lessons in learning- an international perspective

46
1 1 PISA OECD Programme for International Student Assessment Strong performers and successful reformers Andreas Schleicher 13 October 2011 Lessons in learning An international perspective Andreas Schleicher Special advisor to the Secretary-General on Education Policy Head of the Indicators and Analysis Division, EDU Programme for International Student Assessment

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Andreas SchleicherSpecial advisor to the Secretary-General on Education PolicyHead of the Indicators and Analysis Division, EDU

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Page 1: Lessons in Learning- An International Perspective

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Lessons in learningAn international perspective

Andreas SchleicherSpecial advisor to the Secretary-General on Education Policy

Head of the Indicators and Analysis Division, EDU

Programme for International Student Assessment

Page 2: Lessons in Learning- An International Perspective

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A world of change – higher education

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A world of change – higher education

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United States

Finland

Japan

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A world of change – higher education

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United Kingdom

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A world of change – higher education

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A world of change – higher education

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A world of change – higher education

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Finland

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A world of change – higher education

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The composition of the global talent pool has changed…

Countries’ share in the population with tertiary education, for 25-34 and 55-64 year-old age groups, percentage (2009)

55-64-year-old population 25-34-year-old population

About 39 million people who attained tertiary level

About 81 million people who attained tertiary level

albiser_e
EAG 2011: chart A4.2OK
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United States, 35.8

Japan, 12.4

China, 6.9Germany, 6.3

United Kingdom, 5.3

Canada, 4.2

France, 3.5

Brazil, 3.5

Spain, 2.1Italy, 1.9

Mexico, 1.8

Australia, 1.7

Korea, 1.6other, 12.9

55-64-year-old population

United States, 20.5

Japan, 10.9

China, 18.3

Germany, 3.1United Kingdom, 4.4

Canada, 3.1France, 4.1

Brazil, 4.5

Spain, 3.5

Italy, 2.0

Mexico, 3.9

Australia, 1.6

Korea, 5.7

other, 14.5

25-34-year-old population

The composition of the global talent pool has changed…

Countries’ share in the population with tertiary education, for 25-34 and 55-64 year-old age groups, percentage (2009)

albiser_e
EAG 2011: chart A4.2OK
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11…and will continue to change

Share of new entrants into tertiary education in 2009 (all OECD and G20 countries)

China, 36.6%

United States, 12.9%

Russian Federa-tion, 10.0%

Indonesia, 4.9%Japan, 4.2%Turkey, 3.7%

United Kingdom, 3.3%

Mexico, 3.1%Korea, 3.1%

Argentina, 2.7%Germany, 2.5%

Poland, 2.1%

Spain, 1.6%Italy, 1.4%

Australia, 1.3%Chile, 1.3%

Netherlands, 0.5%

Other countries, 4.8%

OtherPortugal 0.5%Czech Republic 0.4%Israel 0.4%Sweden 0.4%Belgium 0.4%Hungary 0.4%Austria 0.4%New Zealand 0.3%Switzerland 0.3%Slovak Republic 0.3%Denmark 0.2%Norway 0.2%Ireland 0.2%Finland 0.2%Slovenia 0.1%Estonia 0.1%Iceland 0.0%

albiser_e
EAG 2011: Chart A1.4OK
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TurkeyDenmark

SpainSweden

New ZealandNorwayFranceJapan

CanadaCzech Republic

ItalyAustralia

IrelandKorea

PortugalAustria

OECD AveragePoland

NetherlandsUnited Kingdom

FinlandSloveniaHungaryBelgium

GermanyUnited States

0 50,000 100,000 150,000 200,000 250,000

21,724

28,621

29,58237,542

46,482

43,41963,701

67,411

79,77481,307

82,93284,532

85,91789,034

89,46489,705

91,036

94,12595,030

95,322

100,177155,664

166,872167,241

168,649

193,584

Public benefits Public costs

In equivalent USD

Public cost and benefits for a man obtaining tertiary education (2007 or latest available year)

