local and remote cloud radiative effect impacts onto the ... · 5-3_cfmip_2017_presentation1.pptx...

27
Local and Remote Cloud Radiative Effect Impacts onto the Extratropical Atmospheric Circulation Oliver Watt-Meyer Dargan Frierson University of Washington CFMIP 2017 Tokyo, Japan

Upload: others

Post on 25-Jun-2020

0 views

Category:

Documents


0 download

TRANSCRIPT

Page 1: Local and Remote Cloud Radiative Effect Impacts onto the ... · 5-3_CFMIP_2017_presentation1.pptx Created Date: 9/29/2017 3:38:35 AM

LocalandRemoteCloudRadiativeEffectImpactsontotheExtratropical AtmosphericCirculation

OliverWatt-MeyerDargan FriersonUniversityofWashington

CFMIP2017Tokyo,Japan

Page 2: Local and Remote Cloud Radiative Effect Impacts onto the ... · 5-3_CFMIP_2017_presentation1.pptx Created Date: 9/29/2017 3:38:35 AM

Responseof850hPazonal-meanzonalwindtoa+4Kseasurfacetemperatureanomaly

VoigtandShaw[2016]

Apoleward shiftinallmodels,butmagnitudevariesbyafactorof2

1

Page 3: Local and Remote Cloud Radiative Effect Impacts onto the ... · 5-3_CFMIP_2017_presentation1.pptx Created Date: 9/29/2017 3:38:35 AM

Modelssuggestthathalformoreofthejetresponsetoglobalwarmingcomesfromchangesinclouds

Ceppi andHartmann[2016]

ResponsetoquadruplingCO2 withcloudslockedtocontrolclimate

2

Latitude

Page 4: Local and Remote Cloud Radiative Effect Impacts onto the ... · 5-3_CFMIP_2017_presentation1.pptx Created Date: 9/29/2017 3:38:35 AM

Modelssuggestthathalformoreofthejetresponsetoglobalwarmingcomesfromchangesinclouds

Ceppi andHartmann[2016]

ResponsetoquadruplingCO2 withcloudslockedtocontrolclimate

Responsetocloudsbeinglockedto4xCO2 simulationbutwithCO2itselfheldconstant

Latitude

2

Page 5: Local and Remote Cloud Radiative Effect Impacts onto the ... · 5-3_CFMIP_2017_presentation1.pptx Created Date: 9/29/2017 3:38:35 AM

Ceppi andHartmann[2016]

Modelssuggestthathalformoreofthejetresponsetoglobalwarmingcomesfromchangesinclouds

Latitude

Similarexperiment,butwithaspecified-SSTmodel,insteadofaslab-oceanmodel

VoigtandShaw[2015]2

Page 6: Local and Remote Cloud Radiative Effect Impacts onto the ... · 5-3_CFMIP_2017_presentation1.pptx Created Date: 9/29/2017 3:38:35 AM

However,theimpactsofcloudradiativeeffectsontothemidlatitudejetvarywidelyacrossmodels,evenforthepresent-dayclimate

Contours:time-meanzonalmeanzonalwindin“clouds-off”simulation

Shading:differencebetween“clouds-on”and“clouds-off”simulations

3

Page 7: Local and Remote Cloud Radiative Effect Impacts onto the ... · 5-3_CFMIP_2017_presentation1.pptx Created Date: 9/29/2017 3:38:35 AM

Methods• UsetheCloudsOn-OffKlimate Intercomparison Experiment(COOKIE)

ensemble[Stevensetal.,2012]– Asetofspecified-SSTaquaplanet simulations,inwhichtheradiativetransfer

schemeismadetoignorethepresenceofclouds– Thesesimulationsarecomparedtocontrolsimulationsthatincludecloud

radiativeeffectsinordertoisolatetheimpactsofcloudsontothecirculationoftheatmosphere

• Inaddition,weperformexperimentswiththeGFDL-AM2.1andNCAR-CAM5.3modelsinwhichcloudradiativeeffectsareonlyimposedincertainregions– Tropics:equatorward of30°,extratropics:poleward of30°

4

Page 8: Local and Remote Cloud Radiative Effect Impacts onto the ... · 5-3_CFMIP_2017_presentation1.pptx Created Date: 9/29/2017 3:38:35 AM

Responseofzonalmeanzonalwindtocloudradiativeeffectsintropicsvs.extratropics inGFDL-AM2.1andNCAR-CAM5.3models

Equatorward of30° Poleward of30°

5

Page 9: Local and Remote Cloud Radiative Effect Impacts onto the ... · 5-3_CFMIP_2017_presentation1.pptx Created Date: 9/29/2017 3:38:35 AM

Responseofzonalmeanzonalwindtocloudradiativeeffectsintropicsvs.extratropics inGFDL-AM2.1andNCAR-CAM5.3models

Equatorward of30° Poleward of30°

5

Page 10: Local and Remote Cloud Radiative Effect Impacts onto the ... · 5-3_CFMIP_2017_presentation1.pptx Created Date: 9/29/2017 3:38:35 AM

Equatorward of30° Poleward of30°

[kg/s]

6

Responseofmassstreamfunction tocloudradiativeeffectsintropicsvs.extratropics inGFDL-AM2.1andNCAR-CESM1.2models

Page 11: Local and Remote Cloud Radiative Effect Impacts onto the ... · 5-3_CFMIP_2017_presentation1.pptx Created Date: 9/29/2017 3:38:35 AM

WhydotropicalcloudsdrivechangesinstrengthofHadleycell?

