let’s get ready for tomorrow’s exam james burns june 10, 2002
TRANSCRIPT
Let’s get ready for Tomorrow’s Exam
James Burns
June 10, 2002
The Adjacency Matrix
1 2 3 4
1 || 0 1 0 0 ||
2 || 0 0 1 0 ||
3 || 0 1 0 1 ||
4 || 0 0 0 0 ||
Also known as the Square Ternary MatrixBe able to convert it to a causal loop
diagramBe able to convert the CLD to a SDFBe able to write the rate equations
associated with the SFD Assumes rates are multiplicative functions
of their antecedents
The Pension Fund ProblemWhat sectors did you find?What stocks?What rates?
Employees RetireesNew Hires Retire rate Deaths
Fund
Deposits Withdrawals
Growth
SalaryGrow rate
Pension Fund Problem
Fund SectorSalary Sector
Employee/Retiree Sector
NH Rate Norm
Grow Rate Norm
Dep NormWithdraw Norm
Grwth Norm
Employment timeRetirement time
THE FIFTH DISCIPLINEWhat are the five disciplines?Name four archetypesWhich discipline is concerned with
getting individuals to make a commitment to lifelong learning?
Which discipline is concerned with the picture people carry in their heads?
Systems thinking is a radical departure from the old, ____ way of thinking
Which archetype is most akin to the adage “the easy way out usually leads back in?”
Healthy companies that fail quickly, do so because of _____ _____.
Which one of the following is not a typical ST mistake? “People believe they are their jobs” “The enemy is in here” “trying to be proactive” “fixation on events” “inability to learn from experience”
Seven Laws in STToday’s problems come from _____
_____.The harder you push, the harder the
system _____ _____.Behavior grows better before it grows
_____.The easy way out usually leads ____
__.
Seven Laws, continuedThe cure can be worse than the ____.Cause and effect are not closely related
__ ____ ___ ____.You can have your cake and eat it too--
___ ___ _____ ____.
Which of the seven laws is due to compensating feedback?
Which of the seven laws is the “carpet bump” an example?
More STThe first step in breaking out of the
reactive mind-set is to see _____ __ _________.
“I am filling the glass with water” describes ___ ____ __ ___ ______.
FeedbackName two typesWhich type produces exponential
growth?Which type produces exponential goal
seeking?What is the discernment rule for
distinguishing one type from another?
What about delays?Cause ____ and ____ when ____
moves are applied
Seeing the World AnewAs wholesSeeing ourselves as part of the whole,
part of the system
Coping with Complexity mandates systems thinking Today, we are creating complexity at a
frenetic pace
When is dynamic complexity present?When there are dramatically different
effects in the short vs. The long runWhen an action has one set of
consequences locally and a very different set of consequences in another part of the system
When obvious interventions produce non- obvious consequences
The first Archetype Senge often says structures of which we are
unaware hold us ____. All growth eventually ____.
Which archetype illustrates this??
Most managers react to the slowing growth by pushing harder on the _____ loop
Instead, concentrate on the balancing loop--changing the _____ factor
Structure
state of stockgrowing action slowing action
BalancingReinforcing
The second ArchetypeAn underlying problem generates
symptoms that demand attention. But the underlying problem is difficult for people to address…
Draw the structure
The Stereotype Structure
Problem
Symptomatic Solution
Fundamental Solution
Side effect
BALANCING
BALANCING
REINFORCING
Symptiom-CorrectingProcess
Problem-Correcting Process
Addictioin Loop