Net present value

albiser_e
EAG 2011: chart A9.5 (tertiary)OK
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1998PISA countries in

2000200120032006200977%81%83%85%86%

Coverage of world economy 87%

PISA 2009 in brief

Over half a million students… representing 28 million 15-year-olds in 74*

countries/economies

… took an internationally agreed 2-hour test… Goes beyond testing whether students can

reproduce what they were taught……to assess students’ capacity to extrapolate from what

they know and creatively apply their knowledge in novel situations

…and responded to questions on… their personal background, their schools

and their engagement with learning and school Parents, principals and system leaders provided data

on… school policies, practices, resources and institutional

factors that help explain performance differences .

* Data for Costa Rica, Georgia, India, Malaysia, Malta, Mauritius, Venezuela and Vietnam will be published in December 2011

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What 15-year-olds can do

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11Average performanceof 15-year-olds in reading – extrapolate and apply

High reading performance

Low reading performance … 17 countries perform below this line

1525354555440.000

460.000

480.000

500.000

520.000

540.000

560.000

Shanghai-China

KoreaFinlandHong Kong-China

Singapore CanadaNew Zealand

JapanAustralia

NetherlandsBelgiumNorway, EstoniaSwitzerlandPoland,IcelandUnited States LiechtensteinSwedenGermany,

IrelandFrance, Chinese TaipeiDenmarkUnited KingdomHungary,Portugal

Macao-China ItalyLatvia

Slovenia GreeceSpain

Czech RepublicSlovak Republic, CroatiaIsraelLuxembourg,

Austria LithuaniaTurkey

Dubai (UAE) Russian Federation

Chile

Serbia

Northeast

Midwest

WestSouth

Urban schools

Suburban schools

Performance distribution in US

18% do not reach baseline Level 2 (16% when excluding immigrants) (Finland 6%, Canada 9%)

Economic cost: 72 trillion $

10% are top performers (Shanghai 20%)

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11Average performanceof 15-year-olds in science – extrapolate and apply

Low average performance

Large socio-economic disparities

High average performance

Large socio-economic disparities

Low average performance

High social equity

High average performance

High social equity

Strong socio-economic impact on

student performance

Socially equitable distribution of

learning opportunities

High reading performance

Low reading performance

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11Durchschnittliche Schülerleistungen im Bereich Mathematik

Low average performance

Large socio-economic disparities

High average performance

Large socio-economic disparities

Low average performance

High social equity

High average performance

High social equity

Strong socio-economic impact on

student performance

Socially equitable distribution of

learning opportunities

High reading performance

Low reading performance

AustraliaBelgiumCanadaChileCzech RepDenmarkFinlandGermanyGreeceHungaryIcelandIrelandIsraelItalyJapanKoreaLuxembourgMexicoNetherlandsNew ZealandNorwayPolandPortugalSpainSwedenSwitzerlandUKUS

2009

1525354555

2009

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11Durchschnittliche Schülerleistungen im Bereich Mathematik

Low average performance

Large socio-economic disparities

High average performance

Large socio-economic disparities

Low average performance

High social equity

High average performance

High social equity

Strong socio-economic impact on

student performance

Socially equitable distribution of

learning opportunities

High reading performance

Low reading performance

AustraliaBelgiumCanadaChileCzech RepDenmarkFinlandGermanyGreeceHungaryIcelandIrelandIsraelItalyJapanKoreaLuxembourgMexicoNetherlandsNew ZealandNorwayPolandPortugalSpainSwedenSwitzerlandUKUS

