liquids pipelines infrastructure in north america opportunities and challenges

20
Liquids Pipelines Infrastructure in North America Opportunities and Challenges Liquids Pipelines Infrastructure in North America Opportunities and Challenges Ports-To-Plains Energy Summit April 7, 2011 Brad Shamla Vice President, Market Development Enbridge Pipelines Inc. Ports-To-Plains Energy Summit April 7, 2011 Brad Shamla Vice President, Market Development Enbridge Pipelines Inc.

Upload: ports-to-plains-blog

Post on 20-May-2015

1.159 views

Category:

Documents


1 download

DESCRIPTION

Ports-to-Plains Energy SummitOmni Interlocken ResortBroomfield, COApril 7, 2011Alberta has the world’s second largest oil reserves, but new pipelines are needed to move this resource to markets in the U.S. Find out about proposed pipeline projects in the region and what they mean for job creation.

TRANSCRIPT

Page 1: Liquids Pipelines Infrastructure in North America Opportunities and Challenges

Liquids Pipelines Infrastructure in North AmericaOpportunities and ChallengesLiquids Pipelines Infrastructure in North AmericaOpportunities and Challenges

Ports-To-PlainsEnergy Summit April 7, 2011

Brad ShamlaVice President, Market DevelopmentEnbridge Pipelines Inc.

Ports-To-PlainsEnergy Summit April 7, 2011

Brad ShamlaVice President, Market DevelopmentEnbridge Pipelines Inc.

Page 2: Liquids Pipelines Infrastructure in North America Opportunities and Challenges

2

Forward Looking Statements

Certain information provided in this presentation constitutes forward-lookingstatements. The words "anticipate", "expect", "project" and similarexpressions are intended to identify such forward looking statements.Although Enbridge believes that these statements are based on informationand assumptions which are current, reasonable and complete, thesestatements are necessarily subject to a variety of risks and uncertaintiespertaining to operating performance, regulatory parameters, economicconditions and commodity prices. You can find a discussion of those risksand uncertainties in our SEC filings. While Enbridge makes these forward-looking statements in good faith, should one or more of these risks oruncertainties materialize, or should underlying assumptions prove incorrect,actual results may vary significantly from those expected. Enbridgeassumes no obligation to publicly update or revise any forward lookingstatements made herein or otherwise, whether as a result of newinformation, future events or otherwise.

Page 3: Liquids Pipelines Infrastructure in North America Opportunities and Challenges

3

Agenda

• About Enbridge

• Growing Bakken Production

• Enbridge in the Bakken

• Superior Market Access

• Contract Storage

• Conclusion

Page 4: Liquids Pipelines Infrastructure in North America Opportunities and Challenges

4

Enbridge OverviewNorth American Leader in Energy Transportation

Page 5: Liquids Pipelines Infrastructure in North America Opportunities and Challenges

5

Enbridge OverviewNorth American Leader in Energy Transportation

5

$2 Billion+ of green energy assets and 810 MW provides a good foundation for future growth

Plant Status Ownership Size (MW) Cedar Point C 100% 250Kincardine O 100% 190Greenwich C 90% 99Talbot Wind C 90% 99Chin Chute O 33% 30Magrath O 33% 30NRGreen O 50% 20Sarnia Solar O/C 100% 80SunBridge O 50% 11Hybrid Fuel Cell O 100% 2

Page 6: Liquids Pipelines Infrastructure in North America Opportunities and Challenges

6

Opportunities: Oil Sands Lead Canadian ProductionProvides Secure Source of North American Energy

Norman Wells

Zama

Edmonton

Fort McMurray

Portland

Seattle

Casper

Montreal

Salt Lake City Patoka

Cushing

OttawaSuperior

Chicago

Clearbrook

Flanagan

Hardisty

Toledo

Toronto

Wood River

SarniaBuffalo

1 Average Jan – Dec 2009. Source: Enbridge, Energy Information Administration

2 Includes tanker shipments from Canadian east coast production

Enbridge > 70%

~ 13% Total US Imports Source: Government of Alberta

Page 7: Liquids Pipelines Infrastructure in North America Opportunities and Challenges

7

Western Canadian Sedimentary Basin Supply Forecast

Conventional Heavy

Conventional Light

Dilbit

SynBit

Synthetic Heavy

Synthetic Light

0.0

0.5

1.0

1.5

2.0

2.5

3.0

3.5

4.0

2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020

Mill

ion

barre

ls p

er d

ay

Source: Enbridge – 2011 forecast

Page 8: Liquids Pipelines Infrastructure in North America Opportunities and Challenges

8

Opportunities: Shale Oil Plays Yielding Sustainable Economic Recovery of Reserves

Goldman Sachs estimates North American shale oil potential at over 1.8 million barrels per day

Page 9: Liquids Pipelines Infrastructure in North America Opportunities and Challenges

9

Bakken Production & Capacity Forecast

*Source: Raymond James January 24, 2011

Page 10: Liquids Pipelines Infrastructure in North America Opportunities and Challenges

10

• North Dakota Pipeline Capacity(185,000 bpd growing to 210,000 bpd)

– Phase 6 (51 kbpd of additional capacity)– Portal Reversal (25 kbpd of additional

capacity)– Alexander to Beaver Lodge– System Optimization– Berthold Truck Station

• Bakken Expansion Program– Capacity: 145,000 bpd– In-service Jan 1, 2013– Expandable to 325,000 bpd

