magyar telekom group full year and q4 2014 results ...€¦ · full year and q4 2014 results...
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MAGYAR TELEKOM GROUP FULL YEAR AND Q4 2014 RESULTS PRESENTATION FEBRUARY 26, 2015
FULL YEAR RESULTS, OUTLOOK AND GUIDANCE
3 3
HIGHLIGHTS
STRENGTHENED MARKET POSITIONS
We are now market leaders in all segments of the Hungarian telecommunication market
Acquisition of crucial frequencies in 2014 coupled with the network and frequency sharing agreement with Telenor on the 800MHz spectrum strongly supports our mobile market leadership
The acquisition of GTS Hungary strengthens our market positions among business customers
2014 FINANCIAL TARGETS MET
Revenues declined by 1.7% due to voice revenue erosion and lower energy and SI/IT sales
EBITDA grew by 1%, exceeding slightly our public target thanks to improved gross margins and headcount efficiency
Capex* of HUF 86.8 billion was driven by increased spending on the Hungarian mobile network which resulted in population based coverage of 78% by end-2014
GUIDANCE FOR 2015 AND 2017
Revenues to increase driven by successful rebalancing and bundling strategy
EBITDA to be supported by further efficiency measures, EBITDA to surpass HUF 185bn by 2017
Capex spending in 2015 to be dominated by Hungarian fixed HSI network investments
FCF** to reach at least HUF 50 billion by 2017
*excluding spectrum license fees and annual frequency fee capitalization **after minority dividend payments
4 4
TOTAL MOBILE
FIXED VOICE
subscribers
6,000,000
3,000,000
0
4,500,000
1,500,000
+1% +1%
2014 2013 2012
500,000
1,000,000
2,000,000
1,500,000
0
-1% -2%
2014 2013 2012
0
2,500,000
500,000
1,000,000
2,000,000
1,500,000
+17%
+27%
2014 2013 2012
1,200,000
900,000
600,000
300,000
0
+8% +8%
2014 2013 2012
1,200,000
900,000
600,000
300,000
0
+5%
2013
+6%
2014 2012
MOBILE BROADBAND
PAY TV FIXED BROADBAND
subscribers
subscribers subscribers subscribers
Market share* 60% 58% 56% Market share* 37% 38% 38% Market share* 25% 26% 27%
* Based on the total fixed voice / BB / pay TV market estimated by the National Media and Infocommunications Authority
MARKET POSITIONS ON THE HUNGARIAN TELECOMMUNICATION MARKET
5 5
GROUP EBITDA
2014 GROUP RESULTS – REVENUES AND EBITDA
640
635
630
625
0
HUF bn -1.7%
2014
626.4
Other
-0.7
Energy
-4.8
SI/IT
-4.8
TV
3.6
Fixed BB
1.9
Fixed voice
-8.1
Mobile equip.