2009

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Port

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Sp

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Belg

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mark

Italy

Au

stri

a

Cze

ch

Rep

ub

lic

Hu

ng

ary

Norw

ay

Icela

nd

Irela

nd

Mexic

o

Fin

lan

d

Sw

ed

en

Un

ited

Sta

tes

Pola

nd

Slo

vak R

ep

ub

lic

-10

-5

0

5

10

15

Salary as % of GDP/capita Instruction time 1/teaching time 1/class sizePort

ug

al

Sp

ain

Sw

itze

rlan

d

Belg

ium

Kore

a

Lu

xem

bou

rg

Germ

an

y

Gre

ece

Jap

an

Au

stra

lia

Un

ited

Kin

gd

om

New

Zeala

nd

Fra

nce

Neth

erl

an

ds

Den

mark

Italy

Au

stri

a

Cze

ch

Rep

ub

lic

Hu

ng

ary

Norw

ay

Icela

nd

Irela

nd

Mexic

o

Fin

lan

d

Sw

ed

en

Un

ited

Sta

tes

Pola

nd

Slo

vak R

ep

ub

lic

-10

-5

0

5

10

15

Difference with OECD average

High performing systems often prioritize the quality of teachers over the size of classes

Contribution of various factors to upper secondary teacher compensation costsper student as a percentage of GDP per capita (2004)

Percentage points

Page 25: Lessons in Learning- An International Perspective

2727P

ISA

OE

CD

Pro

gram

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11Durchschnittliche Schülerleistungen im Bereich Mathematik

Low average performance

Large socio-economic disparities

High average performance

Large socio-economic disparities

Low average performance

High social equity

High average performance

High social equity

Strong socio-economic impact on

student performance

Socially equitable distribution of

learning opportunities

High reading performance

Low reading performance

AustraliaBelgiumCanadaChileCzech RepDenmarkFinlandGermanyGreeceHungaryIcelandIrelandIsraelItalyJapanKoreaLuxembourgMexicoNetherlandsNew ZealandNorwayPolandPortugalSpainSwedenSwitzerlandUKUS

2009

Page 26: Lessons in Learning- An International Perspective

2828P

ISA

OE

CD

Pro

gram

me

for

Inte

rnat

iona

l Stu

dent

Ass

essm

ent

Str

on

g p

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ob

er

20

11Durchschnittliche Schülerleistungen im Bereich Mathematik

Low average performance

Large socio-economic disparities

High average performance

Large socio-economic disparities

Low average performance

High social equity

High average performance

High social equity

Strong socio-economic impact on

student performance

Socially equitable distribution of

learning opportunities

High reading performance

Low reading performance

AustraliaBelgiumCanadaChileCzech RepDenmarkFinlandGermanyGreeceHungaryIcelandIrelandIsraelItalyJapanKoreaLuxembourgMexicoNetherlandsNew ZealandNorwayPolandPortugalSpainSwedenSwitzerlandUKUS

2000

Page 27: Lessons in Learning- An International Perspective

2929P

ISA

OE

CD

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gram

me

for

Inte

rnat

iona

l Stu

dent

Ass

essm

ent

Str

on

g p

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13

Oct

ob

er

20

11Durchschnittliche Schülerleistungen im Bereich Mathematik

Low average performance

Large socio-economic disparities

High average performance

Large socio-economic disparities

Low average performance

High social equity

High average performance

High social equity

Strong socio-economic impact on

student performance

Socially equitable distribution of

learning opportunities

High reading performance

Low reading performance

AustraliaBelgiumCanadaChileCzech RepDenmarkFinlandGermanyGreeceHungaryIcelandIrelandIsraelItalyJapanKoreaLuxembourgMexicoNetherlandsNew ZealandNorwayPolandPortugalSpainSwedenSwitzerlandUKUS

2000

Other rapid improvers in reading:Peru, Indonesia, Latvia, Israel and Brazil

Rapid improvers in mathematics:Mexico, Brazil, Turkey, Greece, Portugal, Italy

and GermanyRapid improvers in science:

Qatar, Turkey, Portugal, Korea, Brazil, Colombia, Italy, Norway, United States, Poland

Page 28: Lessons in Learning- An International Perspective

3030P

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11

-2 -1 0 1 2350

643

School performance and socio-economic background United States

Stu

dent

perf

orm

ance

AdvantagePISA Index of socio-economic background

Disadvantage

Private school Public school in rural area Public school in urban area

700

Page 29: Lessons in Learning- An International Perspective

3434P

ISA

OE

CD

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gram

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on

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What does it all mean?

