Leonie Haimson, Class Size Matters

June 2014

UNMET NEED FOR SEATS IN NEW 2015-2019 CAPITAL PLAN

INCLUDING CLASS SIZE AND OVERCROWDING DATA FOR COMMUNITY SCHOOL DISTRICT 30

School Utilization Rates at critical levels• Citywide, schools have become more overcrowded over last six years. More than 480,000

students citywide are in extremely overcrowded buildings.

• Elementary schools avg. building utilization “target” rates at 97.4%; median at 102%. High schools are not far behind at 95.2%.

• High ES rates in all boroughs, including D10 and D11 in the Bronx 108% and 105.6%, respectively.

• In Queens, D24 (120.6%), D25 (109.7%), D26 (110%), D27 (106.1%), and D30 (107.3%) all extremely overcrowded.

• At the MS level, D20 in Brooklyn, D24, and D25 in Queens have building utilization rates over 95%.

• Queens high school buildings have avg. utilization rate of 110.7% and Staten Island high school buildings 103.2%.

Data source: Blue Book target utilization rates 2012-2013

Average Utilization Rates City-Wide 2012-2013

*Calculated by dividing building enrollment by the target capacity

Source: 2012-2013 DOE Blue Book

Average Utilization Rates in District 28 compared to City-Wide 2012-2013

Elementary Schools Middle Schools High Schools70%

75%

80%

85%

90%

95%

100%

97.4%

80.9%

95.2%

Proposed capital plan vs. needs for seats• Proposed capital plan has (at most) 38,754 seats – and this if

Cuomo’s “Smart School” bond act is approved. (806 more seats funded only for design)

• Plan admits real need of 49,245 (though doesn’t explain how this figure was derived).

• DOE’s consultants project enrollment increases of 60,000-70,000 students by 2021

• At least 30,000 seats needed to alleviate current overcrowding for just those districts that average above 100%.

• Conclusion: real need for seats at least 100,000.

Proposed capital plan vs. needs for seats part II

• These figures do not capture overcrowding at neighborhood level, including schools with K waiting lists, or need to expand pre-K, reduce class size, restore cluster rooms, or provide space for charters as required in new state law.

• Does not capture need to replace trailers with capacity of more than 10,890 seats.

• Though DOE counts only 7,158 students attending class in TCUs, actual number is far higher & likely over 10,000.

• Also, DOE utilization figures underestimate actual overcrowding according to most experts and Chancellor, who has appointed a “Blue Book” taskforce to improve them.

• Revised utilization formula should be aligned to smaller classes, dedicated rooms for art, music, special education services, and more.

Class sizes have increased for six years in a row

• Despite provisions in 2007 state law requiring NYC reduce class sizes, classes in K-3 in 2013-2014 largest since 1998; in grades 4-8 largest since 2002.

• K-3 average class size was 24.9 (Gen Ed, inclusion & gifted classes) compared to 20.9 in 2007, increase of 19%.

• In grades 4-8, the average class size was 26.8, compared to 25.1 in 2007 –increase of 6.8%.

• HS “core” academic classes, class size average 26.7, up slightly since 2007.  (Yet DOE’s measure of HS class sizes is inaccurate and their methodology changes, so estimates cannot be relied upon.)

• Averages do NOT tell the whole story – as more than 330,000 students were in classes of 30 or more in 2013-2014.

• There were 40,268 kids in K-3 in classes of 30 or more in 2013-2014 – an increase of nearly 14% compared to the year before. 

• The number of teachers decreased by over 5000 between 2007-2010, according to the Mayor’s Management Report, despite rising enrollment.

