land cover change & atmospheric...
TRANSCRIPT
Land Cover Change & Atmospheric Chemistry
Implementing a New Land Cover Module for
GEOS-Chem
IGC7 May 5, 2015 Jeffrey Geddes Randall Martin Colette Heald
Land Cover Change & Atmospheric Chemistry
Implementing a New Land Cover Module for
GEOS-Chem
IGC7 May 5, 2015 Jeffrey Geddes Randall Martin Colette Heald
How might GEOS-Chem be used “out of the box” to evaluate
impact of land cover changes?
Variety of (Conflicting?) Land Cover Data Currently Used
Snow/Ice | Deciduous Forest | Coniferous Forest | Agricultural land | Shrub/Grass Amazon Forest | Tundra | Desert | Wetland | Urban
BVOC emission factors
Soil NOx Emissions (MODIS Biomes)
PFT Distribution
𝐹𝑖 = 𝛾𝑖 𝜀𝑖, 𝑗 𝜒𝑗
Leaf Area Index (MODIS-derived)
(Plant Functional Type)
Deposition (Olson Land Map)
New Harmonized Land Module: Starting from a Single Data Source
Custom PFT Distribution & LAI Maps
Various PFT Fractions
BVOC Emission Factors
Biome Classifications f(PFT, latitude)
Soil NOx Deposition Surface Type
Total LAI
Custom mapping algorithm based
on dominant land type / PFT mix
Community Land Model
(15 PFTs)
New Harmonized Land Module: Starting from a Single Data Source
Custom PFT Distribution & LAI Maps
Various PFT Fractions
BVOC Emission Factors
Biome Classifications f(PFT, latitude)
Soil NOx Deposition Surface Type
Total LAI
Custom mapping algorithm based
on dominant land type / PFT mix
Community Land Model
(15 PFTs) Started from the bottom…
Now we’re here.
Bio
me
s (N
=2
4)
Custom Biome Mapping is Consistent with Native GEOS-Chem Inputs
NEW LAND MODULE DEFAULT MODEL
De
po
siti
on
Su
rfac
e
(N=1
1)
… but demonstrates role of land cover on predictions
DEFAULT MODEL NEW LAND MODULE
Monthly Mean OX (August 2005)
Simulated Chemistry is also Consistent…
Tree mortality due to insect and disease
2013 – 2027 National Insect and Disease Forest Risk Assessment (USDA Forest Service)
Example Nested Simulation Test: Predicted Tree Mortality
BASE (Unaltered CLM Input File) NIDR (Scaled to Tree Mortality)
Tree Mortality Impacts on Tropospheric Chemistry?
PFT Distribution & LAI Maps
Gridded PFT Coverage
BVOC Emission Factors
Biome Classifications f(PFT, latitude)
Soil NOx Deposition
Total LAI
BASE (Unaltered CLM Input File) NIDR (Scaled to Tree Mortality)
Iso
pre
ne
Emis
sio
ns
(10
12 a
tom
s C
/cm
2)
O3 D
epo
siti
on
V
eclo
city
(cm
/s)
BA
SE - NID
R
Significant Impacts on Sources and Sinks B
ASE - N
IDR
BASE (Unaltered CLM Input File) NIDR (Scaled to Tree Mortality)
O3 (
pp
b)
PAN
(p
pb
) B
ASE - N
IDR
Significant Impacts on Predicted Tropospheric Chemistry
BA
SE - NID
R
Not intended to …
• Replace “dynamic” ESM simulations with the land cover changes over time
• Be used in situations where atmospheric dynamics could be significantly altered by land cover at the resolution of the model grid
• Necessarily perform more “accurate” simulations than the default model
But allows for …
• “Controlled experiments” where land cover can be easily altered, and changes to tropospheric composition can be identified, accounting for non-linear chemistry and global atmospheric transport
Changes in species composition? Shift in species distribution? Historical land use change?
New GEOS-Chem Land Cover Module
POSTER B6: Land use change over South East Asia
Sam Silva, MIT
THANK YOU
Now the whole team
here
Extra Slides
ORIGINAL SOIL BIOME EMISSION FACTORS
ng m-2 s-1
NEW MAPPED SOIL EMISSION FACTORS
ng m-2 s-1
SOIL NOx EMISSIONS (Full year spin-up, July 2006)
Global: 2.65 Tg N.A. : 0.61 Tg
Global: 2.71 Tg N.A. : 0.64 Tg
x 1011
USE_CLM_LAND = .FALSE.
USE_CLM_LAND = .TRUE.
ISOPRENE EMISSIONS (Full year spin-up, July 2006)
Global: 45.56 Tg C N.A. : 6.39 Tg C
Global: 47.54 Tg C N.A. : 7.47 Tg C
x 1012
USE_CLM_LAND = .FALSE.
USE_CLM_LAND = .TRUE.
Harmonized Land Module: Starting from a Single Data Source