Page 30: Lessons in Learning- An International Perspective

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Oct

ob

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20

11Policies and practices

Learning climate

Discipline

Teacher behaviour

Parental pressure

Teacher-student relationships

Dealing with heterogeneity

Grade repetition

Prevalence of tracking

Expulsions

Ability grouping (all subjects)

Standards /accountability

Nat. examination

Standardised tests

PolicySystem

RSchool

REquity

E

Page 31: Lessons in Learning- An International Perspective

37373737P

ISA

OE

CD

Pro

gram

me

for

Inte

rnat

iona

l Stu

dent

Ass

essm

ent

Str

on

g p

erf

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ob

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20

11

Commitment to universal achievement

Goals, gateways,

instructional systems

Capacity at point of delivery

Incentives and

accountability

Resources where they yield most

A learning system

Coherence

Lessons from PISA on successful

education systems

A commitment to education and the belief that competencies can be learned and therefore all children can achieve

Universal educational standards and personalisation as the approach to heterogeneity in the student body…

…as opposed to a belief that students have different destinations to be met with different expectations, and selection/stratification as the approach to heterogeneity

Clear articulation who is responsible for ensuring student success and to whom

Page 32: Lessons in Learning- An International Perspective

3838P

ISA

OE

CD

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gram

me

for

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Ass

essm

ent

Str

on

g p

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d s

ucc

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s S

chle

ich

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13

Oct

ob

er

20

11

Commitment to universal achievement

Goals, gateways,

instructional systems

Capacity at point of delivery

Incentives and

accountability

Resources where they yield most

A learning system

Coherence

Lessons from PISA on successful

education systems

Clear ambitious goals that are shared across the system and aligned with high stakes gateways and instructional systems

Well established delivery chain through which curricular goals translate into instructional systems, instructional practices and student learning (intended, implemented and achieved)

High level of metacognitive content of instruction

Page 33: Lessons in Learning- An International Perspective

4040P

ISA

OE

CD

Pro

gram

me

for

Inte

rnat

iona

l Stu

dent

Ass

essm

ent

Str

on

g p

erf

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d s

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s S

chle

ich

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13

Oct

ob

er

20

11

Commitment to universal achievement

Goals, gateways,

instructional systems

Capacity at point of delivery

Incentives and

accountability

Resources where they yield most

A learning system

Coherence

Lessons from PISA on successful

education systems

Capacity at the point of delivery Attracting, developing and retaining high

quality teachers and school leaders and a work organisation in which they can use their potential

Instructional leadership and human resource management in schools

Keeping teaching an attractive profession System-wide career development

Page 34: Lessons in Learning- An International Perspective

4141P

ISA

OE

CD

Pro

gram

me

for

Inte

rnat

iona

l Stu

dent

Ass

essm

ent

Str

on

g p

erf

orm

ers

an

d s

ucc

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ich

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13

Oct

ob

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20

11

Teacher in-service development

No matter how good the pre-service education for teachers is… it cannot prepare teachers for rapidly changing challenges throughout

their careers

High-performing systems rely on ongoing professional to…… update individuals’ knowledge of a subject in light of recent advances

… update skills and approaches in light of new teaching techniques, new circumstances, and new research

… enable teachers to apply changes made to curricula or teaching practice

… enable schools to develop and apply new strategies concerning the curriculum and teaching practice

… exchange information and expertise among teachers and others

… help weaker teachers become more effective . Effective professional development is on-going…

… includes training, practice and feedback, and adequate time and follow-up support

