lebanese energy statistics: a decade in review 2001-2010 dr. joseph al assad
TRANSCRIPT
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Lebanese Energy Statistics: A Decade in
Review 2001-2010
Dr. Joseph Al Assad
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Plan
Energy Statistics
Energy Balance
Lebanese Energy Flow Model
Lebanese Energy Indicators
Obstacles to the Lebanese Energy Balance
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Energy Statistics
Indicators
Accounts and Balances
Basic Statistics
Data Collection
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Importance of Energy Statistics
• Global picture of energy situation in a country
• Quality check on the data
• Comparison with other countries
• Starting point for the calculation of CO2 emissions and indicators
• Great help for decision makers
• Clear view of energy security and the country’s dependencies
• Corner stone for energy efficiency policies
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Plan
Energy Statistics
Energy Balance
Lebanese Energy Flow Model
Lebanese Energy Indicators
Obstacles to the Lebanese Energy Balance
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Supply Consumption
Energy Balance
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• Are a compact source of energy information
• Require good quality statistics
• Enable accurate check of energy flows
• Are the foundation for basic energy indicators, energy accounts and for CO2
emissions estimates
Good Energy Balances
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MEDSTAT Energy Balance
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Primary Energy Transformation Secondary Energy Final Consumption
Energy Flow Diagram
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Primary Vs. Secondary Energy
Used in its raw form
Maybe transformed
Coal - Crude Oil
Wind - Solar
Geothermal
Nuclear
Biomass
Resulting from a
transformation
Gasoline
Liquid gas
Asphalt
Kerosene
Electricity
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Plan
Energy Statistics
Energy Balance
Lebanese Energy Flow Model
Lebanese Energy Indicators
Obstacles to the Lebanese Energy Balance
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PG
Electricity
EDLElectricity
Final Energ
y C
onsu
mp
tion
LG
Hydro
Kerosene
Asphalt
SE Import
Gasoline
FO
GO
SWH
Lebanese Energy Flow Diagram
Industry
Private
Public
Private
Public
Energ
y Im
port
Transport
Residential
Non Energy
Heating
Cooling
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3049 KWh/year for 208 litters systems
1089 KWh/year/m2
20000 m2
increase for 2005-2010
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
$0
$200,000
$400,000
$600,000
$800,000
$1,000,000
$1,200,000
Primary Energy Consumption
≈ 43000 m2 for 2011
≈ 31000 m2 in 2012Dr. Joseph Al Assad - BEF 2012 13/35
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Secondary Energy Import
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 20100
200000
400000
600000
800000
1000000
1200000
1400000
1600000
1800000
Year
Gas
oli
ne
Imp
ort
(TO
E)
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 20100
50000
100000
150000
200000
250000
Year
Ker
ose
ne
Imp
ort
(TO
E)
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 20100
50000
100000
150000
200000
250000
Year
Liq
uid
Gas
Im
po
rt(T
OE
)
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 20100
20000
40000
60000
80000
100000
120000
Year
Asp
hal
t Im
po
rt(T
OE
)
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Gas Oil
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 20100
500000
1000000
1500000
2000000
2500000
3000000
Year
GO
Im
po
rt(T
OE
)
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 20100
500000
1000000
1500000
2000000
2500000
3000000Private Use
EDL Use
Year
GO
Co
nsu
mp
tio
n(T
OE
) 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 20102,000.00
2,500.00
3,000.00
3,500.00
4,000.00
4,500.00
5,000.00
5,500.00
6,000.00
6,500.00
7,000.00
Year
To
tal
GO
Ele
ctri
c G
ener
atio
n (
GW
h)
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Fuel Oil
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 20100
50000
100000
150000
200000
250000
Year
Liq
uid
Gas
Im
po
rt(T
OE
)
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 20100
200000
400000
600000
800000
1000000
1200000
1400000
1600000
1800000Private Use
EDL Use
Year
Liq
uid
Gas
Im
po
rt(T
OE
) 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 20100.00
1,000.00
2,000.00
3,000.00
4,000.00
5,000.00
6,000.00
Year
To
tal
FO
Ele
ctri
c G
ener
atio
n (
GW
h)
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Hydroelectricity
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 20100
200
400
600
800
1000
1200
1400
Year
Hy
dro
ele
ctr
icit
y(G
Wh
)
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Electricity Import
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 20100
