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LEADING THE ENERGY TRANSITION BEYOND THE HYPE 13 NOVEMBER 2018 00/00/2015 1

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Page 1: LEADING THE ENERGY TRANSITION BEYOND THE …...PRESENTATION TITLE ( FOOTER CAN BE PERSONALIZED AS FOLLOW: INSERT / HEADER AND FOOTER") LEADING THE ENERGY TRANSITION BEYOND THE HYPE

PRESENTATION TITLE ( FOOTER CAN BE PERSONALIZED AS FOLLOW: INSERT / HEADER AND

FOOTER")

LEADING THE ENERGY TRANSITION BEYOND THE HYPE

13 NOVEMBER 2018

00/00/2015 !1

Page 2: LEADING THE ENERGY TRANSITION BEYOND THE …...PRESENTATION TITLE ( FOOTER CAN BE PERSONALIZED AS FOLLOW: INSERT / HEADER AND FOOTER") LEADING THE ENERGY TRANSITION BEYOND THE HYPE

PRESENTATION TITLE ( FOOTER CAN BE PERSONALIZED AS FOLLOW: INSERT / HEADER AND FOOTER")

AGENDA

00/00/2015 !2

!2

2

8

19

26

Challenges behind the Energy Transition

Our positioning and business model

Key Figures and 2020 Strategic Plan

Special Projects

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2%5%3%

17%

11%

3%

22%

38%

GENERATION MIX

!3Source: bnef.com

24%

24%

2%14%

7%

1%

17%

11%

2017 24,656 TWh

2050 38,655 TWh

* Including Geothermal

Gas & peakersCoal Hydro Biomass* Oil Wind Nuclear Solar

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GROSS CAPACITY ADDITIONS & RETIREMENTS (GW)

MILAN OFFICE

!4Source: bnef.com

-300

-150

0

150

300

450

600

2015 2020 2025 2030 2035 2040 2045 2050

Gas & peakersCoal Hydro Biomass* Oil Wind Nuclear Solar Batteries

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AN ENERGY REVOLUTION MORE THAN A SIMPLE TRANSITION

!5Source: bnef.com, 2015 REAL

Electricity demand (TWh)

10.000

20.000

30.000

40.000

2012 2020 2030 2040 2050

750

1.500

2.250

3.000

2012 2020 2030 2040 2050

Cumulative installed batteries capacity (GWh)EV demand Net electricity demand Utility-scale batteries Small-scale batteries

Global light duty vehicle salesLi-ion battery price ($/kWh)

250

500

750

1.000

2010 2014 2018 2022 2026 2030

Observed price18% learning rate

2030 implied price: $70/kWh

2025 implied price: $96/kWh

0

30

60

90

120

2015 2020 2025 2030 2035 2040

PHEV BEV ICE All EVs

3%2% 11%

28%43%

55%

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STRICLTY CONDIFIDENTIAL

At the lowest cost with the highest quality

EU CHALLENGES

Decarbonization

Market Efficiency

Security of Supply

SECTOR TRENDS

Intermittent RES increase

Thermal phase-out

Technological development

Energy efficiency

SYSTEM NEEDS

Flexibility: RES integration

Security: of the whole supply

Adequacy: at system level

Not a coincidence: the European showcase as a cornerstone for the global energy transition

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NOT A COINCIDENCE: THE ITALIAN SHOWCASE, ENERGY TRANSITION FOR REAL

MILAN OFFICE

!7

SOLAR +17.6GW

WIND +4.3GW

6

28 29 3235

4438

577 4 7 8

6256

505x

+ 28 GW

2020 Low High 2025

Low High 2030 2009 2016 Low High

20202025 2030

-15 GW

-12 GW

2011 20132009 20162011 2013

RES GROWTH (GW)2009 TO DATE TOMORROW

THERMAL PHASE OUT (GW)2009 TO DATE TOMORROW

Source: Terna estimates for Italian Electricity Market, 27 September 2017

87%60%

39%21 MAY 3:00pm 21 MAY MAY

Hourly Daily Monthly

26% of the European storage installed capacity has been developed by Terna in Italy

SEN3 Targets 50% require further deployments of 51GW solar and 17GW wind

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PRESENTATION TITLE ( FOOTER CAN BE PERSONALIZED AS FOLLOW: INSERT / HEADER AND FOOTER")

AGENDA

00/00/2015 !8

!8

Challenges behind the Energy Transition

Our positioning and business model

Key Figures and 2020 Strategic Plan

Special Projects

2

8

19

26

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OUR MISSION

!9

The Group’s mission is to unlock the energy transition, by mastering the intermittency of renewable energy sources. Being pioneer of Hybrid Storage Solutions, transforming intermittent renewable sources into a stable power source. And enabling renewables to power society: reliably, affordably and sustainably.