Page 35: Lessons in Learning- An International Perspective

4545P

ISA

OE

CD

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gram

me

for

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dent

Ass

essm

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Str

on

g p

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chle

ich

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13

Oct

ob

er

20

11

Lessons from PISA on successful

education systems

Commitment to universal achievement

Goals, gateways,

instructional systems

Capacity at point of delivery

Incentives and

accountability

Resources where they yield most

A learning system

Coherence Incentives, accountability, knowledge

management Aligned incentive structures

For students How gateways affect the strength, direction, clarity and nature

of the incentives operating on students at each stage of their education

Degree to which students have incentives to take tough courses and study hard

Opportunity costs for staying in school and performing well

For teachers Make innovations in pedagogy and/or organisation Improve their own performance

and the performance of their colleagues Pursue professional development opportunities

that lead to stronger pedagogical practices A balance between vertical and lateral accountability Effective instruments to manage and share knowledge

and spread innovation – communication within the system and with stakeholders around it

A capable centre with authority and legitimacy to act

Page 36: Lessons in Learning- An International Perspective

4848P

ISA

OE

CD

Pro

gram

me

for

Inte

rnat

iona

l Stu

dent

Ass

essm

ent

Str

on

g p

erf

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ob

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20

11

Systems with more accountability Systems with less

accountability

480

490

500

Schools with less autonomy

Schools with more autonomy

495

School autonomy in re-source allocation

System’s accountability arrangements

PISA score in reading

School autonomy, accountability and student performance

Impact of school autonomy on performance in systems with and without accountability arrangements

Page 37: Lessons in Learning- An International Perspective

4949P

ISA

OE

CD

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gram

me

for

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Ass

essm

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Str

on

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ich

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13

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ob

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20

11Local responsibility

and system-level prescription

System-level prescription‘Tayloristic’ work organisation

Schools leading reformTeachers as ‘knowledge workers’

Schools todayThe industrial

model, detailed prescription of

what schools do

Schools tomorrow?

Building capacity

Finland todayEvery school an effective school

Trend in OECD countries

Page 38: Lessons in Learning- An International Perspective

5151P

ISA

OE

CD

Pro

gram

me

for

Inte

rnat

iona

l Stu

dent

Ass

essm

ent

Str

on

g p

erf

orm

ers

an

d s

ucc

ess

ful r

efo

rme

rsA

nd

rea

s S

chle

ich

er

13

Oct

ob

er

20

11

Commitment to universal achievement

Goals, gateways,

instructional systems

Capacity at point of delivery

Incentives and

accountability

Resources where they yield most

A learning system

Coherence

Lessons from PISA on successful

education systems Investing resources where they can make

most of a difference Alignment of resources with key challenges

(e.g. attracting the most talented teachers to the most challenging classrooms)

Effective spending choices that prioritise high quality teachers over smaller classes

Page 39: Lessons in Learning- An International Perspective

5252P

ISA

OE

CD

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gram

me

for

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rnat

iona

l Stu

dent

Ass

essm

ent

Str

on

g p

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d s

ucc

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ful r

efo

rme

rsA

nd

rea

s S

chle

ich

er

13

Oct

ob

er

20

11

Commitment to universal achievement

Goals, gateways,

instructional systems

Capacity at point of delivery

Incentives and

accountability

Resources where they yield most

A learning system

Coherence

Lessons from PISA on successful

education systems

A learning system An outward orientation of the system to

keep the system learning, international benchmarks as the ‘eyes’ and ‘ears’ of the system

Recognising challenges and potential future threats to current success, learning from them, designing responses and implementing these

Page 40: Lessons in Learning- An International Perspective

5454P

ISA

OE

CD

Pro

gram

me

for

Inte

rnat

iona

l Stu

dent

Ass

essm

ent

Str

on

g p

erf

orm

ers

an

d s

ucc

ess

ful r

efo

rme

rsA

nd

rea

s S

chle

ich

er

13

Oct

ob

er

20

11

Commitment to universal achievement

Goals, gateways,

instructional systems

Capacity at point of delivery

Incentives and

accountability

Resources where they yield most

A learning system

Coherence

Lessons from PISA on successful

education systems

Coherence of policies and practices Alignment of policies

across all aspects of the system Coherence of policies

over sustained periods of time Consistency of implementation Fidelity of implementation

(without excessive control)