3.1
Mobile non-voice
4.9
Mobile voice
-6.1
2013
637.5
GROUP REVENUES
Decline in mobile voice revenues counterbalanced by strong growth in mobile data usage resulting also in higher smart mobile device sales
Traditional fixed voice revenue decline partly offset by growth in fixed broadband and TV revenues driven by the continuous increase in the customer base
Lower SI/IT revenues caused by change in product mix
Energy revenue decline due to regulated price reductions
Direct margin erosion driven by higher bad debt but partly mitigated by improved SI/IT and energy margin
Savings in employee related expenses due to headcount reduction measures in 2013 in Hungary and Macedonia
Lower operating expenses mostly driven by the reduction and changed accounting treatment of the annual frequency fees
Higher operating taxes* due to increase in the rate of the telecom tax from August, 2013
0
184
182
180
2014
181.2
Taxes*
-2.1
net other opex
4.8
bad debt
-3.0
HUF bn
1.0%
gross margin w/o bad debt
2.1
2013
179.5
*telecom and utility taxes
6 6
2014 GROUP RESULTS – CAPEX AND FCF
0
50
100
150
200
HUF bn HUF +38.2bn
2014
184.4
Other
6.5
Annual freq. fee cap. in 2014
38.9
Spect. licenses in 2014
58.7
STB in 2013
-7.2
Annual freq. fee cap. in 2013
-17.5
Spect. licenses in 2013
-41.1
2013
146.1
HUF 38.0bn Capex related to the Hungarian spectrum license extension and HUF 3.1bn 4G spectrum license fee in Macedonia in 2013
HUF 58.7bn Capex related to the Hungarian spectrum license acquisition in 2014
Hungarian annual frequency fees were capitalized resulting in a HUF 17.5bn increase in book Capex in 2013 and HUF 38.9bn in 2014
Change in the accounting treatment of set top boxes in 2013 affected reported Capex
Working capital improvement due to:
− reverse factored vendor invoices in 2013
− lower increase in receivables related to equipment installment sales
− favorable change in provisions
Higher spectrum related payments in 2014
Increase in repayment of other liabilities mainly due to higher payments related to reverse factored vendor invoices in 2014 compared to 2013
-15
0
15
30
HUF bn
HUF -14.4bn
2014
-13.8
other
-2.6
repayment of other fin.liab.
-7.4
other cash
Capex
-4.4
spectrum payments
-17.6
working capital
15.8
EBITDA
1.8
2013
0.6
*FCF defined as Net cash generated from operating activities + Net cash used in investing activities + Repayment of other financial liabilities - Proceeds from / (Payments for) other financial assets - net
GROUP FCF* GROUP CAPEX
7
REVENUE
EBITDA
CAPEX*
surpassing HUF 185bn
around HUF 80bn
up to 3% decline
around HUF 105bn
**excluding spectrum license fee
HUF 626.4bn (-1.7%)
HUF 181.2bn (+1.0%)
HUF 86.8bn
2014 RESULTS 2015 TARGETS 2017 TARGETS
FCF**
*excluding spectrum license fees and annual frequency fee capitalization **after minority dividend payments
surpassing HUF 50bn
roughly stable compared to 2014 level
up to 3% increase
ca. HUF -19.0bn
Dividend minimum HUF 15 per
share HUF 0
FINANCIAL OUTLOOK
8
0
150
300
450
600
750
2017E 2015E 2014 2013 2012
Mobile voice & non-voice
Equipment and other (fixed and mobile)
Fixed voice, data, internet &TV
SI/IT
Energy
0-3% revenue growth anticipated for 2015 vs. 2014
2017 revenues to be roughly stable compared to the 2014 level due to the fall out of business energy revenues
Mobile broadband growth mostly compensates for the decline in voice revenue
Fixed voice revenue decline mitigated by growth in TV and BB revenues
Growth in SI/IT revenues supported by market expansion
HUF bn
GROUP REVENUE DEVELOPMENTS
REVENUE GROWTH DRIVEN BY SUCCESSFUL REBALANCING
9
EBITDA AND COST DEVELOPMENTS (RELATIVE TO REVENUES)
2015 EBITDA to decline by a maximum 3% vs. 2014 level
