kesko cmd 2018 kesko’s journey towards a more focused ...€¦ · kesko cmd 2018 kesko’s...
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KESKO CMD 2018
Kesko’s Journey Towards a More Focused Retailing CompanyMikko Helander, President and CEOJukka Erlund, CFO
19.6.2018 KESKO CMD 2018 | Investor Relations1
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K Group and Kesko in Brief
2
#1Biggest in Finland,#3 in Northern Europe with retail sales of nearly €13bn
World’s most sustainable trading sector company
Market cap approx. €5bn with 42,000 shareholders
Profitable growth strategy in 3 core divisions
Strong financial position with good dividend capacity
1,800 stores in8 countries and comprehensive digital services
19.6.2018 KESKO CMD 2018 | Investor Relations
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Net sales Comparable operating profit
3
Net Sales and Operating Profit
€5,315m51%
€3,601m35%
€506m5%
€924m9%
€10,347m €304.7m
Grocery trade Building and technical trade excl. speciality goods trade Speciality goods trade Car trade
€215.7m64%
€75.1m22%
€12.0m4%
€34.1m10%
Rolling 12 months Q1/18, continued operations
19.6.2018 KESKO CMD 2018 | Investor Relations
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Targeting Profitable Growth
19.6.2018 KESKO CMD 2018 | Investor Relations4
Grocery tradeGrowth in grocery trade in Finland
Building and technical tradeGrowth in building and technical tradein Northern Europe
Car tradeGrowth in car trade especially in Finland
One unified
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Progress Towards a Strong, More Focused CompanyInvestments in core business operations €1.3bn, divestments €1.0bn
5
3/2015Divestment of Anttila
11/2016Divestment of Russian grocery trade
6/2017Divestment of K-maatalous
2/2018Divestment of Russian building and home improvement trade
4/2016Acquisition of Suomen Lähikauppa
6/2016Acquisition of Onninen
12/2016Acquisition of AutoCarrera
6/2017Divestment of Asko and Sotka furniture trade
19.6.2018 KESKO CMD 2018 | Investor Relations
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Profitable Growth Achieved in All Three Divisions
19.6.2018 KESKO CMD 2018 | Investor Relations6
2015
Market share at its highestin 15 years
2017
Continued operations, comparable figures, building and technical trade excluding speciality goods trade
Grocery trade
Building andtechnical trade
Car trade
B2B share increased to approx. 70%
Marketleader
Net sales
Oper. profit
€4,673m €5,282m
€177m €203m
2015 2017Net sales
Oper. profit
€1,989m €3,639m
€62m €79m
2015 2017Net sales
Oper. profit
€748m €909m
€26m €33m
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Good Performance Has Continued in 2018
19.6.2018 KESKO CMD 2018 | Investor Relations7
• Jan-May 2018 comparable sales growth 4.2%
• Solid growth in grocery trade +5.8% and car trade +6.4%
• Also good sales growth in building and technical trade in April-May
• Q1/2018 profitability better than previous year
• Comparable operating profit €40.0m, divestments taken into account growth 49%
• ROCE* at the level of 13.5%
Rolling 12 months Q1/18, comparable
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Strong Customer Driven Strategy Execution
19.6.20188
Redesign of the K brand and chain brands Store site network upgradesNew customer feedback systemsDeveloping the retailer business model
Building one strong K brandRemodelling the Plussa loyalty programmeStreamlining company structure
Quality and Customer Orientation
Best Digital Services One Unified K
Launching new eCommerce and mobile services Utilising data and analyticsInvestments in new technology
KESKO CMD 2018 | Investor Relations
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Value Creation Through Good Strategic Choices and Successful Execution
25
30
35
40
45
50
55
6/20
147/
2014
8/20
149/
2014
10/2
014
11/2
014
12/2
014
1/20
152/
2015
3/20
154/
