is only partially effective in establishing a goodmaintenance program.
I n t roduc t i on
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The second approach (which we should actually call the
primary approach) is to consider reliability as a programspecifically designed to address the problems of
maintenance-whether or not they cause delays-and provide
analysis of and corrective actions for those items to
improve the overall reliability of the equipment.
This contributes to the dispatch reliability as well as to the
overall operation.
I n t roduc t i on
Types of Reliability
There are four types of reliability one can talk about
related to the maintenance activity.
1. statistical reliability,
2. historical reliability,
3. event-oriented reliability, and
4. dispatch reliability.
dispatch reliability is a special case of event-oriented
reliability.
I n t roduc t i on
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Statistical reliability is based upon collection and analysis
of failure, removal, and repair rates of systems orcomponents. From this point on, we will refer to these
various types of maintenance actions as "events."
Event rates are calculated on the basis of events per 1000
flight hours or events per 100 flight cycles.
This normalizes the parameter for the purpose of analysis.
Other rates may be used as appropriate.
Statistical Reliability
Statistical reliability is based upon collection and analysis
of failure, removal, and repair rates of systems or
components. From this point on, we will refer to these
various types of maintenance actions as "events."
Event rates are calculated on the basis of events per 1000
flight hours or events per 100 flight cycles.
This normalizes the parameter for the purpose of analysis.
Other rates may be used as appropriate.
Statistical Reliability
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Many airlines use statistical analysis but some often give
the statistics more credence than they deserve. Forexample,
1. airlines with 10 or more aircraft tend to use the
statistical approach, but most teachers and books on
statistics tell us that for any data set with less than about
30 data points the statistical calculations are not very
significant.
2. We use weather radar only two months of the year.
When we calculate the mean value of failure rates and
the alert level in the conventional manner we find that
we are always on alert. This, of course, is not true.
Statistical Reliability
Statistical Reliability
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Statistical Reliability
For this particular example, statistical reliability is not
useable, but historical reliability is quite useful.
Historical reliability is simply a comparison of current
event rates with those of past experience.
In the second example the data collected show fleet
failures of 26 and 32 for the 2 months the equipment was
in service.
Is that good or bad? Statistics will not tell you but history
will. Look at last year's data for the same equipment, same
time period. Use the previous year's data also, if available.If current rates compare favorably with past experience,
then everything is okay; if there is a significant difference
in the data from one year to the next that would be an
indication of a possible problem.
Historical Reliability
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Historical reliability can also be used by airlines wishingto establish a statistically based program.
Data on event rates kept for 2 or 3 years can be tallied or
plotted graphically and analyzed to determine what the
normal or acceptable rates would be (assuming no
significant problems were incurred). Guidelines can then
be established for use during the next year.
Historical Reliability
Event-oriented reliability is concerned with one-time
events such as bird strikes, hard landings, in-flight
shutdowns, lightning strikes, or other accidents or
incidents. These are events that do not occur on a regular
basis and therefore produce no useable statistical or
historical data.
Nevertheless, they do occur from time to time, and eachoccurrence must be investigated to determine the cause
and to prevent or reduce the possibility of recurrence of
the problem.
Event oriented Reliability
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In ETOPS operations, certain events that relate tosuccessful conduct of ETOPS flights are designated by
the FAA as actions to be tracked by an "event-oriented
reliability program" in addition to any statistical or
historical reliability program.
Event oriented Reliability
Dispatch reliability is a measure of the overall
effectiveness of the airline operation with respect to on-
time departure. It receives considerable attention from
regulatory authorities as well as from airlines and
passengers, but it is really just a special form of the event-
oriented reliability approach.
If eight delays and cancellations are experienced in 200
flights, that would mean that there were four delays per100 flights, or a 4 percent delay rate.
A 4 percent delay rate would translate to a 96 percent
dispatch rate (100 percent - delayed = 96 percent
dispatched on time)
Dispatch Reliability
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In other words, the airline dispatched 96 percent of its
flights on time.The use of dispatch reliability at the airlines is, at times,
misinterpreted. The passengers are concerned with timely
dispatch for obvious reasons.
Some airline maintenance reliability programs track only
dispatch reliability; that is, they only track and investigate
problems that resulted in a delay or a cancellation of a
flight. But this is only part of an effective program and
dispatch reliability involves more than just maintenance.
Dispatch Reliability
In other words, the airline dispatched 96 percent of its
flights on time.
The use of dispatch reliability at the airlines is, at times,
misinterpreted. The passengers are concerned with timely
dispatch for obvious reasons.
Some airline maintenance reliability programs track only
dispatch reliability; that is, they only track and investigate
problems that resulted in a delay or a cancellation of aflight. But this is only part of an effective program and
dispatch reliability involves more than just maintenance.
Dispatch Reliability
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Reliability
The probability that an item will perform its intendedfunction without failure under stated conditions for
specified period of time.
can be defined as "the probability that an item will
perform a required function, under specified conditions
without failure, for a specified amount of time."
Reliability can also be thought of as dependability or
stability. A system or component is "reliable" if it can be
counted upon to perform in a dependable manner.
Dispatch Reliability
A reliability program for our purposes is, essentially, a set
of rules and practices for managing and controlling a
maintenance program. The main function of a reliability
program is to monitor the performance of the vehicles and
their associated equipment and call attention to any need
for corrective action. The program has two additional
functions:
1. to monitor the effectiveness of those corrective
actions. and
2. to provide data to justify adjusting the maintenance
intervals or maintenance program procedures
whenever those actions are appropriate.
Reliability Program
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A good reliability program consists of seven basic
elements as well as a number of procedures andadministrative functions. The basic elements (discussed in
detail below) are
1. data collection;
2. problem area alerting,
3. data display;
4. data analysis;
5. corrective actions;
6. follow-up analysis; and7. a monthly report.
Element of a Reliability Program
The data collection process gives the reliability department
the information needed to observe the effectiveness of the
maintenance program.
The data types normally collected are as follows:1. Flight time and cycles for each aircraft
2. Cancellations and delays over 15 minutes
3. Unscheduled component removals
4. Unscheduled engine removals
5. In-flight shutdowns of engines6. Pilot reports or logbook write-ups
7. Cabin logbook write-ups
8. Component failures (shop maintenance)
9. Maintenance check package findings
10. Critical failures
Data Collection
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The data collection process gives the reliability department
the information needed to observe the effectiveness of themaintenance program.
The data types normally collected are as follows:1. Flight time and cycles for each aircraft
2. Cancellations and delays over 15 minutes
3. Unscheduled component removals
4. Unscheduled engine removals
5. In-flight shutdowns of engines
6. Pilot reports or logbook write-ups
7. Cabin logbook write-ups
8. Component failures (shop maintenance)9. Maintenance check package findings
10. Critical failures
Data Collection
Element of a Reliability Program
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Any Question?
Any Question?