200
400
600
800
1000
1200
1400
EgyptSyria
Year
Ele
ctr
icit
y I
mp
ort
s(G
Wh
)
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Plan
Energy Statistics
Energy Balance
Lebanese Energy Flow Model
Lebanese Energy Indicators
Obstacles to the Lebanese Energy Balance
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Lebanese Energy Statistics
Indicators
Accounts & Balances
Basic Statistics
Data Collection
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2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 20100%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
% Asphalt TOE% FO TOE% Kerosene TOE% Gasoil TOE% Liquid Gas TOE% of Gasoline TOE
Year
%
Shares of Fuel Sources
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2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 20100
200
400
600
800
1000
1200
1400
1600
Year
Tota
l Fue
l Im
port
(kgO
E pe
r cap
ita)
Fuel Import per Capita
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2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 20102100
2200
2300
2400
2500
2600
2700
2800
2900
2,418.76
2,557.672,535.552,521.612,530.08
2,425.872,474.17
2,649.81
2,738.70
2,861.04
Year
Gros
s Ele
ctric
ity P
ower
(kW
h/ca
pita
)
Electricity Consumption per Capita
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2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 20100
50,000
100,000
150,000
200,000
250,000
300,000
0.00
209,456.17226,051.58235,948.04239,683.66
226,649.72231,629.44245,671.43251,796.17
267,360.19
Year
Tota
l Ele
ctric
ity B
illin
g(L
BP/c
apita
, inc
. VAT
)
EDL Bill per Capita
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2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 20100
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
Year
Tota
l Hyd
raul
ic E
lect
ricity
(kW
h/ca
pita
)
Hydroelectricity per Capita
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10%
43%
47%
2005
Hydraulic Electricity GenerationGas Oil Electricity GenerationFuel Oil Electricity Generation
4%
35%
61%
2001
Hydraulic Electricity GenerationGas Oil Electricity GenerationFuel Oil Electricity Generation
7%
40%54%
2002
Hydraulic Electricity GenerationGas Oil Electricity GenerationFuel Oil Electricity Generation
13%
48%
39%
2003
Hydraulic Electricity GenerationGas Oil Electricity GenerationFuel Oil Electricity Generation
11%
48%
42%
2004
Hydraulic Electricity GenerationGas Oil Electricity GenerationFuel Oil Electricity Generation
7%
55%
38%
2006
Hydraulic Electricity GenerationGas Oil Electricity GenerationFuel Oil Electricity Generation
6%
57%
38%
2007
Hydraulic Electricity GenerationGas Oil Electricity GenerationFuel Oil Electricity Generation
3%
62%
35%
2008
Hydraulic Electricity GenerationGas Oil Electricity GenerationFuel Oil Electricity Generation
5%
57%
38%
2009
Hydraulic Electricity GenerationGas Oil Electricity GenerationFuel Oil Electricity Generation
7%
56%
37%
2010
Hydraulic Electricity GenerationGas Oil Electricity GenerationFuel Oil Electricity Generation
Electricity Shares
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Imported Vs. Generated
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 20100%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
Imported Electricity
Generated Electricity
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Electricity Self Dependency
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 20100%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
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Plan
Energy Balance
Lebanese Energy Flow Model
Energy Indicators
Obstacles to the Lebanese Energy Balance
Energy Statistics
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Choice of Units
MBtu
KWh
Mtoe
TJ
Mtce
Mboe
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Choice of Conversion Factors
Fuel type
Fuel source
Definition of electricity conversion factors (FO, GO) 0.086Mtoe/TWh ????
Electricity imports
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Data Availability
Difficult access to key sources and contacts
Unharmonized definitions
Shadow energy data (PG)
Complex energy flows
Interference between players’ authorities
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Data Availability
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PG
Electricity
EDLElectricity
Final Energ
y C
onsu
mp
tion
LG
Hydro
Kerosene
Asphalt
SE Import
Gasoline
FO
GO
SWH
Data Availability
Industry
Private
Public
Private
Public
Pri
mary
Energ
y
Transport
Residential
Non Energy
Heating
Cooling
??????
???
???
???
???
???
???
???
???
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Thank You!
The Lebanese Center for Energy Conservation (LCEC)
Ministry of Energy and Water- Corniche du Fleuve- First Floor- Room 303
Telephone: 01-569101
01-565108
Email: [email protected]
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