labor market report poland part ii lingling zhang, raphael becker university of bonn october 29,...
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Labor Market Report Poland Part II
Lingling Zhang, Raphael Becker
University of BonnOctober 29, 2014
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Wage Premium in US Labor Market
Source: Acemoglu , Autor (2010)
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Wage Premium in Poland (1).1
8.2
.22
.24
.26
log
Wa
ge P
rem
ium
2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014date
log Wage Premium Mean log Wage Premium Median
Log Wage Premium Data (18 - 64)
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Wage Premium in Poland (2).1
8.2
.22
.24
.26
log
Wa
ge P
rem
ium
2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014date
Log Wage Premium Male Log Wage Premium Female
Log Wage Premium by Gender (18 - 64)
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.1.1
5.2
.25
.3lo
g W
age
Pre
miu
m
2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014date
Log Wage Premium 18 - 64 Log Wage Premium > 18Log Wage Premium > 65
Log Wage Premium Male by Age
Wage Premium in Poland (3)
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Wage Premium in Poland (4).1
.15
.2.2
5
log
Wa
ge P
rem
ium
2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014date
Log Wage Premium 18 - 64 Log Wage Premium > 18Log Wage Premium > 65
Log Wage Premium Female by Age
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Rel. Supply of College / Non College in US
Source: Acemoglu , Autor (2010)
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Rel. Supply of College / Highschool Poland (1)-.
8-.
6-.
4-.
2
Log
Re
lativ
e S
uppl
y In
dex
2000q1 2005q1 2010q1 2015q1date
Male Female
College / Highschool log Relative Supply (20 - 64)
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Rel. Supply of College / Highschool Poland (2)-2
-1.5
-1-.
50
Log
Re
lativ
e S
uppl
y In
dex
2000q1 2005q1 2010q1 2015q1date
Male Age 15 - 24 Male Age 25 - 54Male Age 55 - 65 Male Age 65 - 69
College / Highschool log Relative Supply Male
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Rel. Supply of College / Highschool Poland (3)-1
.5-1
-.5
0.5
Log
Re
lativ
e S
uppl
y In
dex
2000q1 2005q1 2010q1 2015q1date
Female Age 15 - 24 Female Age 25 - 54Female Age 55 - 65 Female Age 65 - 69
College / Highschool log Relative Supply Female
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Simple Regression Analysis
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Regression Results
(1) (2) (3) (4)
CLG / HS relative supply
-0.612(0.128)
-0.339(0.043)
0.0051593(0.5346)
0.622(0.562)
Time 0.027(0.005)
0.029(0.001)
-0.0076526(0.0156)
-0.0350175(0.0198)
Time2 /100 -0.013(0.006)
0.0940(0.0510)
Constant -0.217(0.134)
-0.189(0.122)
0.2533125(0.3145238)
0.6340(0.336)
Observations 25 46 9 9
R-Squared 0.558 0.941 0.886 0.932
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Model Fit (1).1
8.2
.22
.24
.26
log
Wa
ge P
rem
ium
2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014date
Log Premium Log Premium Fitted Values
Fitted Values (Linear Time Trend)
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Model Fit (2).1
8.2
.22
.24
.26
log
Wa
ge P
rem
ium
2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014date
Log Premium Log Premium Fitted Values
Fitted Values (Quadratic Time Trend)