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ADDRESSABLE MARKETS

!10

Grid Support Utility-Scale and behind the meter Independent Power Generation

and weak-grids stabilization

65%100%

45 GW global 2016-2024

14 GW EMEA

65%100%

600 GW global to 2017

29 GW Annually

100%Microgrids100%Storage Systems

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NET LOAD IN RES PENETRATED COUNTRIES: ANCILLARY SERVICES WILL BLOW-UP

!11

Net-load

Material midday decrease in net-load due to RES generation and consequent:• over generation and dramatic decrease in

CCGT running hours per year• Low or even negative electricity prices

Evening ramp increase due to falling solar generation, up to 13GW in less than 3h, means increasing: • grid instability• deviation of network

frequency

* Net Load means the difference between the forecasted load and expected electricity production from RES. The Graph shows the net-load in a typical March day in California

20£/MW per hour of availability

7-11£/MW per hour of availability

26 August 2016

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�12

100%

100%100%

100%

$22bln

Annual Market just for Capacity Additions

($300bln to 2030, IEA)

600 GW 29 GW

Annual Capacity Additions

Potential Investment for replacement with

microgrids

$960bln

Current installed fleet of diesel generation

100%2.5bln People

Source: bnef.com, GOGLA and BCG integrated with ENGIE EPS analysis

100%$1.2bln

Annual spending in diesel fuel per GW

3-5 years payback for decentralized clean energy

ADDRESSABLE MARKET WITH STRONG FOCUS IN EMERGING COUNTRIES BECAUSE OF THE INDISPUTABLE MARKET POTENTIAL

!12

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�13

SOLID BUSINESS CASE IN BOTH EMERGING COUNTRIES AND DEVELOPED ECONOMIES

!13

Evolution of Power Generation cost ($/MWh) in emerging countries to 2020

100

200

300

2017 2020

DieselENGIE EPS Microgrids

Evolution of electricity tariffs ($/MWh) in developed economies to 2020

Grid tariffENGIE EPS Microgrids

100

200

300

2017 2020

Source: EPS analysis and Diesel LCOE based on bnef.com and a fuel cost of 0.75$/liter Source: EPS analysis based on bnef.com, C&I electricity price in Italy and irradiation data related to center-south Italy

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�14STORAGE-ENABLED SOLAR MICROGRID LCOE*

!14*excluding any additional benefit from DG efficiency (approx. 30% of total consumption) and O&M savings Solar/BESS ratio =4:1 at $1mln/MW turnkey solar + 450k$/MW BESS

85$/MWh

25y 20y 15y 10y6%

10%

30%

60%

PPA DURATIONHURDLE RATE

LOA

D C

OVE

RA

GE

250$/MWh

6%

130$/MWh

14%

180$/MWh

155$/MWh

110$/MWh

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HyESS: ONE VERTICALLY-INTEGRATED TECHNOLOGY PLATFORM

!15

Battery Pack

Renewable Sources

SCADA and AI Cloud based DERs,

Cybersecurity and Predictive Maintenance

SMART INVERTERInstant RPPT/MPPT for unique

microgrid performance

Generators and Power Plants

24/7 stable power supply

ENERGY MANAGEMENT SYSTEM (EMS)

Pool Algorithms & Black Start

POWER CONVERSION SYSTEM (PCS) Synthetic Inertia

DROOP Control and Statism

HyESS® Hybrid Energy Storage System

BATTERY MANAGEMENT SYSTEM (BMS)

For all battery chemistries

PROPRIETARY ENGIE EPS TECHNOLOGY covered by 125 patents and 500+ trade secrets

Microgrids

Energy Storage Systems

CO

MM

OD

ITIE

S

HYDROGEN MANAGEMENT SYSTEM

Power2Power for long term storage without fossil fuels

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BATTERIES ARE NOT (AT ALL) THE CORE OF THE SYSTEM (€/MW)

!16Source: Real Frequency regulation project 2C normalized on a 1MW/0.5MWh basis. In the 2020 Strategic Plan batteries are represented for utilities-scale and microgrids applications, to 40% and 14% respectively.

