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Krispy Kreme Doughtnuts Krispy Kreme Doughtnuts (KKD) (KKD) Matt Pregozen

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Page 1: Krispy Kreme Doughtnuts (KKD) Matt Pregozen. Krispy Kreme Recommendation Buy: Limit at $3.65 Sell: Limit at $4.35

Krispy Kreme Doughtnuts Krispy Kreme Doughtnuts (KKD)(KKD)

Matt Pregozen

Page 2: Krispy Kreme Doughtnuts (KKD) Matt Pregozen. Krispy Kreme Recommendation Buy: Limit at $3.65 Sell: Limit at $4.35

Krispy Kreme Krispy Kreme RecommendationRecommendationBuy: Limit at $3.65Sell: Limit at $4.35

Page 3: Krispy Kreme Doughtnuts (KKD) Matt Pregozen. Krispy Kreme Recommendation Buy: Limit at $3.65 Sell: Limit at $4.35

BackgroundBackground1937- Vernon Rudolph bought secret

yeast recipe from a French chef in New Orleans

Expanded from local store to nation wide chain of stores

Headquartered in Winston Salem, North Carolina

580 stores worldwide in 18 countries93 company owned and 430

franchisees2,700 full time employees

Source: http://finance.yahoo.com/q/pr?s=KKD http://www.krispykreme.com/history.html

Page 4: Krispy Kreme Doughtnuts (KKD) Matt Pregozen. Krispy Kreme Recommendation Buy: Limit at $3.65 Sell: Limit at $4.35

Business OperationsBusiness OperationsRetailer and Wholesaler of

Doughnuts and Sweets20 varieties of doughnuts

(packaged and unpackaged)

Sells own brand of coffeeSells equipment and

supplies to franchisesHave donut fundraisers

with youth groups

Source: http://finance.yahoo.com/q/pr?s=KKD

Page 5: Krispy Kreme Doughtnuts (KKD) Matt Pregozen. Krispy Kreme Recommendation Buy: Limit at $3.65 Sell: Limit at $4.35

RetailRetailStandalone store with seatingMakes donuts fresh in store

Source: http://www.reuters.com/finance/stocks/companyProfile?rpc=66&symbol=KKD

Page 6: Krispy Kreme Doughtnuts (KKD) Matt Pregozen. Krispy Kreme Recommendation Buy: Limit at $3.65 Sell: Limit at $4.35

WholesaleWholesaleSold at supermarkets,

convenience stores, gas stations, Wal-Mart, and Target

Deliver boxed doughnuts and unpackaged donuts daily

Source: http://www.reuters.com/finance/stocks/companyProfile?rpc=66&symbol=KKD

Page 7: Krispy Kreme Doughtnuts (KKD) Matt Pregozen. Krispy Kreme Recommendation Buy: Limit at $3.65 Sell: Limit at $4.35

Stock NumbersStock NumbersCurrent Price:

$4.21P/E Ratio: N/ABeta: 1.86EPS: -$0.0152-Week Low: $1.3452-Week High: $4.75Market Cap:

$256.94MInstitutional Ownership: 29%

As of 3/18/2010 from Google Finance

Page 8: Krispy Kreme Doughtnuts (KKD) Matt Pregozen. Krispy Kreme Recommendation Buy: Limit at $3.65 Sell: Limit at $4.35

1 Month1 Month

Yahoo Finance: http://finance.yahoo.com/echarts

Page 9: Krispy Kreme Doughtnuts (KKD) Matt Pregozen. Krispy Kreme Recommendation Buy: Limit at $3.65 Sell: Limit at $4.35

3 Month3 Month

Yahoo Finance: http://finance.yahoo.com/echarts

Page 10: Krispy Kreme Doughtnuts (KKD) Matt Pregozen. Krispy Kreme Recommendation Buy: Limit at $3.65 Sell: Limit at $4.35

6 Month6 Month

Yahoo Finance: http://finance.yahoo.com/echarts

Page 11: Krispy Kreme Doughtnuts (KKD) Matt Pregozen. Krispy Kreme Recommendation Buy: Limit at $3.65 Sell: Limit at $4.35

KKD (Blue) KKD (Blue) vs vs Starbucks Starbucks (Red) (Red) vs vs Tim Hortons (Green)Tim Hortons (Green)

Yahoo Finance: http://finance.yahoo.com/echarts

Page 12: Krispy Kreme Doughtnuts (KKD) Matt Pregozen. Krispy Kreme Recommendation Buy: Limit at $3.65 Sell: Limit at $4.35

CompetitorsCompetitorsDunkin Donuts- Privately owned

Starbucks- coffee shop with 8,800 worldwide locations◦Over expanded- downsizing and consolidating◦Current products are too expensive for

consumers

Tim Hortons- fast food restaurant in USA and Canada◦Saturated market in Canada with 3,015 stores◦Expansion in US faces tough competition

Source: http://www.reuters.com/finance/stocks/ http://voices.washingtonpost.com/economy-watch/2009/01/starbucks_closing_hundreds_of.html and http://money.cnn.com/news/newsfeeds/articles/reuters/MTFH12232_2010-03-05_17-15-23_N05193145.htm

Page 13: Krispy Kreme Doughtnuts (KKD) Matt Pregozen. Krispy Kreme Recommendation Buy: Limit at $3.65 Sell: Limit at $4.35

Social ResponsibilitySocial ResponsibilityGave away free donuts during

2008 Election if you voted

Source: http://www.usatoday.com/money/industries/retail/2008-11-03-voter-free-stuff_N.htm

Page 14: Krispy Kreme Doughtnuts (KKD) Matt Pregozen. Krispy Kreme Recommendation Buy: Limit at $3.65 Sell: Limit at $4.35

Reasons to BuyReasons to BuyJob market is recovering =

doughnuts and coffee at officeRumor that Wendy’s will buy

Krispy KremeIn the middle of restructuring, so

future has potentialUpcoming Earnings Report

3/29/2010Source: http://www.dispatch.com/live/content/business/stories/2009/11/27/WENDYS_KRISPY.ART_ART_11-27-09_A16_MPFQ789.html and http://investor.krispykreme.com/

Page 15: Krispy Kreme Doughtnuts (KKD) Matt Pregozen. Krispy Kreme Recommendation Buy: Limit at $3.65 Sell: Limit at $4.35

VAR (Value Added VAR (Value Added Research)Research)

Original Glazed Donut Taste Test

Label Votes Brand

A 13

B 5

Page 16: Krispy Kreme Doughtnuts (KKD) Matt Pregozen. Krispy Kreme Recommendation Buy: Limit at $3.65 Sell: Limit at $4.35

QuoteQuote

“Donuts. Is there anything they can’t do?”

-Homer Simpson