LEAP* WorkshopLEAP* Workshop

Jan 21, 2008 Jan 21, 2008 Ulrich Hess, Chief of Business Risk PlanningUlrich Hess, Chief of Business Risk Planning

Early Warning component: LEAP Early Warning component: LEAP (Livelihoods – Early Assessment – Protection)(Livelihoods – Early Assessment – Protection)

AGENDAAGENDA

• LEAP Index Principles

• LEAP Design

Early Warning System

with reliable baseline and trigger points

IMPROVED INDEX – IMPROVED INDEX – PART OF RISK MANAGEMENT FRAMEWORKPART OF RISK MANAGEMENT FRAMEWORK

I. IMPROVED INDEX: LEAP

Early Protection against Livelihood Early Protection against Livelihood stress in contextstress in context

LEAP PrinciplesLEAP Principles• LEAP is software: free, open source, simple• LEAP indices

– Project agricultural yields based on weather parameters – Estimates potential costs of intervening against acute (crop failure related)

livelihood stress• LEAP indices are

– Rainfall driven– Objective– Transparent– Real time

• LEAP indices are NOT– Food emergency need indicators – About other (Man-made) disasters – Price shock indicators (yet) – Flood risk indicators (yet)

Livelihood protection cost index (LPCI)Livelihood protection cost index (LPCI)

provides a good proxy estimate of the costs of protecting transient food insecure peoples’ livelihoods at the time of shock;

is independent, objective, verifiable and replicable;

conveys information in near real-time to ensure timely and effective response to livelihood stress

Provides early warning of livelihood stress levels Signal amount of financial resources required

for early livelihood protection at regional levels

LEAP also supportsLEAP also supports

• Crop and Pasture monitoring

• Irrigation needs assessments

• Agro-meteorological zoning

• Climate change adaptation needs assessments

LLivelihoods + ivelihoods + EEarly arly AAssessment ssessment + + PProtection:rotection: LEAP INDICESLEAP INDICES

Costs (Livelihood Protection

Cost Index LPCI)

Livelihood Protection Beneficiaries

Water Requirement Satisfaction

Index (WRSI)

for Crops + Rangelands

Weather data Crop + soil coefficients

• Objective: capture livelihood protection funding needs at regional level

• Target group: vulnerable population