$ pe

r kW

0

48

95

143

190

238

285

333

380

Battery Rack

Power electronics (Inverter, PCS)

System assembly (Containerization)

Energy Management System (SCADA, Controller)

EPC (Islanded function & grid connection)

32%

15%

22%

4%

27%

41%BoS

27%EPC

32%Battery

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STRICLTY CONDIFIDENTIAL

�17 WATCH OUR STORY

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BUSINESS MODEL

!18

TECHNOLOGY PROVIDER

Software Engineering

System Design & Manufacturing

Hardware & Technology

Manufacturer

PROJECT DEVELOPER

GENERAL CONTRACTOR (EPC & O&M)

Project Development

Financing Arranger

Site Management & Construction

Customer Service

Source: EPS 2020 Technological Roadmap

A System Provider that develops its own pipeline of projects acting for the customer as a partner also for all the site activities: one single point of responsibility, minimizing project risk and complexity for the customer

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PRESENTATION TITLE ( FOOTER CAN BE PERSONALIZED AS FOLLOW: INSERT / HEADER AND FOOTER")

AGENDA

00/00/2015 !19

!19

Challenges behind the Energy Transition

Our positioning and business model

Key Figures and 2020 Strategic Plan

Special Projects

2

8

19

26

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OUR 4-YEAR PEOPLE STORY

!20

Human Resources (FTE)

25

50

75

100

2013 2017

Source: EPS Annual Financial Report and update as at 07.09.2017

27%with a PhD

or MBA equivalent

98 people

50%on IEEE

150+ publications

13 hydrogen experts

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FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018

50

17

12,1

1,20,1

25,0

10,0

7,1

1,20,8

May

2014Industrial and

Financial Restructuring

completion

April

2015IPO in Paris

2005Politecnico SPIN-OFF

Energy Storage and microgridsBusiness Model validation

Scale-Up Pivoting

in the Energy MarketsTechnology Incubation

Research funded by top European VCs investors

December

2015ABB + acquisition

*

Managementappointment

October

2013

Order Intake

Revenues

* Average brokers’ consensus and extrapolation from analyst researches

*

*

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SINGLE SYSTEM SIZE STORY (BY COMMISSIONING YEAR)

!22

2005-2014 2015 2016 2017 2018

SYSTEM SIZE

PRODUCT FEATURES

MICROGRID POWER SOURCE

Solar Wind Generators Power Plants

H2 all batteries

Solar Generators Wind

H2Pb

H2Pb Li-ion titanate

H2 Pb Li-ion titanate Li-ionNa-Cl

H2 all batteries

Solar Solar Generators

50 kW 1 MW 5.9 MW 20+ MW12 kW

ElectroSelfTM HyESS® HyESS® HyESS®ElectroSelfTM

-

20MW, the

Largest in EU*

One of the

Largest worldwide

* According to Bloomberg New Energy Finance (Energy Storage Project Database, 28 October 2017) as of today just 18 li-ion energy storage systems have been commissioned in the world with a capacity higher than 20MW (all in the US, Korea and Japan).

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!23

Microgrids generation capacity Grid-Support Solutions* Energy Storage

APAC Europe Africa Americas

1%23%

6%

70%

82 MW

89%

11%

57 MW

4%

7%

73%

16%

77 MWh

INSTALLED BASE AND SYSTEMS UNDER COMMISSIONING

* including utility scale and behind-the-meter solutions Source: data as at 31.03.2018

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!24

OUR KNOW-HOW

Source: EPS Annual Financial Report

50%on IEEE

150+ publications

20% less than

30

90%in registered form

500+ trade

secrets

43% 30 to 40 y

95%filed internationally

125 patents

and applicatons

24% 41 to 50 y

27%with a PhD /

MBA

98 people

86% less than

50

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!25

INTEGRATED MANAGEMENT SYSTEM (IMS)