1998/99 1999/00 2000/01 2001/02 2002/03 2003/04 2004/05 2005/06 2006/07 2007/08 2008/09 2009/10 2010/11 2011/12 2012/13 2013/14

24.90

23.25

22.3822.10

21.6821.5521.2821.1221.0020.90

21.40

22.10

22.90

23.8924.46

24.86

K-3 Class sizes are the largest since 1998 General ed, CTT and gifted: data from IBO

1998-2005; DOE 2006-2013

1998/99 1999/00 2000/01 2001/02 2002/03 2003/04 2004/05 2005/06 2006/07 2007/08 2008/09 2009/10 2010-11 2011/12 2012/13 2013/14

28.1

27.527.2

27.4

27.0

26.726.4

25.9

25.6

25.125.3

25.8

26.3

26.6 26.7 26.8

4th – 8th grade Class sizes largest since 2002 Gened, CTT and gifted: data from IBO 1998-

2005; DOE 2006-2013

FY08 FY09 FY10 FY11 FY12 FY 13

79,10979,021

76,795

74,958

72,787

73,844

Total no. of teachers dropped by 5,000 since 2007-8

data source: Mayor's Management Report

Class sizes in CSD 30 have increased in grades K-3 by 21.5% since 2007 and are now far above C4E goals

Baseline 2007-8 2008-9 2009-10 2010-2011 2011-2012 2012-13 2013-1418

19

20

21

22

23

24

25

26

27

2120.7

20.520.3

20.119.9 19.9 19.9

21 20.9

21.4

22.1

22.9

23.9

24.5

24.86

21.8 21.3

21.922.4

23.2

24.4

25.0

25.9

C4E goals

citywide actual

D30

aver

age

clas

s si

ze

Data sources: DOE Class Size Reports 2006-2013, 2008 DOE Contracts for Excellence Approved Plan

CSD 30’s class sizes in grades 4-8 have increased by 7.3% since 2007 and are now far above C4E goals

Baseline 2007-8 2008-9 2009-10 2010-2011 2011-2012 2012-13 2013-1422

23

24

25

26

27

28

25.6

24.824.6

23.8

23.3

22.9 22.9 22.9

25.6

25.125.3

25.8

26.3

26.6 26.7 26.8

26 26

26

27

27 2827

28

C4E target

citywide actual

D30

aver

age

clas

s si

ze

Data sources: DOE Class Size Reports 2006-2013, 2008 DOE Contracts for Excellence Approved Plan

Class sizes city-wide have increased in core HS classes as well, by 2.3% since 2007, though the DOE data is unreliable*

*DOE’s class size data is unreliable & their methodology for calculating HS averages have changed year to year

2007-08 2008-09 2009-10 2010-11 2011-12 2012-13 2013-1424

24.5

25

25.5

26

26.5

27

26

25.7

25.2

24.8

24.5 24.5 24.5

26.126.2

26.626.5

26.426.3

26.7

C4E TargetCitywide Actual

Data sources: DOE Class Size Reports 2006-2013, 2008 DOE Contracts for Excellence Approved Plan

CSD 30 Schools with large class sizes

• At the Kindergarten level, there are 7 schools in CSD 30 with with an average class size of 25 or more, according to DOE’s November 2013 report.

• Plus PS 11 which reports class size as 20 in K, but is actually 40.

• In grades 1-3, there are 12 schools in CSD 30 with at least one grade level averaging 30 students per class or more.

• In grades 4-8, 18 schools have at least one grade level with an average class size of 30 or more.

Examples of schools in CSD 30 with large class sizes, K-3

2224262830 28 28

26 25 25 25 25

D30 Kindergarten

P.S. 1

48 Q

UEENS

P.S. 1

22 M

AMIE

FAY

P.S. 2

34

P.S. 1

51 M

ARY D. C

ARTER

P.S. 1

66 H

ENRY GRADSTEIN

P.S. 0

11 K

ATHRYN PHELA

N

28

30

3232 32 32

3130

30

D30 1st Grade

0

20

40

60 54

32 32 31 31 31 30 30

D30 2nd Grade

P.S. 1

48 Q

UEENS

P.S. 1

22 M

AMIE

FAY

P.S. 2

34

P.S. 1

51 M

ARY D. C

ARTER

P.S. 1

66 H

ENRY GRADSTEIN

P.S. 0

11 K

ATHRYN PHELA

N

28

30

3232 32 32

3130

30

D30 3rd Grade

Average Utilization Rates in CSD 30 compared to City-Wide 2012-2013

*Calculated by dividing building enrollment by the target capacity

Source: 2012-2013 DOE Blue Book

Average Utilization Rates in District 28 compared to City-Wide 2012-2013

1,476 ES seats and 7,295 HS Seats needed to reach 100% building utilization

District 30 Elemen-tary Schools

Citywide Elementary Schools

District 30 Middle Schools

Citywide Middle Schools

Queens High Schools

Citywide High Schools

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

120%

107%

97%

91%

81%

111%

95%

27 ES and MS Buildings in CSD30 are over-utilized

P.S. 2

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CC)