2017 EBITDA expected to surpass HUF 185 billion
2015 indirect costs include the expected ca. HUF 8 billion severance expense related to the redundancy program involving ca. 1,000 employees
Direct costs expected to moderately rise in parallel with increasing revenues and change in product mix
Constant operating* taxes assumed
5% 5%5%
32% 37% 36% 37% 37%
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
2017E
32%
26%
2015E
28%
30%
2014
29%
30%
2013
28%
5%
29%
2012
32%
5%
31%
Indirect costs *Special-, telecom - and utility tax EBITDA Direct costs
DISCIPLINED COST MANAGEMENT
10
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
2017E 2015E 2014 2013 2012
Subsidiaries
Run the business
Efficiency
Mobile access
Fixed access
New technologies and services
Ca. HUF 105 billion Capex earmarked for 2015
Fixed access: focus on increasing HSI coverage
Mobile access: 4G population coverage to reach 97% by end 2015
Efficiency investments: – Replacement of legacy network – PSTN migration – Online front end development – Mobile network modernization – CRM & Billing system project
New technologies and services: – All IP network – Service innovation – HW as a service
CAPEX*/Sales
HUF bn
15% 14% 16% 14% 13%
EFFICIENCY INVESTMENTS FREE UP CAPEX FOR NEW TECHNOLOGIES AND SERVICES
*CAPEX excluding spectrum license fees and annual frequency fee capitalization
CAPEX DEVELOPMENTS*
11 11
*defined as net debt / total capital
50 50 50
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
Dividend per share (HUF) Net debt ratio*
2014
0
45.7%
2013
0
43.8%
2012
34.3%
2011
34.1%
2010
32.7%
Dividend payment Net debt ratio
TARGET
**subject to the Board of Directors’ future proposal to the General Meeting, which will be made in due course, when all necessary information is available and all prerequisites to making such proposal are met
DIVIDEND POLICY
DIVIDEND PAYMENT AND NET DEBT RATIO DEVELOPMENTS
Maintain net debt ratio (net debt/total capital) target of 30% - 40%
Board of Directors proposes no dividend payment on 2014 earnings for approval to the AGM
Based on the current operating, regulatory and taxation environment and outlook coupled with the anticipated significant improvement in the free cash flow generation, the Company believes that it will be able to pay at least HUF 15 dividend per share on 2015 results**
Q4 2014 RESULTS
13 13
GROUP EBITDA
Q4 2014 GROUP RESULTS – REVENUES AND EBITDA
165
171
170
169
168
167
166
130
-1.9
SI/IT
-1.4
TV
0.8
Fixed BB
0.7
Fixed voice
-2.4 3.9
M. non-voice
1.5
Mobile voice
-0.9
Q4 2013
HUF bn
Mobile equip.
-0.3%
Q4 2014
165.3
Other
-0.8
Energy
165.7
GROUP REVENUES
Mobile non-voice revenues boosted by increasing mobile internet customer base and usage
Higher mobile equipment revenues thanks to increased sales and higher average handset prices
Lower fixed voice revenues partly mitigated by fixed BB and TV revenue growth
SI/IT revenue decline due to a shift in focus to less equipment intensive deals
Lower energy revenues due to regulatory price cuts
Gross margin decline driven by lower fixed service margin partly offset by improvement in mobile service margins
Lower severance expenses as the majority related to 2014 headcount reduction was booked in Q3 2014
Lower other opex thanks to employee efficiency improvements
Taxes* remained on the same level
42
41
0
38
39
40
+8.0%
Q4 2014
HUF bn
38.8
Q4 2013
-0.6
Gross margin
3.0
Net other opex
Severance rel. exp
0.7 0.0
Taxes*
41.9
*telecom and utility taxes
14
42
41
40
39
0
Measurement diff.
41.9
Q4 2014
8.0% HUF bn
38.8
Q4 2013
1.7
T-HU
0.9 0.1
T-Systems Maced.
0.4
Monten.
0.1
0
168
166
164
162
-0.3%
Q4 2014
165.3
Elim. Monten.
-0.2
Maced.