1. NON-COMPLIANCE MANAGEMENT

2. INTERNAL AUDIT

3. KEY PERFORMANCE INDICATORS

4. CONTROLLING & BIZ INTELLIGENCE

5. CUSTOMER SATISFACTION

6. S.M.A.R.T. OBJECTIVES

HR

13 SUPPORTING PROCESSES

1. RESEARCH & DEVELOPMENT 2. BUSINESS DEVELOPMENT

3. ENGINEERING & DESIGN 4. MANUFACTURING

5. PLANNING & LOGISTICS

6. INSTALLATION-COMMISSIONING 7. SERVICE - O&M

8. PROJECT MANAGEMENT

ICT

Utility-Scale Storage SystemsGrid Support

MicrogridsIndependent power generation

Mobility Vehicle2grid, EVs, EVSE, railways

OPPORTUNITIES

STAKEHOLDERS EXPECTATIONS

FACTORS OF THE CONTEXT

PROCUREMENT LEGAL COMPLIANCESAFETY KNOW-HOW MANAGEMENT COMMUNICATIONETHICS WHAREHOUSING AFC ENVIRONMENT

6 MONITORING PROCESSES

7 GOVERNANCE PROCESSES

POLICIES & MSG STRATEGIC PLAN BUSINESS PLAN MANAGEMENT REVIEW

8 PRIMARY PROCESSES

IMS

TECHNOLOGY ROADMAP RESOURCE ALLOCATION

BS OHSAS 18001

ISO 9001 ISO 14001

RISK FACTORS

ORGANIZATION

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PRESENTATION TITLE ( FOOTER CAN BE PERSONALIZED AS FOLLOW: INSERT / HEADER AND FOOTER")

AGENDA

00/00/2015 !26

!26

Challenges behind the Energy Transition

Our positioning and business model

Key Figures and 2020 Strategic Plan

Special Projects

2

8

19

26

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PROJECT SEMAKAU (SINGAPORE)

* Unaudited !27

Customer:

Semakau, 2MWh hydrogen-enabled microgrid

ENGIE EPS, in collaboration with ENGIE, is developing a microgrid-based hydrogen storage system, which will power the island of Semakau, Singapore.

This Smart Island is part of the Renewable Energy Integration Demonstrator Singapore project (REIDS), that aims to provide renewable and sustainable energy to the remotest regions in Southeast Asia with the largest hybrid microgrid platform in the tropics area.

STATUS | UNDER CONSTRUCTION|

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PROJECT AUSTRALIA

!28

Customer:

Australia, 12MW microgrid powering a mining site

Prior to the installation of the Hybrid Power Plant, this mining town in South Australia was entirely relying on diesel generation. The Hybrid Power Plant, provides the mining site and its below-ground residences, with approximately 70% renewable energy over the 20-year life of the project. The Hybrid Power Plant realized by ENGIE EPS for Toshiba, sired to the Coober Pedy Renewable Hybrid Power Project, realised by Energy Developments (EDL) is a concrete example of distributed competitive generation of fully off-grid microgrids.

STATUS | IN OPERATION |

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PROJECT MALDIVES

!29

The Maldives, 10MW microgrid powering resorts

The two microgrids installed by ENGIE EPS, with a total power of 10.4MW, provide energy daily to two resorts on two separate islands of the Maldives, which combined host about 2,300 people. A single microgrid, composed of solar panels distributed on shelters coupled with the ENGIE EPS storage system, manages to provide up to 63% of the resort's energy demand, decreasing the consumption of diesel fuel of 423,000 litres per year and reducing the emissions of greenhouse gases by about 460 tons of CO2 per year.

STATUS | IN OPERATION |

Customer:Luxury resort in the Maldives

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PROJECT ARMONIA

!30

Palau, 100MW, the largest microgrid in the world

ARMONIA is a fully dispatchable solar PV project: with 35MW of renewable energy and 45MWh of energy storage, it will be coupled with the current diesel generation to transform the Palau grid into a smart, integrated system with an overall installed power of over 100MW, representing the largest microgrid in the world and a global reference for the state-of-the-art technology. Renewable energy produced by solar will represent 45% of Palau’s total demand.

STATUS | UNDER DEVELOPMENT |