P.S. 9

2 TRANSPORTABLE

P.S. 1

1 TRANSPORTABLE

P.S. 2

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P.S. 2

12

P.S. 1

1

P.S. 6

9

P.S. 1

51 T

RANSPORTABLE

P.S. 1

52

PS 150

ANNEX

P.S. 1

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P.S. 1

49

P.S. 1

1 M

INIS

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I.S. 1

45

P.S. 9

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I.S. 2

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P.S. 1

66

P.S. 2

P.S. 1

22

P.S. 1

48

P.S. 1

12

P.S. 7

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P.S. 1

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P.S. 7

8

P.S. 6

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P.S. 8

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P.S. 1

500%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

120%

140%

160%

180%

200%

175%175%

144%139%137%

132%132%131%129%127%125%124%124%119%116%116%114%111%

107%107%105%103%103%102%102%100%100%

3,078 ES and MS Seats needed to reach 100% building utilization; PS 92, PS 127 and PS 228 are in CM District 21

26 Queens High School Buildings are over-utilized

*13,331 HS seats needed to reach 100% building utilization

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156%154%152%150%148%144%135%134%133%130%127%126%124%121%120%119%118%117%116%116%110%108%108%106%102%101%

Number of students in CSD 30 trailers

• In CSD 30, according to the 2012-2013 TCU Report, there are 23 TCUs at five schools: PS 11, PS 70, PS 85, PS 92, PS 151. There are at least 655 students enrolled in these TCUs.

• There are 25 rooms across the 23 TCUs with a total capacity of 646.

• Additionally, PS 255, a D75 school, has 18 classrooms in trailers listed in in the TCU report, with unknown enrollment.

• None of the students at PS 255 are included in the official DOE count of 7,158 total.

• PS 92 has two TCUs and enrollment of 100.

New Seats in Capital Plan and DOE Enrollment Projections for CSD 30

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Enrollment projections suggest increase of 4,290 to 5,450 new students by 2021

2014 Kindergarten Waitlists in CSD 30• According to DOE, the wait list for zoned Kindergarten spots in 2014 is smaller citywide than in

2013, with 1,242 zoned students on wait lists as of April 21, 2014.

• 19 of 32 school districts currently have at least one school with a waiting list.

• 63 schools have zoned wait lists: 20 in Brooklyn, 17 in Queens, 11 in Manhattan, 11 in The Bronx, and 4 in Staten Island.

• DOE less transparent than ever: the number of zoned students for particular schools if less than 10 is not revealed – and methodology for creating wait lists unexplained.

• Over 7,000 families got none of their choices but unclear how many were put on wait list for their zoned school.

• As of April 21, 2014, District 30 had 8 schools with families on waiting lists with 56 to 104 students.

• These include: P.S. 017 Henry David Thoreau (1-9 students), P.S. 069 Jackson Heights (22 students), P.S./I.S. 78Q (1-9 students), P.S. 149 Christa Mcauliffe (1-9 students), P.S. 152 Gwendoline N. Alleyne School (1-9 students), P.S. Q222 - Fire Fighter Christopher A. Santora School (1-9 students), P.S. 228 Early Childhood Magnet School of the Arts (28 students), and P.S. 280 (1-9 students).

New seats need for CSD 30• There are 1,476 seats needed at the elementary school level in

CSD 30 to reduce present overcrowding and bring building utilization to 100%.

• There are 655 seats needed to remove the students enrolled in schools with TCUs in CSD 30.

• Enrollment projections show need to seat 4,290 to 5,450 new students in CSD 30

• The capital plan for FY 2015-2019 currently indicates that 1,000 elementary and middle school seats will be allocated for the district, however there is an unmet need of at least 6,400 additional seats in CSD 30 elementary and middle schools.

Unmet need critical in Queens high schools

• More than 7,200 seats in Queens HS are needed to reduce present overcrowding and bring building utilization to 100%.