-0.4
T-Systems
-3.7
HUF bn
165.7
Q4 2013
0.6
T-HU
3.2
+1% -11% -3% +16% -3% +43% +6% +2% Change Y-o-Y Change Y-o-Y
Q4 2014 SEGMENT RESULTS – REVENUES AND EBITDA
T-Hungary: lower revenues from fixed voice and energy services offset by higher BB, mobile equipment and TV revenues
T-Systems: lower volume of application and internal revenues
Macedonia: mobile voice revenue decline primarily driven by MTR cuts while fixed voice revenue decline is mostly due to mobile substitution
Montenegro: TV and internet growth mostly mitigated voice revenue decline
T-Hungary: higher mobile gross margin coupled with lower severance expenses and employee costs
T-Systems: higher bad debt expense compensated by lower opex also reflecting the absence of the one-off non-deductable VAT charge booked in Q4 2013
Macedonia: slight decline in gross margin mitigated by savings in operating costs
Montenegro: gross margin decline offset by lower other operating expenses
SEGMENTS’ EBITDA DEVELOPMENT SEGMENTS’ REVENUE DEVELOPMENTS
15 15
TELEKOM HUNGARY FIXED VOICE SUBSCRIBERS
TELEKOM HUNGARY – FIXED LINE MARKET
FIXED BROADBAND SUBSCRIBER BREAKDOWN
2,000,000
1,500,000
1,000,000
500,000
0
-1%
Dec 2014
1,418,207
64%
22%
14%
Dec 2013
1,430,280
71%
17%
12%
TV SUBSCRIBER BREAKDOWN
Subscribers
1,000,000
750,000
500,000
250,000
0
31%
6%
+5%
Dec 2014
969,102
5%
57%
32%
6%
Dec 2013
921,711
8%
56%
750,000
1,000,000
500,000
250,000
0
+4%
Dec 2014
924,628
19%
48%
33%
Dec 2013
887,716
22%
37%
35%
Reduction in fixed voice churn due to the retention effect of local packages, 2Play/3Play offers and retail energy bundling
Growth in broadband market driven by cable and fiber
Significant migration from cable to IPTV
KPIs (Q4-o-Q4):
Fixed voice ARPU: HUF 2,521 (-7.6%), due to local packages
Fixed voice MOU: 163 (-8.4%)
Broadband ARPU: HUF 3,478 (1.0%) thanks to upsell impacts
TV ARPU: HUF 3,155 (0.5%) thanks to increasing number of interactive IPTV customers
Cable TV
Satellite TV
IPTV
VoCa
VoIP
PSTN
ADSL
Fiber
Wholesale
Cable BB
16 16
REGULATORY DEVELOPMENTS
10% and 11% residential retail price reduction since January and November 2013, respectively
Further 6.5% gas and 5.7% electricity price reductions effective from April and September 2014, respectively
TELEKOM HUNGARY – ENERGY RETAIL
GAS AND ELECTRICITY POINTS OF DELIVERY (POD)
REVENUE PERFORMANCE
0
50
100
150
200
Sep 2014
105.8
66.8
Jun 2014
106.4
66.8
Mar 2014
106.8
67.5
Dec 2013
106.3
67.6
Sep 2013
106.8
67.6
Jun 2013
106.2
68.7
Mar 2013
100.1
68.0
Dec 2012
87.9
59.9
67.1
104.8
Dec 2014
Electricity Gas
18,000
15,000
12,000
9,000
6,000
3,000
0
Q4 2014
11,968
36%
64%
Q3 2014
8,721
58%
42%
Q2 2014
8,096
60%
40%
Q1 2014
13,509
37%
63%
Q4 2013
13,898
40%
60%
Q3 2013
8,650
69%
31%
Q2 2013
9,255
57%
43%
15,337
33%
67%
Q4 2012
11,248
Q1 2013
70%
30%
Electricity Gas
PODs (thousand)
HUF mn
RETAIL ENERGY BUSINESS
Discounts offered to residential customers compared to the regulated universal service prices were cut to 2-3% from 5-8% to mitigate the unfavorable changes in the regulatory environment