Bakken Regional Infrastructure ExpansionsStatus Update

Clearbrook

Minot

Lignite

Weyburn

Gretna

North Dakota

Saskatchewan

Bakken Reserve

Enbridge Mainline System

North Dakota System (EEP)

Bakken Expansion Program

Saskatchewan System (ENFH)

Cromer

Berthold

BeaverLodge

Steelman

Page 11: Liquids Pipelines Infrastructure in North America Opportunities and Challenges

11

Bakken Expansion Program Configuration

Kenaston

Saskatchewan ManitobaCANADA

North DakotaMinnesotaMontana

Reserve

Grenora

Alexander

BeaverLodge

Stanley

Lignite

Berthold

Minot

CLEARBROOK

Trenton

CROMER

WeyburnSteelman

Midale

Alida

Portal Link

Virden

EPI Mainline

1

2

3

4

1. Beaver Lodge Loop Project

2. Portal Reversal Expansion Project

3. Bakken Expansion 16” Line

4. Cromer Terminal Facilities

5. South of the River Initiatives

5

Page 12: Liquids Pipelines Infrastructure in North America Opportunities and Challenges

12

Preserving Bakken Quality into Enbridge Mainline% wt.

0.0000 

0.0500 

0.1000 

0.1500 

0.2000 

0.2500 

0.3000 

0.3500 

0.4000 

0.4500 

0.5000 

1Q 2007 2Q 2007 3Q 2007 4Q 2007 1Q 2008 2Q 2008 3Q 2008 4Q 2008 1Q 2009 2Q 2009 3Q 2009 4Q 2009 1Q 2010 2Q 2010 3Q 2010 4Q 2010 1Q 2011 2Q 2011 3Q 2011 4Q 2011

EPND Common Stream Quality at Clearbrook1Q 2006 ‐ 1Q 2011   (Sulfur Content ‐‐ Percent) 

1Q 2011: 0.17% Sulfur

Page 13: Liquids Pipelines Infrastructure in North America Opportunities and Challenges

13

Bakken Expansion Program Regulatory Update

• Petition for Declaratory Order on Commercial Structure approved from Federal Energy Regulatory Commission (FERC) – November 2010

• Affirmed with U.S. Department of State that reversal of “Portal Link” cross border did not require new Presidential Border Crossing Permit– The section had originally transported Canadian production

south

• North Dakota Public Service Commission (PSC) Application - Filed November 2010- Decision expected May 2011

• National Energy Board (NEB) Application Filed January 2011– Hearing is set for October 4th 2011

Page 14: Liquids Pipelines Infrastructure in North America Opportunities and Challenges

14

‐$8.00

‐$4.00

$0.00

$4.00

$8.00

$12.00

$16.00

$20.00

Jan‐06

Jan‐07

Jan‐08

Jan‐09

Jan‐10

Jan‐11

Spot Spreads to WTI

BrentLLS

Source: Enbridge Commodity Forecasting

Bakken production continues to 

climb…

Refinery Conversions YearChange  in 

Light 

WRB Wood River 2012 ‐130,000

BP Whiting 2013 ‐230,000

MAP Detroit 2013 ‐70,000

Total ‐430,000

…while refinery conversions in Midwest 

will further reduce regional demand for 

light crude

Growth in light production coupled with refinery conversions in Upper Midwest will continue to cause market disparity for WTI

Market Fundamentals – Light Oil

Page 15: Liquids Pipelines Infrastructure in North America Opportunities and Challenges

15

2010 Crude Disposition by Region (MB/D)Canada Is Main Supplier for PADD II Markets

Page 16: Liquids Pipelines Infrastructure in North America Opportunities and Challenges

16

Enbridge Extending Light Crude toPremium Light Sweet Markets

Bakken Sweetto USGC

PADD I and PADD II Premium Markets

Page 17: Liquids Pipelines Infrastructure in North America Opportunities and Challenges

17

Monarch Pipeline Project

Cushing to Houston– A 475 mile pipeline from Cushing to

the interconnect north of Houston to serve US Gulf Coast refinery hub

– Utilize existing terminal at Cushing and deliver into existing terminal and pipeline infrastructure in Houston area

– Designed based on 350 kbpd of WTI– Expandable to meet market needs to

connect supplies to vast Gulf Coast hubs

– Targeting a Q4 2013 in-service date

Page 18: Liquids Pipelines Infrastructure in North America Opportunities and Challenges

18

Contract Storage and Terminalling

• Contract Storage

– $77 million Cushing expansion

– Additional 3 million barrels of capacity

– In-service late 2011

– Total system capacity after expansion: 19 million barrels

• Operational Flexibility

– Growing Lakehead volumes will spur additional investment

Existing Terminal that includes contract storageExisting Terminal with new contract storage capability

Page 19: Liquids Pipelines Infrastructure in North America Opportunities and Challenges

19

Conclusion

• North America has crude oil reserve potential that can provide secure energy resources

• Industry has the technology, ability and willingness to develop, produce, transport and refine these resources in a safe and responsible manner

• Revitalized public outreach and education about the importance of these secure energy resources is a vital element to insure their continued development

• New pipeline construction projects are necessary to meet producers’ needs to bring crude oil to markets– Improve market access and prevent bottlenecks that disadvantage

producers, states and consumers– Seek predictable and reasonable regulatory permit processes– Private investments in infrastructure boost economy

Page 20: Liquids Pipelines Infrastructure in North America Opportunities and Challenges

Questions?Questions?