long run impacts assessment of planned r52/a5 expressway as one of two core road connection between...
TRANSCRIPT
Long run impacts assessment of planned R52/A5 expressway
as one of two core road connection between Austria and Czech Republic
Milan Viturka, Vilém Pařil, Petr HalámekFaculty of Economics and Public Administration of Masaryk´s
University, Brno – Czech Republic
8th Geoffrey J. D. Hewings Regional Workshop „Services and Regional Growth“, organised by WIFO
Wien, September 2015
Proposal of single method of evaluation of transport projects - example of highways (motorways and expressways)
• Main objective– design of investment priorities by men of multi-criteria analysis of technical, economic,
political, environmental and spatial aspects of planned projects. • Method – ranking of the projects within the criteria and consecutive aggregation
of partial ranks: – The criterion of relevance
• reflects the traffic intensity as basic factor which determinates the technical usefulness of construction
– The criterion of usefulness• reflects the savings of time both passenger and freight traffic generated by the projects (relative
value of savings time in comparison with the currently most rapid transport link)
– The criterion of integration• reflects the strategic importance of the projects for internal (high-quality transport connections of
the major cities) and external (high-quality transport connections with the neighbouring countries)
– The criterion of stimulation• reflects the potential impacts of the projects on stimulation of regional quality of business
environment (contribution to an increase of the value of roads and railways quality)
– The sustainability criterion• reflects the potential impacts of the projects on residental (an increase in levels of noise and air
pollution) and natural (disturbance of protected areas of nature conservation and water resources) environment.
Model scheme of investment preferences
• Under the relatively stable conditions of developed countries, the relevant preferences can be chronologically interpreted using the following scheme
relevance
usefulness
integration
stimulation
sustainability
Criterion of purposefulness - Potential Time Savings
Version - type
Maximum Speed
Theoretical Speed
Theoretical Travel time (min.)
Real Travel time (min.)
Time Savings (min.)
Time Savings (%)
1st class 90 74 83,92 103,99 -16,99 -19,53%
Motorway 120 109 56,97 70,60 16,40 18,85%
Highway 130 119 52,18 64,66 22,34 25,67%
Current - - 70,21 87,00 0,00 0,00%
Relevance criterion - Traffic IntensitySection IntensitySection in Brno 27 295Section Motorway 19 009Section 1st class to the border 8 058CZ - average 15 087AT - average 25 137
Integration criterion• missing highway connection with Austria– which is considered as a major deficit
• another factor is the low degree of urbanization on the route R52 / A5• The application of the gravity model shows Prague-Brno-Wien as 3rd
most important supranational metropolitan axis in the Czech R.
• business environment quality (16 criterias)• 205 microregion MECs• potential to stimulate regional development has the
secondary importance
Stimulation criterion
Sustainability criterion• Impacts of R52-A5 on Nationally Protected Areas and Natura
2000Cat. Category description
Area (ha) Weighted impactAT CZ Total Total (%) AT CZ Total Total (%)
IUCN IV Habitat/Species Management Area 0,00 128,89 128,89 11,82% 0,00 127,81 127,81 12,99%IUCN V Protected Landscape/ Seascape 0,45 366,49 366,94 33,66% 0,35 315,85 316,20 32,13%SPA Special Protection Area 0,00 489,83 489,83 44,94% 0,00 446,14 446,14 45,33%SCI I Sites of Community Importance I 0,00 104,43 104,43 9,58% 0,00 94,03 94,03 9,55%Total impact 0,45 1 089,64 1 090,09 100,00% 0,35 983,82 984,17 100,00%
• Impacts of R52-A5 on Population
Country Area (km2) Density in Urban Area PopulationAustria 10,61 2 046,91 21 728Czech Republic 5,63 2 156,66 12 137Total 16,24 - 33 865
Conclusion
• Drucker (1967): “Efficiency is doing things right, effectiveness is doing the right things”
• effectiveness of the project R52 depends on the results of– (significantly) integration criterion • connection to the Austrian motorway network
– relevance criterion, usefulness and sustainability• criterion of stimulation is not significant