Increasing ratio of energy revenues generated from competitive segment customers (ca. 60% of total revenues in 2014)
17 17
TELEKOM HUNGARY – MOBILE MARKET
TELEKOM SMARTPHONE PENETRATION
0 %
10 %
20 %
30 %
40 %
50 %
% of total handsets
2013
41.1 %
2012
31.3 %
2011
18.4 %
2014
49.8 %
2x30 MHz
CURRENT SPECTRUM OWNERSHIP OF MAGYAR TELEKOM
900 MHz
1800 MHz
2100 MHz
800 MHz
2600 MHz
Won in September 2014 Owned previously
2x10 MHz
2x10 MHz
2x15MHz 1x5 MHz
2x15MHz 2x10 MHz
2x2 MHz
KPIs (Q4-o-Q4):
RPC: 4.96 million (+1.6%)
Postpaid ratio: 50.0% (+1.5ppt)
ARPU: HUF 3,546 (+3.4%)
Mobile MOU: 177 (+9.3%)
SAC/gross add: HUF 7,224 (-6.9%)
SRC/retained customer: HUF 16,551 (-13.8%)
VAS within ARPU: HUF 968 (+7.8%)
MOBILE BUSINESS
Smartphone sales reached 95% of postpaid handsets in Q4 2014
Mobile broadband subscription attach rate at ca. 90%
78% population-based countrywide 4G coverage
MTRs currently at HUF 7.06 / min
HUF 58.7bn payment for new frequency licenses due in Q4 2014
18 18
MACEDONIA AND MONTENEGRO
Leading fixed line operation with 64% voice, 51% internet and 23% TV market shares
Intense competition from cable operators on the fixed line market
Declining mobile revenues due to intense competition
KPIs (Q4-o-Q4):
Fixed voice churn: 5%
Fixed BB customers: +2.7%
TV customers: +12%
48%
28%
24%
2012
48%
28%
24%
2011
52%
+4%
22%
2010
56%
20%
24%
1,500,000
1,000,000
500,000
0
-1% 0% -8%
2014
47%
28% 26%
25%
2013
Subscribers
2,500,000
2,000,000
T-Mobile
VIP (T. Austria)
One (T. Slovenia) MACEDONIAN MOBILE MARKET
28%
34%
38%
2013
36%
26%
38%
2012
34%
1,500,000
40%
2011
35%
25%
41%
2010
37%
23%
40% 900,000
600,000
1,200,000
300,000
0
Subscribers
26%
-6%
+2% 0%
2014
-14%
Telenor
m:tel (T. Serbia)
T-Mobile
MONTENEGRIN MOBILE MARKET
Leading fixed line operation with 98% voice, 86% internet and 42% TV market shares
Strong seasonality on the mobile market driven by tourism
Economic environment restricts performance
KPIs (Q4-o-Q4):
Fixed voice churn: 2%
Fixed BB customers: +3.5%
TV customers: +3.3%
Mobile ARPU: HUF 1,775 (-9%)
Mobile MOU: 214 (+9%)
Mobile ARPU: HUF 2,572 (+2%)
Mobile MOU: 177 (+11%)
FINANCIALS
20 20
MAGYAR TELEKOM – CONSOLIDATED INCOME STATEMENT
HUF million Change
Mobile revenues 78,753 84,375 7.1%
Fixed line revenues 54,867 52,093 -5.1%System Integration/Information Technology revenues 18,223 16,828 -7.7%
Revenue from Energy Services 13,898 11,968 -13.9%Revenues 165,741 165,264 -0.3%
Direct costs (67,728) (67,841) 0.2%
Employee-related expenses (27,346) (23,186) -15.2%Depreciation and amortization (27,006) (26,694) -1.2%
Hungarian telecommunications and other crisis taxes (6,666) (6,664) 0.0%Other operating expenses (26,758) (26,861) 0.4%
Total operating expenses (155,504) (151,246) -2.7%
Other operating income 1,510 1,150 -23.8%Operating profit 11,747 15,168 29.1%
Net financial results (8,026) (7,944) -1.0%Share of associates' profits 0 0 n.a.