7

Verticaldashedline:latitudeofeddy-drivenjetforclouds-offsimulation

ACRE:AtmosphericCloudRadiativeEffect

Page 12: Local and Remote Cloud Radiative Effect Impacts onto the ... · 5-3_CFMIP_2017_presentation1.pptx Created Date: 9/29/2017 3:38:35 AM

Interactionsbetweensubtropicalandmidlatitude jet• AstrengthenedHadleycell,andthusacceleratedsubtropicaljet,leadsto

anequatorward shiftededdy-drivenjet

• Twotheorieshavebeenproposed:– increasedbaroclinicity onthepoleward

flankofthesubtropicaljetwhenitisstrong[LeeandKim,2003]

– changesinmeridional eddypropagationwhenthesubtropicaljetstrengthens[Ceppi etal.,2013]

Ceppi etal.[2013]8

Page 13: Local and Remote Cloud Radiative Effect Impacts onto the ... · 5-3_CFMIP_2017_presentation1.pptx Created Date: 9/29/2017 3:38:35 AM

Whatabouttheextratropical clouds?

9

• Locally,meridional gradientsinACREwillimpactthelatitudeofmaximumbaroclinicity oftheatmosphere

Page 14: Local and Remote Cloud Radiative Effect Impacts onto the ... · 5-3_CFMIP_2017_presentation1.pptx Created Date: 9/29/2017 3:38:35 AM

MeasuretheseeffectsacrossCOOKIEmodels• Eddydrivenjetposition:latitudeofmaximumzonalmeanzonalwindat

850hPa

• Hadleycellstrength:maximumofmassstreamfunction

• ACREgradient:,approximatemeasureofsecondderivativeofACREabout

10

Page 15: Local and Remote Cloud Radiative Effect Impacts onto the ... · 5-3_CFMIP_2017_presentation1.pptx Created Date: 9/29/2017 3:38:35 AM

11

,andacrossCOOKIEmodels

Page 16: Local and Remote Cloud Radiative Effect Impacts onto the ... · 5-3_CFMIP_2017_presentation1.pptx Created Date: 9/29/2017 3:38:35 AM

11

,andacrossCOOKIEmodels

Page 17: Local and Remote Cloud Radiative Effect Impacts onto the ... · 5-3_CFMIP_2017_presentation1.pptx Created Date: 9/29/2017 3:38:35 AM

Blue:equatorward shiftRed:poleward shift

Blacklinesshowleast-squaresbestfitto:

11

,andacrossCOOKIEmodels

Page 18: Local and Remote Cloud Radiative Effect Impacts onto the ... · 5-3_CFMIP_2017_presentation1.pptx Created Date: 9/29/2017 3:38:35 AM

12

,andacrossCOOKIEmodels

Page 19: Local and Remote Cloud Radiative Effect Impacts onto the ... · 5-3_CFMIP_2017_presentation1.pptx Created Date: 9/29/2017 3:38:35 AM

13

Whatabouttheglobalwarmingresponseofthejet?

Responseof850hPazonalwindto+4KSSTperturbation

Cloudsoff Cloudson

Page 20: Local and Remote Cloud Radiative Effect Impacts onto the ... · 5-3_CFMIP_2017_presentation1.pptx Created Date: 9/29/2017 3:38:35 AM

13

Whatabouttheglobalwarmingresponseofthejet?

Responseof850hPazonalwindto+4KSSTperturbation

Cloudsoff Cloudson

Page 21: Local and Remote Cloud Radiative Effect Impacts onto the ... · 5-3_CFMIP_2017_presentation1.pptx Created Date: 9/29/2017 3:38:35 AM

Summary• Acrossmodels,theimpactofcloudradiativeeffectsontothepositionof

themidlatitude jetvarieswidelyinsignandmagnitude• Thisisprimarilycontrolledbyhowmuchcloudradiativeeffectsstrengthen

theHadleycell,andthusacceleratethesubtropicaljet• Animportantsecondarycontrolisthelocalimpactofcloudradiative

effectsontomeridional temperaturegradientsinthemidlatitudes• Worktobedone:

– Implicationsforglobalwarmingresponseofjets?– Whatwouldtheimpactofincludinganinteractiveoceanbe?(greaterroleforlowclouds)

• PaperoutinGRL:”LocalandRemoteImpactsofAtmosphericCloudRadiativeEffectsOntotheEddy-DrivenJet”

14

ThisresearchwassupportedbytheNOAAClimateandGlobalChangePostdoctoralFellowshipProgram,administeredbyUCAR’sCooperative

ProgramsfortheAdvancementofEarthSystemScience.

Page 22: Local and Remote Cloud Radiative Effect Impacts onto the ... · 5-3_CFMIP_2017_presentation1.pptx Created Date: 9/29/2017 3:38:35 AM

Extraslides

Page 23: Local and Remote Cloud Radiative Effect Impacts onto the ... · 5-3_CFMIP_2017_presentation1.pptx Created Date: 9/29/2017 3:38:35 AM

Black:ACREinclouds-onsimulation.Red:ACREinclouds-offsimulation(whereavailable)

Page 24: Local and Remote Cloud Radiative Effect Impacts onto the ... · 5-3_CFMIP_2017_presentation1.pptx Created Date: 9/29/2017 3:38:35 AM

Black:ACREinclouds-onsimulation.Red:ACREinclouds-offsimulation(whereavailable)

Page 25: Local and Remote Cloud Radiative Effect Impacts onto the ... · 5-3_CFMIP_2017_presentation1.pptx Created Date: 9/29/2017 3:38:35 AM
Page 26: Local and Remote Cloud Radiative Effect Impacts onto the ... · 5-3_CFMIP_2017_presentation1.pptx Created Date: 9/29/2017 3:38:35 AM

10

,andacrossCOOKIEmodels

Page 27: Local and Remote Cloud Radiative Effect Impacts onto the ... · 5-3_CFMIP_2017_presentation1.pptx Created Date: 9/29/2017 3:38:35 AM

10

,andacrossCOOKIEmodels