• These figures underestimate actual level of overcrowding, according to most principals.

• About 2,000 seats are needed to remove Queens high school students from schools with trailers (from capacity figures).

• DOE consultants project an increase in Queens high school enrollment of 12,567- 12,980 by 2021.

• Yet only 2,802 Queens HS seats proposed in five-year plan, a shortage of more than 17,000 seats.

New charter provisions passed in state budget• Any charter co-located in a NYC school building cannot be evicted and has veto powers

before they leave the building – even if they are expanding and squeezing out NYC public school students. 

• This includes any charter co-location agreed to before 2014 – including the three

Success charter schools approved right before Bloomberg left office.

• Any new or charter school in NYC adding grade levels must be “provided access to facilities” w/in five months of asking for it.

• If they don’t like the space offered by the city, they can appeal to the Commissioner King, who is a former charter school director and has never ruled against a charter school.

• . 

• NO FISCAL IMPACT statement or analysis accompanying this bill.

• In addition, the state will provide all charter schools with per-pupil funding increases, amounting to $500 over the next 3 years and provide them funding for pre-K.

Charter space provisions ONLY apply to NYC

• Upstate legislators fought off making charters eligible for state facilities funds – which would have been better for NYC.

• Yet legislators did not block these onerous provisions for NYC , where we have the most expensive real estate & the most overcrowded schools in the state.

• If the DOE doesn’t offer charter schools free space, the city  must pay for a school’s rent in private space or give them an extra 20 percent over their operating aid every year going forward.

• After the city spends $40 million per year on charter rent, the state will begin chipping in 60% of additional cost.

How many charters will there be entitled to free space?• We have 183 charters in NYC, 119 in co-located space.

• 22 new charters are approved to open next year or the year after, all entitled to free space.

• 52 additional charter schools left to approve until we reach the cap raised in 2010 – with legislative approval – all entitled to free space.

• Any new or existing co-located charter can also be authorized to expand grade levels through HS and will be entitled to free space.

• DOE will be paying $5.4 M in annual rent for four years for 3 Success Academy schools that only have 484 students next year – at a cost of $11,000 per student.

• This doesn’t count the unknown renovation costs in these 3 schools, also paid for by the city.

Blue book data & Utilization formula inaccurate & underestimates actual level of overcrowding

• Class sizes in grades 4-12 larger than current averages & far above goals in city’s C4E plan & will likely force class sizes upwards

• Doesn’t require full complement of cluster rooms or special needs students to have dedicated spaces for their mandated services

• Doesn’t properly account for students now housed in trailers in elementary and middle schools.

• Doesn’t account for co-locations which subtract about 10% of total space and eat up classrooms with replicated administrative & cluster rooms. Small schools use space less efficiently

• Instructional footprint shrank full size classroom only 500 sq. feet min., risking building code/safety violations at many schools as 20-35 sq feet per student required.

• Special ed classrooms defined as only 240-499 sq ft, thought State Ed guidelines call for 75 sq ft per child with special needs; classrooms this small would allow only 3- 7 students.

Comparison of class sizes in Blue book compared to current averages & Contract for excellence goals

Grade levels UFT Contract class size limits

Target class sizes in "blue

book"

Current average class sizes

C4E class Size goals

How many sq ft per student required in classrooms

according to NYC building code

Kindergarten 25 20 23 19.9 35

1st-3rd 32 20 25.5 19.9 20

4th-5th 32 28 26 22.9 20

6th-8th 30 (Title I)

33 (non-Title I)28 27.4 22.9 20

HS (core classes) 34 30 26.7* 24.5 20

*DOE reported HS class sizes unreliable

Some Recommendations• 38,000 seats in capital plan is too low, esp. given existing overcrowding,

projected enrollment, preK expansion, class size reduction, new mandates to provide charter schools with space

• Also very low as compared to Mayor’s plan to create or preserve 200,000 affordable housing units.

• Council should expand the seats in five year capital plan.

• Commission an independent analysis by City Comptroller, IBO or other agency.

• Adopt reforms to planning process so that schools are built along with housing in future through mandatory inclusionary zoning, impact fees etc.

• Over half of all states and 60% of large cities have impact fees, requiring developers to pay for costs of infrastructure improvements, including schools.