2015
5/20
156/
2015
7/20
158/
2015
9/20
1510
/201
511
/201
512
/201
51/
2016
2/20
163/
2016
4/20
165/
2016
6/20
167/
2016
8/20
169/
2016
10/2
016
11/2
016
12/2
016
1/20
172/
2017
3/20
174/
2017
5/20
176/
2017
7/20
178/
2017
9/20
1710
/201
711
/201
712
/201
71/
2018
2/20
183/
2018
4/20
185/
2018
6/20
18
Strong focus, one unified K
Implementing growth strategy
Increasing profit in building and technical tradeKesko B, €
19.6.2018 KESKO CMD 2018 | Investor Relations9
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Continuing with Our ChosenGrowth Strategy
19.6.2018 KESKO CMD 2018 | Investor Relations10
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Expected GDP growth in Kesko’s operating countries Manufacturing and consumer confidenceBalance, seasonally adjusted
-40
-30
-20
-10
0
10
20
30
04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18
19.6.2018 KESKO CMD 2018 | Investor Relations11
Kesko’s Operating Countries Among the Best in Europe with Healthy and Stable Business and Political Environments
Source: Nordea, IMF, European Commission
Manufacturing Consumers
Long-term average Long-term average
0
1
2
3
4
5
2017 2018e 2019e
%
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Our Strategy Responds to the Changing Retail Landscape
Digitalisation and eCommerce
Increasingly individualcustomer behaviour
Sustainability and strong brands
Globalisation Increased consumer knowledge and power
Convenience
19.6.2018 KESKO CMD 2018 | Investor Relations12
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STRATEGIC FOCUS AREAS
Profitablegrowth
Businessfocus
Quality and customerorientation
Best digitalservices
One unified K
VISION
BUSINESS FOCUS
We Continue With Our Existing Growth Strategy
19.6.2018 KESKO CMD 2018 | Investor Relations13
Grocery trade
We are the customers' preferred choice and the quality leader in the European trading sector
Grocery trade Building andtechnical trade
Car trade
VALUE The customer and quality – in everything we do
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Our Grocery Trade Among the Most Profitable Retailers in Europe
• Market share growth with good profitability
• Exceeding customer expectations with store-specific business ideas
• Retailer model as a competitive advantage
• Growth from eCommerce and mobile services
• Expanding the foodservice business
19.6.2018 KESKO CMD 2018 | Investor Relations14
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Good Value Creation Potential for Upcoming Years in Building and Technical Trade
0
2
4
6
8
10
19.6.2018 KESKO CMD 2018 | Investor Relations15
Kesko
~2%
Best Europeanoperators
6-8%
Operating margin (%)
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Car Trade Growing Faster Thanthe Market
• Close partnership with the VW Group
• Targeting market share growth
• Improving profitability in importing, retailing and after-sales
• Expanding new mobility services
• Omni-channel customer experience
19.6.2018 KESKO CMD 2018 | Investor Relations16
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One Unified K – Creating Value For Customers
• Building a strong and trusted K brand
• Further synergies across businesses
• Loyalty programme: serving our most loyal customers better
• Innovations and new business opportunities
19.6.2018 KESKO CMD 2018 | Investor Relations17
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Kesko Is the Most Sustainable Trading Sector Company In the World and an
Active Member of Society
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Moving Towards Our Financial Targets
19.6.2018 KESKO CMD 2018 | Investor Relations19
Jukka Erlund, CFO
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Main Financial Targets
19.6.2018 KESKO CMD 2018 | Investor Relations20
Kesko’s dividend policy
* Comparable figures, continued operations
Payout ratio (5y average) : 103.4%Dividend yield (5y average B share) : 5.4%