Profit before income tax 3,721 7,224 94.1%
Income tax expense (2,476) (4,574) 84.7%Profit for the period 1,245 2,650 112.9%
Non-controlling interests 992 1,110 11.9%Equity holders of the Company (Net income) 253 1,540 508.7%
Q4 2013 Q4 2014
21 21
MAGYAR TELEKOM - CONSOLIDATED BALANCE SHEET
HUF million Change
Current assets 193,941 197,897 2.0%Cash and cash equivalents 14,633 14,625 -0.1%
Other current financial assets 28,615 23,690 -17.2%
Non current assets 897,307 992,879 10.7%Property, plant and equipment - net 493,619 487,778 -1.2%
Intangible assets 381,199 478,486 25.5%
Total assets 1,091,248 1,190,776 9.1%
Equity 489,211 518,940 6.1%
Current liabilites 307,223 329,836 7.4%Financial liabilities to related parties 58,682 110,858 88.9%
Other financial liabilities 100,060 65,131 -34.9%
Non current liabilites 294,449 336,542 14.3%
Financial liabilities to related parties 239,522 245,071 2.3%Other financial liabilities 26,214 59,422 126.7%
Total equity and liabilites 1,090,883 1,185,318 8.7%
Dec 31, 2013 Dec 31, 2014
22 22
MAGYAR TELEKOM - CONSOLIDATED CASH FLOW STATEMENT
*Free cash flow defined as Net cash generated from operating activities plus Net cash used in investing activities, adjusted with Proceeds from / Payments for other financial assets and Repayment of other financial liabilities
HUF million Change
Net cash generated from operating activities 131,612 145,495 10.5%
Investments in tangible and intangible assets (146,122) (184,364) 26.2%
Adjustments to cash purchases 25,984 42,211 62.4%
Purchase of subsidiaries and business units (871) (1,210) n.a.
Cash acquired through business combinations 0 0 n.a.
Payments for / proceeds from other financial assets - net 13,772 10,227 -25.7%
Proceeds from disposal of subsidiaries 0 0 n.a.
Proceeds from disposal of PPE and intangible assets 1,188 2,635 121.8%
Net cash used in investing activities (106,049) (130,501) 23.1%
Dividends paid to shareholders and minority interest (65,405) (6,761) -89.7%
Net payments of loans and other borrowings 50,244 9,751 -80.6%
Repayment of other financial liabilities (11,157) (18,541) 66.2%
Net cash used in financing activities (26,318) (15,551) -40.9%
Free cash flow* 634 (13,774) -2272.6%
Dec 31, 2013 Dec 31, 2014
Investor Relations Phone: +36 1 458-0424 Fax : +36 1 458-0443 e-mail: [email protected]
For further questions please contact the IR department:
In addition to figures prepared in accordance with IFRS, Magyar Telekom also presents non-GAAP financial performance measures, including, among others, EBITDA, EBITDA margin, and net debt. These non-GAAP measures should be considered in addition to, but not as a substitute for, the information prepared in accordance with IFRS. Non-GAAP financial performance measures are not subject to IFRS or any other generally accepted accounting principles. Other companies may define these terms in different ways. For further information relevant to the interpretation of these terms, please refer to the chapter “Reconciliation of pro forma figures”, which is posted on Magyar Telekom’s Investor Relations webpage at www.telekom.hu/investor_relations.
Abbreviations: 3G: third generation, 4G: fourth generation, ARPU: average revenue per user, BB: broadband, IP: internet protocol, IT: information technology, LTE: long term evolution, MOU: minutes of use, MTR: mobile termination rate, NRA: National Regulatory Authority, POD: points of delivery, R/E: real estate, RPC: revenue producing customer, SAC: subscriber acquisition cost, SRC: subscriber retention cost, SI: system integration, SIM: subscriber identity module, SMB: small and medium businesses, TWM: Total Workforce Management, VAS: value added services, VoCaTV: Voice over Cable TV, WS: wholesale