Page 41: Lessons in Learning- An International Perspective

5656P

ISA

OE

CD

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gram

me

for

Inte

rnat

iona

l Stu

dent

Ass

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ent

Str

on

g p

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d s

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ich

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13

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ob

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20

11

Some students learn at high levels

All students need to learn at high levels

Student inclusion

Routine cognitive skills, rote learning

Learning to learn, complex ways of

thinking, ways of workingCurriculum, instruction and assessment

Few years more than secondary

High-level professional knowledge workers

Teacher quality

‘Tayloristic’, hierarchical

Flat, collegial

Work organisation

Primarily to authorities

Primarily to peers and stakeholders

Accountability

Education reform trajectories

The old bureaucratic system The modern enabling system

Page 42: Lessons in Learning- An International Perspective

5757P

ISA

OE

CD

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me

for

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iona

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Ass

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Str

on

g p

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chle

ich

er

13

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ob

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20

11

Moderate policy value

High policy value

More difficult Less difficult

Money pits

Must haves

Low-hanging fruits

Quick wins

PISA 2000

The development of PISA

Proliferation of assessment

areas .

Examining individual, institutional and systemic factors associated with quality, equity and efficiency in

education

Measuring student learning outcomes in

key subjects

Extending the range of competencies through which quality is assessed

Monitoring educational progress

Electronic delivery of assessments

Understanding drivers of successful reform trajectories

Understanding the instructional context of learning outcomes – linking how students learn

with what teachers do

‘Democratising PISA’

Page 43: Lessons in Learning- An International Perspective

5858P

ISA

OE

CD

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me

for

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on

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ich

er

13

Oct

ob

er

20

11

Moderate policy value

High policy value

More difficult Less difficult

Money pits

Must haves

Low-hanging fruits

Quick wins

PISA 2003

Proliferation of assessment

areas .

Examining individual, institutional and systemic factors associated with quality, equity and efficiency in

education

Measuring student learning outcomes in

key subjects and establishing the comparative strengths and

weaknesses of education systems

Monitoring educational progress

Electronic delivery of assessments

Understanding drivers of successful reform trajectories

Understanding the instructional context of learning outcomes – linking how students learn

with what teachers do

Extending the range of competencies through which quality is assessed

‘Democratising PISA’

Page 44: Lessons in Learning- An International Perspective

5959P

ISA

OE

CD

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ich

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13

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ob

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20

11

Moderate policy value

High policy value

More difficult Less difficult

Money pits

Must haves

Low-hanging fruits

Quick wins

PISA 2006

Proliferation of assessment

areas .

Examining individual, institutional and systemic factors associated with quality, equity and efficiency in

education

Measuring student learning outcomes in

key subjects and establishing the comparative strengths and

weaknesses of education systems

Extending the range of competencies through which quality is assessed

Monitoring educational progress

Understanding drivers of successful reform trajectories

Understanding the instructional context of learning outcomes – linking how students learn

with what teachers do

Electronic delivery of assessments

‘Democratising PISA’

Page 45: Lessons in Learning- An International Perspective

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ISA

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ich

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13

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ob

er

20

11

Moderate policy value

High policy value

More difficult Less difficult

Money pits

Must haves

Low-hanging fruits

Quick wins

PISA 2009

Proliferation of assessment areas

Examining individual, institutional and systemic factors associated with quality, equity and efficiency in

education

Measuring student learning outcomes in

key subjects and establishing the comparative strengths and

weaknesses of education systems

Extending the range of competencies through which quality is assessedAffective dimensions of outcomes

Electronic delivery of assessments

Understanding the instructional context of learning outcomes – linking how students learn

with what teachers do

Assessment of digital literacy

Understanding drivers of successful reform trajectories

Monitoring educational progress‘Democratising PISA’

Page 46: Lessons in Learning- An International Perspective

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ISA

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Thank you !

Find out more about PISA at… OECD www.pisa.oecd.org

– All national and international publications– The complete micro-level database

U.S. White House www.data.gov

Email: [email protected]

…and remember:

Without data, you are just another person with an opinion