Return on Capital Employed, %*
Return on Equity, %
Interest-bearing net debt / EBITDA
14.013.5
12.010.9
<2.5-0.1
At least 50% of comparable earningsper share distributed as dividends
Target level Roll. 12 months Q1/18
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Net sales€m
8,821 8,487
10,007 10,492 10,347
2014 2015 2016 2017 R12M Q1/18
Comparable operating profit€m
221243
274296 305
2.5%2.9% 2.7% 2.8% 2.9%
2014 2015 2016 2017 R12M Q1/18
19.6.2018 KESKO CMD 2018 | Investor Relations21
Executing Profitable Growth Strategy
+6%*+10%*
Net sales growth €1.7bn in 2014-2017 Operating profit growth €76m in 2014-2017
Continued operations *CAGR
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Grocery trade – net sales
€m
Car trade – net sales
€m
19.6.2018 KESKO CMD 2018 | Investor Relations22
Sales Growth in All Divisions
Building and technical trade excluding speciality goods – net sales€m
1,976 1,989
2,925
3,639 3,601
2014 2015 2016 2017 R12MQ1/18
4,754 4,6735,236 5,282 5,315
2014 2015 2016 2017 R12MQ1/18
766 748849
909 924
2014 2015 2016 2017 R12MQ1/18
Growth: €528m Growth: €1,663m Growth: €143m
+3.6%* +5.8%*
+22.6%*
Continued operations *CAGR
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223.2
177.5 175.9203.4 215.7
4.7%
3.8%3.4%
3.9%4.1%
2014 2015 2016 2017 R12MQ1/18
28.926.1
29.533.1 34.1
3.8%3.5% 3.5% 3.6% 3.7%
2014 2015 2016 2017 R12MQ1/18
19.6.2018 KESKO CMD 2018 | Investor Relations23
Operating Margin on a Growth Track
41.8
62.0
73.278.9 75.1
2.1%3.1%
2.5% 2.2% 2.1%
2014 2015 2016 2017 R12MQ1/18
Increase in traffic and basket due to quality initiativesSuccessful integration of Suomen LähikauppaProfitability uplift in non-food and Kespro Horeca
Onninen acquisition and profitability upliftFinland and the Baltics performing well and on a growth trackTargeted improvement in Sweden, Poland and Norway
Good growth track in importing, retailing and after salesStrong performance in Porsche operations
Grocery trade – operating profit
€m
Car trade – operating profit
€m
Building and technical trade excluding speciality goods – operating profit€m
Comparable figures, continued operations
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Fixed cost base
Personnel, €703m
41%
Rents and store sites, €571m
34%
Marketing, €202m
12%
ICT, €87m5%
Other, €140m8%
Costs as share of net sales, %
19.6.2018 KESKO CMD 2018 | Investor Relations24
Improved Cost-to-Sales Ratio due to Volume Growth
€1,704m
17.5
16.8
17.1
16.7
16.5
2014 2015 2016 2017 R12M Q1/18
Comparable figures, continued operations
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ROCE*, target 14%
10.2%
12.8% 13.1% 13.3% 13.5%
2014 2015 2016 2017 R12M Q1/18
Comparable ROE, target 12%
7.6%8.2%
9.8%10.9% 10.9%
2014 2015 2016 2017 R12M Q1/18
19.6.2018 KESKO CMD 2018 | Investor Relations25
ROCE and ROE on Track towards Their Targets
Profitability improvement in core businessesDivestments of low profitability operations
Operating profit uplift combined with improved financial net and effective tax rateClose to 100% pay-out ratio in dividends
*Comparable figures, continued operations
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22.220.4 21.3
25.7 25.9
2014 2015 2016 2017 R12MQ1/18
30.1
25.2 23.821.5 21.3
2014 2015 2016 2017 R12MQ1/18
19.6.2018 KESKO CMD 2018 | Investor Relations26
The Biggest ROCE Improvement Potential in Building and Technical Trade
8.3
14.0
12.0
10.0 9.4
2014 2015 2016 2017 R12MQ1/18
ROCE affected by increased capital employed due to acquisitions and growth investments
Grocery trade – ROCE
%
Car trade – ROCE
%
Building and technical trade excluding speciality goods – ROCE%
Comparable figures, continued operations
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Capex*€m
19.6.2018 KESKO CMD 2018 | Investor Relations27
Capital Expenditure to Decrease from the 2017 Level Excluding Acquisitions
194219
282
350
*Additionally, €462m in acquisitions in 2016
312
• Organic capex peaked at 2017 – going forward, expected to decrease to a level of €200-250m
• Capex in store sites to decrease after exceptionally high level in recent years
• ICT and digital investments to increase
• Leasing fleet to raise capex in the next few years
• Additional acquisitions targeted to build scale and improve competiveness especially in building and technical trade
143 167217
256216
3420
29
33
3617
3136
61
60
2014 2015 2016 2017 R12M Q1/18
Store sites ICT and digital Other
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Operative cash flow€m
Cash flow from investing activities€m
Cash Flow Generation to be Further Enhanced
304276
170
302
432
2014 2015 2016 2017 R12M Q1/18
-182
217
-501
-88
71
2014 2015 2016 2017 R12M Q1/18
19.6.2018 KESKO CMD 2018 | Investor Relations28
Focus on further improvements in profitability and NWC Total net capex at a moderate level due to €1bn from divestments
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Net debt/EBITDA target 2.5x
19.6.2018 KESKO CMD 2018 | Investor Relations29
Strong Financial Position
• Financial position strong despite €1.3bn investments in 2015-2017
• M&A firepower up to above €1bn – acquisition criteria include value creation and good strategic fit
• Strong balance sheet enables both strategic growth initiatives as well as good pay-out ratio for dividends
-0.3
-1.4
0.40.3
-0.1
2014 2015 2016 2017 R12M Q1/18
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Steady Growth Targeted in Dividends
19.6.2018 KESKO CMD 2018 | Investor Relations30
1.68 1.65 1.70
2.01
2.28
1.401.50
2.50
2.002.20
2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
Comparable earnings per share, € Dividend, €
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Book value of owned storesby region, €m 2017Finland 817Other Nordic countries 40Baltic countries and Belarus 38Total 895
Real Estate Portfolio in Good Shape
Breakdown of owned properties
Lease liabilities by region, €m 2017Finland 2,455Other Nordic countries 73Baltic countries and Belarus 350Poland 15Total 2,893
Strategic: Properties Kesko wants to own. Significant properties for business operations.
Standard: Properties Kesko owns but could sell and then lease back.
Realisation: Properties Kesko no longer has use for.
Development: Plots and properties that require development to fit their planned purpose.
Strategic74%
Standard20%
Realisation1%
Development5%
19.6.2018 KESKO CMD 2018 | Investor Relations31
Continued operations
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IFRS 16 Leases
19.6.2018 KESKO CMD 2018 | Investor Relations32
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Illustration of Impact to Key Ratios by IFRS 16
New IFRS 16 will be applied retrospectively as of 1 January 2019, comparative numbers for 2018 to be restated
Lease accounting summarised• Lease agreements recognised in the balance sheet as assets
and interest-bearing liabilities• Rent expenses replaced by depreciation and interest
expense in the income statement
Impacts of the new standard• Operating profit and EBITDA will increase • ROCE% will decrease• Interest-bearing net debt and net debt/EBITDA to increase• No changes to total cash flow
*Comparable ** Based on amount as if IFRS 16 would have been applied as of 1.1.2017 *** Average for 12 months
Illustrative Impact of IFRS162017
ActualIFRS16 Impact
2017 Adjusted**
Continued operations
EBITDA, €m* 422 +396 818
Operating profit, €m* 296 +96 392
Finance net, €m* 4 -101 -97
Profit before tax, €m* 300 -5 296
EPS, €* 2.29 -0.03 2.26
Capital employed, €m*** 2,224 +1,984 4,208
ROCE, %* 13.3 -4.0 9.3
Group
Interest-bearing net debt 136 +2,190 2,326
Interest-bearing net debt/EBITDA 0.3 +2.4 2.7
19.6.2018 KESKO CMD 2018 | Investor Relations33
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Creating Value Through Good Strategic Choices And Successful Execution